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Covid19 Part XV - 15,251 in ROI (610 deaths) 2,645 in NI (194 deaths) (19/04) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,101 ✭✭✭✭Jim_Hodge


    Bridge93 wrote: »
    No they don’t. It was reported literally yesterday that the States aren’t tracking deaths in nursing homes.

    Correct and New York is trying to workout how to include over a thousand so far who are thought to have died in their own homes without any hospitalisation.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,346 ✭✭✭easypazz


    Jim_Hodge wrote: »
    Firstly, it's not ,a race or a competition. Secondly, the US isn't counting care homes or, worse again, those who die in their own homes. These comparisons are pointless at this stage.

    Do you follow Trumps nightly comedy show?

    It is definitely a competition to him, under 100000 official and he declares victory, because his actions brought it down from 2.2 Million.

    So any deaths unrecorded are a bonus


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 91,071 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    Was it TH who said we would not hit 400 deaths by summer


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,524 ✭✭✭Gynoid


    Just followed up on some of the stuff in the daily mail article and that documentary. Here's a paper from 2007 from one of the people who works in the lab Shi Zhengli.


    I'm not a microbiologist so happy to be corrected on analysis. From the abstract you can tell a few things.
    • they were editing sars like corona virus' from bats specifically editing them to include the spike protein to see if they could enter cells in the same way SARs can. (Via ACE2.)
    • this person works at the lab in wuhan.
    • SARS like corona virus' from bats were engineered to have spike protein for ACE2 reception.

    Is that not bizarre?

    https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/11381746/china-hushed-up-bat-woman-coronavirus-expert/


    https://jvi.asm.org/content/82/4/1899.short

    Caveat, it is just too soon for this I reckon. There are odd things for sure but it is too freaky. You are not the only person I have heard/read speculating this way, but people generally are not that open to receive this kind of speculation right now. I think it is worth keeping an open mind, for what its worth, but it is also disconcerting to do so.

    Main thing is, it does not really matter where it came from. It is here now and needs dealing with. It is like that old story- if an arrow pierces you there is no point in wondering where it was made or even who shot you. You just gotta treat the wound.

    And then, it is already wrecking everyone's heads enough, in various ways, that we have this feck of a yoke invisibly threatening us. To pile on top of that the possibility of a leak from a lab where scientists mess around with really dangerous viruses - which does really happen, for both peaceful and nefarious purposes- is just to add too much to the head wrecking. And that is without even going near that it could be deliberate. That would be a dystopian narrative too far.

    There will be time when people will hopefully look into it. Very tricky it being the tightly controlled country of China. Still if it was a movie I know where I would be doing the investigative journalism on this! But for now it is too indecipherable, murky, freaky. Let's just accept bat peed on pangolin. Maybe that is true. And concentrate on the arrow wound. In some years people might say/know other things. After all it only took Bob Dylan 57 years to be singing about JFK ;)
    Well, this is the way I am dealing with the fukkiness of this blasted virus.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,018 ✭✭✭Bridge93


    JP Liz V1 wrote: »
    Was it TH who said we would not hit 400 deaths by summer

    It was researchers at the university of Washington. Holohan and the National public health emergency team dismissed it as unreliable


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    JP Liz V1 wrote: »
    Was it TH who said we would not hit 400 deaths by summer

    I don't know who said it but a few more days and we could be at 400.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 624 ✭✭✭beolight


    Glenomra wrote: »
    how are Sweden's policies starting to show as a failure. 17 deaths today with a population twice ours. How long until people accept that they got their strategy correct

    I would be curious to know how Sweden has protected Nursing Home residents

    Given that half our deaths our in Nursing Homes if they had of been cocooned from the outset and the staff prepped and fully kitted in PPE our numbers wouldn’t be so stark


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,750 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,346 ✭✭✭easypazz



    Lots of magic bullets being touted at the moment.

    Grain of salt.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,349 ✭✭✭ooter



    Brendan o connor mentioned this on his radio show yesterday and they seemed to be very excited about it but on his show today he/they were back to saying at least 18 months for a vaccine.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,101 ✭✭✭✭Jim_Hodge


    easypazz wrote: »
    Do you follow Trumps nightly comedy show?

    It is definitely a competition to him, under 100000 official and he declares victory, because his actions brought it down from 2.2 Million.

    So any deaths unrecorded are a bonus

    That's completely immaterial to the point being discussed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    Bridge93 wrote: »
    No they don’t. It was reported literally yesterday that the States aren’t tracking deaths in nursing homes.

    Cant find the article but it did say new york was counting them. I wouldn't have said it other without reading ti first


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,547 ✭✭✭OscarMIlde


    Just followed up on some of the stuff in the daily mail article and that documentary. Here's a paper from 2007 from one of the people who works in the lab Shi Zhengli.


    I'm not a microbiologist so happy to be corrected on analysis. From the abstract you can tell a few things.
    • they were editing sars like corona virus' from bats specifically editing them to include the spike protein to see if they could enter cells in the same way SARs can. (Via ACE2.)
    • this person works at the lab in wuhan.
    • SARS like corona virus' from bats were engineered to have spike protein for ACE2 reception.

    Is that not bizarre?

    https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/11381746/china-hushed-up-bat-woman-coronavirus-expert/


    https://jvi.asm.org/content/82/4/1899.short

    This part in bold combining a human immunodeficiency virus-based pseudovirus system is describing lentiviral particles, which is a replication deficient system widely used in molecular biology. It is not entirely without risk, but is deemed safe enough to use in a bsl 2 lab. It's basically the means to manufacture a non pathogenic 'virus' that contains whatever genetic material you want. This 'virus' is then used to infect whatever cell you want with the genetic material you have incorporated into it. This genetic material is then integrated into the DNA of the cell where it stays. It is very useful in molecular biology as you can create cell lines that will make less or more of the proteins you are studying for as long as you want. With older techniques the genetic material is only there for a short while, maybe a week or two, so you are limited in what you can do.

    The important thing from a safety viewpoint is that the material encoding the viral part is not integrated into the host cell and cannot be copied, so the virus is a one shot thing. Basically to make a long story short biologists made use of the fact that viruses are great at injecting genetic material into cells and incorporating them into host DNA to make use of the injecting and intergrating parts of viruses for research purposes, while removing the capacity of the virus to make copies of itself.

    In other words journalists who know nothing about molecular biology are misinterpreting standard techniques as something ominous.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53



    A virologist has just been on BBC Radio 5 Live stating that due to its nature it will be very difficult to develop a vaccine for this virus and in his opinion it will be 18 months to 2 years before an effective one is available.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Gynoid wrote: »
    Caveat, it is just too soon for this I reckon. There are odd things for sure but it is too freaky. You are not the only person I have heard/read speculating this way, but people generally are not that open to receive this kind of speculation right now. I think it is worth keeping an open mind, for what its worth, but it is also disconcerting to do so.

    Main thing is, it does not really matter where it came from. It is here now and needs dealing with. It is like that old story- if an arrow pierces you there is no point in wondering where it was made or even who shot you. You just gotta treat the wound.

    And then, it is already wrecking everyone's heads enough, in various ways, that we have this feck of a yoke invisibly threatening us. To pile on top of that the possibility of a leak from a lab where scientists mess around with really dangerous viruses - which does really happen, for both peaceful and nefarious purposes- is just to add too much to the head wrecking. And that is without even going near that it could be deliberate. That would be a dystopian narrative too far.

    There will be time when people will hopefully look into it. Very tricky it being the tightly controlled country of China. Still if it was a movie I know where I would be doing the investigative journalism on this! But for now it is too indecipherable, murky, freaky. Let's just accept bat peed on pangolin. Maybe that is true. And concentrate on the arrow wound. In some years people might say/know other things. After all it only took Bob Dylan 57 years to be singing about JFK ;)
    Well, this is the way I am dealing with the fukkiness of this blasted virus.

    Thanks. My thoughts too. Scared the **** out of myself reading the research. Had no idea this went on. Watching a Disney movie now so I can go to sleep. Night now. Stay safe


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,750 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    A virologist has just been on BBC Radio 5 Live stating that due to its nature it will be very difficult to develop a vaccine for this virus and in his opinion it will be 18 months to 2 years before an effective one is available.
    Sky News are saying that professors from the University of Southampton believe it will be easy due to the permeable nature of the virus.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    OscarMIlde wrote: »
    This part in bold combining a human immunodeficiency virus-based pseudovirus system is describing lentiviral particles, which is a replication deficient system widely used in molecular biology. It is not entirely without risk, but is deemed safe enough to use in a bsl 2 lab. It's basically the means to manufacture a non pathogenic 'virus' that contains whatever genetic material you want. This 'virus' is then used to infect whatever cell you want with the genetic material you have incorporated into it. This genetic material is then integrated into the DNA of the cell where it stays. It is very useful in molecular biology as you can create cell lines that will make less or more of the proteins you are studying for as long as you want. With older techniques the genetic material is only there for a short while, maybe a week or two, so you are limited in what you can do.

    The important thing from a safety viewpoint is that the material encoding the viral part is not integrated into the host cell and cannot be copied, so the virus is a one shot thing. Basically to make a long story short biologists made use of the fact that viruses are great at injecting genetic material into cells and incorporating them into host DNA to make use of the injecting and intergrating parts of viruses for research purposes, while removing the capacity of the virus to make copies of itself.

    In other words journalists who know nothing about molecular biology are misinterpreting standard techniques as something ominous.

    Thanks for explaining. Not my area of expertise. Very concerning that scientists in Wuhan studying these exact viruses and proving they could mutate to infect humans prior to outbreak.

    It could of course happened naturally . I don’t know enough to know how likely one way or the other.

    Anyway stay safe.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,018 ✭✭✭Bridge93


    spookwoman wrote: »
    Cant find the article but it did say new york was counting them. I wouldn't have said it other without reading ti first

    New York and New Jersey count cases but
    1. They aren’t included or counted in the federal numbers
    2. There is an enormous shortage of testing in homes everywhere so those who do get diagnosed represent a drop in the ocean of what is believed to be the actual number among those with symptoms


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 524 ✭✭✭DevilsHaircut


    The vaccine likely already exists (among the many candidates that have already been developed). It's proving the safety and efficacy of the vaccine that will take time, but less than the usual amount as all bureaucratic (rather than scientific) shortcuts will be taken.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    The cork guy that was on life support, he looks fit and healthy, it's so scary and it can happen to any of us.

    Just imagine those few minutes before being knocked out as they put you into a coma. It must be the scariest thing to have to go through.

    https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2020/0412/1130132-coronavirus-survivor-thanks-all-who-risked-their-lives/?fbclid=IwAR2_fTrCiP7FYoQT0lBtLgyB9b0iHr8hJs2liXed5iMF2bkaClMfQRJ9B5g


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,594 ✭✭✭Deep Thought


    Sky News are saying that professors from the University of Southampton believe it will be easy due to the permeable nature of the virus.

    All the science are saying that the virus is very stable and slow to mutate, that makes developing a vaccine easier. If they already have a product that is on the market and needs very little modification, the FDA could approve it by September. The FDA also has section 564, Emergency Use Authorization of Medical Products and Related Authorities regulation which basically says that if there is a domestic emergency then the use of a drug that Where the use of it outweighs the risk of using it, then that drug can be used in an emergency, but only for as long as the emergency exists.

    The narrower a man’s mind, the broader his statements.



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,346 ✭✭✭easypazz


    Fauci keeps chipping away at Trump.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    Bridge93 wrote: »
    New York and New Jersey count cases but
    1. They aren’t included or counted in the federal numbers
    2. There is an enormous shortage of testing in homes everywhere so those who do get diagnosed represent a drop in the ocean of what is believed to be the actual number among those with symptoms

    Thanks for that clarification.
    No one is reporting the full picture and I am sure there are those that are under reporting by a lot but in general I doubt there would be much difference per population.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭BanditLuke


    The cork guy that was on life support, he looks fit and healthy, it's so scary and it can happen to any of us.

    Just imagine those few minutes before being knocked out as they put you into a coma. It must be the scariest thing to have to go through.

    https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2020/0412/1130132-coronavirus-survivor-thanks-all-who-risked-their-lives/?fbclid=IwAR2_fTrCiP7FYoQT0lBtLgyB9b0iHr8hJs2liXed5iMF2bkaClMfQRJ9B5g

    If we where to go the route many here are advocating and open our economy back up he'd be dead along with countless other young people as the ICU's get overrun with cases and our health system fails to cope.

    That is why herd immunity thankfully isn't the route we are taking.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,215 ✭✭✭✭ILoveYourVibes


    The vaccine likely already exists (among the many candidates that have already been developed). It's proving the safety and efficacy of the vaccine that will take time, but less than the usual amount as all bureaucratic (rather than scientific) shortcuts will be taken.

    Its not just efficacy but its longevity.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,065 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    you have been watching too much donald trump

    ?


    Do you have any idea what is happening now?

    Do you own a business?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 912 ✭✭✭bekker


    6034073

    Gov.ie Statement on 11th reduced total by 1, unfortunately didn't bother ascribing to date or area, :confused: so no adjustment made.

    Gov.ie Statement on 10th did not allocate deaths to area, included in East as default. :(


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    You know them claims about reinfection? Is that being examined further?


  • Posts: 5,518 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Jim_Hodge wrote: »
    It still is comparing apples and oranges, as we include all Covid related deaths

    Do we?

    The official figures are those that died from covid 19. Do they also include those whose death came from other factors but were related to covid 19 like heart failure?


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    BanditLuke wrote: »
    If we where to go the route many here are advocating and open our economy back up he'd be dead along with countless other young people as the ICU's get overrun with cases and our health system fails to cope.

    That is why herd immunity thankfully isn't the route we are taking.

    I completely understand. I cried watching the video, it's so damn scary. I don't know what the future holds. Open the economy again and it will just go back up. We'll be at this for years.


This discussion has been closed.
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