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CoVid19 Part XI - 2,615 in ROI (46 deaths) 410 in NI (21 deaths)(29/03)*OP upd 28/03*

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Comments

  • Posts: 18,046 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It's the only data we have.

    No, it really isn't. We have a decent idea of asymptomatic and mild cases.

    This blatant disregard of reality has been a feature of these threads since the first iteration back in January.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 310 ✭✭HopsAndJumps


    No, it really isn't. We have a decent idea of asymptomatic and mild cases.

    This blatant disregard of reality has been a feature of these threads since the first iteration back in January.

    Present a graph with the Y access labeled decent idea on the next report you make for work. See how that blatant reality goes down. 😂


  • Posts: 18,046 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Present a graph with the Y access labeled decent idea on the next report you make for work. See how that blatant reality goes down. ��

    I would call it "estimated total cases", as will many others in the coming years, and it would be a lot more valuable than claiming that every person who got the virus were found and tested.

    Who do you think would fare better in giving a presentation? You with your nonsense, or me with my estimates?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15 Itsalladdingup


    When all’s said and done, I think the only stat that we can draw anything from is the number of deaths (to gauge how we’re coping). In my opinion, everything else is meaningless. I guess in time, as the virus takes real hold, the number of recoveries will also be a good figure to see how we have dealt with the crisis here. It’s an awful time to be vulnerable and/or old here - but then I think it’s pretty much the same, possibly with a few exceptions, everywhere. Some countries have undoubtedly better health care services (absolutely no reflection on our great doctors and nurses) I’ve had reason to be in hospital with a relative on and off over the last year and have been struck by how the system is creaking ordinarily. Very worrying now.

    There’s not going to be many places that cope well. We’ll learn (hopefully!) from the places that do as something like this will happen again in years to come. We’re probably fortunate that it doesn’t just kill every single person in its path.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,333 ✭✭✭deise08


    Working for a major retailer.

    Been reading these threads since the word go.

    6 weeks ago I was laughed at for asking for sanitiser to be provided.

    Telling people to buy a few extra things gradually so as not to be bulk buying/panic buying. Laughed at.

    We have flexi contracts, so not set hours. Shifts can be anything for all workers.
    I.e 5-2 8-4 10-6 2-10

    Last week I suggested shifts to limit how many need isolating in case of infection instead of overlapping shifts. Laughed at.

    Told I'm scared because customers are wearing masks now.

    Anything I've been saying in the past is shockingly new to them now.


    Because we work with the public, and a lot of elderly customers, I really think we should be tested regularly. Possibly bi weekly.
    We've the most chance of being the carriers/spreaders. We are 'essential' so cannot not work.

    In fact anybody working with the public should be tested weekly/bi weekly.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 310 ✭✭HopsAndJumps


    I would call it "estimated total cases", as will many others in the coming years, and it would be a lot more valuable than claiming that every person who got the virus were found and tested.

    Who do you think would fare better in giving a presentation? You with your nonsense, or me with my estimates?

    That's not the claim.

    And yes in the future it can be estimated well when there is more data, now it's a guess.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,061 ✭✭✭otnomart


    marilynrr wrote: »
    We have been testing people even showing the mildest of symptoms. Most didn't have it.
    Have Italy been testing people showing the mildest of symptoms?
    Have they even been testing anyone at all since the lockdown started unless they become extremely unwell and have to go to the hospital.
    I would imagine that the real Italian figures for people who had it is absolutely crazy and multiples of their official confirmed cases.


    Italy has now done over 360 000 tests.
    Over 36 000 tests only yesterday, which discovered the 6 100 new positive cases.

    https://lab24.ilsole24ore.com/coronavirus/#box_6


    This chart which is from a week ago shows Italy's tests second to South Korea and ahead of the US.


    LudDzG99?format=png&name=small


  • Posts: 18,046 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    That's not the claim.

    And yes in the future it can be estimated well when there is more data, now it's a guess.

    There are hundreds of thousands of cases. There is more than enough data to make educated estimates. Not doing so is absurd. Claiming 20% of people end up in hospital is absurd.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 310 ✭✭HopsAndJumps


    There are hundreds of thousands of cases. There is more than enough data to make educated estimates. Not doing so is absurd. Claiming 20% of people end up in hospital is absurd.

    Argue with the absurd data from the who if you want.

    5% critical
    14% serious disease (requiring hospitalization and O2.)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 719 ✭✭✭Pablo Escobar


    Argue with the absurd data from the who if you want.

    5% critical
    14% serious disease (requiring hospitalization and O2.)

    I don't think anyone is arguing with the data. Just that the metrics are sort of meaningless to an extent. What it tells us is that out of the people that deem themselves sick enough to present, 19% require hospitalisation. You can extrapolate from that that as resources get squeezed, that number goes up. And by the same token, the real number of cases requiring hospitalisation is probably significantly below 19%.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 312 ✭✭73bc61lyohr0mu


    I'm a courier. Our company got told that Next and River Island are shutting their online stores. That's another driver gone for us. The lad who's probably going to be let go has kids and is paying hefty rent. It's just me with no bills and cheap rent. I'm gonna suggest to the boss to let me go instead and keep the other guy on. I don't want to stop working but I don't want to see anyone stuck, especially with a small family. Opinions?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,148 ✭✭✭conor05


    I'm a courier. Our company got told that Next and River Island are shutting their online stores. That's another driver gone for us. The lad who's probably going to be let go has kids and is paying hefty rent. It's just me with no bills and cheap rent. I'm gonna suggest to the boss to let me go instead and keep the other guy on. I don't want to stop working but I don't want to see anyone stuck, especially with a small family. Opinions?

    It is up to yourself obviously and it is a very kind gesture but it’s a dog eat dog world out there.

    As a man says look after number 1 first and foremost.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,854 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    deise08 wrote: »
    Working for a major retailer.

    Been reading these threads since the word go.

    6 weeks ago I was laughed at for asking for sanitiser to be provided.

    Telling people to buy a few extra things gradually so as not to be bulk buying/panic buying. Laughed at.

    We have flexi contracts, so not set hours. Shifts can be anything for all workers.
    I.e 5-2 8-4 10-6 2-10

    Last week I suggested shifts to limit how many need isolating in case of infection instead of overlapping shifts. Laughed at.

    Leave that job as soon as you get a chance. They're cunts.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,223 ✭✭✭gifted


    I'm a courier. Our company got told that Next and River Island are shutting their online stores. That's another driver gone for us. The lad who's probably going to be let go has kids and is paying hefty rent. It's just me with no bills and cheap rent. I'm gonna suggest to the boss to let me go instead and keep the other guy on. I don't want to stop working but I don't want to see anyone stuck, especially with a small family. Opinions?

    You keep working away there. Acting the hero may sound noble and all that but you can't go through life thinking like that. Anything could happen to you in the next few weeks where you need money, you don't know. You may not need money now but you may need it in the future.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,886 ✭✭✭✭Roger_007


    One of the things they did in China at an early stage of the outbreak was to shut down public transport. Why has that not been even mentioned here. It’s such an obvious means of spreading the virus. There is no possibility of maintaining any distance from other people. Everyone should be encouraged to cycle, walk or use their cars instead.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,645 ✭✭✭RollieFingers


    I'm a courier. Our company got told that Next and River Island are shutting their online stores. That's another driver gone for us. The lad who's probably going to be let go has kids and is paying hefty rent. It's just me with no bills and cheap rent. I'm gonna suggest to the boss to let me go instead and keep the other guy on. I don't want to stop working but I don't want to see anyone stuck, especially with a small family. Opinions?

    I wouldn't be giving up my job for another colleague just because he has high rent and a family, he's not your responsibility.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,645 ✭✭✭RollieFingers


    Roger_007 wrote: »
    One of the things they did in China at an early stage of the outbreak was to shut down public transport. Why has that not been even mentioned here. It’s such an obvious means of spreading the virus. There is no possibility of maintaining any distance from other people. Everyone should be encouraged to cycle, walk or use their cars instead.

    I'm currently on a bus into the city centre from the Southside, there's 3 people on it including me, they've been practically empty all week.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 624 ✭✭✭beolight


    spookwoman wrote: »
    Red eyes is interesting, a nurse in Italy thinks that may be one of the symptoms as well.


    Red eye described here also
    https://www.google.ie/amp/s/www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/coronavirus-us-cases-washington-state-red-eyes-symptoms-hospital-nurses-a9422086.html%3famp


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,123 ✭✭✭Ellie2008


    deise08 wrote: »
    Working for a major retailer.

    Been reading these threads since the word go.

    6 weeks ago I was laughed at for asking for sanitiser to be provided.

    Telling people to buy a few extra things gradually so as not to be bulk buying/panic buying. Laughed at.

    We have flexi contracts, so not set hours. Shifts can be anything for all workers.
    I.e 5-2 8-4 10-6 2-10

    Last week I suggested shifts to limit how many need isolating in case of infection instead of overlapping shifts. Laughed at.

    Told I'm scared because customers are wearing masks now.

    Anything I've been saying in the past is shockingly new to them now.


    Because we work with the public, and a lot of elderly customers, I really think we should be tested regularly. Possibly bi weekly.
    We've the most chance of being the carriers/spreaders. We are 'essential' so cannot not work.

    In fact anybody working with the public should be tested weekly/bi weekly.

    Have they taken any steps at all? Social distancing, no cash, encourage contactless?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,144 ✭✭✭amadangomor


    cnocbui wrote: »
    Viruses don't have an interest, they have no motive and no mind, it's a ridiculous way of looking at it.


    Never said it has a mind but life form's are motivated to pass on their genetic material.

    It is in their interest to pass on their genetic material and will evolve better strategies to do so. Can do this without a mind. It's well established science since Darwin ffs.

    Read the selfish gene by Richard Dawkins.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 962 ✭✭✭darjeeling


    :(

    I really thought, that a month in with a population a quarter that of N Italy, our numbers would be lower than theirs.(Italy's)

    Especially, as I pointed out, our population is just a fraction of theirs.

    I thought it didn't bode well for us. I am on my own in this.


    To be grim about it, it's not the number of cases that tell you how big the epidemic is, it's the number of deaths.

    Cases mostly just tell you how much testing is being done. The more you test, the more you find.
    We're still testing quite a lot of the people with symptoms.
    Italy can only test people sick enough to go to hospital. One recent paper estimated the Italian epidemic at 20x the recorded cases.

    Ireland today has seen the same number of deaths per million as Italy did 19 days ago.
    We took social distancing measures about a week after Italy.
    Had we waited another two weeks, I think we could well have been set for a similar epidemic to Italy, but the early action taken here means we should have averted that fate.

    In the UK, which acted a few days after us, experts advising the government expect the epidemic to peak in three weeks.
    Italy should peak sooner - maybe in a week.

    My guess is we peak in 2-3 weeks.
    But then what do we do?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,333 ✭✭✭deise08


    Ellie2008 wrote: »
    Have they taken any steps at all? Social distancing, no cash, encourage contactless?

    They got a 3ft x 4ft plexi screen put in this week at the checkouts. Where the actual scanner is, where customers never stand. It's a start.
    Yeah the markers are now on the floor at the checkouts.

    No change with payments.

    Buckets of sanitiser with a roll of cloths inside on entry.

    Tables spaced out recently in the staff area.
    I bring in my own cup and wipe down table after use.

    Other people's hygiene and cleaning standards leave a lot to be desired. So I can only count on my actions with cleaning.

    Shared checkouts, shared computer, shared hand held equipment etc
    Conscious even down to a pen. ( not regularly used but buying rather than borrowing just to write a signature.)

    I clean everything before I start to use it, and after and encourage others to too.
    Maybe I'm over conscious.


  • Site Banned Posts: 27 Peruvian Flake


    Another 8 weeks with no pints, at the minimum.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭uptherebels


    Roger_007 wrote: »
    One of the things they did in China at an early stage of the outbreak was to shut down public transport. Why has that not been even mentioned here. It’s such an obvious means of spreading the virus. There is no possibility of maintaining any distance from other people. Everyone should be encouraged to cycle, walk or use their cars instead.

    Because alot of the staff in our hospitals and food shops etc need it to get to work. I'm still getting the bus to work as my place of work hasn't closed and there are maybe 4 of us on a double decker. I don't have a car or bike and it is too far to walk.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 63 ✭✭Jayzee.


    Another 8 weeks with no pints, at the minimum.

    Jaysus be a lot longer than that I'd say


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,564 ✭✭✭✭whiskeyman


    I heard last night that the deaths attributed to COVID19 were of people who had tested positive and since died.

    As the numbers increase, we may well get patients being admitted to ICU who didn't get tested (due to high waiting or other reason) who then also die.

    Are these deaths going to be linked as official as they won't have been tested?

    Are we going to actually see a less death toll than what could be the actual?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 867 ✭✭✭voluntary


    deise08 wrote: »
    They got a 3ft x 4ft plexi screen put in this week at the checkouts. Where the actual scanner is, where customers never stand.

    LIDL is ridiculous in that matter. They proudly informed customers about the measures they have taken, the plexi shields they put in place. Went to one last week and was laughing together with the poor powerless cashiers.

    If you ever been to LIDL, you know where the packing area for goods is and where the payment terminal is. It's kind of on the side.
    Now, the plexi screens are directly in front of the cashier and are really narrow. They didn't put the plexi between customers and the cashier. I think they put it for the sake of having it there. Useless.

    They also have not provided it's retail staff with face masks. It's kind of ridiculous again, as they hired a lad who tells people in the queues to stay apart, most customers I've seen wear masks, but this poor lad helping people had no masks. The cashier actually asked me where did I buy my mask as she couldn't get one!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,123 ✭✭✭Ellie2008


    deise08 wrote: »
    They got a 3ft x 4ft plexi screen put in this week at the checkouts. Where the actual scanner is, where customers never stand. It's a start.
    Yeah the markers are now on the floor at the checkouts.

    No change with payments.

    Buckets of sanitiser with a roll of cloths inside on entry.

    Tables spaced out recently in the staff area.
    I bring in my own cup and wipe down table after use.

    Other people's hygiene and cleaning standards leave a lot to be desired. So I can only count on my actions with cleaning.

    Shared checkouts, shared computer, shared hand held equipment etc
    Conscious even down to a pen. ( not regularly used but buying rather than borrowing just to write a signature.)

    I clean everything before I start to use it, and after and encourage others to too.
    Maybe I'm over conscious.

    No such thing as being over conscious in this environment. I’d bring up the point about payments - encouraging people to use contactless cards & their phones. Not fair on staff.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 63 ✭✭Jayzee.


    voluntary wrote: »
    LIDL is ridiculous in that matter. They proudly informed customers about the measures they have taken, the plexi shields they put in place. Went to one last week and was laughing together with the poor powerless cashiers.

    If you ever been to LIDL, you know where the packing area for goods is and where the payment terminal is. It's kind of on the side.
    Now, the plexi screens are directly in front of the cashier and are really narrow. They didn't put the plexi between customers and the cashier. I think they put it for the sake of having it there. Useless.

    They also have not provided it's retail staff with face masks. It's kind of ridiculous again, as they hired a lad who tells people in the queues to stay apart, most customers I've seen wear masks, but this poor lad helping people had no masks. The cashier actually asked me where did I buy my mask as she couldn't get one!

    There is a lot of window dressing going on in relation to coronavirus

    To be expected with business


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 63 ✭✭Jayzee.


    I need a break from all the fake stats and news


This discussion has been closed.
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