Coronavirus Part V - 34 cases in ROI, 16 in NI (as of 10 March) Read warnings in OP

gabeeg · 10-03-2020 03:14PM

4 new cases in NI. Total of 16.

fits · 10-03-2020 03:14PM

Mean incubation period is 5.1 days.

An analysis of publicly available data on infections from the new coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, that causes the respiratory illness COVID-19 yielded an estimate of 5.1 days for the median disease incubation period, according to a new study led by researchers at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. This median time from exposure to onset of symptoms suggests that the 14-day quarantine period used by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for individuals with likely exposure to the coronavirus is reasonable.

The analysis suggests that about 97.5 percent of people who develop symptoms of SARS-CoV-2 infection will do so within 11.5 days of exposure. The researchers estimated that for every 10,000 individuals quarantined for 14 days, only about 101 would develop symptoms after being released from quarantine.

The findings will be published online March 9 in the journal Annals of Internal Medicine.

Source

Kermit.de.frog · 10-03-2020 03:14PM

Stevieluvsye wrote: »

I wonder would the UK allow us to use the NHS up North if we had capacity issues

They have their own capacity issues.

igCorcaigh · 10-03-2020 03:15PM

Tootsie_1 wrote: »

Source ??

Sorry, sky news.

tobefrank321 · 10-03-2020 03:15PM

You'll have to get creative cherryghost.

Italian mother in laws are not exactly known for being hands off either. She'll probably plant a big kiss on your lips the moment she sees you in the airport.

Can you not tell her you've been ordered to isolate by your local doctor and no visitors are allowed?

megabomberman · 10-03-2020 03:16PM

Tootsie_1 wrote: »

Iran have 881 new cases ...

Updating by the hour now, they've got an impressive grip on this.

Naggdefy · 10-03-2020 03:16PM

gabeeg wrote: »

4 new cases in NI. Total of 16.

If our ratio is similar to recent increases there it would mean approx 8 for us today.

Sigma101 · 10-03-2020 03:16PM

otnomart wrote: »

Italy publishes: number of tests; positives; hospitalised; in intensive care; age profile of victims; comorbidities of victims https://www.iss.it/coronavirus/-/asset_publisher/1SRKHcCJJQ7E/content/id/5292020? and http://opendatadpc.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/dae18c330e8e4093

Remarkable stats from Italy there. Median age of those infected is 65. Only 4 deaths under 59 years of age. Fatalities at 4.3% and average age of fatalities over 80!

tobefrank321 · 10-03-2020 03:17PM

They could use Stormont as an isolation unit in NI. Its huge and empty most of the time, including now.

igCorcaigh · 10-03-2020 03:18PM

I've just been notified to work from home indefinitely, starting tomorrow. Cork based multi but most of my team work in USA.

RandomName2 · 10-03-2020 03:18PM

Sigma101 wrote: »

Remarkable stats from Italy there. Median age of those infected is 65. Only 4 deaths under 59 years of age. Fatalities at 4.3% and average age of fatalities over 80!

It is also worth nothing that, as their health service is currently in a state of collapse, that they are prioritizing younger patients.

quokula · 10-03-2020 03:18PM

Naggdefy wrote: »

Cheltenham... Racehorse festivals wouldn't stop for bubonic plague.

Back with foot in mouth in 2001 all sports events were cancelled. Yet Ruby and Ted Walsh were allowed go to Aintree for the Grand National. It's one sporting/business sector every Irish government can't ar*e kiss enough.

Cheltenham isn't in Ireland, the Irish government don't have the authority to cancel it.

10-03-2020 03:18PM

saabsaab wrote: »

What we may be facing soon!

They have and it terrible whats happening over there now, it really is, but the majority who are severe cases are still elderly as stats posted by other Italian doctors days ago show. Nonetheless all this is still grim reading.

facehugger99 · 10-03-2020 03:18PM

There's about to be an announcement that all schools nationally will close for 4 weeks from next Wednesday.

Kermit.de.frog · 10-03-2020 03:19PM

Spain has 415 new cases so far today and 5 new deaths.

Looks they are headed for new daily high of new cases.

PringleDemon · 10-03-2020 03:19PM

Stevieluvsye wrote: »

I wonder would the UK allow us to use the NHS up North if we had capacity issues

NHS in the north is a shambles with decades of under investment .

pad199207 · 10-03-2020 03:19PM

namloc1980 · 10-03-2020 03:19PM

facehugger99 wrote: »

There's about to be an announcement that all schools nationally will close for 4 weeks from next Wednesday.

Any source or just a rumour?

Miike · 10-03-2020 03:19PM

tobefrank321 wrote: »

They could use Stormont as an isolation unit in NI. Its huge and empty most of the time, including now.

The HSE have some left of field options of units to use. Non purpose built but ultimately places to treat people if push came to shove!

Boggles · 10-03-2020 03:20PM

namloc1980 wrote: »

Any source or just a rumour?

Media are starting to pick up on it, apparently the teachers have been told to prepare homework for kids.

Lord TSC · 10-03-2020 03:20PM

Been saying that for the last week. if the schools close, thats how it will be done. 3 weeks closure gives them five weeks off.

RandomName2 · 10-03-2020 03:20PM

Strazdas wrote: »

Nobody is saying "we'll be grand". By all means plan for a worst case scenario, but that doesn't mean you have the implement a worst case scenario strategy as your very first port of call.

Given that our case numbers are low, we still have enough time to weigh up our options ; the Govt could switch to a worse case scenario rapidly if they need to.

You've got a bit of cancer. Now, I'm not saying that you will be fine, but what I am suggesting is that you ignore it until you get noticeable symptoms. Surgery at this stage would be just too extreme an option for only a stage 2 carcinoma.

Naggdefy · 10-03-2020 03:21PM

quokula wrote: »

Cheltenham isn't in Ireland, the Irish government don't have the authority to cancel it.

They can stop Irish people traveling. Stade Francais rugby club is in Paris. The IRFU banned Munster playing them until late April 2001.

It's amazing what you can stop if the will is there.

tobefrank321 · 10-03-2020 03:22PM

Miike wrote: »

The HSE have some left of field options of units to use. Non purpose built but ultimately places to treat people if push came to shove!

Some larger workplaces will be shutdown and could be turned into isolation units for the milder cases. I'd imagine school gyms could be stocked with beds, seems to be what they did in China.

DOCARCH · 10-03-2020 03:22PM

Lord TSC wrote: »

Been saying that for the last week. if the schools close, thats how it will be done. 3 weeks closure gives them five weeks off.

Loads of time to head off to northern Italy for a trip!

ironingbored · 10-03-2020 03:23PM

I lived in Italy for a decade and still have relatives there.

Bear in mind, Italy has a world class Health Service especially so in the North, multi-agency law enforcement structure (Polizia, Carabinieri, Municipale, Penitenziaria, GdF, etc), (semi) professional "Civil Defence" organisations, Red Cross, Green Cross, White Cross, well-trained specialist military & navy (e.g. Alpine troops, etc) and decades of experience with major earthquakes, volcanoes, terrorism, organised crime, people trafficking and disaster management.

If they are struggling, we should be very worried and treat this with the utmost seriousness.

quokula · 10-03-2020 03:23PM

Naggdefy wrote: »

They can stop Irish people traveling. Stade Francais rugby club is in Paris. The IRFU banned Munster playing them until late April 2001.

It's amazing what you can stop if the will is there.

So we should ban travel to the UK now? Close the border with Northern Ireland?

Tootsie_1 · 10-03-2020 03:23PM

I wonder how many babies there will be born in 9 - 10 months as the amount of people in self isolation increases ....

Cw85 · 10-03-2020 03:23PM

54 new cases in the UK, not a massive jump compared to other EU countries

Stevieluvsye · 10-03-2020 03:23PM

facehugger99 wrote: »

There's about to be an announcement that all schools nationally will close for 4 weeks from next Wednesday.

I got a call this morning telling me this but not to "Put it up on that stupid baords place"

Coronavirus Part V - 34 cases in ROI, 16 in NI (as of 10 March) *Read warnings in OP*

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Coronavirus Part V - 34 cases in ROI, 16 in NI (as of 10 March) Read warnings in OP