CoVid19 Part XI - 2,615 in ROI (46 deaths) 410 in NI (21 deaths)(29/03)OP upd 28/03

gabeeg · 26-03-2020 01:16PM

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

I might be the only one but I certainly think we are moving in the right direction. Social distancing seems to be proving its point. We are gonna be way under the 15,000 mark come the end of March. There’s been no huge increase in day to day cases for the last 3 or 4 days..

Well if you're happy with our testing to date, good for you.

Enjoy it. I wish I could join you.

Beasty · 26-03-2020 01:17PM

pjohnson wrote: »

Beasty having a singsong with himself. XI is a thread too far :pac:

I've been sitting here all day thinking
Same old thing ten years away thinking
Now my days are gone, memories linger on
Thoughts of when I was boy....

Grandad, grandad you're lovely
That's what we all think of you
Grandad, grandad you're lovely
That's what we all think of you
Grandad grandad

Snow Garden · 26-03-2020 01:17PM

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

I might be the only one but I certainly think we are moving in the right direction. Social distancing seems to be proving its point. We are gonna be way under the 15,000 mark come the end of March. There’s been no huge increase in day to day cases for the last 3 or 4 days..

I still feel the numbers will be 'old' for quite some time.

I know one guy that got Covid19 and has fully recovered (had all the symptoms).
He still has not been tested. He first rang his GP on 9th March.

jamesf85 · 26-03-2020 01:17PM

dickdonk14 wrote: »

62 day until my summer holiday on the costa del sol can't wait I'm so excited &#55357;&#56838;

Rest assured Spain will be accepting visitors and airlines will be flying by then.

Cork Boy 53 · 26-03-2020 01:18PM

pc7 wrote: »

Jesus can't believe how the threads are moving so fast, I think I read all of 1-3.5 and then just couldn't keep up! Now I just dip in and out, think I'm corona weary.

Boards version of exponential growth. As a matter of interest what topic holds the record for most threads/posts on this site? The 2008 financial collapse must be there or thereabouts.

Kermit.de.frog · 26-03-2020 01:18PM

fritzelly wrote: »

President Xi approves of this thread

I'm told by the politburo in Beijing that the thread title displeases him.

I agree. It could have been more creative, wholesome in it's praise, but also witty.

It is none of these things.

iguana · 26-03-2020 01:19PM

Beasty wrote: »

not one of those beetles?

There is a beetle painted just like Herbie in Limerick. I often see it parked at the Crescent Shopping Centre so the owner may work there. My seven year old can't understand why I care about it.

All in all · 26-03-2020 01:20PM

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

I might be the only one but I certainly think we are moving in the right direction. Social distancing seems to be proving its point. We are gonna be way under the 15,000 mark come the end of March. There’s been no huge increase in day to day cases for the last 3 or 4 days..

We aren’t doing sufficient testing to get 15,000 cases, that is the only think we can say definitively. Our numbers will remain pretty similar each day until there is a large increase in testing or the % getting a positive result increase significantly.

jamesf85 · 26-03-2020 01:20PM

Snow Garden wrote: »

I still feel the numbers will be 'old' for quite some time.

I know one guy that got Covid19 and has fully recovered (had all the symptoms).
He still has not been tested. He first rang his GP on 9th March.

I had the same. A friend of mine was away, contracted it and got home and isolated himself. Tested positive subsequently and his wife (who he continued to share a bed with) and children showed no symptoms and tested negative.

A lot of people don't seem to contract it despite being completely exposed to it.

CIARAN_BOYLE · 26-03-2020 01:20PM

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

I might be the only one but I certainly think we are moving in the right direction. Social distancing seems to be proving its point. We are gonna be way under the 15,000 mark come the end of March. There’s been no huge increase in day to day cases for the last 3 or 4 days..

There should be a big increase tonight or tomorrow night as the government decision to tighten the criteria for community testing has an effect.

It shouldn't been seen as a condemnation or what we are doing just as a sign of improved detection.

Cork Boy 53 · 26-03-2020 01:20PM

jamesf85 wrote: »

Rest assured Spain will be accepting visitors and airlines will be flying by then.

I take it you are being sarcastic.

Professor Moriarty · 26-03-2020 01:21PM

Lavinia wrote: »

I presume re immunity its going to be same as any other flu. you do not get immune to any flu if you had it, maybe get slightly more resistant but it means nothing if your immune system gets low you can get it again no probs

me personally never got any vaccine either for anything

Initial research indicates that the Covid-19 does not mutate as much as influenza. Which would be very good news.

Quantum Erasure · 26-03-2020 01:21PM

Cork Boy 53 wrote: »

Boards version of exponential growth. As a matter of interest what topic holds the record for most threads/posts on this site? The 2008 financial collapse must be there or thereabouts.

Let's count to a million

26-03-2020 01:21PM

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

I might be the only one but I certainly think we are moving in the right direction. Social distancing seems to be proving its point. We are gonna be way under the 15,000 mark come the end of March. There’s been no huge increase in day to day cases for the last 3 or 4 days..

I would also agree that there is reason to be optimistic regarding the extent to which transmission has been slowed. I though the most positive indication was that contact tracing for new cases is showing that contacts per case is way down in the single digits.

Test results however seem pretty meaningless at the moment. You simply have to assume there is a high multiple of the confirmed positive cases are out there.

That's not the issue though. The figure I would be most concerned about is how many are hospitalised and how many require ICU care. I think the next 10 days to 2 weeks will tell a lot. Now is the time to double down on restricting person to person contact. It does work to slow the spread.

sterz · 26-03-2020 01:21PM

Snow Garden wrote: »

I still feel the numbers will be 'old' for quite some time.

I know one guy that got Covid19 and has fully recovered (had all the symptoms).
He still has not been tested. He first rang his GP on 9th March.

So you know he had it even though he wasn't tested?

wakka12 · 26-03-2020 01:22PM

New York city on trajectory to be the worst affected urban area on the planet, now surpassing Madrid and Lombardia, with deaths doubling every 36 hours
https://www.reddit.com/r/China_Flu/comments/fp9u85/new_york_the_worst_trajectory_in_the_world_now/

yourdeadwright · 26-03-2020 01:22PM

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

I might be the only one but I certainly think we are moving in the right direction. Social distancing seems to be proving its point. We are gonna be way under the 15,000 mark come the end of March. There’s been no huge increase in day to day cases for the last 3 or 4 days..

I do wonder was the number of 15000 ever realistic or was it a number the government knew we wouldn't hit and thus make them look like there doing good but more importantly make the public not go into panic mode as "we are below where we should be "

Or on the other hand has closing schools and social distaining could be just worked wonders ,

IQO · 26-03-2020 01:23PM

Not sure if this was posted before

https://twitter.com/Frontex/status/1243117786047619073

EUBw-riXQAIYTZA?format=jpg&name=large

jamesf85 · 26-03-2020 01:23PM

Cork Boy 53 wrote: »

I take it you are being sarcastic.

The Spanish economy won't last another 2 months of complete lockdown. Not only will their health servicefail, but the ar*e will fall out of their entire economy.

Same for airlines, none of them will be in business if this continues for 2 more months

pc7 · 26-03-2020 01:23PM

ecoli3136 wrote: »

That's not the issue though. The figure I would be most concerned about is how many are hospitalised and how many require ICU care. I think the next 10 days to 2 weeks will tell a lot. Now is the time to double down on restricting person to person contact. It does work to slow the spread.

Plus one, that's the one to watch, it doesn't matter if someone has light symptoms and is isolating, its when your lungs are water and you need a bed and help is the one that is key.

otnomart · 26-03-2020 01:23PM

Nextstrain is visualising data from the GISAID Initiative - the international sharing of virus sequences https://www.gisaid.org/
Today, one more sequence from Ireland has been posted in Nextstrain, for a total of 5 sequences: 3 from Limerick, one from Dublin, one from Cork
https://nextstrain.org/ncov?f_country=Ireland

Boggles · 26-03-2020 01:24PM

dickdonk14 wrote: »

62 day until my summer holiday on the costa del sol can't wait I'm so excited &#55357;&#56838;

You'd want to start walking now.

Professor Moriarty · 26-03-2020 01:25PM

IQO wrote: »

Not sure if this was posted before

https://twitter.com/Frontex/status/1243117786047619073

I'll be giving Lithuania a skip.

10000maniacs · 26-03-2020 01:25PM

Darwinism coming to the fore again.

https://metro.co.uk/2020/03/24/doctor-warns-innocent-people-will-die-coronavirus-challenge__trashed-12450472/

dickdonk14 · 26-03-2020 01:26PM

jamesf85 wrote: »

Rest assured Spain will be accepting visitors and airlines will be flying by then.

I hope not

Snow Garden · 26-03-2020 01:26PM

sterz wrote: »

So you know he had it even though he wasn't tested?

Yes. I am 99.9% positive having known the guy for years. Very fit/healthy, never overreacts/complains, teak tough but was floored by it.
All the symptoms including the dog barking cough. His GP thought so too and apologised loads for the testing delays.

Quantum Erasure · 26-03-2020 01:26PM

Professor Moriarty wrote: »

Initial research indicates that the Covid-19 does not mutate as much as influenza. Which would be very good news.

Seen a bit on BBC News, said it is very good at replicating itself, which also means mutations don't happen as often, or they're only small changes,

Kermit.de.frog · 26-03-2020 01:27PM

Egyptian authorities have forced a Guardian journalist to leave the country after she reported on a scientific study that said Egypt was likely to have many more coronavirus cases than have been officially confirmed

There are only 453 cases in Egypt and 25 deaths.

Honest.

Antares35 · 26-03-2020 01:29PM

10000maniacs wrote: »

Darwinism coming to the fore again.

https://metro.co.uk/2020/03/24/doctor-warns-innocent-people-will-die-coronavirus-challenge__trashed-12450472/

No problem with people doing this, provided they are willing to sacrifice their ICU bed for someone who isnt a f*cking neanderthal moron like they are. Why should people who deliberately engage in this kind of behaviour be afforded any kind of medical hep if needed. Keep the resources for those of us who are compliant.

quokula · 26-03-2020 01:30PM

Snow Garden wrote: »

Yes. I am 99.9% positive having known the guy for years. Very fit/healthy, never overreacts/complains, teak tough but was floored by it.
All the symptoms including the dog barking cough. His GP thought so too and apologised loads for the testing delays.

The best statistic we have right now is that 94% of people who thought they had it didn't actually have it.

He might be in the 6%, but fit people get sick with cold and flu sometimes too under normal circumstances.

CoVid19 Part XI - 2,615 in ROI (46 deaths) 410 in NI (21 deaths)(29/03)*OP upd 28/03*

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CoVid19 Part XI - 2,615 in ROI (46 deaths) 410 in NI (21 deaths)(29/03)OP upd 28/03