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CoVid19 Part X - 1,564 cases ROI (9 deaths) 209 in NI (7 deaths) (25 March) *Read OP*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    growleaves wrote: »
    What's actually the logic here is something like:

    Cases have only jumped 23.7%

    But people's emotions have jumped 46.3%

    Therefore....lockdown
    Lockdown has been the only solution for some ever since we closed the schools. I'm still assuming we'll see a 30% rise per day this week anyway. Anything below that is to be welcomed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,806 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    growleaves wrote: »
    What's actually the logic here is something like:

    Cases have only jumped 23.7%

    A trivial rise, shur it's barely growing at all...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,239 ✭✭✭Coyote


    people need to stop thinking today or tomorrow number
    any change we make takes 14 days to affect it, we need the number to drop to 0% by the end of the month to have any affect
    even in a month at 10% from tomrrow we have 24K infected and 1200 need ICU beds that we don't have
    the Avg time in hospital is around 18-20 days it's not a 1-3 days and they are out and well
    if we don't stop it right now and then wait 14 days to change the number we are in trouble for a lot of people
    at 20%
    506730.PNG
    at 10%
    506731.PNG

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rUGncHqU0uMRbfw181eH4FahteTFuXjFU8WUFjKZMUQ/edit?usp=sharing


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,536 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    it seems like a week since we had five people recovered, I realise that they were mostly the one group but thought there might be the odd person recovering since.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,394 ✭✭✭mojesius


    I am not joking, I made 10 quarter pounders last week and 7 into the deep freeze. The smell of herbs/spices filled the kitchen all the next day.


    3 went that night remainder will be used when we get a bit stir crazy.

    What's your recipe?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,978 ✭✭✭growleaves


    A trivial rise, shur it's barely growing at all...

    But how does a rise that is below expectations count as new evidence for a lockdown?

    Obviously anything above 0% is bad.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 886 ✭✭✭NasserShammaz


    They should just do what they done in Denmark. They had hand sanitiser for sale. 1 bottle for 5 euro or 2 bottles for 95 euro.

    No hide all the parmesan, chick peas , cocoa, 00 flour , smoked , fruit , wine , salmon..........all the good stuff and leave them sitting in their houses eating bread and **** frozen food... they will need all the toilet roll to mitigate the effects of they're **** diets.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,337 ✭✭✭alan partridge aha


    it seems like a week since we had five people recovered, I realise that they were mostly the one group but thought there might be the odd person recovering since.

    Ya I think Dr Holohan said those recovery figures would be updated.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 6,916 Mod ✭✭✭✭shesty


    The point of an exponential curve is that it grows at a rate of about 30% a day.The last few days it has not, apart from last Thursday, when there was a 52% increase although they had acknowledged increased testing so expected the sudden increase in numbers.As far as I am concerned anything less than 25% as a day to day growth is another inching step in the right direction.Not enough time has passed yet to give a good strong indication, but still, there is a glimmer -the tiniest- of light there.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,738 ✭✭✭Heres Johnny


    Can you get the corona virus twice ?

    Harvey Weinstein contracted it about 50 times yesterday


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,113 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Steve F wrote: »
    The man that interviened is Tommy Robinson
    The video was on YouTube but probably taken down now
    I saw it
    Was appalled

    Still there
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SJp7jLRGOqY


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 179 ✭✭Bigboldworld


    Is there an update on what age the two people that passed today were?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 803 ✭✭✭woohoo!!!


    Just on testing numbers. UK population is approx 66 million and our population is approx. 4.75 million or 13.9 times ours.

    Our current daily test rate is 2,000. UK is at 10,000. To match our rate UK needs to be at 27,800.

    We're ramping to 4,500 daily tests which would mean UK would need to be heading towards 62,550.

    It has been stated that we're aiming for 15,000 tests a day. The UK equivalent would be 208,500.

    Let's stick with facts and recognise we're doing good on testing rates, which of course we need to do much better at.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,878 ✭✭✭arse..biscuits


    lbj666 wrote: »
    A stopped clock gets the time right twice a day
    Would you have the balls to stand up to three thugs like he did?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,548 ✭✭✭Martina1991


    Beasty wrote:
    Ramping up to 4,500 a day - that means it will take 8 or 9 days just to go through the backlog built up to yesterday. Those being put forward for testing today may be waiting another 10 days. Some could be recovered. Some may feel they have recovered only for it to have reduced to a non-noticeable level, cancel their test to then find it re-erupts in them
    Yes it will take time to get through the backlog.

    When the service meets demand, there will be no waiting to be tested.

    And results should be turned around within 2 days. It will become a rotuine test, like other laboratory services.

    We're still in the early stages of setting up the process.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I keep comparing our situation to that of Italy's, they being the worst case scenario so far. On the one hand, we have way more cases than they did at three weeks in, but we're also doing more testing than they were at the time (AFAIK, open to correction on that). Varadkar did say we could expect 15,000 cases on the island, but is that more of a reckon? Is that to say we could probably expect that 15,000 will be infected by the end of March both symptomatic and asymptomatic, and also tested or untested? If we were to get to 15,000 official cases by the end of March, we'd need be seeing in the ballpark of a per-day increase of 1,750.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,858 ✭✭✭Steve F


    fritzelly wrote: »

    Oh Thanks
    Surprised as it's now part of a criminal investigation.
    It made my blood boil
    Just thinking about it now I can feel the ol' blood pressure going up


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,717 ✭✭✭YFlyer


    Farmer on tv saying McDonald's meals are good nutritional food.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,071 ✭✭✭MarkY91


    woohoo!!! wrote: »
    Just on testing numbers. UK population is approx 66 million and our population is approx. 4.75 million or 13.9 times ours.

    Our current daily test rate is 2,000. UK is at 10,000. To match our rate UK needs to be at 27,800.

    We're ramping to 4,500 daily tests which would mean UK would need to be heading towards 62,550.

    It has been stated that we're aiming for 15,000 tests a day. The UK equivalent would be 208,500.

    Let's stick with facts and recognise we're doing good on testing rates, which of course we need to do much better at.

    People just want to moan about our government and HSE. Facts are meaningless to these people.

    There's in my opinion doing the best job possible in the world time in the history of the state.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 875 ✭✭✭mean gene


    The worst thing I've heard abt this sh1t storm so far is in Spain over 65s can't have any more respirators fcukin awful


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,924 ✭✭✭SlowBlowin


    Steve F wrote: »
    The man that interviened is Tommy Robinson
    The video was on YouTube but probably taken down now
    I saw it
    Was appalled

    That video should be compulsory viewing, Tommy Robinson did what 90% of men would do in the same situation, and the police turn up and tell him he overstepped the mark, while an OAP with a black eye sits there in tears.

    Shocking...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    growleaves wrote: »
    Tonight's numbers are under the threshold of the 30% prediction. That plus an unverified rumour spead by pseudonymous internet commenter isn't much of a justification for a lockdown.

    :rolleyes: @ pseudonymous boardsie. It was my neighbour and he was there when it happened.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,341 ✭✭✭dan786


    Boris on in a few mins. Will be live here;



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,027 ✭✭✭lbj666


    Would you have the balls to stand up to three thugs like he did?

    Id probably loose my cool and get my ass kicked. What I'm saying is Mr. Robinson isnt adverse to confrontation he just so happens to have the moral high ground in this case.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 408 ✭✭brookers


    growleaves wrote: »
    But how does a rise that is below expectations count as new evidence for a lockdown?

    Obviously anything above 0% is bad.

    This lady was asked all these questions on Newstalk this evening by IY and she said that it is not so much the numbers being diagnosed but
    the numbers requiring ICU, that is something people are just not grasping at the moment. I personally feel a lock down is the only way to go. The reason for this is that I work in a public office meeting the public and the amount of really stupid people, especially the elderly who see no concern is staggering. It is like they have decided to turn a blind eye to all the bodies in Italy and those on the corridors of Madrid hospitals. I can understand why say some small enterprises and a vunerable business would want to avoid a lock down and argue over percentage increases, anything to save their business, but the reality is we dont have enough beds in icu.Anne O'Connor, Chief Operations Officer (Acting)
    Dr. Steevens’ Hospital, Dublin 8
    Tel: 01 6352000


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,119 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    mean gene wrote: »
    The worst thing I've heard abt this sh1t storm so far is in Spain over 65s can't have any more respirators fcukin awful

    Taking them off them and sedating them so they don't feel pain as they die alone.

    But a bag of chips is more important.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,492 ✭✭✭Sir Oxman


    YFlyer wrote: »
    Farmer on tv saying McDonald's meals are good nutritional food.
    Well, farmers would!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 58,444 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    YFlyer wrote: »
    Farmer on tv saying McDonald's meals are good nutritional food.

    Not sure how nutritious they are, but they’re damn tasty....

    And the restaurants are spotless clean..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,978 ✭✭✭growleaves


    @ pseudonymous boardsie. It was my neighbour and he was there when it happened.

    Fair enough.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,878 ✭✭✭arse..biscuits


    lbj666 wrote: »
    Id probably loose my cool and get my ass kicked. What I'm saying is Mr. Robinson isnt adverse to confrontation he just so happens to have the moral high ground in this case.

    Credit where credits due though, most wouldn't have interviened out of fear or just videoed the incident.


This discussion has been closed.
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