CoVid-19 Part IX - 785 cases ROI (3 deaths) 108 in NI (1 death) (20 March) *Read OP*

pH wrote: »

There is"............. However because Ireland is testing everyone who calls and reports symptoms, we're far more.............

Cannot be making projections on the number of infections without good data. I have symptoms and am waiting for a test, 5 days and counting. Others too, so there’s a serious lag in testing and results.

Earthquake in zagreb, croatia.
Jesus does it ever end
Thoughts are with those people.

Dial Hard wrote: »

Mild in clinical terms, according to our resident HSE consultant. A significant proportion of those "mild" cases will still be left with permanent lung damage.

Not sure what anyone is supposed to do with that information. That AMA is great but is there data or research on that?

trapp wrote: »

Do you enjoy scaremongering?

Permanent lung damage?

That's complete and utter tripe and you know it.

Is it?

Did sars not have permanant lung damage for the 1s it affected?

30% a day until the end of the month seems extreme to me.

Date|Ireland||Italy||USA||Spain||Germany||Iran||France||South Korea||Switzerland||UK|
15-Feb|0||3||15||2||16||0||12||28||0||9|
16-Feb|0||3|0%|15|0%|2|0%|16|0%|0||12|0%|29|4%|0||9|0%
17-Feb|0||3|0%|15|0%|2|0%|16|0%|0||12|0%|30|3%|0||9|0%
18-Feb|0||3|0%|15|0%|2|0%|16|0%|0||12|0%|31|3%|0||9|0%
19-Feb|0||3|0%|15|0%|2|0%|16|0%|2||12|0%|58|87%|0||9|0%
20-Feb|0||4|33%|15|0%|2|0%|16|0%|5|150%|12|0%|111|91%|0||9|0%
21-Feb|0||21|425%|35|133%|2|0%|16|0%|18|260%|12|0%|209|88%|0||9|0%
22-Feb|0||79|276%|35|0%|2|0%|16|0%|29|61%|12|0%|436|109%|0||9|0%
23-Feb|0||157|99%|35|0%|2|0%|16|0%|43|48%|12|0%|602|38%|0||13|44%
24-Feb|0||229|46%|53|51%|3|50%|16|0%|61|42%|12|0%|833|38%|0||13|0%
25-Feb|0||323|41%|57|8%|9|200%|18|13%|95|56%|14|17%|977|17%|1||13|0%
26-Feb|0||470|46%|60|5%|13|44%|26|44%|139|46%|18|29%|1261|29%|1|0%|13|0%
27-Feb|0||655|39%|60|0%|25|92%|48|85%|245|76%|38|111%|1766|40%|8|700%|16|23%
28-Feb|0||889|36%|63|5%|33|32%|74|54%|388|58%|57|50%|2337|32%|15|88%|20|25%
29-Feb|1||1128|27%|68|8%|58|76%|79|7%|593|53%|100|75%|3150|35%|19|27%|23|15%
01-Mar|1|0%|1701|51%|75|10%|84|45%|130|65%|978|65%|130|30%|3736|19%|24|26%|36|57%
02-Mar|1|0%|2036|20%|100|33%|120|43%|165|27%|1501|53%|191|47%|4335|16%|30|25%|39|8%
03-Mar|2|100%|2502|23%|124|24%|165|38%|203|23%|2336|56%|212|11%|5186|20%|58|93%|51|31%
04-Mar|6|200%|3089|23%|158|27%|228|38%|262|29%|2922|25%|285|34%|5621|8%|93|60%|87|71%
05-Mar|13|117%|3858|25%|221|40%|282|24%|545|108%|3513|20%|423|48%|6284|12%|120|29%|116|33%
06-Mar|18|38%|4636|20%|319|44%|401|42%|670|23%|4747|35%|653|54%|6593|5%|214|78%|164|41%
07-Mar|19|6%|5883|27%|435|36%|525|31%|800|19%|5823|23%|949|45%|7041|7%|268|25%|209|27%
08-Mar|21|11%|7375|25%|541|24%|674|28%|1040|30%|6566|13%|1209|27%|7313|4%|332|24%|278|33%
09-Mar|24|14%|9172|24%|704|30%|1231|83%|1224|18%|7161|9%|1412|17%|7478|2%|374|13%|321|15%
10-Mar|34|42%|10149|11%|994|41%|1695|38%|1565|28%|8042|12%|1784|26%|7513|0%|497|33%|383|19%
11-Mar|43|26%|12462|23%|1301|31%|2277|34%|1966|26%|9000|12%|2281|28%|7755|3%|652|31%|460|20%
12-Mar|70|63%|15113|21%|1697|30%|3146|38%|2745|40%|10075|12%|2876|26%|7869|1%|868|33%|590|28%
13-Mar|90|29%|17660|17%|2247|32%|5232|66%|3675|34%|11364|13%|3661|27%|7979|1%|1139|31%|798|35%
14-Mar|129|43%|21157|20%|2943|31%|6391|22%|4599|25%|12729|12%|4499|23%|8086|1%|1375|21%|1140|43%
15-Mar|170|32%|24747|17%|3680|25%|7988|25%|5813|26%|13938|9%|5423|21%|8162|1%|2217|61%|1391|22%
16-Mar|223|31%|27980|13%|4663|27%|9942|24%|7272|25%|14991|8%|6633|22%|8236|1%|2353|6%|1543|11%
17-Mar|292|31%|31506|13%|6411|37%|11826|19%|9367|29%|16169|8%|7730|17%|8320|1%|2742|17%|1950|26%
18-Mar|366|25%|35713|13%|9259|44%|14769|25%|12327|32%|17361|7%|9134|18%|8413|1%|3115|14%|2626|35%
19-Mar|557|52%|41035|15%|13789|49%|18077|22%|15320|24%|18407|6%|10995|20%|8565|2%|4222|36%|3269|24%
20-Mar|683|23%|47021|15%|19383|41%|21571|19%|19848|30%|19644|7%|12612|15%|8652|1%|5615|33%|3983|22%
21-Mar|785|15%|53578|14%|24207|25%|25496|18%|22364|13%|20610|5%|14459|15%|8799|2%|6863|22%|5018|26%

RogerThis wrote: »

30% a day until the end of the month seems extreme to me.

Date|Ireland||Italy||USA||Spain||Germany||Iran||France||South Korea||Switzerland||UK|
15-Feb|0||3||15||2||16||0||12||28||0||9|
16-Feb|0||3|0%|15|0%|2|0%|16|0%|0||12|0%|29|4%|0||9|0%
17-Feb|0||3|0%|15|0%|2|0%|16|0%|0||12|0%|30|3%|0||9|0%
18-Feb|0||3|0%|15|0%|2|0%|16|0%|0||12|0%|31|3%|0||9|0%
19-Feb|0||3|0%|15|0%|2|0%|16|0%|2||12|0%|58|87%|0||9|0%
20-Feb|0||4|33%|15|0%|2|0%|16|0%|5|150%|12|0%|111|91%|0||9|0%
21-Feb|0||21|425%|35|133%|2|0%|16|0%|18|260%|12|0%|209|88%|0||9|0%
22-Feb|0||79|276%|35|0%|2|0%|16|0%|29|61%|12|0%|436|109%|0||9|0%
23-Feb|0||157|99%|35|0%|2|0%|16|0%|43|48%|12|0%|602|38%|0||13|44%
24-Feb|0||229|46%|53|51%|3|50%|16|0%|61|42%|12|0%|833|38%|0||13|0%
25-Feb|0||323|41%|57|8%|9|200%|18|13%|95|56%|14|17%|977|17%|1||13|0%
26-Feb|0||470|46%|60|5%|13|44%|26|44%|139|46%|18|29%|1261|29%|1|0%|13|0%
27-Feb|0||655|39%|60|0%|25|92%|48|85%|245|76%|38|111%|1766|40%|8|700%|16|23%
28-Feb|0||889|36%|63|5%|33|32%|74|54%|388|58%|57|50%|2337|32%|15|88%|20|25%
29-Feb|1||1128|27%|68|8%|58|76%|79|7%|593|53%|100|75%|3150|35%|19|27%|23|15%
01-Mar|1|0%|1701|51%|75|10%|84|45%|130|65%|978|65%|130|30%|3736|19%|24|26%|36|57%
02-Mar|1|0%|2036|20%|100|33%|120|43%|165|27%|1501|53%|191|47%|4335|16%|30|25%|39|8%
03-Mar|2|100%|2502|23%|124|24%|165|38%|203|23%|2336|56%|212|11%|5186|20%|58|93%|51|31%
04-Mar|6|200%|3089|23%|158|27%|228|38%|262|29%|2922|25%|285|34%|5621|8%|93|60%|87|71%
05-Mar|13|117%|3858|25%|221|40%|282|24%|545|108%|3513|20%|423|48%|6284|12%|120|29%|116|33%
06-Mar|18|38%|4636|20%|319|44%|401|42%|670|23%|4747|35%|653|54%|6593|5%|214|78%|164|41%
07-Mar|19|6%|5883|27%|435|36%|525|31%|800|19%|5823|23%|949|45%|7041|7%|268|25%|209|27%
08-Mar|21|11%|7375|25%|541|24%|674|28%|1040|30%|6566|13%|1209|27%|7313|4%|332|24%|278|33%
09-Mar|24|14%|9172|24%|704|30%|1231|83%|1224|18%|7161|9%|1412|17%|7478|2%|374|13%|321|15%
10-Mar|34|42%|10149|11%|994|41%|1695|38%|1565|28%|8042|12%|1784|26%|7513|0%|497|33%|383|19%
11-Mar|43|26%|12462|23%|1301|31%|2277|34%|1966|26%|9000|12%|2281|28%|7755|3%|652|31%|460|20%
12-Mar|70|63%|15113|21%|1697|30%|3146|38%|2745|40%|10075|12%|2876|26%|7869|1%|868|33%|590|28%
13-Mar|90|29%|17660|17%|2247|32%|5232|66%|3675|34%|11364|13%|3661|27%|7979|1%|1139|31%|798|35%
14-Mar|129|43%|21157|20%|2943|31%|6391|22%|4599|25%|12729|12%|4499|23%|8086|1%|1375|21%|1140|43%
15-Mar|170|32%|24747|17%|3680|25%|7988|25%|5813|26%|13938|9%|5423|21%|8162|1%|2217|61%|1391|22%
16-Mar|223|31%|27980|13%|4663|27%|9942|24%|7272|25%|14991|8%|6633|22%|8236|1%|2353|6%|1543|11%
17-Mar|292|31%|31506|13%|6411|37%|11826|19%|9367|29%|16169|8%|7730|17%|8320|1%|2742|17%|1950|26%
18-Mar|366|25%|35713|13%|9259|44%|14769|25%|12327|32%|17361|7%|9134|18%|8413|1%|3115|14%|2626|35%
19-Mar|557|52%|41035|15%|13789|49%|18077|22%|15320|24%|18407|6%|10995|20%|8565|2%|4222|36%|3269|24%
20-Mar|683|23%|47021|15%|19383|41%|21571|19%|19848|30%|19644|7%|12612|15%|8652|1%|5615|33%|3983|22%
21-Mar|785|15%|53578|14%|24207|25%|25496|18%|22364|13%|20610|5%|14459|15%|8799|2%|6863|22%|5018|26%

As the number goes up the testing cant be sustained to keep at 30% so thats why you get a dropoff in percentages id imagine.

Jin luk wrote: »

Is it?

Did sars not have permanant lung damage for the 1s it affected?

There is some lung damage to people who have had the virus, but they don' know if it is permanent or not ( it might heel over time )

Assetbacked wrote: »

80% is the vast majority who will barely be affected. An increase in cases now is just an increase in testing more than an indication of it continuing to spread as it is already with us for weeks at this stage. Even out of the official recorded cases, many more are recovering than are requiring continued care. It's not time for complacency but we should hopefully start to see less scaremongering talk to do with lockdown and more of a push on social distancing, good hygiene practices and protecting vulnerable people so that we can start to get back to normal.

No that's not what you said, and you're still wrong.

Not everyone will be tested. If you have no symptoms, you won't call up, you will not be a worry for the authorities and therefore won't be tested. This is the vast majority (to quote Leo) of the population who will be in this category.

You claimed that Leo has said the 'vast majority' (which for a normal speaker of English means 80%+) will be in the 'category' of 'no symptoms'.

This is absolutely incorrect. For 80% of people the virus will be 'mild' (but this just means you won't need medical care, you spend a couple of says in bed with a temperature and cough taking over the counter drugs and will start to feel better in a couple of days)

A smaller number (something like 20%) will be lucky enough to be asymptomatic, i.e. their symptoms (if they exist at all) will be so mild the person won't even think they're ill.

Kidchameleon wrote: »

Just now in the local LIDL I saw some owl one telling a young lad to stand back. He replied by telling her to move forward or leave the shop. She shut her gob and moved forward. Pandemic or not, nobody has the right to boss people around. Some people like the woman here think the situation gives them the right to be rude. Spoiler alert, it doesent. I gave the young lad a thumbs up in the car park for his troubles, legend.

People have every right to tell others to keep a proper distance and they should not be forced to move because of the delinquency of others.

Jin luk wrote: »

Italy screwed up? Italy was the first nation to ban flights to china the first 1s to take action.

What we are doing isnt going to do much theirs still a sh*tload of people out and about market day here on thursday and town has been jammed everyday since that, it lasted for a day or 2 and they came crawling back out,

It might be mild to some but some of us has close people who it wont be,

Were expecting a baby in july, my mam has a bad chest, my granda wouldnt survive it for an hour and my nan would be the same my sister also has really bad ashtma but its okay because 80% will be mild as u said,

And once any real stats are throwing at you "its a bad flu" guys the argument is fairly dropped too i notice.

The belief now is that the virus had been present in Italy for quite a while before they diagnosed a case and it got lumped in with flu data before that. By the time they paid attention quite a few were already moving towards the severe stage. They didn't seem to do enough of the now requisite testing and contract tracing, the lockdowns have been slack and their system became overwhelmed and they ear now in the situation where the cannot look after all of those in the serious to critical stage. We started on it a lot earlier and things so far do not show a risk of overwhelming the system.

I understand the anxiety as there are family and friends who've elected to stay in while this is on. I see 80% with mild cases as a positive. In fact most stats on the Worldometer site has mild cases at closer to 100%. All we can do is stay safe and keep those who are important to us safe.

Kidchameleon wrote: »

Just now in the local LIDL I saw some owl one telling a young lad to stand back. He replied by telling her to move forward or leave the shop. She shut her gob and moved forward. Pandemic or not, nobody has the right to boss people around. Some people like the woman here think the situation gives them the right to be rude. Spoiler alert, it doesent. I gave the young lad a thumbs up in the car park for his troubles, legend.

Your mother must be so proud of you

Deleted User wrote: »

Absolutely, but its very hard to due this currently in the likes of Italy due to their traditional societal structures. I believe we may have a better chance here.

Sadly the nursing home model is also not 100% safe to protect the elderly.

An army tent was being set up as a testing centre at Nowlan Park in Kilkenny last Friday. Testing from there will probably feed into the national picture from Tuesday. With the ramping up of testing nationwide, it is likely that we are going to have increased levels with the virus next week