CoVid19 Part X - 1,564 cases ROI (9 deaths) 209 in NI (7 deaths) (25 March) Read OP

MD1990 · 23-03-2020 07:12PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

I don’t think there’s anyway we’re reaching 15,000 by next week.

yesterday we had over 12,000 tests done.

So it is not actually possible to get 15,000 confirmed cases.
Maybe that was estimated figure not including comfirmed cases that were tested

lucalux · 23-03-2020 07:12PM

Drivetime's Mary Wilson reporting 215 new cases. RTE News on Twitter reporting 219. RTE website 219. The Journal reporting 219

ChikiChiki · 23-03-2020 07:12PM

Wonder how the geebags who went for Beshoffs yesterday are feeling with us breaching the thousand mark and 2 new deaths.

Stupid selfish clowns.

Timistry · 23-03-2020 07:12PM

Deleted User wrote: »

We have a huuge pharmactuical industry,why are we not subbing out some test reading to their labs??

Absolutely no way would a pharma lab be able to test potentially infectious material.

The lab method validation and accredition would take months to achieve.

Pablo Escobar · 23-03-2020 07:13PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

I don’t think there’s anyway we’re reaching 15,000 by next week.

The only thing that'll stop us hitting 15,000 is the inefficiency of testing. If that picks up to the required pace it's highly likely.

AlmightyCushion · 23-03-2020 07:13PM

darced wrote: »

Sure say we miss the predicted 15000 by even half does that not just mean we will have the 15000 number a few days later?

The longer it takes us to reach it means the slow this thing is spreading and the less impact it has on the health service.

23-03-2020 07:13PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

This is still almost 10% less than the 30% growth predicted.

Really poor maths

20% is 33% less than 30%

30% is a 50% increase on 20%

Jacovs · 23-03-2020 07:13PM

South Africa going into full lockdown for 21 days from thursday night. Army being deployed. Essential businesses only to remain open.
Only 402 confirmed cases.

brendanwalsh · 23-03-2020 07:13PM

How many health care workers ?

yourdeadwright · 23-03-2020 07:13PM

Speakerboxx wrote: »

This attitude is why the figure is increasing every day.

The figure wil l always increase the trick is to keep it under 30,%, of a daily increase and Then it should evel off in 2 weeks time

Ace2007 · 23-03-2020 07:13PM

ChikiChiki wrote: »

Wonder how the geebags who went for Beshoffs yesterday are feeling with us breaching the thousand mark and 2 new deaths.

Stupid selfish clowns.

If Beshoffs wasn't open there wouldn't hve been a Que - why has the business gotten off so lightly in all of this?

Jim_Hodge · 23-03-2020 07:13PM

darced wrote: »

Sure say we miss the predicted 15000 by even half does that not just mean we will have the 15000 number a few days later?

If we can delay hitting high numbers we are enabling the health service to gave a chance to cope with it. The same number of cases but over a longer time is what we need.

23-03-2020 07:13PM

ChikiChiki wrote: »

Wonder how the geebags who went for Beshoffs yesterday are feeling with us breaching the thousand mark and 2 new deaths.

Stupid selfish clowns.

Probably not many, potentially none if we're not being hysterical.

An Ciarraioch · 23-03-2020 07:13PM

Strazdas wrote: »

I'm hoping today is an outlier and tomorrow's figure drops below 200 again.

Given the ramping up of testing, we just need to hope that deaths don't become a daily feature. At least there are fewer cases in ICU.

Beasty · 23-03-2020 07:14PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

This is still almost 10% less than the 30% growth predicted.

Do you not appreciate there was a backlog of 40,000 to be tested, and the number of reported infections is limited by the number of tests they are carrying out

We cannot use the figures at this stage to make reasonable projections because of these limitations. It may be that there is a 20% daily growth of reported figures for a while. It may be the figures peak at less than 15,000. Equally it may be that the underlying growth rate is actually much more than 20% and ultimately we could see a large proportion of the population infected. We simply do not know at this stage

Witcher · 23-03-2020 07:14PM

Deleted User wrote: »

2000 tests a day, 40000 waiting.
20 days to clear backlog at the current rate.
Need to seriously ramp up the testing

Really? Do ya think?

Nijmegen · 23-03-2020 07:14PM

To be honest it feels like we're successfully waiving off the worst case (+30% day on day), which is positive - it's all about controlling the entry to healthcare. Some positive signs.

ACitizenErased · 23-03-2020 07:14PM

The main thing, right now, is the ICU number. 25 is a fantastic number to have with 1000 cases. Completely manageable.

Lord Trollington · 23-03-2020 07:14PM

darced wrote: »

Sure say we miss the predicted 15000 by even half does that not just mean we will have the 15000 number a few days later?

It does but it means the rate of spread is being kept a manageable levels .

VinLieger · 23-03-2020 07:14PM

dan786 wrote: »

Boris Johnson set to address the nation at 8.30pm tonight.

There is speculation he could announce that tougher restrictions will be brought in over the coronavirus outbreak.

Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab advises all Britons travelling abroad who are usually based in the UK to return to the UK now

Brits behavior at the weekend was insane, none of them taking it seriously

Jin luk · 23-03-2020 07:14PM

MD1990 wrote: »

yesterday we had over 12,000 tests done.

So it is not actually possible to get 15,000 confirmed cases.
Maybe that was estimated figure not including comfirmed cases that were tested

12000 tests? Is it not 2000 and its getting ramped upto 4000 from tomorrow?

normanoffside · 23-03-2020 07:14PM

The strategy has never been to stop this spreading. It's to slow this spreading.

Again the deaths and ICU numbers are the only thing that matters.

Positive numbers are only a result of extra testing. Serious cases are those in ICU. In other countries it's only numbers going to hospital that are tested.

martingriff · 23-03-2020 07:14PM

Naggdefy wrote: »

I think there's a big spike too. More testing. Every country had them, even 10 days after preventative measures etc.

Given it can be up to 2 weeks for symptoms and people would not go until then yep I say another weeks before the flattening (if it does) will occur that is if people will take personal responsibility do the right thing before it is forced on them

Duke of Url · 23-03-2020 07:14PM

josip · 23-03-2020 07:14PM

Pablo Escobar wrote: »

The only thing that'll stop us hitting 15,000 is the inefficiency of testing. If that picks up to the required pace it's highly likely.

I think it's fairer to say the capacity of the testing rather than the inefficiency.
NVRL are flat out and have been for some time.

XsApollo · 23-03-2020 07:14PM

Numbers less than predicted and not a massive jump.
We are doing well I expect numbers to jump next week due to all the international travellers and then hopefully the fruits of our measures start to kick in.

Naggdefy · 23-03-2020 07:14PM

A 24% increase, or 15% yesterday, instead of the predicted 30%, only pushes back us reaching 15,000 cases by a few days into early April.

pc7 · 23-03-2020 07:15PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

This is still almost 10% less than the 30% growth predicted.

There is such a delay in testing the data isn’t really reliable

yourdeadwright · 23-03-2020 07:15PM

Pablo Escobar wrote: »

The only thing that'll stop us hitting 15,000 is the inefficiency of testing. If that picks up to the required pace it's highly likely.

Testing is ahead of a lot of European countries per capita,
We are doing very well on the testing front

growleaves · 23-03-2020 07:15PM

This attitude is why the figure is increasing every day.

How is comparing statistical fact to statistical projections an 'attitude'?

CoVid19 Part X - 1,564 cases ROI (9 deaths) 209 in NI (7 deaths) (25 March) *Read OP*

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CoVid19 Part X - 1,564 cases ROI (9 deaths) 209 in NI (7 deaths) (25 March) Read OP