Covid19 Part XVI- 21,983 in ROI (1,339 deaths) 3,881 in NI (404 deaths)(05/05)Read OP

The Cheltenham horse racing festival should probably not have been allowed to go ahead last month shortly before Britain went into lockdown due to the Covid-19 pandemic, Horse Racing Ireland CEO Brian Kavanagh has said.

No $hit Sherlock?
His brain had a six week delayed reaction.

spookwoman wrote: »

Not till 8pm

Thanks

New German study on viral load by age group.

'Based on the absence of any statistical evidence for a different viral load profile in children found in the present study, we have to caution against an unlimited re-opening of schools and kindergartens in the present situation, with a widely susceptible population and the necessity to keep transmission rates low via non-pharmaceutical interventions. Children may be as infectious as adults.'

https://zoonosen.charite.de/fileadmin/user_upload/microsites/m_cc05/virologie-ccm/dateien_upload/Weitere_Dateien/analysis-of-SARS-CoV-2-viral-load-by-patient-age.pdf

https://twitter.com/c_drosten/status/1255555995671150597

https://twitter.com/rtenews/status/1255561234792906752?s=20

US deaths over 60k now. Each one a person with their own story, hopes and dreams leaving grieving family and friends. This is an terrible time and we have to hold on to our humanity. RIP all covid 19 victims.

igCorcaigh wrote:

More cases of inflammatory syndrome in children. Nearly 100 across a few countries. Possible link to SARS2-CoV?

That's frightening. We need to get rid of this thing. We have to quarantine incoming people. We have to wear masks and stay locked down until we get to zero cases and then continue to enforce quarantine.

sterz wrote: »

Probably discussed already but only catching up with the news now. When Varadkar says that we're not there yet, what numbers are they actually looking for?

the powers at be want new daily cases of below 100

Deleted User wrote: »

Reported by date. The by death date data shows a clear trend.

Deleted User wrote: »

That is an excellent analysis and clearly illustrates we are past the peak

https://twitter.com/seamuscoffey/status/1254106762233470978

that's from the 25th, I'd like to see an updated graph, I've a feeling the peak will always be just behind us, using date of death figures. as he says "he orange line will be updated, especially for recent days, as deaths are reported."

People going on about lifting restrictions probably not taking into account how unsafe people will feel now doing anything now.

a medical breakthrough is badly needed somehow.

MD1990 wrote: »

People going on about lifting restrictions probably not taking into account how unsafe people will feel now doing anything now.

a medical breakthrough is badly needed somehow.

Even if there is a complete lifting of measures, there won't be, people will take a long time to re-adjust.

Quantum Erasure wrote: »

https://twitter.com/seamuscoffey/status/1254106762233470978

that's from the 25th, I'd like to see an updated graph, I've a feeling the peak will always be just behind us, using date of death figures. as he says "he orange line will be updated, especially for recent days, as deaths are reported."

Possibly, I wonder what the average lag on deaths appearing on rip.ie. I suspect that it is a relatively quick turn around, meaning that the blue curve is encouraging. An updated graph, would be informative.

sterz wrote: »

Probably discussed already but only catching up with the news now. When Varadkar says that we're not there yet, what numbers are they actually looking for?

From what I can see new case numbers below 100 and being able to do 100000 tests a day which IMO is a fairly good way of dealing with this, we need to be able to manage and limit its spread and prevent another surge until they can develop a vaccine to treat the most vunerable.

Thing is some people are getting a bit of "cabin fever" from all this atm but I can see the next thing people giving out about is being unable to fly on their holiboppers I dont think were gonna see a return to normality until at least next year.