CoVid19 Part XI - 2,615 in ROI (46 deaths) 410 in NI (21 deaths)(29/03)OP upd 28/03

pjohnson · 27-03-2020 06:49PM

fritzelly wrote: »

Passed local kids park a few days ago - not a bother on them, 30/40 kids - many in groups of more than 4 - parents need to cop on

Unless its allowed to start beating/locking them up nothing will change.

27-03-2020 06:49PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

I mentioned this here last night and someone disagreed. I'm 90% sure it's since the beginning.

Going by how the health emergency team word it, it is definitely since the beginning so either they are wording it wrong or it’s being incorrectly reported. My money is on incorrectly reported.

Sir Oxman · 27-03-2020 06:50PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

The hospitalized figure they release every night isn't current occupancy.

Yes, but that's a few days behind as are the other numbers.

Why would that figure be how many occupied from a month ago.

Hamsterchops · 27-03-2020 06:50PM

Allinall wrote: »

The testing criteria is more stringent, so you would expect the number of positives to be higher.

I think 302 is not too bad.

RIP to the three deaths.

302 not too bad, but it's still the 1st time the confirmed cases have gone over the 300 mark!

MrMusician18 · 27-03-2020 06:50PM

Movementarian wrote: »

Thats a bit harsh. I have seen a very noticeable difference in people these days. Definitely efforts being made across the board.

We also have to remember there will be a time delay for effects to be seen. Its only been a week and a half really and you wont see impact on numbers for a while yet.

The effects should only take 5 days to start to materialize as that is the median incubation period.

Strazdas · 27-03-2020 06:50PM

josip wrote: »

59 in ICU as of midnight Wednesday means we are on track to reach the original 260 bed ICU capacity on the 1st of April and an increased 500-bed ICU capacity on the 4th of April.

Very hard to model that correctly though. Even the slightest percentage change in the next couple of days would alter the April 4th figure (but it's a real concern).

amadangomor · 27-03-2020 06:50PM

TheDoctor wrote: »

Guess thats the winning that Mr. Trump was referring to.

Yeh, sure they'll all be back to work soon according to the orange one.

27-03-2020 06:50PM

Evangeline Damaged Specimen wrote: »

They need to clarify this ICU number, as far as I read it that’s the total number who have been in ICU since the beginning NOT the number currently in ICU but it’s being reported as if it’s the number currently in ICU.

This staggered release of figures isn't helping. 59 in ICU on Wednesday, a lot can change in 48 hours. We need up to date information, instead of a drip feed by the government so that Leo can reposition himself accordingly. Almost strikes me as a selective PR exercise, and I say this as a person who has been largely impressed by handling of crisis.

Blueshoe · 27-03-2020 06:50PM

It's like compounding interest. 7 days ago we had 683 cases now we have 2,121. Where will we be in 35 days.

Also today's numbers are actually Wednesday's numbers

stephenjmcd · 27-03-2020 06:50PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

But as a poster is questioning above, is this the number actually in ICU on Wednesday, or the total since the start? Any stats on people released from ICU etc?

The totals they give are from the start so you would imagine thats since the start. There was a media report at the start of the week of a person leaving ICU.

But who knows it could be the current.

SweetCaliber · 27-03-2020 06:51PM

302 Confirmed cases today, thats a 17% Increase. 3 New Deaths bringing the death total to 22.

For charts:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IMavHMFAT59NaRmSJxfHIVxAhiT46CmzL0tj0Esqalc/

Wibbs · 27-03-2020 06:51PM

iwillyeah1234 wrote: »

from the "you couldn't make it up" department

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8160611/Christian-pastor-said-coronavirus-media-mass-hysteria-dies-virus-holy-trip.html

"Christian pastor who said coronavirus pandemic is 'mass hysteria' dies from the virus after ministry trip to New Orleans"

He already had bronchitis and pneumonia and then got Covid. The dumb was strong in that one. Note too not a thin man. "Robust" American sized. In the UK it's already been noted that a majority of patients in ICU were overweight to obese to morbidly obese and almost none were underweight. Now being obese raises the risks of co-morbidities so it may not be a direct connection, plus people in the west tend to get fatter with age. I did notice in the shots of the Italian wards a lot of chunky men. Maybe having abdominal fat impedes breathing? Might explain why fewer women die as they tend to put fat on in the hips and thighs? Though Asians tend to be much slimmer overall so maybe not.

Hamsterchops wrote: »

Covid ID

Why is he saying that?

He's a bloody eejit at the best of times, so...

Wibbs · 27-03-2020 06:52PM

SweetCaliber wrote: »

302 Confirmed cases today, thats a 17% Increase. 3 New Deaths bringing the death total to 22.

Thanks for these charts SC. Even for me who has the congenital dumb when it comes to numeracy these make for great illustrations.

branie2 · 27-03-2020 06:53PM

RIP to the three people who died

Banner2theend · 27-03-2020 06:54PM

redarmy wrote: »

Fergal Bowers
@FergalBowers
·
2m
It has been announced that the daily National Public Health Emergency Team (NPHET) Press Conference will not take place today.

Possibility and a possibility is just that this evening of further restrictions could be announced this evening, which is why the daily NPHET presser won't take place this evening. If true then I suspect we might see the Taoiseach and Tanaiste plus Dr Holohan among others making a statement tonight.

One journalist Richard Chambers is describing the situation as "fluid" at DOH HQ this evening.

Follow Fergal Bowers of RTE on twitter along with Susan Mitchell of the Business Post. They are the best at sourcing information and are really good at their jobs.

stephenjmcd · 27-03-2020 06:54PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

This staggered release of figures isn't helping. 59 in ICU on Wednesday, a lot of can change in 48 hours. We need up to date information, instead a drip feed by the government so that Leo can reposition himself accordingly. Almost strikes me as a selective PR exercise, and I say this as a person who has been largely impressed by handling of crisis.

Those numbers are nothing to do with leo. The health protection surveillance centre that provides the numbers to department of health is an off spring of the HSE.

ChikiChiki · 27-03-2020 06:54PM

They have released the case numbers. What is the 8.45 press conference going to address so?

Or is there still one?

foxyladyxx · 27-03-2020 06:54PM

stephenjmcd wrote: »

The totals they give are from the start so you would imagine thats since the start. There was a media report at the start of the week of a person leaving ICU.

But who knows it could be the current.

That doesn't make sense. So with every death potentially another ICU bed is freed up?

jam_mac_jam · 27-03-2020 06:54PM

gormdubhgorm wrote: »

I'm not being smart, but did the Italian culture of greeting males and females with a hug and a kiss go against it? We are way more stand off-ish here for example.

China?

Do they hug and kiss there?

It's a very contagious disease. People need to face facts and stop kidding themselves

josip · 27-03-2020 06:54PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

I mentioned this here last night and someone disagreed. I'm 90% sure it's since the beginning.

I understand it's the total number admitted to ICU since Covid 19 started.
Deaths should probably be subtracted from that to get a more accurate number for those currently in ICU.
There are probably not so many recoveries to be subtracted.
On the other hand, you also have non-Covid 19 patients in ICU which are not included in the figures.

27-03-2020 06:54PM

Strazdas wrote: »

302 new cases is definitely encouraging.....still well behind the predicted curve

These new cases are people who were tested 7 days ago.!

Its behind the curve because its old data.

Don't get complacent, this will be exponential.

iwillyeah1234 · 27-03-2020 06:54PM

yet another potential Darwin Award

https://nypost.com/2020/03/26/21-year-old-who-posted-about-not-social-distancing-gets-coronavirus/

Tennessee woman gets coronavirus after bragging about not social distancing

A 21-year-old Tennessee woman who bragged on social media about not taking the coronavirus outbreak seriously has been diagnosed with the deadly illness, according to a report.

Ireland Tate joked about not following instructions to stay home and practice social distancing amid the pandemic just days before she fell sick, news station WZTV reported.

In a social media video, the Nashville resident told her followers that she’s “aware that we’re supposed to be self-quarantining and social distancing” to “keep everyone safe” — but that she wasn’t worried.

“Cool. I get it. I just don’t think that I’m going to get the virus,” Tate said in the video.

But just days later, Tate found herself suffering from symptoms associated with the dangerous bug and tested positive.

Valhallapt · 27-03-2020 06:54PM

josip wrote: »

59 in ICU as of midnight Wednesday means we are on track to reach
the original 260-bed ICU capacity on the 1st of April and
an increased 500-bed ICU capacity on the 4th of April.

5th of April will see a big upswing in deaths

BanditLuke · 27-03-2020 06:55PM

I just don't see any positive news coming out of Italy. Nearly 1000 deaths in a day is beyond cruel and if anything the situation there is getting worse.

The sight of Russian military personnel vehicles rolling down their streets with aid was frankly as bizarre as it was frightening.

27-03-2020 06:55PM

Sir Oxman wrote: »

Surely there would be no point in that?
Current occupancy is the crucial figure.

This was the report a few days ago, to me it confirms that the icu numbers are the total numbers who have needed icu not the number currently there now.

. Over 305 cases - 26% - have been hospitalised so far.

Of those hospitalised cases, 39 have been admitted to ICU.

josip wrote: »

59 Covid 19 in total admitted to ICU as of midnight Wednesday means we are on track to reach
the original 260-bed ICU capacity on the 1st of April and
an increased 500-bed ICU capacity on the 4th of April.

Except it’s not 59 in icu its 59 who have been in icu at some point since the outbreak started.

dastardly00 · 27-03-2020 06:55PM

AmberGold wrote: »

Got my 12 year old son Grand Theft Auto (looking for it for years), he’s betting on horses, playing roulette and now owns a night club. Haven’t seen him come out of his room in two weeks

A night club?
More like a strip club

stephenjmcd · 27-03-2020 06:55PM

foxyladyxx wrote: »

That doesn't make sense. So with every death potentially another ICU bed is freed up?

Well yes as awful as it is to say.
They haven't said if it's the total or the current. So it's open to interpretation given its within the totals from the start.

Probably something that needs to be asked during a press conference

fullstop · 27-03-2020 06:55PM

Away With The Fairies wrote: »

It's not encouraging. They aren't testing enough.

You know 94% of tests up to a couple of days ago were negative, right? Which would suggest that they are.

Coyote · 27-03-2020 06:56PM

Number updated to match today's report
I have added a chart to the lockdown that i'm working for the curve
remember the 500 ICU beds a lot of them are in use already just not for Covid19

No Change in number

Slow Change

Big Drop in numbers

again with all of this i'm just trying to show people the 14 day delay in an change in how we deal with this
if you wait till we are overloaded it's too late
everyone has to make up there own mind but at least look at the maths

3 weeks no change 44K
3 weeks slow change 29K
3 weeks big drop 9K

1 month no change 151K
1 month slow change 56K
1 month big drop 11K

intresting visualization of covid
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/

you need to decide what you do today to affect 3 weeks from now

pjohnson · 27-03-2020 06:56PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

This staggered release of figures isn't helping. 59 in ICU on Wednesday, a lot can change in 48 hours. We need up to date information, instead of a drip feed by the government so that Leo can reposition himself accordingly. Almost strikes me as a selective PR exercise, and I say this as a person who has been largely impressed by handling of crisis.

Its like they are trying to cover up something but theres nothing to cover up why are they fudging this no more than the ridiculously vague details they gave out?

Like 59 on Wednesay, well 13 have died since then but its highly unlikely theres only 46 in ICU now....so whats the point in 2 day old figures?

CoVid19 Part XI - 2,615 in ROI (46 deaths) 410 in NI (21 deaths)(29/03)*OP upd 28/03*

Comments

CoVid19 Part XI - 2,615 in ROI (46 deaths) 410 in NI (21 deaths)(29/03)OP upd 28/03