Advertisement
Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/.
https://www.boards.ie/group/1878-subscribers-forum

Private Group for paid up members of Boards.ie. Join the club.
Hi all, please see this major site announcement: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058427594/boards-ie-2026

CoVid19 Part X - 1,564 cases ROI (9 deaths) 209 in NI (7 deaths) (25 March) *Read OP*

1308309311313314329

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 199 ✭✭Maestro85


    flynnlives wrote: »
    The gp's are the problem.

    Why did the numbers in A&E drop off miraculously last week?

    because gp's stopped referring everyone with a sore knee to the A&E's thats why.

    We dont have a trolley crisis in ireland we have a primary care crisis.


    A friend of mine, a nurse, did her thesis for an administration course on this very topic. It is so very true. She points it out a lot.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 739 ✭✭✭flynnlives


    I may be wrong and im open to correction but is the reason this went global because of the crusie ships?

    I seem to remember a lull in the media exposure to Wuhan and China suggesting that the spread had slowed. then a few days later i start to see stories about these cruise ships.

    Is it the case that chinese tourists went on cruises which in of themselves are petri dishes and spread it globally from there?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,427 ✭✭✭paul71


    flynnlives wrote: »
    Pubs hadnt closed yet.
    HSE and gov broadcasted to everyone to only go to A&E for critical issues.

    It will have an effect this week. I have once been in an A&E on a Friday evening with my brother who broke a collar bone playing football, its a bloody disgrace. Having spoke to my mother, a retired nurse afterwards she said it has always been the same.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,427 ✭✭✭paul71


    cjmc wrote: »
    Not related to Ireland, but NY send fcuked. I didn't realise the amount of cases there

    Subways, watch London next week.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 739 ✭✭✭flynnlives


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Could always bring in an emergency level based fee - here's a plaster and that's €500 (€499 for medical card holders) thank you and then the genuine cases free


    There is a fee but from my experience its not enforced and ends up in debt collectors.


  • Advertisement
  • Posts: 5,121 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    wakka12 wrote: »
    Diamond Princess is the best and really only truly representative sample study and has a mortality rate of 1.5%. South Korea which did the most testing in the world by far also records a mortality rate of 1.4%. It is much more likely to be around this figure than significantly lower

    Except the age profile was different to the average population


  • Posts: 1,824 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    wakka12 wrote: »
    Diamond Princess is best and only representative sample study and has a mortality rate of over 1%. South Korea which did the most testing in the world also records a mortality rate of over 1%
    Diamond Princess was full of old people. If you coop up a bunch of old people I would accept that the mortality rate could be 1%

    Since you claimed this is the best and most representative study, you must therefore now agree that the true mortality rate is vastly lower than 1%


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,870 ✭✭✭✭murpho999


    STB. wrote: »
    We are unique. Our health system is not up to the same standards as other countries due to generations of not fixing it. We knew about this pandemic well in advance.

    The HSE did not order enough in February of the basic PPE and Testing Equipment. The community testing regime has been abandoned as a result.

    The first batch of a 28m shipment was clearly dithered about, but is now due on Friday (according to the HSE PR manager) a full month into the pandemic here.

    247 healthcare staff have been infected, that's a large percentage of the medical staff to play russian roulette with. Its such an issue that they have taken to social media to get protective gear, because their employer has failed in their duties.

    And please don't try and trivialise this matter, This is not an amateur debating society.

    You're going on about ordering stuff in advance as if there's been loads of time.

    China only notified WHO on December 31st of unusual pneumonia cases and had it's first death on January 11.

    Europe or the world was not worried then.

    First death in Europe occurred in France on February 14th.

    Italy didn't report deaths until Febraury 22nd.

    The first case in Ireland was confirmed on February 29th.

    So where is all this time to prepare you are talking about?

    And even if the HSE went looking for PPE in February, what makes you think other countries weren't as well and they were in short supply?

    Also, Ireland's system of healthcare is behind other countries, I agree but it doesn't mean it's awful and also the care people get is second to none once they get a bed. It's not poor care but a poor system. But now it's fully ramped up in emergency mode for Covid-19 care.
    Go to an Aftrican country to find out what poor healthcare is.

    Considering the first case was here on Feb 29th and then Patrick's Day was cancelled early and scbools ordered closed on March 12th , I tink they've acted quite quickly and done well.
    Testing is not perfect but is ramping up and come a very long way in a couple of weeks.

    You're just putting everything Ireland does down for the sake of it whilst not being realistic.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    Except the age profile was different to the average population

    In South Korea?
    The average age passenger on the ship was 58, and 1/3 on board were workers.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,261 ✭✭✭krissovo


    Yawn, wake up OP. Its clear we are an island of hypochondriacs so an additional layer of being fecked up is good to stop the 19,000 hypochondriacs a day spoofing a test to prevent the real candidates getting a shot plus minimise the contact tracing.


  • Advertisement
  • Closed Accounts Posts: 14,980 ✭✭✭✭tuxy


    flynnlives wrote: »
    I may be wrong and im open to correction but is the reason this went global because of the crusie ships?

    I seem to remember a lull in the media exposure to Wuhan and China suggesting that the spread had slowed. then a few days later i start to see stories about these cruise ships.

    Is it the case that chinese tourists went on cruises which in of themselves are petri dishes and spread it globally from there?

    No, it went global because of how contagious it is and no one has immunity.

    Air travel accounts for far more travel than cruise ships.

    What was happening on the cruise ships was just an easier to observe representation of what was happening in communities all over the world.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    Diamond Princess was full of old people. If you coop up a bunch of old people I would accept that the mortality rate could be 1%

    Since you claimed this is the best and most represtantive study you must therefore now agree that the true mortality rate is vastly lower than 1%

    So just ignore the fact that South Korea also recorded a similar figure, the fact the two most representative samples we have arrived at a similar figure further proves the point
    Do you know anything about the ship occupants or just basing it on anecdotes that old people cruise ?
    1/3 were workforce age,1200 people ,of the 2400 passengers the average age was 58, so there was a large number of younger people on board


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,380 ✭✭✭STB.


    frillyleaf wrote: »
    Do you think the HSE tried but couldn’t get it on time? Or was it just left too late ?

    Too late. 247 infected Healthcare staff later.

    They claim they didn't order enough in February.

    The HSE Director of Communications responded when a plea from St James Hospital was retweeted by Today FM.

    Earlier this week several twitter accounts from other front line workers seeking PPE over Twitter were apparently temporarily frozen.

    507051.jpg
    murpho999 wrote: »
    Y
    Testing is not perfect but is ramping up and come a very long way in a couple of weeks.

    You're just putting everything Ireland does down for the sake of it whilst not being realistic.

    Cuckoo land. That's where you are.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,138 ✭✭✭Salary Negotiator


    How does one, who wants to be tested for something qualify themselves as to whether or not to be tested?

    They don’t, wanting a test for no reason is a waste of people’s time and resources.


    Don’t be a dick OP.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,817 ✭✭✭Raconteuse


    Are we an island of hypochondriacs? I think it's more just people having the fear they genuinely might have it, due to so much publicised about it being deceptively mild or even asymptomatic. They have to narrow it down, and research is taking place as we speak, to help do this.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Rob A. Bank


    wakka12 wrote: »
    Diamond Princess is best and only representative sample study and has a mortality rate of 1.5%. South Korea which did the most testing in the world also records a mortality rate of over 1.4%. It is much more likely to be around this figure than significantly lower

    The Diamond Princess still has 115 active unresolved cases... 15 (13%) of those are still in a 'serious or critical condition'.

    Sooo... It's to early to call the ship's mortality rate and it goes to show how long hospital beds may be needed for treating this damn virus.

    https://virusncov.com/covid-statistics/diamond-princess


  • Posts: 1,824 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    wakka12 wrote: »
    So just ignore the fact that South Korea also recorded a similar figure
    You said Diamond Princess was the most representative. I quoted the post above. I can quote it again if you like. So by your logic there is no need for me to examine South Korea stats or any others.
    Do you know anything about the ship occupants or just basing it on anecdotes that old people cruise ?
    1/3 were workforce age, of the 2700 passengers the average age was 58, so there was a large number of young people on board
    How many staff members died ?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 739 ✭✭✭flynnlives


    I think Ireland Germany and Switzerland have managed this crisis quite well.
    By and large messaging has been consistent, firm and supportive.
    There has been little confusion from gov and health officials.

    The populace in all countries have by and large played their part too.

    Weve had a hiccup in testing because they opened it up much too soon but they've quickly tightened it again.
    Our curve is steady.


    Contrast that to the UK and especially London. There is no testing outside hospitals.
    Watch what happens to London in the next week or so.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,111 ✭✭✭Christy42


    STB. wrote: »
    Amazing anecdote.

    The reason our infection numbers are not exponential, is because the testing regime has broken down.

    If you have a limited number of kits, you cannot test people. Those infected become invisible and are therefore not reflected in the numbers.

    Say for example you have 40,000 displaying symptoms (seems like a realistic number doesn't it). If you test none of that 40k at all, what will your rise in positive cases be tomorrow. Will it be zero ?

    What will it be in two weeks later given you have taken no action to test and isolate these people.

    We will see the people who present in a jocker in ICU, because they cannot breathe. But what about those that went back to work or spread it on to others ?

    Community transmission is 49% of the positive tests. Another 25% are healthcare workers.

    Not enough testing kits, not enough PPE gear.

    That some mess and we are at a starting point.

    Links?

    Isn't our testing numbers above most per capital? (Baring places that were but much earlier obviously).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,870 ✭✭✭✭murpho999


    STB. wrote: »
    Too late. 247 infected Healthcare staff later.

    They claim they didn't order enough in February.

    The HSE Director of Communications responded when a plea from St James Hospital was retweeted by Today FM.

    Earlier this week several twitter accounts from other front line workers seeking PPE over Twitter were apparently temporarily frozen.

    How do you know when stuff was ordered, from whom, lead times, availability etc?


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,592 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    How many staff members died ?

    How many required ICU - we'll probably not know for a long while if ever
    And after having been in ICU what are their long term health issues
    It's not all about how many died, lots will survive this but may have further complications putting more strain on the health services in the future.
    We know very little about how this will affect people in the future after recovering - those that already have underlying conditions may have worse conditions if they survive
    So many unanswered questions at the moment that we should not treat this as if it is just a bit worse than the flu.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,537 ✭✭✭ldy4mxonucwsq6


    Maestro85 wrote: »
    A friend of mine, a nurse, did her thesis for an administration course on this very topic. It is so very true. She points it out a lot.

    Primary care seems to consist mainly of either writing a prescription, or a referral or a letter for A&E.

    Obviously there are gps that are excellent too but was interesting to see the number on trolleys plummet.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    You said Diamond Princess was the most representative. I quoted the post above. I can quote it again if you like. So by your logic there is no need for me to examine South Korea stats or any others.


    How many staff members died ?

    How would it being the most representative sample mean it invalidates any other contributing evidence such as the South Korean stats? They are important too. Anyway if you have any valid opposing evidence that this coronavirus has a mortality rate 'vastly lower' than 1% then share it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,810 ✭✭✭maebee


    kilkenny31 wrote: »
    But the vast majority of people haven't been doing this. It's the same when we have a bad storm we always get excited about the 10 people out of 5 million who go for a swim. Its focusing on the negative.

    Apples and Oranges. It's not the same. Those 10 mad swimmers are endangering themselves and (unnecessarily) endangering the lives of the rescue crews who have to attend to them. Minuscule figures compared to the current situation. We have every reason to get excited about the foolish amongst us who take unnecessary risks, which affect the lives of hundreds, then thousands.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,870 ✭✭✭✭murpho999


    STB. wrote: »
    Cuckoo land. That's where you are.

    Well done, so just ignore facts that are put to you and come back with an insult and now verifiable evidence of what you are claimimg.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,822 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    New cases in China increase, all from abroad


    Mainland China reported an increase in new confirmed coronavirus cases, all of which involved travellers arriving from abroad, the National Health Commission said on Thursday.

    The commission said in a statement that a total of 67 new cases were reported as of end-Wednesday, up from 47 a day earlier, putting the total accumulated number of confirmed coronavirus cases to date at 81,285.

    The commission also reported a total of 3,287 deaths at the end of Wednesday, up 6 from the previous day.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2020/mar/26/coronavirus-live-news-update-world-lockdown-global-deaths-india-uk-us-australia-china-latest-updates



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,027 ✭✭✭lbj666


    STB. wrote: »
    Amazing anecdote.

    The reason our infection numbers are not exponential, is because the testing regime has broken down.

    If you have a limited number of kits, you cannot test people. Those infected become invisible and are therefore not reflected in the numbers.

    Say for example you have 40,000 displaying symptoms (seems like a realistic number doesn't it). If you test none of that 40k at all, what will your rise in positive cases be tomorrow. Will it be zero ?

    What will it be in two weeks later given you have taken no action to test and isolate these people.

    We will see the people who present in a jocker in ICU, because they cannot breathe. But what about those that went back to work or spread it on to others ?

    Community transmission is 49% of the positive tests. Another 25% are healthcare workers.

    Not enough testing kits, not enough PPE gear.

    That some mess and we are at a starting point.

    Testing everyone with one symptoms proved a waste of resources given the number of cases they found, it was in and around 6%. So safe to say of the 40,000 waiting for tests, 2,400 were positive but they dont no who, because everyone with a common cold rang the GP up and despite being enroute to one of the highest test rates per capita it was still taking 5-10 days to find the positives and get the contact tracing which is the key to the whole thing.

    Community transmission are down from 20 per person to 6 and will improve further.

    Remember the 40,000 with symptoms have been told all along to isolate for 2 week regardless of getting their test of not.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,261 ✭✭✭krissovo


    Raconteuse wrote: »
    Are we an island of hypochondriacs? I think it's more just people having the fear they genuinely might have it, due to so much publicised about it being deceptively mild or even asymptomatic. They have to narrow it down, and research is taking place as we speak, to help do this.

    Of course, I will admit I am one of them now as I am in the global sweet spot for age and underlying medical conditions :) Runny poo on Sunday....Covid 19, Son puked on Monday...Covid 19, I coughed on a conference call...covid 19

    However I know not to clog up the health system because I am a rashional human. My wife given the choice would call the GP 8 times a day.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 10,715 ✭✭✭✭con747


    The Op has a habit of stirring the sh*t. Check the history of his posts.

    Don't expect anything from life, just be grateful to be alive.

    Help Keep Boards.ie Alive sign up here

    https://subscriptions.boards.ie/ Keep Boards Subscribed To.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,380 ✭✭✭STB.


    Christy42 wrote: »
    Links?

    Isn't our testing numbers above most per capital? (Baring places that were but much earlier obviously).


    Links to what Christy ? I'm sure you can use a search engine.

    That's not the way it works.

    WHO's advice is TEST TEST TEST. Isolate. Now do it again. You have to have testing kits though.

    40000 people at the community testing phase. Now abandoned despite showing symptoms. Why ? Ah sure we'll be ramping everything up when some of the medical gear arrives from China on Friday.
    lbj666 wrote: »
    Testing everyone with one symptoms proved a waste of resources given the number of cases they found, it was in and around 6%. So safe to say of the 40,000 waiting for tests, 2,400 were positive but they don't no who, because everyone with a common cold rang the GP up and despite being enroute to one of the highest test rates per capita it was still taking 5-10 days to find the positives and get the contact tracing which is the key to the whole thing.

    Community transmission are down from 20 per person to 6 and will improve further.

    Remember the 40,000 with symptoms have been told all along to isolate for 2 week regardless of getting their test of not.

    Community transmission accounts for 49% of positives. It has went UP.

    The 6% figure and that data is made up from the first round of tests when it wasn't at community level.

    You cannot guess that based upon previous tests, when you asked people were they in Italy whether that will foloow through a few weeks later when it has spread to communities, and you are doing community testing, where you ask people to only contact their doctor if they fit certain criteria, and then abandon it.

    You can't say they are all "hypochondriacs" and "wasters", so we will test no one who was referred by a GP. The end game is to stop and/or delay the spread of a highly contagious virus so that our hospitals do not become overwhelmed, like in other countries who have better facilities than us.


This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement