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CoVid19 Part XII - 4,604 in ROI (137 deaths) 998 in NI (56 deaths)(04/04) **Read OP**

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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Found more. This was actually reported in several newspapers here in Ireland.

    https://www.dublinlive.ie/news/health/coronavirus-face-masks-dublin-sold-17689683

    https://www.irishmirror.ie/news/irish-news/big-surge-number-face-masks-21429258

    Other countries. These are some of the articles I could find.

    Chinese oil company urging Chinese to send home supplies:

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-07/china-implores-employees-and-clients-to-scour-world-for-masks

    USA:

    China’s virus outbreak triggers a global run on face masks

    "While the rush is global, Chinese people living abroad have been buying masks - especially the popular N95 variant made by 3M Co. - to send back to family members or resell them online, often via Tencent's WeChat messaging app."

    Canada:

    Brossard's Chinese community shipping masks to loved ones in China

    Estonia:

    Chinese man living in Tallinn sends 20,000 masks to China

    UK:

    Chinese students and tourists buy 12,000 face masks in Edinburgh pharmacy to send home to families

    Sweden:

    https://www.vk.se/2020-02-28/coronaviruset-hyllorna-med-andningsskydd-ekar-tomma-i-umea

    “It is largely Chinese who, since the outbreak of the corona virus, have visited Procurator to provide themselves, but also friends and acquaintances, with respiratory protection. Some have even bought shelter to send them to needy people in China.”

    Finland:

    Face masks and hand sanitizer disappear from stores: Finland’s Chinese send goods to fight coronavirus

    Finnish Chinese have delivered more than one hundred thousand face masks to China to control the coronavirus

    That's all I could find for now but it has been very organised behaviour. But can I blame them? No. Now it's us trying to find supplies wherever we can.

    Sold at the current market rate to willing buyers. That is our system. Same applies to housing but nobody cares about that shortage beyond "oh it's terrible for young people".

    I think the people who are complaining about not being able to get PPE are the ones who said...
    • it's just a flu
    • it won't come here
    • it only kills old people
    • the country should stay open
    • we don't need to be social distancing
    • we have enough ICU
    • masks don't work


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    You stop it. Seriously? You didn't think that would become an issue. I must admit I got a few strange looks off the wife in January when I ordered and received industrial level PPE (i.e can't be used in a medical setting but has the same effect) but she didn't question.

    What upsets you more? That frontline workers weren't properly protected or that our government/HSE didn't have the foresight and decided to wait for the pandemic to reach these shores before they got their orders in. It was entirely predictable I'm afraid.

    Sourcing masks on an individual level would be so much more easier than sourcing gear on a grand scale. You can't really compare.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,854 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    You stop it. Seriously? You didn't think that would become an issue. I must admit I got a few strange looks off the wife in January when I ordered and received industrial level PPE (i.e can't be used in a medical setting but has the same effect) but she didn't question.

    What upsets you more? That frontline workers weren't properly protected or that our government/HSE didn't have the foresight and decided to wait for the pandemic to reach these shores before they got their orders in. It was entirely predictable I'm afraid.
    owlbethere wrote: »
    Sourcing masks on an individual level would be so much more easier than sourcing gear on a grand scale. You can't really compare.

    Sorry yeah you missed the point. I'm comparing the timing. Doing anything in January instead of March was so much easier. Pandemics/ war have a habit of making shopping difficult.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,251 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Field east wrote: »
    Two aspects of this whole virus issue have not been answered IMO . Maybe some boardie out there can provide some light on them and which are as follows:-
    (1) is there a concentration of the virus below which you will not be infected by it ?. Or is it the case that, irrespective of the level of concentration you will get infected if you come in contact with it is on your hands and you fingered your nose. Age probably comes into it as an older persons immunity would not be as robust. Maybe also if one gets infected with a very low concentration of the virus they may not get as sick as someone who was infected with a very high concentration

    (2)will keeping food / food packaging in a deep freeze -18C +- kill the virus. Ditto re fridge at around 3C

    Low temperatures generally won’t kill a virus.

    They’re usually too small to be affected by ice crystals puncturing them (and they don’t have cells or cell membranes to worry about)

    Viruses are strands of protein contained in a fatty envelope, to destroy them you need to either denature the protein or dissolve the fatty envelope (lipids)
    This is why radiation (uv) heat and detergents are effective at destroying them
    Another way to deactivate them is to swarm them with a coating that binds to their binding sites and prevents them from working, this is more or less how antibodies work, and bio pharmaceutical medicines replicate this mechanism

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,527 ✭✭✭tobefrank321


    wadacrack wrote: »

    It will take a month from a start of a lockdown at least to reach the peak of new cases and probably another week for peak of deaths. It will require another 2 months after that for cases to fall to within acceptable level to consider lifting some restrictions. Then there's the significant risk of imported infections from abroad. A relative handful of imported cases from Italy, Austria and Netherlands was the main cause of our lockdown once infections got into the community.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,917 ✭✭✭✭iguana


    owlbethere wrote: »
    Regarding the BCG vaccine

    I read online and I don't know how true it is, the vaccine only gives protection for X number of years because it wears off over time. I forget how many years it says. 12/15/20 years - I don't know.

    That's how vaccines work. They don't tend to confer permanent/multi-decades long immunity in the same way that actually being infected with and recovering from an illness does. They work because once almost everyone has immunity for a reasonable period of time, the virus has nowhere to go and dies out. When you have a situation where a disease has died out in a region of high vaccination but then a mixture of immigration from places where the vaccines aren't commonplace and a growing movement of people who refuse to vaccinate, those diseases can reoccur.

    If you received the MMR as a child from the mid 80s to the mid 90s, there is a good chance you are no longer immune to those illnesses. I'm from the last generation in Ireland who were not offered the MMR, in fact by the time it was introduced here, I had already had measles when I was 3 (was shït) and mumps and rubella when I was 5 (was actually a nice time). So my immunity to those illnesses is better than most people who are slightly younger than me. I had an antibody testing when I was pregnant and the midwife said it was very rare to see antibodies to all of those. On the other hand, my Heaf test when I was a kid had a very mild reaction as my antibodies were from the BCG, whereas my mum had TB as a baby and her Heaf test marks were more pronounced than my fresh ones even though hers were 10 and 20 years old.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,784 ✭✭✭froog


    Good God get a load of this idiot. I can't believe that people actually listen to so-called experts like these. There's no excuse for not knowing something when you can literally google it and get the information in the first couple of results. :mad:


    utter moron. if there's one good thing to come out of this thing it's that a LOT of qualified medical people are being shown up as complete idiots. there tends to be a belief that just cause you're a doctor you are some kind of infallible mega brain. honestly there are better informed people on this thread than some nurses and one doctor i personally know.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,872 ✭✭✭Sittingpretty


    froog wrote: »
    utter moron. if there's one good thing to come out of this thing it's that a LOT of qualified medical people are being shown up as complete idiots. there tends to be a belief that just cause you're a doctor you are some kind of infallible mega brain. honestly there are better informed people on this thread than some nurses and one doctor i personally know.

    That compilation makes him look like he bought his medical doctorate at his local Walmart.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 52 ✭✭Bushmaster64


    There are some countries massaging their figures. And not just 3rd world despotic ones. Obviously China and Iran are lying.

    Watch out for Sweden and Japan. Maybe even Germany. Both Sweden and Germany have proven to have a press that will mislead the public at the government's behest.

    Deaths rates in UK, Italy and Spain higher than published but that's more to do with not having the resources to accurately track deaths outside of hospitals.

    So comparing country by country is not that simple because data isn't reliable.


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  • Administrators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 78,458 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭Beasty


    Leo told us there'd be 15,000 cases 3 weeks ago.
    Do you have any idea how many "cases" we do have?

    The current "results" are for tests done a few days ago, and swabs taken a few days before that, for people who had waited a few days to get their swabs taken

    We are probably now "recording" figures from 10+ days ago, and only those who warranted testing

    I would guess we are at a few multiples of 15,000 at this stage - but it can only be a finger in the air job because we simply do not know how many in Ireland are (or indeed have been) infected


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,964 ✭✭✭Blueshoe


    Beasty wrote: »
    Do you have any idea how many "cases" we do have?

    The current "results" are for tests done a few days ago, and swabs taken a few days before that, for people who had waited a few days to get their swabs taken

    We are probably now "recording" figures from 10+ days ago, and only those who warranted testing

    I would guess we are at a few multiples of 15,000 at this stage - but it can only be a finger in the air job because we simply do not know how many in Ireland are (or indeed have been) infected

    Didn't Simon coveney say we were doing close to 5k tests a day but at the press conference recently it was announced we were doing 1500


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,784 ✭✭✭froog


    Blueshoe wrote: »
    Didn't Simon coveney say we were doing close to 5k tests a day but at the press conference recently it was announced we were doing 1500

    GPs are forwarding 3000 a day for testing according to RTE and we have only been testing 1500 a day. so there's massive backlog. not to mention the cluster**** at the start, the most important time where everyone in the country with a sniffle was looking for a test.

    in short, we have no idea whatsoever the rate of infection in this country and it is likely 10 times the reported figure. the only accurate figure is the death rate and ICU figures so people should focus on those.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 309 ✭✭Pseudonym121


    That’s exactly my thinking when it comes to takeaways. Pizza etc will be grand once it’s cooked and hot, but if someone coughs on the box as theyre closing it .....

    Simple fix. I’ve gotten a couple of takeaways over the past six weeks and I just made sure to treat the food as infected and microwaved it to piping hot again after delivery.

    Microwaving to piping hot will break the rna bonds and make it safe to eat even if someone DID cough directly onto the food just before closing the packaging.

    Simples.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,886 ✭✭✭✭Roger_007


    There are some countries massaging their figures. And not just 3rd world despotic ones. Obviously China and Iran are lying.

    Watch out for Sweden and Japan. Maybe even Germany. Both Sweden and Germany have proven to have a press that will mislead the public at the government's behest.

    Deaths rates in UK, Italy and Spain higher than published but that's more to do with not having the resources to accurately track deaths outside of hospitals.

    So comparing country by country is not that simple because data isn't reliable.
    Maybe in some cases the figures are revealing who is managing the crisis better and who isn’t ...........just maybe?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,527 ✭✭✭tobefrank321


    Beasty wrote: »
    Do you have any idea how many "cases" we do have?

    The current "results" are for tests done a few days ago, and swabs taken a few days before that, for people who had waited a few days to get their swabs taken

    We are probably now "recording" figures from 10+ days ago, and only those who warranted testing

    I would guess we are at a few multiples of 15,000 at this stage - but it can only be a finger in the air job because we simply do not know how many in Ireland are (or indeed have been) infected

    Leo knew there could be a high amount of cases yet only now we are scrambling for PPE. He had the foresight to see we might have a high number of cases. You'd think at that point the orders for PPE would go in?

    As for real number of cases, somewhere between 10-20,000 is my guess. A lot of people got or will get this but it will be mild or asymptomatic and won't ever be tested.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,784 ✭✭✭froog


    Simple fix. I’ve gotten a couple of takeaways over the past six weeks and I just made sure to treat the food as infected and microwaved it to piping hot again after delivery.

    Microwaving to piping hot will break the rna hydroxyl bonds and make it safe to eat even if someone DID cough directly onto the food just before closing the packaging.

    Simples.

    ah yes, those pesky RNA Hydroxyl bonds, i hate them in my soup.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,807 ✭✭✭threeball


    Stheno wrote: »
    Rubella was given in school when you were 12/13

    BCG was a baby/ toddler vaccine iirc

    I have the mark's but dont remember getting it

    Bcg was given in schools around 3rd or 4th class in the 80s. I remember queuing up to get it in the hall and having the 3 little scars on my shoulder for years.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 130 ✭✭rusty the athlete


    That compilation makes him look like he bought his medical doctorate at his local Walmart.


    Well, if he is an actual MD then god help any patients that he 'treats' and he should be immediately struck off. But 'Doctor' can be anyone that has a Phd in whatever discipline you choose. I doubt if this cretin knows one end of a syringe from the other.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,610 ✭✭✭shocksy


    Spain reports 809 new deaths and 7,026 new cases.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,052 ✭✭✭Shelga


    Sorry if it’s already been mentioned, I only read the last 10 pages, but has anyone else heard that apparently Matt Damon is stuck in Dublin and has been spotted jogging on Killiney Hill?

    I only mention it because it seems improbable that he has absolutely no way to get back to America, but also, a photo apparently taken on Wednesday was posted on Twitter, with him with his arm around some fan in Dalkey?? Why are both of them being so irresponsible?

    Makes me think it’s all a load of rubbish, and this woman is posting a photo that was actually taken a month ago.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Beasty wrote: »
    Do you have any idea how many "cases" we do have?

    The current "results" are for tests done a few days ago, and swabs taken a few days before that, for people who had waited a few days to get their swabs taken

    We are probably now "recording" figures from 10+ days ago, and only those who warranted testing

    I would guess we are at a few multiples of 15,000 at this stage - but it can only be a finger in the air job because we simply do not know how many in Ireland are (or indeed have been) infected

    That's a good point. I think the lag effect is absent in most assessments of the situation. One way of trying to get some number is to look at the death rate and work backwards. This is looking at the numbers. Before doing so worth noting The percentage of people who die is small. Every death is terrible.
    • mean time of symptoms to death is ~20 in cases that succumb.
    • we have officially had 120 deaths to date. No reason to question this.
    • so if the death rate is at 1%. I'd estimate this as health system not overwhelmed.
    • Based on the above you can say that 20 days ago there were 120 X 100 cases = 12000

    You then have to apply finger in air methodology to estimate current state regarding growth / control etc.

    This is a conservative estimate. If the death rate is higher, then the number of cases is lower. If however you are an optimist and the death rate is lower, then the number of infected is higher.

    Pick your poison. Of course large degree of uncertainty.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,131 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    Spain, Italy, UK all seem to consistently report 700 or 800 deaths.

    I reckon its a lot more but they haven't the meams to count for more deaths.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,215 ✭✭✭✭ILoveYourVibes


    Shelga wrote: »
    Sorry if it’s already been mentioned, I only read the last 10 pages, but has anyone else heard that apparently Matt Damon is stuck in Dublin and has been spotted jogging on Killiney Hill?

    I only mention it because it seems improbable that he has absolutely no way to get back to America, but also, a photo apparently taken on Wednesday was posted on Twitter, with him with his arm around some fan in Dalkey?? Why are both of them being so irresponsible?

    Makes me think it’s all a load of rubbish, and this woman is posting a photo that was actually taken a month ago.
    shrug who knows

    https://extra.ie/2020/04/02/entertainment/celebrity/matt-damon-covid

    so the hollywood crowd is hanging here you better get out your greta banners!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Simple fix. I’ve gotten a couple of takeaways over the past six weeks and I just made sure to treat the food as infected and microwaved it to piping hot again after delivery.

    Microwaving to piping hot will break the rna hydroxyl bonds and make it safe to eat even if someone DID cough directly onto the food just before closing the packaging.

    Simples.

    Best news I've heard all day. They don't call it nuking for nothing I guess!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 130 ✭✭rusty the athlete


    Both Sweden and Germany have proven to have a press that will mislead the public at the government's behest.


    So what Swedish newspapers do you read on a regular basis? None I'm guessing which makes your post utter BS. My daily read is the 'Svenska Dagbladet' which if you read you would find is extremely critical of government policy.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,527 ✭✭✭tobefrank321


    There are some countries massaging their figures. And not just 3rd world despotic ones. Obviously China and Iran are lying.

    Watch out for Sweden and Japan. Maybe even Germany. Both Sweden and Germany have proven to have a press that will mislead the public at the government's behest.

    Deaths rates in UK, Italy and Spain higher than published but that's more to do with not having the resources to accurately track deaths outside of hospitals.

    So comparing country by country is not that simple because data isn't reliable.

    Ironically the US will probably have more accurate figures than most given how its individual states doing the counting and its not in their interests to under report if they want federal assistance.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    threeball wrote: »
    Bcg was given in schools around 3rd or 4th class in the 80s. I remember queuing up to get it in the hall and having the 3 little scars on my shoulder for years.

    I was 10 when I was in 3rd class in the 90s. It's been over 25 years since then. Guess im no longer immune.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭Naggdefy


    A lot of tension in here :)



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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    Simple fix. I’ve gotten a couple of takeaways over the past six weeks and I just made sure to treat the food as infected and microwaved it to piping hot again after delivery.

    Microwaving to piping hot will break the rna bonds and make it safe to eat even if someone DID cough directly onto the food just before closing the packaging.

    Simples.

    I would love a takeaway for a treat. But I'm slightly overweight and probably not the best idea to eat crap food now.


This discussion has been closed.
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