CoVid19 Part X - 1,564 cases ROI (9 deaths) 209 in NI (7 deaths) (25 March) Read OP

martingriff · 24-03-2020 08:55PM

walshb wrote: »

Anyone eating ouha those holes needs a good dose a Covid to bring em back down to earth..

They be having a dose alright!!!

hotmail.com · 24-03-2020 08:55PM

cloudatlas wrote: »

The U.K. lockdown is stricter than the Irish Lockdown.

U.k says you shouldn't see family outside those who you live with. Irish government says you can as long as its a meeting with a group of no more than 4 people.

U.K. has asked churches to close, Leo says you can still go to places of worship.

U.k. says you will be fined if you don't stay at home and go out for non essential travel. Ireland doesn't mention enforcement.

Neither are lockdowns.

irishlad. · 24-03-2020 08:56PM

20,000 people a day seeking a test over the past 10 days according to Dr. Tony.

Thats a huge number!

expectationlost · 24-03-2020 08:56PM

question at briefing suggesting that symptoms required for test is changed from fever or cough to fever_and_cough https://www.pscp.tv/rtenews/1vAxRBXVEoXxl

holohon admits that they had the symptoms for a test call too wide and was wider then the WHO asked for

Fever and at least one sign of respiratory problems, eg cough, shortness of breath https://twitter.com/ciananbrennan/status/1242556401924427779

stephenjmcd · 24-03-2020 08:56PM

The only thing that I'd be looking for them to release now as part of the update is recovered numbers.

I've not seen them anywhere. Would be interesting to know what that number is

An Ciarraioch · 24-03-2020 08:57PM

Digital dashboard launched with the daily county figures, age profiles, etc:

http://geohive.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/a192b58ba6904c1494f651706c223520

blackcard · 24-03-2020 08:57PM

Naggdefy wrote: »

18% increase.

It's big enough. Just because we're well below the 30% doesn't mean a whole lot. That was an overestimate. But we're still doubling every 5days or so and 34 in ICU.

It probably means that we carried out the same amount of tests as yesterday. If we had done more testing, we would have got more positive results. The fact that there was only one death (RIP) is a hopeful sign

blackcard · 24-03-2020 08:57PM

Naggdefy wrote: »

18% increase.

It's big enough. Just because we're well below the 30% doesn't mean a whole lot. That was an overestimate. But we're still doubling every 5days or so and 34 in ICU.

It probably means that we carried out the same amount of tests as yesterday. If we had done more testing, we would have got more positive results. The fact that there was only one death (RIP) is a hopeful sign

Deco99 · 24-03-2020 08:57PM

irishlad. wrote: »

20,000 people a day seeking a test over the past 10 days according to Dr. Tony.

Thats a huge number!

And he said majority of them don't have it so they are changing case definition

blackcard · 24-03-2020 08:57PM

Naggdefy wrote: »

18% increase.

It's big enough. Just because we're well below the 30% doesn't mean a whole lot. That was an overestimate. But we're still doubling every 5days or so and 34 in ICU.

It probably means that we carried out the same amount of tests as yesterday. If we had done more testing, we would have got more positive results. The fact that there was only one death (RIP) is a hopeful sign

caveat emptor · 24-03-2020 08:57PM

saabsaab wrote: »

Looking at this from a numbers view we probably have one in every 300 people with the virus now (most not tested or showing). This means that on average if you cross paths with 300 people in the day you are likely to contact one with the virus. More likely in Cities. Limit exposure by keeping away from people or where many people have recently been. Supermarkets must be avoided as much as possible and all care taken when you have to go.

Unfortunately cases manifest in clusters. It is not a uniform distribution. Most of the cases could be in one area and you rock up thinking you've got a 1 in 300 chance of contracting it. Epidemics don't work like that.

The probability is varies massively. There's a reason they say assume everyone has it.

martingriff · 24-03-2020 08:57PM

Deleted User wrote: »

And yet in a new poll Trump has just achieved the highest approval rating of his term.
People are strange.

Is that not all relative what was his previous best

24-03-2020 08:57PM

Beasty wrote: »

It's based on not much more than 2,000 daily tests. The increase is limited by virtue of the number of test results they can process. It looks like, at present, around 10% of those being tested are positive. If they get it up to 4,500 tests a day I would guess we may well be seeing something like 450 daily increases. The other thing that may influence the figures is as they start prioritising medical staff, but I'm not sure which way, if any, that may change the reported numbers

Yeah I’d assume there are many more that actually have it based on the backlog.

That might actually make our death rate extremely good though?

Coyote · 24-03-2020 08:57PM

again the number are just a bit slower at dropping
they are not meant to be 100% correct they are meant to show people what the growth rate could be in a month

Phoebas · 24-03-2020 08:57PM

Beasty wrote: »

It's based on not much more than 2,000 daily tests.

The really important numbers right now are the number of deaths, the number in ICU and the number requiring hospitalisation.

I think we can be confident the the number of deaths and the number in ICU are accurate enough regardless of the test numbers.

Seamai · 24-03-2020 08:58PM

Should we not be seeing a few more recoveries by now? It's been 5 for almost a week. I know the numbers in ICU will increase but in time some will be moved out when their condition improves freeing up a bed.

stephenjmcd · 24-03-2020 08:58PM

Change in case definition for a test.

As expected a large number of people simply with a cough or even a bit of a head cold looking for testing.

Must have 2 symptoms now, previously cough or fever, now both.

24-03-2020 08:58PM

Coyote wrote: »

true it's not 100% right but the time in ICU is 14-20 days if they don't die in the first 3-4 days, over a 3-4 week gap it does not make much difference

Na. It isn't. Once they are stable and recovering, they'll be hoofed back down to ward level.

Nijmegen · 24-03-2020 08:58PM

Beasty wrote: »

It's based on not much more than 2,000 daily tests. The increase is limited by virtue of the number of test results they can process. It looks like, at present, around 10% of those being tested are positive. If they get it up to 4,500 tests a day I would guess we may well be seeing something like 450 daily increases. The other thing that may influence the figures is as they start prioritising medical staff, but I'm not sure which way, if any, that may change the reported numbers

I wonder are they testing on a First In, First Out basis or are they triaging it? I'd say they must be, and so perhaps that is driving up the positive rate. They did comment that a lot more of the Worried Sick were coming forward lately.

I think that the trend towards 20% is positive but the reality is that it's admissions to hospital and ICU that are likely the far better indicator of where we are on this, as they can't hide in a backlog.

autumnbelle · 24-03-2020 08:58PM

alwald wrote: »

The first case was detected 3 weeks ago and since then there are 7 dead and only 5 recovered. This is quite scary.
It's very hard to believe the Chinese figures since they don't follow the trend of other countries.

The recovered figures aren’t being updated and people who have tested positive that aren’t in hospital aren’t being retested to confirm they have recovered. Claire Byrne and the lad from kodaline said the same

syngindub · 24-03-2020 08:58PM

Professor Moriarty wrote: »

So, I still can't understand this. Or maybe I can.

Britain 66 million.
Ireland 5 million
66/5= 13

Britain coronavirus deaths: 424
Ireland coronavirus deaths: 7
424/7= 60

Pro rata, Ireland should have 37 deaths.

What are we doing right or what are they doing wrong? Or what have they done wrong more likely.

How many days are we behind the UK in terms of receiving first case?

Cork Boy 53 · 24-03-2020 08:59PM

Professor Moriarty wrote: »

So, I still can't understand this. Or maybe I can.

Britain 66 million.
Ireland 5 million
66/5= 13

Britain coronavirus deaths: 424
Ireland coronavirus deaths: 7
424/7= 60

Pro rata, Ireland should have 37 deaths.

What are we doing right or what are they doing wrong? Or what have they done wrong more likely.

Boris and his gang`s herd immunity policy which was abandoned last Friday.

iguana · 24-03-2020 08:59PM

Does the 167 in hospital include the 56 in ICU or are those numbers in addition to each other?

standardg60 · 24-03-2020 08:59PM

irishlad. wrote: »

20,000 people a day seeking a test over the past 10 days according to Dr. Tony.

Thats a huge number!

There is a huge number of idiots!

Deco99 · 24-03-2020 08:59PM

Bigboldworld wrote: »

Is it not very odd that no details regarding age of people who passed yesterday have been released?

Why? Does it make you feel better if they are older and you can not be as vigilant anymore?

Harry Palmr · 24-03-2020 09:00PM

irishlad. wrote: »

20,000 people a day seeking a test over the past 10 days according to Dr. Tony.

Thats a huge number!

With an inevitable "waste" of resources as many will be worried well, or have nothing other than a standard bug.

The One Doctor · 24-03-2020 09:00PM

caviardreams wrote: »

Absolutely - just not in groups of more than 4.

More than four allowed if all part of the same household.

24-03-2020 09:01PM

Professor Moriarty wrote: »

So, I still can't understand this. Or maybe I can.

Britain 66 million.
Ireland 5 million
66/5= 13

Britain coronavirus deaths: 424
Ireland coronavirus deaths: 7
424/7= 60

Pro rata, Ireland should have 37 deaths.

What are we doing right or what are they doing wrong? Or what have they done wrong more likely.

The Uk has roughly the same population at France, but half the number of fatalities.

I think that is the most telling stat.

Akabusi · 24-03-2020 09:01PM

Still I wait for my results, I nearly have the 14 days quarantine completed since my return from Spain. My cough cleared up today and I feel good, even the tiredness has gone. My GP rang today, but that was for my PS number, that must be so they can claim for referring me for testing. One thing, If I do, test positive, is it 14 days quarantine from onset of symptoms? If so, I would have a few more days to do.

posturingpat · 24-03-2020 09:01PM

Images from a housing estate in Donnycarney appear to show a group of 20+ gathered as if there's a party. Marshall law more appealing by the minute :mad:

CoVid19 Part X - 1,564 cases ROI (9 deaths) 209 in NI (7 deaths) (25 March) *Read OP*

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CoVid19 Part X - 1,564 cases ROI (9 deaths) 209 in NI (7 deaths) (25 March) Read OP