Covid19 Part XV - 15,251 in ROI (610 deaths) 2,645 in NI (194 deaths) (19/04) Read OP

smelly sock · 16-04-2020 06:15PM

Hobgoblin11 wrote: »

it wasn't 5k away from, it was a semi circle, I was never more than 2k from my home

Source

fullstop · 16-04-2020 06:16PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

If you watch the briefing right now you’d know.

You may as well talk to the wall as respond to that kind of post. It’s the same thing day after day, after day.

thomas 123 · 16-04-2020 06:16PM

tobefrank321 wrote: »

Yes. But he said new cases are rising. They should be falling if R0 is less than 1. Maybe he said it badly and meant to say we still have new cases.

New cases rising means R0 over 1.

It can be 0.99 also, just because it’s less than one does not mean it’s 0.

Curious_Case · 16-04-2020 06:16PM

Mic 1972 wrote: »

which curve?
the daily deaths have reached a new high today, no sign of a decrease there

If, for instance, we were incurring 40 deaths per day that would be the same every day so no change.

That is what they mean when they refer to a zero rate of change, it means no longer getting worse but not yet getting better, the peak of the curve.

Coyote · 16-04-2020 06:17PM

Number updated to match today's report, I have included the total numbers reported today
I have added the number died in the chart in yellow
recent cases growth
12-4-2020 4.8%
13-4-2020 5.46%
14-4-2020 5.15%
15-4-2020 5.55%
16-4-2020 5.01%

No Change in number

Slow Change

Big Drop in numbers

if we only grow at the rate of 7.8% this day next month we would have 4,000 deaths
if you wait till we are overloaded it's too late

I think this site is one of the best as it allows you to change and check the visualization of covid19
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/

Deaths by country

niallo27 · 16-04-2020 06:17PM

Harris really is pulling figures out of his hole, 1700 dead this day next week if nothing was done. Italy had nobody near that before any restrictions. This would relate to about 20k deaths a day in Italy. I dont think bull**** like this is helping.

SEPT 23 1989 · 16-04-2020 06:17PM

May is not happening so

BanditLuke · 16-04-2020 06:18PM

wakka12 wrote: »

43 death deaths in one day in a country of our size is huge, absolutely. It is more than a 50% increase of the average national mortality rate on a typical day

If we were same size as France/Italy/UK which are all about 12/13x times our population ,it would be 560 deaths, we are not at the level of deaths in continental Europe but not miles behind either.

For an island we need to be doing better.

poppers · 16-04-2020 06:18PM

Sounds like its under control in the community. Unfortunately it seems to be rampant in the nursing homes

BanditLuke · 16-04-2020 06:19PM

SEPT 23 1989 wrote: »

May is not happening so

Never had a chance if we are honest.

jobeenfitz · 16-04-2020 06:19PM

FVP3 wrote: »

So they can go out. Ive been stopped by cops too. And Spain has allowed non-essential workers to resume work, so we are in fact more locked down than Spain right now.

We are 32 days into lockdown in Spain. We are not allowed out for walks. We are allowed to go to the shop, chemist when necessary.

I was at the shop yesterday, my third time since lockdown. 90% or more are wearing masks.

Some workers have been allowed back this week.

Im hoping to be allowed out walking soon. We shall see. Atm I exercise on balcony or inside apartment.

Im not complaining, I know I'm here of my own accord.

ACitizenErased · 16-04-2020 06:20PM

Cue some ridiculous questions

polesheep · 16-04-2020 06:20PM

BanditLuke wrote: »

Never had a chance if we are honest.

That's the biggest 'if' since Justinian was a boy.

Ace2007 · 16-04-2020 06:20PM

Given the nature of nursing homes, how would they successfully beat it?

woohoo!!! · 16-04-2020 06:20PM

The infection rate dropping below 1 is encouraging. Now is not the time to relax but to redouble our social distancing and hand hygiene. Nursing homes is massive concern, got to throw everything at it, that's our parents and grandparents.

RIP to the poor souls who have passed away.

PS, if a source is from Facebook or WhatsApp, it's BS, unless proven otherwise.

BanditLuke · 16-04-2020 06:21PM

polesheep wrote: »

This is beaten, bar in the nursing homes. We need to start moving on and throw huge resources at the nursing homes - something we should have done at the start.

Beaten you say. Maybe you need to inform the WHO.

statesaver · 16-04-2020 06:21PM

SEPT 23 1989 wrote: »

May is not happening so

Not watching the press conference. What do you mean by that, restrictions extended ? Please God no

0gac3yjefb5sv7 · 16-04-2020 06:21PM

BanditLuke wrote: »

Never had a chance if we are honest.

Of course it is...he basically just alluded to it

ACitizenErased · 16-04-2020 06:21PM

Ace2007 wrote: »

Given the nature of nursing homes, how would they successfully beat it?

Put nursing homes into “lockdown”? Isolate each resident and move them to isolation units if they have to.

is_that_so · 16-04-2020 06:22PM

SEPT 23 1989 wrote: »

May is not happening so

It is still likely to be a plan but with a very large health warning to proceed very cautiously.

Harry Palmr · 16-04-2020 06:22PM

The residential care aspect of this is going to be the "big fail" of this.

Rvsmmnps · 16-04-2020 06:22PM

BanditLuke wrote: »

For an island we need to be doing better.

Its a virus,pretty much a once in a lifetime occurrence.There is almost no plan just alot of effort and hope.Our efforts might have very little impact irregardless.

Any info on the bse injections effectiveness on the virus,or potential effectivness?

polesheep · 16-04-2020 06:23PM

Ace2007 wrote: »

Given the nature of nursing homes, how would they successfully beat it?

Throw professional hospital staff at it. Set up isolation. Full-on PPE. There is an awful lot that can be done if the will is there.

wakka12 · 16-04-2020 06:23PM

Almost 0.1% of the population of the state of New york has died within the last 28 days. Really hard to fathom the scale of death there

smelly sock · 16-04-2020 06:23PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

Put nursing homes into “lockdown”? Isolate each resident and move them to isolation units if they have to.

Id agree. But no way Govt. will pay for it.

JoeA3 · 16-04-2020 06:23PM

statesaver wrote: »

Not watching the press conference. What do you mean by that, restrictions extended ?

I am watching it and I must be watching a very different presentation. Overall they seem very happy, quite confident that we are on top of it. The R0 value is below 1. They talked about scenarios where if restrictions are loosened in May, that they would do it carefully and monitor it over weeks. If the R0 spiked again over 1.3 or so, then restrictions would be reintroduced.

The above comments re “May not happening” are bollocks.

Hobgoblin11 · 16-04-2020 06:23PM

Cheltenham clusters showing up now?

thomas 123 · 16-04-2020 06:24PM

niallo27 wrote: »

Harris really is pulling figures out of his hole, 1700 dead this day next week if nothing was done. Italy had nobody near that before any restrictions. This would relate to about 20k deaths a day in Italy. I dont think bull**** like this is helping.

Yeah it screams “look at me, what a great job I’m doing”

I read nurses where sent on forced holiday from
Merlin park hospital in Galway as they brought in private nurses, then the next thing I read was a nurse going in to work in a nursing home on her own with one bottle of O2 between several patients a few of which died in her shift.

polesheep · 16-04-2020 06:24PM

is_that_so wrote: »

It is still likely to be a plan but with a very large health warning to proceed very cautiously.

Strip out the nursing home deaths and there is no reason why 5th of May is not still feasible.

rafatoni · 16-04-2020 06:24PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

Put nursing homes into “lockdown”? Isolate each resident and move them to isolation units if they have to.

has to happen, sounds bad from Dr hoolohan.

Covid19 Part XV - 15,251 in ROI (610 deaths) 2,645 in NI (194 deaths) (19/04) Read OP

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