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CoVid-19 Part IX - 785 cases ROI (3 deaths) 108 in NI (1 death) (20 March) *Read OP*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 114 ✭✭dummy_crusher


    lawred2 wrote: »
    You'd need another 30000 days solid where there were 1000 deaths recorded in order to reach 30m dead.

    That's only 82 thousand years.

    I don't agree with the original comment, but I don't agree with your maths either...

    Over the last week, worldwide deaths have almost doubled 5833 -> 11387.

    The previous week, 3599 -> 5833.

    This is about to really kick off soon in the US and UK, nevermind about India, Russia and Africa...

    Let's take a conservative (pessimistic) view that deaths will double every week...

    In 8 weeks, that is a total of 2,915,072 deaths worldwide.

    I'm not that doom and gloom or anything, just pointing the error in how you arrived at 82 thousand years.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,749 ✭✭✭threeball


    If I was stuck in ICU with this virus, I really don't care who has my information. If it puts the fear into people that someone under 40 with no underlying issues can be critically ill, I'm all for doing anything that helps.

    The people that read the stats are already doing the right thing. It's the tossers that don't adhere you need to get to and they're barely literate by the looks of things. They definitely don't look at stats anyway


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,147 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    102 today but that figure will greatly rise when proper testing is rolled out


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I'm on annual leave all of next week if anyone here is really stuck for a grocery run. I had a few little plans but since most stuff is closed I'll have a bit of unexpected free time. I'd be happy to give someone a dig out if it means relieving a bit of stress if the thoughts of doing a shop is too much. PM me. Based in Dublin 12 but will spin out further no problem.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 622 ✭✭✭sheepsh4gger


    That’s just not true. You are living in a different Dublin
    I guess it also might depend on the neighborhood.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,578 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,858 ✭✭✭Steve F


    We need to see numbers drop for a week or more before I'll start getting excited. And even then social separation is the new norm. We might get lucky and be able to keep it in check here. but while the rest of the world has it there can be no going back to normal. A vaccine is the only way I see this going away.

    Just to be clear here
    There is a mis conception that when a successful vaccine is developed this virus will "go away"
    Sadly NOT
    We have a seasonal 'flu vaccine but it doesn't go away
    The number of cases and deaths will be dramatically reduced but sadly it won't go away
    There are strong possibilities that it could mutate and lose it's potency which obviously will be very good news :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 662 ✭✭✭poppers


    iguana wrote: »
    Why are the case percentages so wrong? It's saying Dublin has 55% of cases but 320 cases out of 785. That's just over 40%. It says Cork has 15% with 88 cases. But that's actually just over 11%. It says Limerick has 3% with 15 cases but that's actually under 2%. It says Galway has 4% with 21 cases but that's actually a little over 2.5%.

    What am I missing?

    The county break down is running 2 days behind so those figures are from thurs.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 91,034 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    Aidric wrote: »
    Why are accounts like this allowed to exist? Contributes nothing substantial to the topic being discussed. Just drops in with a nonsensical one liner. Troll accounts like this should be shut down. All they are doing is throwing petrol in to the fire.

    I just see the numbers in Italy dying daily increasing and because I made a comment that the half the country could be wiped out, I'm trolling, let's get real an awful lot of Italians are dying, it is heartbreaking what is happening over there and now looks like Spain, US and UK death toll is also rising, is it wrong to talk about the deaths, if so I apologise


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 58,447 ✭✭✭✭walshb




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 622 ✭✭✭sheepsh4gger


    RugbyLad11 wrote: »
    I really doubt they are dead bodies, now of course I don't know for sure but apparently they are people sleeping outside because they got kicked out of their apartments as they were suspected of having the virus.

    One of the reasons I doubt these are bodies because china can build a hospital for 7,000 people in a few days, so surely they could built a basic building to store the bodies in less than a day.
    No, at the time the video came out the hospital wasn't built.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,181 ✭✭✭CinemaGuy45


    Omackeral wrote: »
    I'm on annual leave all of next week if anyone here is really stuck for a grocery run. I had a few little plans but since most stuff is closed I'll have a bit of unexpected free time. I'd be happy to give someone a dig out if it means relieving a bit of stress if the thoughts of doing a shop is too much. PM me. Based in Dublin 12 but will spin out further no problem.

    Could you pick me up two Chicken Kormas with rice and fries and two bags of peanut M&Ms I will PM my address to you and pay you back next week.:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 234 ✭✭zinfandel


    My brother is waiting since last Saturday for a test, he’s finally getting one on Monday...we are at least a week behind (on average) with these figures
    Just as a matter of interest with someone like your brother, has his symptoms got worse since then or is he feeling better?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,387 ✭✭✭✭DeVore


    Omackeral wrote: »
    I'm on annual leave all of next week if anyone here is really stuck for a grocery run. I had a few little plans but since most stuff is closed I'll have a bit of unexpected free time. I'd be happy to give someone a dig out if it means relieving a bit of stress if the thoughts of doing a shop is too much. PM me. Based in Dublin 12 but will spin out further no problem.
    Thats kind of you to ask. Next week Boards is going to start orchestrating on a bigger scale these kinds of requests and offers. Please keep eyes open for it and I'm sure many will need something like this.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 51 ✭✭trumptheman


    The amount of fake news, BS, people thinking they are experts coming up with their own statistics and scare mongering in this thread is ten times worse than Facebook or whats going around on Whatsapp.

    Pity a technical thread couldn't be setup but people probably just go their with their false information.

    Its brutal to be honest. Boards.ie just making people more anxious.

    Stick to real news sources.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,226 ✭✭✭Valhallapt


    How many people in Ireland will have to die before the the government quarantine those arriving in from affected areas?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 622 ✭✭✭sheepsh4gger


    785 cases in Ireland... How is this possible? We were letting in plane loads of people from Italy? There should be more. Or are symptoms really that mild in most of us?
    Remember that these numbers are a week or two behind. This is why I don't read the papers, it's old information.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,807 ✭✭✭Jurgen Klopp


    Lord TSC wrote: »
    Liz, even with the crazy fatality rate in Italy, the death rate is "only" 7%. Nowhere near 50% of Italy will die. The absolute worst case scenario, an utter nightmare, would be about 7%.

    And that's presuming they aren't just massively undertesting, and the fatality rate isn't round 1-2% like in countries that are mass testing. And presuming that it's 100% infection rate, which even the worst case scenarios haven't been predicting.

    And remember 23% of said population are 65+ before health conditions taken into account. While I don't go for "the elderly are the ones getting it" you have a lot there who could have passed easily form a bad dose of flu, bronchitis etc

    What I'm saying is probably have a car large group in the easily susceptible cat, so at 7% death rate from infection you have to take that along with the many unfortunate say 80+ year olds that are refused a ventilator due to the shortage


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 91,034 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    Lord TSC wrote: »
    Liz, even with the crazy fatality rate in Italy, the death rate is "only" 7%. Nowhere near 50% of Italy will die. The absolute worst case scenario, an utter nightmare, would be about 7%.

    And that's presuming they aren't just massively undertesting, and the fatality rate isn't round 1-2% like in countries that are mass testing. And presuming that it's 100% infection rate, which even the worst case scenarios haven't been predicting.

    Ok I was maybe exaggerating speculation but their death rate daily is astonishing, heartbreaking :(:o


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,523 ✭✭✭standardg60


    Numbers down today for second day in a row, we are a generally compliant lot when it comes to following orders.
    Is there a trend emerging that countries never conquered are faring worst?
    #What have the British ever done for us


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,688 ✭✭✭AllGunsBlazing



    I'm actually beginning to think that Italians are somehow more susceptible to this virus. Nothing seems to be containing it over there.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Until a vaccine is found, how can life on the island return to normal? We certainly can't have flights all over the place, but having flight restrictions to northern Italy is probably something we can live with. However, in addition to that, given the apparent contagious nature of this illness, can we go back to public transport, schooling and social lives as they were? It would only take a few cases either undiagnosed or coming in from elsewhere to start a new cluster of contagion from which the crisis would start anew.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,578 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,808 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    Valhallapt wrote: »
    How many people in Ireland will have to die before the the government quarantine those arriving in from affected areas?

    Ireland is a pretty heavily affected area at this stage. Should we quarantine ourselves?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,858 ✭✭✭Steve F


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,220 ✭✭✭cameramonkey


    If you look at the graph for daily new case in Switzerland you can see that they have days when the numbers go down but as you can see the overall growth is up.

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/switzerland/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,113 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    rob316 wrote: »
    Cork from what I see is as good as locked down. Anything more is unwarranted at this stage. Businesses are trading still while practicing social distancing and those that can't have just closed. Compliance is largely high.

    Cork and Westmeath are joint first place as far as percentage of the population is concerned


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,756 ✭✭✭Pretzill


    Those photos from Italy :(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 622 ✭✭✭sheepsh4gger


    I don't agree with the original comment, but I don't agree with your maths either...

    Over the last week, worldwide deaths have almost doubled 5833 -> 11387.

    The previous week, 3599 -> 5833.

    This is about to really kick off soon in the US and UK, nevermind about India, Russia and Africa...

    Let's take a conservative (pessimistic) view that deaths will double every week...

    In 8 weeks, that is a total of 2,915,072 deaths worldwide.

    I'm not that doom and gloom or anything, just pointing the error in how you arrived at 82 thousand years.
    compound-interest-einstein.png


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,807 ✭✭✭Jurgen Klopp


    Steve F wrote: »
    Just to be clear here
    There is a mis conception that when a successful vaccine is developed this virus will "go away"
    Sadly NOT
    We have a seasonal 'flu vaccine but it doesn't go away
    The number of cases and deaths will be dramatically reduced but sadly it won't go away
    There are strong possibilities that it could mutate and lose it's potency which obviously will be very good news :)

    I wonder would it be naive compare it with with SARS and that post vaccine as model on how it may play out if we develop a vaccine


This discussion has been closed.
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