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Covid19 Part XV - 15,251 in ROI (610 deaths) 2,645 in NI (194 deaths) (19/04) Read OP

19798100102103319

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,749 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 306 ✭✭Just Saying


    coastwatch wrote: »
    The backlog of 11000 tests is expected to be cleared some time this week.
    80% of these are being done by the German lab.

    When the backlog is cleared, they will be using the German lab for ongoing current testing, so at that stage the German lab results can be included in the growth rate calculation.

    I wonder at what number of days old are returns from German tests relevant to current figures and therefore included the same as Irish lab results.

    Also with 20% of the backlog not sent to Germany it would appear that this 20% of results is included in Irish new cases ...this could be partially responsible for some of the increase in Irish new cases.

    The increase in new cases could also be as a result of additional lab capacity coming on stream.

    I think the constraints caused by the lab capacity and the subsequent huge backlog have rendered comparisons and growth rates of new cases virtually impossible to compare accurately day on day.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 454 ✭✭Mwengwe


    Redo91 wrote: »
    The Irish Times need to be clearer on how they are reporting their figures. I got an awful fright when I got the notification on my phone that there were 992 new cases when in reality it’s 527. The additional 465 are tests sent to Germany which are weeks old and many of those would now be recovered. It’s very misleading to include the two together and make it seem like they are all new cases. The German cases are old.

    The figures are misleading in general by that logic. They're a reflection of the virus being spread 2,3 even 4 weeks ago. If you want 'new cases' you'd need a crystal ball.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 547 ✭✭✭RugbyLad11


    Up to 14 days incubation. All our contacts circles are a lot smaller. Could still take over a month to to spread within these clusters

    That's true but that is max incubation period, I think the avg is about 3 to 6


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,597 ✭✭✭crossman47


    wadacrack wrote: »
    Reporters asking about lifting restrictions. They need to stop with that. We are reaching the peak not the time for that

    Holohan has the patience of a saint. They're just trying to get him to say something that will give them a headline. I heard him say he will be looking at some data tonight so his day isn't finished and he has to put up with that rubbish.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,962 ✭✭✭r93kaey5p2izun


    The majority of the Irish lab cases are realistically from the last 10 days, meaning they're likely still active unless some of them had miraculous recoveries. The German cases are up to 30 days + ago.

    Up to 30 days ago. Ok. But many are actually only 15/16 days old according to people online saying they have received a German result. That's not that different.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,029 ✭✭✭✭Ace2007


    RugbyLad11 wrote: »
    So you're telling me people are breaking the rules? because you're; not supposed to go outside for exercise and gather people from another household.

    You're hardly gonna catch something off some one if they are a good distance from you outside.

    Do you seriously think it's more risky to catch the virus outside when people are standing well clear of each other? I would think supermarket is the most risky place as it's enclosed with narrow aisles.

    You say this but the reality is very different - simple example are kids touching the button to cross the road - how many people are touching this, people putting hands of polls outside, gates etc.

    Most supermarkets have limits on who gets in, and one person per household. some supermarkets have one way systems to avoid cross overs etc.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 547 ✭✭✭RugbyLad11



    It's like the smear test scandal all over again, can the HSE do anything right??


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,749 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    crossman47 wrote: »
    Holohan has the patience of a saint. They're just trying to get him to say something that will give them a headline. I heard him say he will be looking at some data tonight so his day isn't finished and he has to put up with that rubbish.
    If there's one thing that we take from these press conferences - Irish reporters are genuinely awful. They're like a pack of uneducated sheep just shouting the first thing that comes to their head.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,346 ✭✭✭easypazz


    rodders999 wrote: »
    Care to expand on how social distancing measures can be implemented in a hotel?


    You go in and out of your room and don't mix with anybody else?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,749 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,597 ✭✭✭crossman47


    Fr_Dougal wrote: »
    They’re newly diagnosed, what part of that don’t you understand? They SHOULD be included, not all of us are in favour of Chemical Ali type reporting of numbers.

    They should NOT be included in a growth calculation. Surely you can see that


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    I wonder at what number of days old are returns from German tests relevant to current figures and therefore included the same as Irish lab results.

    Also with 20% of the backlog not sent to Germany it would appear that this 20% of results is included in Irish new cases ...this could be partially responsible for some of the increase in Irish new cases.

    The increase in new cases could also be as a result of additional lab capacity coming on stream.

    I think the constraints caused by the lab capacity and the subsequent huge backlog have rendered comparisons and growth rates of new cases virtually impossible to compare accurately day on day.

    Your pretty much spot on in what your saying. Taking out the german results gives a good idea of where we're at but personally check the ICU and hosptial numbers before going near the case numbers


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 547 ✭✭✭RugbyLad11


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    You say this but the reality is very different - simple example are kids touching the button to cross the road - how many people are touching this, people putting hands of polls outside, gates etc.

    Most supermarkets have limits on who gets in, and one person per household. some supermarkets have one way systems to avoid cross overs etc.

    Ah yeah I know, I'm not saying it's not possible to catch it outside. I'm just saying the a supermarket is probably the most likely place for someone to get it right now, except of course hospitals.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 454 ✭✭MikeSoys


    wiping down food:
    Just thought id say i wipe down shopping using a fairy liquid (antibacterial). on a wet cloth .. it laters up beautifully and i leave it there for 15 min or so before wiping down again to get off water, soap .. i think its a good option as u dont need much to do allot


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,922 ✭✭✭GM228


    Ireland Coronavirus Statistics - Day 45 - Monday 13/04/2020

    DAY
    |
    DATE
    |
    Cases
    |
    New Cases
    |
    Total Cases
    |
    Case Increase
    |
    Daily Reporting Increase
    |
    Deaths
    |
    Mortality %
    |
    Hospital
    |
    Hospital %
    |
    ICU
    |
    ICU %
    |
    *Recovered
    |
    Recovery %
    |
    Population %
    |
    **Active Cases
    | ▲Day 1 | ▲10 Days | ▲7 days | ▲3 Days | ■ Day 1 | ■ 10 Days | ■ 7 Days | ■ 3 days
    1
    |
    29/02/2020
    |
    0
    |
    1
    |
    1
    |
    0.00%
    |
    0.00%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    |
    1
    | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A
    2
    |
    01/03/2020
    |
    1
    |
    0
    |
    1
    |
    0.00%
    |
    0.00%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    |
    1
    | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A
    3
    |
    02/03/2020
    |
    1
    |
    0
    |
    1
    |
    0.00%
    |
    0.00%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    |
    1
    | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | 0.00% | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | 0.00%
    4
    |
    03/03/2020
    |
    1
    |
    1
    |
    2
    |
    100.00%
    |
    0.00%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    |
    2
    | 25.00% | N/A | N/A | 33.33% | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | 0.00%
    5
    |
    04/03/2020
    |
    2
    |
    4
    |
    6
    |
    200.00%
    |
    300.00%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    |
    6
    | 60.00% | N/A | N/A | 100.00% | 60.00% | N/A | N/A | 100.00%
    6
    |
    05/03/2020
    |
    6
    |
    7
    |
    13
    |
    116.67%
    |
    75.00%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    |
    13
    | 69.44% | N/A | N/A | 138.89% | 62.50% | N/A | N/A | 125.00%
    7
    |
    06/03/2020
    |
    13
    |
    5
    |
    18
    |
    38.46%
    |
    -28.57%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    |
    18
    | 65.02% | N/A | 65.02% | 118.38% | 49.49% | N/A | 49.49% | 115.48%
    8
    |
    07/03/2020
    |
    18
    |
    1
    |
    19
    |
    5.56%
    |
    -80.00%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    |
    19
    | 57.59% | N/A | 65.81% | 53.56% | 33.30% | N/A | 38.06% | -11.19%
    9
    |
    08/03/2020
    |
    19
    |
    2
    |
    21
    |
    10.53%
    |
    100.00%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    |
    21
    | 52.36% | N/A | 67.32% | 18.18% | 40.71% | N/A | 52.35% | -2.86%
    10
    |
    09/03/2020
    |
    21
    |
    3
    |
    24
    |
    14.29%
    |
    50.00%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    |
    24
    | 48.55% | 48.55% | 69.36% | 10.12% | 41.64% | 41.64% | 59.49% | 23.33%
    11
    |
    10/03/2020
    |
    24
    |
    10
    |
    34
    |
    41.67%
    |
    233.33%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.001%
    |
    34
    | 47.92% | 52.72% | 61.02% | 22.16% | 59.07% | 64.98% | 92.82% | 127.78%
    12
    |
    11/03/2020
    |
    34
    |
    9
    |
    43
    |
    26.47%
    |
    -10.00%
    |
    1
    |
    2.33%
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.001%
    |
    42
    | 46.14% | 55.36% | 36.23% | 27.47% | 53.31% | 63.98% | 48.54% | 91.11%
    13
    |
    12/03/2020
    |
    43
    |
    27
    |
    70
    |
    62.79%
    |
    200.00%
    |
    1
    |
    1.43%
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.001%
    |
    69
    | 47.42% | 61.64% | 28.54% | 43.64% | 64.60% | 83.98% | 66.39% | 141.11%
    14
    |
    13/03/2020
    |
    70
    |
    20
    |
    90
    |
    28.57%
    |
    -25.93%
    |
    1
    |
    1.11%
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.002%
    |
    89
    | 46.07% | 54.50% | 27.12% | 39.28% | 58.13% | 81.38% | 66.77% | 54.69%
    15
    |
    14/03/2020
    |
    90
    |
    39
    |
    129
    |
    43.33%
    |
    95.00%
    |
    2
    |
    1.55%
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.003%
    |
    127
    | 45.89% | 38.83% | 32.52% | 44.90% | 60.59% | 60.88% | 91.77% | 89.69%
    16
    |
    15/03/2020
    |
    129
    |
    40
    |
    169
    |
    31.01%
    |
    2.56%
    |
    2
    |
    1.18%
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.003%
    |
    167
    | 44.96% | 30.27% | 35.45% | 34.30% | 56.96% | 53.64% | 77.85% | 23.88%
    17
    |
    16/03/2020
    |
    169
    |
    54
    |
    223
    |
    31.95%
    |
    35.00%
    |
    2
    |
    0.90%
    |
    84
    |
    37.67%
    |
    6
    |
    2.69%
    |
    5
    |
    2.24%
    |
    0.005%
    |
    216
    | 44.19% | 29.62% | 37.97% | 35.43% | 55.67% | 60.00% | 75.71% | 44.19%
    18
    |
    17/03/2020
    |
    223
    |
    69
    |
    292
    |
    30.94%
    |
    27.78%
    |
    2
    |
    0.68%
    |
    108
    |
    36.99%
    |
    7
    |
    2.40%
    |
    5
    |
    1.71%
    |
    0.006%
    |
    285
    | 43.46% | 32.15% | 36.44% | 31.30% | 54.12% | 70.77% | 46.35% | 21.78%
    19
    |
    18/03/2020
    |
    292
    |
    74
    |
    366
    |
    25.34%
    |
    7.25%
    |
    2
    |
    0.55%
    |
    140
    |
    38.25%
    |
    12
    |
    3.28%
    |
    5
    |
    1.37%
    |
    0.007%
    |
    359
    | 42.50% | 33.64% | 36.28% | 29.41% | 51.65% | 61.50% | 48.81% | 23.34%
    20
    |
    19/03/2020
    |
    366
    |
    191
    |
    557
    |
    52.19%
    |
    158.11%
    |
    3
    |
    0.54%
    |
    173
    |
    31.06%
    |
    13
    |
    2.33%
    |
    5
    |
    0.90%
    |
    0.011%
    |
    549
    | 42.99% | 37.43% | 34.76% | 36.16% | 56.98% | 72.31% | 42.82% | 64.38%
    21
    |
    20/03/2020
    |
    557
    |
    126
    |
    683
    |
    22.62%
    |
    -34.03%
    |
    3
    |
    0.44%
    |
    211
    |
    30.89%
    |
    17
    |
    2.49%
    |
    5
    |
    0.73%
    |
    0.014%
    |
    675
    | 42.02% | 35.52% | 33.91% | 33.38% | 52.64% | 45.57% | 41.67% | 43.77%
    22
    |
    21/03/2020
    |
    683
    |
    102
    |
    785
    |
    14.93%
    |
    -19.05%
    |
    3
    |
    0.38%
    |
    239
    |
    30.45%
    |
    25
    |
    3.18%
    |
    5
    |
    0.64%
    |
    0.016%
    |
    777
    | 40.79% | 34.37% | 29.86% | 29.91% | 49.38% | 44.67% | 25.37% | 35.01%
    23
    |
    22/03/2020
    |
    785
    |
    121
    |
    906
    |
    15.41%
    |
    18.63%
    |
    4
    |
    0.44%
    |
    277
    |
    30.57%
    |
    36
    |
    3.97%
    |
    5
    |
    0.55%
    |
    0.018%
    |
    897
    | 39.68% | 29.63% | 27.63% | 17.66% | 48.05% | 26.53% | 27.67% | -11.48%
    24
    |
    23/03/2020
    |
    906
    |
    219
    |
    1125
    |
    24.17%
    |
    80.99%
    |
    6
    |
    0.53%
    |
    305
    |
    27.11%
    |
    39
    |
    3.47%
    |
    5
    |
    0.44%
    |
    0.023%
    |
    1114
    | 39.04% | 29.19% | 26.52% | 18.17% | 49.42% | 37.22% | 34.24% | 26.86%
    25
    |
    24/03/2020
    |
    1125
    |
    204
    |
    1329
    |
    18.13%
    |
    -6.85%
    |
    7
    |
    0.53%
    |
    340
    |
    25.58%
    |
    47
    |
    3.54%
    |
    5
    |
    0.38%
    |
    0.027%
    |
    1317
    | 38.20% | 26.67% | 24.69% | 19.24% | 47.17% | 27.04% | 29.29% | 30.92%
    26
    |
    25/03/2020
    |
    1329
    |
    235
    |
    1564
    |
    17.68%
    |
    15.20%
    |
    9
    |
    0.58%
    |
    419
    |
    26.79%
    |
    59
    |
    3.77%
    |
    5
    |
    0.32%
    |
    0.032%
    |
    1550
    | 37.41% | 25.34% | 23.59% | 20.00% | 45.94% | 28.30% | 30.43% | 29.78%
    27
    |
    26/03/2020
    |
    1564
    |
    255
    |
    1819
    |
    16.30%
    |
    8.51%
    |
    19
    |
    1.04%
    |
    489
    |
    26.88%
    |
    67
    |
    3.68%
    |
    5
    |
    0.27%
    |
    0.037%
    |
    1795
    | 36.63% | 23.77% | 18.47% | 17.37% | 44.55% | 25.65% | 9.06% | 5.62%
    28
    |
    27/03/2020
    |
    1819
    |
    302
    |
    2121
    |
    16.60%
    |
    18.43%
    |
    22
    |
    1.04%
    |
    564
    |
    26.59%
    |
    77
    |
    3.63%
    |
    5
    |
    0.24%
    |
    0.043%
    |
    2094
    | 35.92% | 22.34% | 17.61% | 16.86% | 43.62% | 24.72% | 16.55% | 14.05%
    29
    |
    28/03/2020
    |
    2121
    |
    294
    |
    2415
    |
    13.86%
    |
    -2.65%
    |
    36
    |
    1.49%
    |
    645
    |
    26.71%
    |
    84
    |
    3.48%
    |
    5
    |
    0.21%
    |
    0.049%
    |
    2374
    | 35.15% | 21.19% | 17.45% | 15.59% | 42.02% | 23.73% | 18.89% | 8.10%
    30
    |
    29/03/2020
    |
    2415
    |
    200
    |
    2615
    |
    8.28%
    |
    -31.97%
    |
    46
    |
    1.76%
    |
    703
    |
    26.88%
    |
    113
    |
    4.32%
    |
    5
    |
    0.19%
    |
    0.053%
    |
    2564
    | 34.26% | 16.80% | 16.43% | 12.92% | 39.56% | 4.72% | 11.67% | -5.40%
    31
    |
    30/03/2020
    |
    2615
    |
    295
    |
    2910
    |
    11.28%
    |
    47.50%
    |
    54
    |
    1.86%
    |
    834
    |
    28.66%
    |
    126
    |
    4.33%
    |
    5
    |
    0.17%
    |
    0.059%
    |
    2851
    | 33.52% | 15.67% | 14.59% | 11.14% | 39.81% | 12.87% | 6.88% | 4.29%
    32
    |
    31/03/2020
    |
    2910
    |
    325
    |
    3235
    |
    11.17%
    |
    10.17%
    |
    71
    |
    2.19%
    |
    932
    |
    28.81%
    |
    134
    |
    4.14%
    |
    25
    |
    0.77%
    |
    0.066%
    |
    3139
    | 32.82% | 15.29% | 13.60% | 10.24% | 38.89% | 15.80% | 9.31% | 8.57%
    33
    |
    01/04/2020
    |
    3235
    |
    212
    |
    3447
    |
    6.55%
    |
    -34.77%
    |
    85
    |
    2.47%
    |
    1039
    |
    30.14%
    |
    148
    |
    4.29%
    |
    25
    |
    0.73%
    |
    0.070%
    |
    3337
    | 32.02% | 14.40% | 12.01% | 9.67% | 36.66% | 10.46% | 2.17% | 7.63%
    34
    |
    02/04/2020
    |
    3447
    |
    402
    |
    3849
    |
    11.66%
    |
    89.62%
    |
    98
    |
    2.55%
    |
    1118
    |
    29.05%
    |
    158
    |
    4.10%
    |
    25
    |
    0.65%
    |
    0.078%
    |
    3726
    | 31.42% | 13.15% | 11.34% | 9.79% | 38.21% | 11.32% | 13.76% | 21.67%
    35
    |
    03/04/2020
    |
    3849
    |
    424
    |
    4273
    |
    11.02%
    |
    5.47%
    |
    120
    |
    2.81%
    |
    1203
    |
    28.15%
    |
    165
    |
    3.86%
    |
    25
    |
    0.59%
    |
    0.087%
    |
    4128
    | 30.84% | 12.44% | 10.55% | 9.74% | 37.28% | 12.55% | 11.91% | 20.11%
    36
    |
    04/04/2020
    |
    4273
    |
    331
    |
    4604
    |
    7.75%
    |
    -21.93%
    |
    137
    |
    2.98%
    |
    1265
    |
    27.48%
    |
    169
    |
    3.67%
    |
    25
    |
    0.54%
    |
    0.094%
    |
    4442
    | 30.20% | 11.45% | 9.67% | 10.14% | 35.63% | 8.84% | 9.16% | 24.39%
    37
    |
    05/04/2020
    |
    4604
    |
    390
    |
    4994
    |
    8.47%
    |
    17.82%
    |
    158
    |
    3.16%
    |
    1345
    |
    26.93%
    |
    194
    |
    3.88%
    |
    25
    |
    0.50%
    |
    0.101%
    |
    4811
    | 29.61% | 10.66% | 9.70% | 9.08% | 35.15% | 9.77% | 16.27% | 0.45%
    38
    |
    06/04/2020
    |
    4994
    |
    370
    |
    5364
    |
    7.41%
    |
    -5.13%
    |
    174
    |
    3.24%
    |
    1472
    |
    27.44%
    |
    224
    |
    4.18%
    |
    25
    |
    0.47%
    |
    0.109%
    |
    5165
    | 29.03% | 9.75% | 9.15% | 7.88% | 34.09% | 7.41% | 8.75% | -3.08%
    39
    |
    07/04/2020
    |
    5364
    |
    345
    |
    5709
    |
    6.43%
    |
    -6.76%
    |
    210
    |
    3.68%
    |
    1521
    |
    26.64%
    |
    230
    |
    4.03%
    |
    25
    |
    0.44%
    |
    0.116%
    |
    5474
    | 28.45% | 9.00% | 8.47% | 7.44% | 33.04% | 7.00% | 6.33% | 1.98%
    40
    |
    08/04/2020
    |
    5709
    |
    365
    |
    6074
    |
    6.39%
    |
    5.80%
    |
    235
    |
    3.87%
    |
    1631
    |
    26.85%
    |
    244
    |
    4.02%
    |
    25
    |
    0.41%
    |
    0.123%
    |
    5814
    | 27.90% | 8.81% | 8.45% | 6.74% | 32.36% | 10.78% | 12.13% | -2.03%
    41
    |
    09/04/2020
    |
    6074
    |
    500
    |
    6574
    |
    8.23%
    |
    36.99%
    |
    263
    |
    4.00%
    |
    1718
    |
    26.13%
    |
    253
    |
    3.85%
    |
    25
    |
    0.38%
    |
    0.134%
    |
    6286
    | 27.42% | 8.51% | 7.96% | 7.02% | 32.48% | 9.73% | 4.61% | 12.01%
    42
    |
    10/04/2020
    |
    6574
    |
    1515
    |
    8089
    |
    23.05%
    |
    203.00%
    |
    287
    |
    3.55%
    |
    1777
    |
    21.97%
    |
    261
    |
    3.23%
    |
    25
    |
    0.31%
    |
    0.164%
    |
    7777
    | 27.31% | 9.70% | 9.68% | 12.56% | 36.54% | 29.01% | 32.83% | 81.93%
    43
    |
    11/04/2020
    |
    8089
    |
    839
    |
    8928
    |
    10.37%
    |
    -44.62%
    |
    320
    |
    3.58%
    |
    1849
    |
    20.71%
    |
    268
    |
    3.00%
    |
    25
    |
    0.28%
    |
    0.181%
    |
    8583
    | 26.92% | 10.08% | 10.05% | 13.88% | 34.65% | 28.03% | 29.59% | 65.12%
    44
    |
    12/04/2020
    |
    8928
    |
    727
    |
    9655
    |
    8.14%
    |
    -13.35%
    |
    334
    |
    3.46%
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    268
    |
    2.78%
    |
    25
    |
    0.26%
    |
    0.196%
    |
    9296
    | 26.49% | 9.73% | 10.00% | 13.85% | 33.56% | 17.73% | 25.13% | 48.34%
    45
    |
    13/04/2020
    |
    9655
    |
    992
    |
    10647
    |
    10.27%
    |
    36.45%
    |
    365
    |
    3.43%
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    268
    |
    2.52%
    |
    25
    |
    0.23%
    |
    0.216%
    |
    10257
    | 26.13% | 9.65% | 10.41% | 9.60% | 33.62% | 20.83% | 31.07% | -7.17%


    Data is cumulative

    NR = Not Reported

    ▲ = Daily case increase averaged over the past 10, 7 and 3 days and from day 1

    ■ = Daily case reporting change averaged over the past 10, 7 and 3 days and from day 1

    Source: Department of Health and the Health Protection Surveillaence Centre.

    *"Recovered" rates are not reported by the Department of Health in the above link, these figures are taken from the Worldmeters and Johns Hopkins websites which use data suplied by the DoT to the ECDC under the WHO Guidelines for reporting. Recovered statistics can only be published as "recovered" following two successful tests of being clear of the virus under the WHO reporting guidelines, as a result it is likely the recovered data is skewed.

    ** Due to the above issue with reporting of revovered cases the number of active cases is also likely skewed.

    Day 20 - Thursday 19/03/20 Stats
    Day 21 - Friday 20/03/20 Stats
    Day 22 - Saturday 21/03/20 Stats
    Day 23 - Sunday 22/03/20 Stats
    Day 24 - Monday 23/03/20 Stats
    Day 25 - Tuesday 24/03/20 Stats
    Day 26 - Wednesday 25/03/20 Stats
    Day 27 - Thursday 26/03/20 Stats
    Day 28 - Friday 27/03/20 Stats
    Day 29 - Saturday 28/03/20 Stats
    Day 30 - Sunday 29/03/20 Stats
    Day 31 - Monday 30/03/20 Stats
    Day 32 - Tuesday 31/03/20 Stats
    Day 33 - Wednesday 01/04/20 Stats
    Day 34 - Thursday 02/04/20 Stats
    Day 35 - Friday 03/04/20 Stats
    Day 36 - Saturday 04/04/20 Stats
    Day 37 - Sunday 05/04/20 Stats
    Day 38 - Monday 06/04/20 Stats
    Day 39 - Tueaday 07/04/20 Stats
    Day 40 - Wednesday 08/04/20 Stats
    Day 41 - Thursday 09/04/20 Stats
    Day 42 - Friday 10/04/20 Stats
    Day 43 - Saturday 11/04/20 Stats
    Day 44 - Sunday 12/04/20 Stats


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭timmy_mallet


    Blow all the bridges on the M50 and setup an escape from New York type scenario

    Yes, the non Dubs, instead of eating turf would be required to eat their babies as the supply chain, and intelligence, all but dried up down there.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,749 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    I wonder at what number of days old are returns from German tests relevant to current figures and therefore included the same as Irish lab results.

    Also with 20% of the backlog not sent to Germany it would appear that this 20% of results is included in Irish new cases ...this could be partially responsible for some of the increase in Irish new cases.

    The increase in new cases could also be as a result of additional lab capacity coming on stream.

    I think the constraints caused by the lab capacity and the subsequent huge backlog have rendered comparisons and growth rates of new cases virtually impossible to compare accurately day on day.
    I think we'll be able to accurately judge growth from Thursday onwards. That's when the backlog is supposed to be gone.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 909 ✭✭✭coastwatch


    RugbyLad11 wrote: »
    But where are people getting the virus in the first place? it can't magically transport to your home. Everything else is closed so they must be catching it in the supermarket.

    Family Home, Household contacts of people already infected
    Health Care workers in hospitals, nursing homes and residential care settings.
    Residents in nursing homes and residential care settings.
    There will still be some level of community spread, but it must be a small percentage of the pre-restriction spread rates.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 234 ✭✭zinfandel


    My brother got a positive test result today from a test done 20 days ago plus the 5 days he was waiting for the test, he has long since recovered. Those German test results are really skewing the figures.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    smurgen wrote: »
    Rest in peace to those that have died. I hope to God we've come to the peak of this. I still cannot get my head around gatherings like Cheltenham. The organisers have blood on their hands as far as I'm concerned.

    Even in the week after Cheltenham public transport in London and other UK cities were sill crammed with people, schools and colleges were still open as were pubs and clubs and other sporting events were still going ahead as normal. What we seeing happen there now is by no means wholly down to the Cheltenham racegoers.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,292 ✭✭✭1641


    petes wrote: »
    11000




    Actually, they said today that 11,000 was the total backlog and that 80% of these had been sent to Germany and the remainder were being analysed in Ireland.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Yes, the non Dubs, instead of eating turf would be required to eat their babies as the supply chain, and intelligence, all but dried up down there.

    Everything of any use bar Dublin port is outside the M50 anyway


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 439 ✭✭paddythere


    zinfandel wrote: »
    My brother got a positive test result today from a test done 20 days ago plus the 5 days he was waiting for the test, he has long since recovered. Those German test results are really skewing the figures.

    How are they skewing the figures?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 292 ✭✭outsourced_ire


    crossman47 wrote: »
    They should NOT be included in a growth calculation. Surely you can see that

    As an exercise, I'd be interested to see how things would look if they could be distributed to the dates when they most likely should have been counted, i.e.

    - Look at the dates the samples were taken
    - Look at what the average time it was taking to return results
    - Add the average number of days it was taking to return results to the sample taken date
    - Add the results into those days

    While I don't agree they should be included today as new cases (misleading, skews model, etc.), they still need to be accounted for in some way.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,749 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    paddythere wrote: »
    How are they skewing the figures?
    Because they're not new tests. You're adding a number to both positive results and resolved cases.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,784 ✭✭✭froog


    what about absolute cluster****.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,749 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    As an exercise, I'd be interested to see how things would look if they could be distributed to the dates when they most likely should have been counted, i.e.

    - Look at the dates the samples were taken
    - Look at what the average time it was taking to return results
    - Add the average number of days it was taking to return results to the sample taken date
    - Add the results into those days

    While I don't agree they should be included today as new cases (misleading, skews model, etc.), they still need to be accounted for in some way.
    The CMO showed exactly this in the press conference. There's no spikes whatsoever in growth.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 306 ✭✭Just Saying


    Up to 30 days ago. Ok. But many are actually only 15/16 days old according to people online saying they have received a German result. That's not that different.

    They were giving German total tests and total positives last week.From the percentages in the early stages it would appear that all those results were consistent with our older test percentages.
    It would have appeared that some of the newer test results were coming through towards the end of last week.
    Without comparative figures for the last few days it's harder to be sure but the daily average of new cases from Germany has doubled in the last few days compared to last week.This could indicate that they are catching up and possibly only 5 to 7 days old in their current batches.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 439 ✭✭paddythere


    Because they're not new tests. You're adding a number to both positive results and resolved cases.

    But they're not being announced as new test/cases. You're adding a number to the overall cases- I dont see how that is skewing the figures


This discussion has been closed.
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