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CoVid19 Part XII - 4,604 in ROI (137 deaths) 998 in NI (56 deaths)(04/04) **Read OP**

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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,321 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    In the context of masks, this is an interesting discussion by four experts on the topic. on the matter. One of the contributors, a research scientist called Howard, believes that masks are of such importance that he set up this non profit website which contains links to a lot of research, much of which focuses on the efficacy of homemade masks.
    I think at this stage anyone not recommending masks as part of our weaponry along with distancing and hand hygiene against community spread is a thundering fool, and a dangerous one, and should be ignored. I include the official stance by our HSE and people like Dr Cormican in that.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    Im just curious as to how the PPE orders turned out to be such a massive cock up. Who ordered them? did they know what they were ordering? Ive just seen more pictures of them on social media and they are ridiculous. You'd see better hygiene and protective wear at a deli counter.

    You'd see better hygiene and protective wear at a deli counter - LOL. I love your wording. It's so funny.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 130 ✭✭rusty the athlete


    ettravel wrote: »
    USA.
    will this finally wake the US population up into realising what an unjust , unequal , rat race of a kip they live in.


    Doesn't help when the president appears to be clinically insane. Not my words but those of https://worldmhc.org/



    To quote:
    PATHOLOGICAL NARCISSISM, INFORMATION SUPPRESSION, AND A GLOBAL PANDEMIC
    Minneapolis, MN, and nationwide locations — Mental Health Experts specializing in Donald Trump’s type of pathologies conduct an online briefing for the American people regarding Donald Trump’s mental incapacity to lead America’s critical response to the escalating novel coronavirus pandemic.
    Quote from Dr. Bandy Lee: “Weeks of mismanagement and dangerous misstatements are costing lives. We must immediately highlight expert information and advice, including those of mental health experts.”


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,362 ✭✭✭Field east


    Two aspects of this whole virus issue have not been answered IMO . Maybe some boardie out there can provide some light on them and which are as follows:-
    (1) is there a concentration of the virus below which you will not be infected by it ?. Or is it the case that, irrespective of the level of concentration you will get infected if you come in contact with it is on your hands and you fingered your nose. Age probably comes into it as an older persons immunity would not be as robust. Maybe also if one gets infected with a very low concentration of the virus they may not get as sick as someone who was infected with a very high concentration

    (2)will keeping food / food packaging in a deep freeze -18C +- kill the virus. Ditto re fridge at around 3C


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,801 ✭✭✭plodder


    froog wrote: »
    Thats incredibly presumptuous and bad science. Seems to be based solely on X country has a high rate of vaccine and low deaths from Covid. There's thousands of other possible factors that you could pick. "Correlation does not prove causation" is a basic golden rule of epidemiology and stats.
    That's a bit strong. It was previously known that BCG helps with other respiratory illnesses as well as TB, which may be why they went looking. Though I thought the IT article was a little too enthusiastic. Trials with health workers re lready underway I think.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,394 ✭✭✭✭Professor Moriarty


    Wibbs wrote: »
    I think at this stage anyone not recommending masks as part of our weaponry along with distancing and hand hygiene against community spread is a thundering fool, and a dangerous one, and should be ignored. I include the official stance by our HSE and people like Dr Cormican in that.

    Expect WHO to change their stance very soon and the HSE will follow suit. I suspect that they weren't promoting masks for all because this might mean shortages for healthcare workers.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,949 ✭✭✭ChikiChiki


    Happy4all wrote: »
    Thank God we have Danny Healy-Rae

    Apples and Oranges. Thank **** Danny Healy Rae is an outcast outside of Kerry with little influence.

    Trump on the other hand is the most powerful man on the planet.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,524 ✭✭✭Gynoid


    Field east wrote: »
    Two aspects of this whole virus issue have not been answered IMO . Maybe some boardie out there can provide some light on them and which are as follows:-
    (1) is there a concentration of the virus below which you will not be infected by it ?. Or is it the case that, irrespective of the level of concentration you will get infected if you come in contact with it is on your hands and you fingered your nose. Age probably comes into it as an older persons immunity would not be as robust. Maybe also if one gets infected with a very low concentration of the virus they may not get as sick as someone who was infected with a very high concentration

    (2)will keeping food / food packaging in a deep freeze -18C +- kill the virus. Ditto re fridge at around 3C

    On no.1 I saw a video by a Prof of Pathology who said a lower inoculum of the virus at the beginning allows your immune system a chance to rev up and has better outcomes.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,964 ✭✭✭Blueshoe


    ChikiChiki wrote: »
    Apples and Oranges. Thank **** Danny Healy Rae is an outcast outside of Kerry with little influence.

    Trump on the other hand is the most powerful man on the planet.

    I think you'll find that the Healy Raes practically own Kerry and are multi millionaires .

    Also Jesus is the most powerful man on the planet. Trump is just a man


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,575 ✭✭✭RandomName2


    Good God get a load of this idiot. I can't believe that people actually listen to so-called experts like these. There's no excuse for not knowing something when you can literally google it and get the information in the first couple of results. :mad:



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,039 ✭✭✭Call me Al


    froog wrote: »
    Thats incredibly presumptuous and bad science. Seems to be based solely on X country has a high rate of vaccine and low deaths from Covid. There's thousands of other possible factors that you could pick. "Correlation does not prove causation" is a basic golden rule of epidemiology and stats.
    That's why it isn't policy anywhere, but rather its being trialled, and in the event it doesn't improve rates of severe illness what harm will it do beyond vaccinating some elderly and front line workers from TB.
    Its based on several countries having high vaccine rates and low covid deaths.
    And research that indicates BCG vaccine programmes reduce a larger number respiratory illness and measles.
    I'm sure the scientists doing all the research are well versed in the correlation/causation principle. Maybe almost as well as yourself.

    Hardly a waste of time for further research.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 730 ✭✭✭Achasanai


    Lavinia wrote: »
    I have heard that in Italy last year Jan to April died more people than this year all together including covid.


    Really? I have seen stats suggesting very much the opposite (indicating that the deaths being reported in certain parts of Italy and Spain suggest that they're not reporting the correct figures):



    https://twitter.com/J_CD_T/status/1245739661449977867


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,321 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    Field east wrote: »
    Two aspects of this whole virus issue have not been answered IMO . Maybe some boardie out there can provide some light on them and which are as follows:-
    (1) is there a concentration of the virus below which you will not be infected by it ?. Or is it the case that, irrespective of the level of concentration you will get infected if you come in contact with it is on your hands and you fingered your nose. Age probably comes into it as an older persons immunity would not be as robust. Maybe also if one gets infected with a very low concentration of the virus they may not get as sick as someone who was infected with a very high concentration
    From what I can gather anyway, though much of this is still up in the air and opinions change daily and are like arseholes, everyone has one :D but viral load seems to be a thing alright. And makes sense. If you inhaled say forty viruses it will take more time for those viruses to set up home in cells and start production of more viruses than if you inhaled a thousand.
    (2)will keeping food / food packaging in a deep freeze -18C +- kill the virus. Ditto re fridge at around 3C
    Just supposition on my part but I would think that freezing viruses would make them viable for longer and the lower the temperatures the longer they'd remain viable. In research centres that stockpile viruses for study to preserve them they freeze them as far as I'm aware. On the other hand heat fecks them right up. It's one reason why we get a fever when we catch a virus. They're very heat sensitive. Heat, oxidisation, ultraviolet light and chemicals like bleach kill them stone dead.

    And our own immune systems when they catch up really get medieval on their arses. Our bodies are heaven to viruses when they first show up and then become the most hellish place on earth for them when our bodies respond.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,562 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    Doesn't help when the president appears to be clinically insane. Not my words but those of
    I just looked at previous articles on that site and it's clearly anti-Republican.
    Why would you post trash like that?

    I think Trump is awful, worst President in American history, but let's stay away from crap like that.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    I think the whole story around "bad quality" PPE equipment needs to be taken with a pinch of salt.

    No. not to come over all conspiracy theorist but a few other things may or may not be related.
    • There was a shortage of equipment for frontline staff
    • Some of the guidance on what PPE should be worn and when wasn't 100% i.e face shields / goggles.
    • Large proportion of cases were healthcare workers.


    Fairly convenient to blame those "dodgy Chinese". Also deflects from the fact that we had plenty of notice. As soon as it was in Italy the writing was on the wall.

    Of course this could all be cleared up if the actual order was made public. Transparency not HSE strong suit given the legal implications that may come down the line.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    Regarding the BCG vaccine

    I read online and I don't know how true it is, the vaccine only gives protection for X number of years because it wears off over time. I forget how many years it says. 12/15/20 years - I don't know.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,102 ✭✭✭Lavinia


    Total number of deaths in Italy for Q1 (comparison):

    2020 - 166.407
    2019 - 185.967
    2018 - 187.991
    2017 - 192.045

    I don't have those in English, sorry, but these are the numbers


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,321 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    Good God get a load of this idiot. I can't believe that people actually listen to so-called experts like these. There's no excuse for not knowing something when you can literally google it and get the information in the first couple of results. :mad:
    What do you call someone who got the lowest grades in their graduating class at medical school? Doctor.

    Authorities on any matter are to be listened to, right up to the point where they start making illogical and/or contradictory or extreme claims. If they're also part of the media, or politics as a career, ramp that suspicion up considerably.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 112 ✭✭Johnny1999


    Wibbs wrote: »
    From what I can gather anyway, though much of this is still up in the air and opinions change daily and are like arseholes, everyone has one :D but viral load seems to be a thing alright. And makes sense. If you inhaled say forty viruses it will take more time for those viruses to set up home in cells and start production of more viruses than if you inhaled a thousand.

    Just supposition on my part but I would think that freezing viruses would make them viable for longer and the lower the temperatures the longer they'd remain viable. In research centres that stockpile viruses for study to preserve them they freeze them as far as I'm aware. On the other hand heat fecks them right up. It's one reason why we get a fever when we catch a virus. They're very heat sensitive. Heat, oxidisation, ultraviolet light and chemicals like bleach kill them stone dead.

    And our own immune systems when they catch up really get medieval on their arses. Our bodies are heaven to viruses when they first show up and then become the most hellish place on earth for them when our bodies respond.

    At cold temperatures virus remain dormant. Until the environment becomes more hospitable to them. 82 degrees c at 30 seconds will kill virus’s.

    If you can’t wash food packaging then leave non perishables for 72hours. The virus will die after that.

    By washing I mean using soapy water. Not necessarily chemicals to sanitise.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,524 ✭✭✭Gynoid


    Lavinia wrote: »
    Total number of deaths in Italy for Q1 (comparison):

    2020 - 166.407
    2019 - 185.967
    2018 - 187.991
    2017 - 192.045

    I don't have those in English, sorry, but these are the numbers

    Thanks.
    I would like an explanation of that from anyone.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,830 ✭✭✭Silent Running


    Blueshoe wrote: »
    I think you'll find that the Healy Raes practically own Kerry and are multi millionaires .

    Also Jesus is the most powerful man on the planet. Trump is just a man

    Trump is just a man but Jesus is just a fairy story.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    I think the whole story around "bad quality" PPE equipment needs to be taken with a pinch of salt.

    No. not to come over all conspiracy theorist but a few other things may or may not be related.
    • There was a shortage of equipment for frontline staff
    • Some of the guidance on what PPE should be worn and when wasn't 100% i.e face shields / goggles.
    • Large proportion of cases were healthcare workers.


    Fairly convenient to blame those "dodgy Chinese". Also deflects from the fact that we had plenty of notice. As soon as it was in Italy the writing was on the wall.

    Of course this could all be cleared up if the actual order was made public. Transparency not HSE strong suit given the legal implications that may come down the line.

    Stop it. Ireland did not have plenty of notice to prepare PPE. This virus was identified as a novel virus in January and it spread so fast. Come February, a lot of countries began reporting of their early cases and there was a scramble every where to boost up supplies of PPE. There's now a worldwide shortage. The HSE had some failings over the years no doubt but you can't blame theme for a worldwide shortage of PPE.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    iguana wrote: »
    The HSE stopped doing the BCG in 2015. The NHS had stopped at some point before that as my son was born in the UK in 2012 and the BCG wasn't on his vaccine schedule. I got him booked in for it once we moved home. But the vast, vast majority of people in Ireland have had the BCG surely? And a reasonable amount of older-elderly people actually had TB and as such tend to have stronger antibodies than someone who's antibodies developed from vaccination.



    "but Ireland has had no BCG vaccine since May 2015 and no children have been vaccinated since then, the HSE confirmed."


    That's worrying. Whole lot of kids not inoculated if there is a benefit. Italy apparently has very low levels of the vaccine and the kids are grand so that's positive. What is interesting is that in some parts of london the Incidence of TB is on par with some African countries yet vaccine wasn't offered.


    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/health/tuberculosis-vaccine-potential-game-changer-in-covid-19-fight-1.4220383


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 130 ✭✭rusty the athlete


    Good God get a load of this idiot.


    A doctor of what precisely?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,527 ✭✭✭tobefrank321


    owlbethere wrote: »
    Stop it. Ireland did not have plenty of notice to prepare PPE. This virus was identified as a novel virus in January and it spread so fast. Come February, a lot of countries began reporting of their early cases and there was a scramble every where to boost up supplies of PPE. There's now a worldwide shortage. The HSE had some failings over the years no doubt but you can't blame theme for a worldwide shortage of PPE.

    Leo told us there'd be 15,000 cases 3 weeks ago.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    owlbethere wrote: »
    Stop it. Ireland did not have plenty of notice to prepare PPE. This virus was identified as a novel virus in January and it spread so fast. Come February, a lot of countries began reporting of their early cases and there was a scramble every where to boost up supplies of PPE. There's now a worldwide shortage. The HSE had some failings over the years no doubt but you can't blame theme for a worldwide shortage of PPE.

    You stop it. Seriously? You didn't think that would become an issue. I must admit I got a few strange looks off the wife in January when I ordered and received industrial level PPE (i.e can't be used in a medical setting but has the same effect) but she didn't question.

    What upsets you more? That frontline workers weren't properly protected or that our government/HSE didn't have the foresight and decided to wait for the pandemic to reach these shores before they got their orders in. It was entirely predictable I'm afraid.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭speckle


    Thanyou for all the links. Excellant informative post.
    Found more. This was actually reported in several newspapers here in Ireland.

    https://www.dublinlive.ie/news/health/coronavirus-face-masks-dublin-sold-17689683

    https://www.irishmirror.ie/news/irish-news/big-surge-number-face-masks-21429258

    Other countries. These are some of the articles I could find.

    Chinese oil company urging Chinese to send home supplies:

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-07/china-implores-employees-and-clients-to-scour-world-for-masks

    USA:

    China’s virus outbreak triggers a global run on face masks

    "While the rush is global, Chinese people living abroad have been buying masks - especially the popular N95 variant made by 3M Co. - to send back to family members or resell them online, often via Tencent's WeChat messaging app."

    Canada:

    Brossard's Chinese community shipping masks to loved ones in China

    Estonia:

    Chinese man living in Tallinn sends 20,000 masks to China

    UK:

    Chinese students and tourists buy 12,000 face masks in Edinburgh pharmacy to send home to families

    Sweden:

    https://www.vk.se/2020-02-28/coronaviruset-hyllorna-med-andningsskydd-ekar-tomma-i-umea

    “It is largely Chinese who, since the outbreak of the corona virus, have visited Procurator to provide themselves, but also friends and acquaintances, with respiratory protection. Some have even bought shelter to send them to needy people in China.”

    Finland:

    Face masks and hand sanitizer disappear from stores: Finland’s Chinese send goods to fight coronavirus

    Finnish Chinese have delivered more than one hundred thousand face masks to China to control the coronavirus

    That's all I could find for now but it has been very organised behaviour. But can I blame them? No. Now it's us trying to find supplies wherever we can.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,172 ✭✭✭wadacrack




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,172 ✭✭✭wadacrack




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  • Posts: 5,311 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I'm sure others have commented on it, but the front page of Indo rankled this morning ("You don't have to read it", I bought it for my father). Editor must be in cloud cuckoo land aka D4 if they think it struck an appropriate tone. There's Donal Skehan grinning mirthlessly, "planning to fly the family home from the US on Wednesday. Lock, stock and barrel - but temporarily". Whoever greenlights this manure doesn't possess any tact. Here's a better message to convey, "stay the f*ck where you are you entitled ionsach".


This discussion has been closed.
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