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Coronavirus Part V - 34 cases in ROI, 16 in NI (as of 10 March) *Read warnings in OP*

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,646 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005


    sdanseo wrote: »
    When the post-mortem (apologies for the morbid pun) is done on the response to this crisis, there will be a clear winner. China, despite causing the whole thing, will be lauded as having cracked down hard and prevented spread.

    Europe, Ireland included, will be villified as caught on the hop, too slow to respond, and not taking the threat seriously. Compounded by continuing to do so once they realised it was too late for containment.

    Who will be dong the judging. America and Africa?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,756 ✭✭✭Pretzill


    I have a GP appointment tomorrow - (it's neccessary...otherwise I wouldn't go) Anyone think it would be rude to ring them from the carpark and ask they ring me back when the Doctor is ready for me? I'm going to try my best to limit my time in public now...at least until we get clear directives about this epidemic. There are some needed appointments to attend in the coming weeks but I'm going to take every preventative measure I can to limit contact with this...however, today I have a bad chest and a slight cough. I'm just hoping it's not already here...I mean how do any of us know we haven't been in contact with this already...how often do any of us catch a cold?

    I'm getting fed up of being told not to panic and then on Sunday we hear projections of 1.9 million sufferers - Crisis, What Crisis?


  • Posts: 8,647 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Hospital Biochem labs cannot test for Coronavirus. Only the NVRL in UCD has the ability to do these tests.

    And according to this, they do daily bloods if delivered there by 10am. I thought my hospital was doing the testing as we had a negative result in under 7 hours.
    https://nvrl.ucd.ie/node/209

    martina1991 seems to know her stuff regarding biochem labs so I'll refrain from commenting on them as I don't know their full workings. All I can say is that they are a vital aspect of a hospital and the place would fall apart at the e weekend if their (underappreciated) work was not done.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,337 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    sdanseo wrote: »
    When the post-mortem (apologies for the morbid pun) is done on the response to this crisis, there will be a clear winner. China, despite causing the whole thing, will be lauded as having cracked down hard and prevented spread.

    Europe, Ireland included, will be villified as caught on the hop, too slow to respond, and not taking the threat seriously. Compounded by continuing to do so once they realised it was too late for containment.

    They could admit they were wrong tomorrow and it won't save them. The ECDC and WHO guidelines dictate most EU countries response here and they are going to cause untold devastation even if deaths are only 0.1%.
    China fúcked up but their response was magnificent. The west stuck its head in the sand.

    China was caught on the hop. The virus spread through Hubei for most of december before they even started testing people. That's why their numbers increased exponentially in the first few days and ours have increased gradually. You've got it backwards. Italy were also caught on the hop though to a lesser extent. In the press conference yesterday they said that 300 of the 1200 new cases had been diagnosed earlier in the week, they were still playing catch up and probably still are now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,843 ✭✭✭✭thebaz


    according to this website China has only had 80,000 cases for a population of 1 Billion - Why are we expecting around 40% infecions when China where the number of infections are now reducing daily only had 80,000 , given the poplulation of Wuhan the epi -centre is 11 million.

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,474 ✭✭✭Obvious Desperate Breakfasts


    No, you are way oversimplifying the testing process. It's not like a pregnancy test.

    This. People have a very simplistic view of what testing entails.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    hmmm link not working to article looks like deleted

    SCqHCoW.png


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,269 ✭✭✭Runaways


    Corona is going to completely kill all cinema box office returns this year

    China and south Korea have closed all cinemas. Sensible move.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 225 ✭✭Computer Science Student


    The true infected rate is now believed to be almost 1000 on the island of Ireland.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,337 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    The true infected rate is now believed to be almost 1000 on the island of Ireland.

    I heard its actually closer to 17 million


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,454 ✭✭✭mloc123


    The true infected rate is now believed to be almost 1000 on the island of Ireland.

    Thanks for generating a new random number


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,817 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    thebaz wrote: »
    according to this website China has only had 80,000 cases for a population of 1 Billion - Why are we expecting around 40% infecions when China where the number of infections are now reducing daily only had 80,000 , given the poplulation of Wuhan the epi -centre is 11 million.

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

    Is the number of infections in China actually falling, or is that just what the regime is telling the world is happening?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,575 ✭✭✭WhiteMemento9


    And according to this, they do daily bloods if delivered there by 10am. I thought my hospital was doing the testing as we had a negative result in under 7 hours.
    https://nvrl.ucd.ie/node/209

    Honestly, people like you are a disaster for misinformation in these kinds of situations. So sure of the truth and then when called on it just switch to another story.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    Runaways wrote: »
    Corona is going to completely kill all cinema box office returns this year

    China and south Korea have closed all cinemas. Sensible move.

    James Bond makers put their movie out 7 months in anticipation


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,487 ✭✭✭embraer170


    thebaz wrote: »
    according to this website China has only had 80,000 cases for a population of 1 Billion - Why are we expecting around 40% infecions when China where the number of infections are now reducing daily only had 80,000 , given the poplulation of Wuhan the epi -centre is 11 million.

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

    Because China took drastic measures?

    Not even the latest measures in Italy come anywhere close to what China did.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,743 ✭✭✭✭josip


    Pretzill wrote: »
    I have a GP appointment tomorrow - (it's neccessary...otherwise I wouldn't go) Anyone think it would be rude to ring them from the carpark and ask they ring me back when the Doctor is ready for me? I'm going to try my best to limit my time in public now...at least until we get clear directives about this epidemic. There are some needed appointments to attend in the coming weeks but I'm going to take every preventative measure I can to limit contact with this...however, today I have a bad chest and a slight cough. I'm just hoping it's not already here...I mean how do any of us know we haven't been in contact with this already...how often do any of us catch a cold?

    I'm getting fed up of being told not to panic and then on Sunday we hear projections of 1.9 million sufferers - Crisis, What Crisis?

    Pseudonym121, a hospital consultant, said they were already recommending waiting in cars to their patients.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,972 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    The true infected rate is now believed to be almost 1000 on the island of Ireland.

    Believed by who CSS ?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,554 ✭✭✭SeaBreezes


    thebaz wrote: »
    according to this website China has only had 80,000 cases for a population of 1 Billion - Why are we expecting around 40% infecions when China where the number of infections are now reducing daily only had 80,000 , given the poplulation of Wuhan the epi -centre is 11 million.

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

    Because 11 million people in Wuhan have not left their appartments in 2 months? Can't see that happening here..


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    spookwoman wrote: »
    hmmm link not working to article looks like deleted

    SCqHCoW.png

    They've been in isolation since Thursday? With an incubation period of up to 14 days.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,449 ✭✭✭Call Me Jimmy


    sdanseo wrote: »
    When the post-mortem (apologies for the morbid pun) is done on the response to this crisis, there will be a clear winner. China, despite causing the whole thing, will be lauded as having cracked down hard and prevented spread.

    Europe, Ireland included, will be villified as caught on the hop, too slow to respond, and not taking the threat seriously. Compounded by continuing to do so once they realised it was too late for containment.

    They could admit they were wrong tomorrow and it won't save them. The ECDC and WHO guidelines dictate most EU countries response here and they are going to cause untold devastation even if deaths are only 0.1%.
    China fúcked up but their response was magnificent. The west stuck its head in the sand.

    It remains to be seen can they get people back to work. I've heard some indication that places like Shanghai are getting back to normal in the last week but I'd imagine when they are really firinig on all cylinders we'll hear about it.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    lostatsea wrote: »
    Anyway, that is my analysis based on the numbers I’m seeing. I may prove to be hopelessly wrong.
    Agree with most of this, Active cases being the most important factor (for assuming fatality rate).

    However most forecasts have Europe still 12wks (approx) away from a peak figure {doubling every 5-7days}.

    No country can easily replicate Chinas measures (they even have cops walking with helmet build in iRed temp cams), not to mention widespread FRSystems to pick wanted faces out of a crowd.

    A quick look at the distribution maps show the Americas (N&S) are about to undergo huge upsurge in cases, perhaps doubling well before every 5 days.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14 WriteThings


    lostatsea wrote: »
    The most important number, in terms of controlling this virus, is the number of Active cases. In China, this number has been falling for a number of weeks. The Active cases number is calculated by subtracting the Recovered cases and Deaths from Confirmed Cases. It was reported yesterday there were no new cases of the virus in Hubei province outside Wuhan. In many provinces around China, the number of Active cases is now in very low numbers (0--50) having had confirmed cases in the hundreds.

    Media outlets are concentrating on the number of Confirmed cases whereas the number of Active cases is a better indicator of our ability to control this virus. My most recent visit to the website shows the following numbers worldwide:

    I don't think there's any fault to your logic here in terms of numbers and chronology, but you're discounting the fact that China is a very different country with a very different government, and that the CCP have taken several draconian measures to reach the levels of containment they've reached.

    In affected Chinese provinces, public areas are still being disinfected pretty much constantly. And they're empty, because every household has one "pass" that allows one person to leave their home once every three days to get essential provisions. The penalties for breaking quarantine are severe. Doors have been welded closed to ensure compliance. People suspected of having Covid-19, who may well have no more than a common cold, have been dragged off into quarantine where they are much more likely to actually get it.

    I don't see any Western government attempting these measures, let alone doing so with any success. And that's why I think the spread in European countries and the USA will continue on without seeing the same dip until so many people have been infected that herd immunity starts to have a protective effect or a vaccine is produced.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,720 ✭✭✭Dave0301


    thebaz wrote: »
    according to this website China has only had 80,000 cases for a population of 1 Billion - Why are we expecting around 40% infecions when China where the number of infections are now reducing daily only had 80,000 , given the poplulation of Wuhan the epi -centre is 11 million.

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

    Because they shut down a city of 11 million people and most of the country.

    We can't even decide if we are going to cancel some parades yet :pac:

    Look at the steps that Italy are having to take.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    They've been in isolation since Thursday? With an incubation period of up to 14 days.
    I know breaking their own guidelines. Don't what's going on, are those not showing ok to go back to work and they have 100 now in iso or is everyone still in iso


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 784 ✭✭✭LaFuton


    Pretzill wrote: »
    I have...

    I'm getting fed up of being told not to panic and then on Sunday we hear projections of 1.9 million sufferers - Crisis, What Crisis?

    dude u are 100 percentile right, sit in the car and if the dont facilitate that wear a mask or sit by a window maybe

    this thing could already be amongst us like a mychorriza

    why not take every precaution we can? fear of lookin silly? fúck them, its gettin real, u dont want ur parent or ur child dying coz u were embarrassed for people's little comments


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Rob A. Bank


    gabeeg wrote: »
    Funerals have been suspended in Italy.

    Think about this for a second. Your loved one gets sick. Then gets very sick. You call the hospital. They send an ambulance. You're not allowed to go with him/her because of the risk of virus spreading and basic capacity. You rush a goodbye. Then nothing. You ring frequently to try to find out how he/she is doing, but never get any info other than he/she is still being treated. A few days pass and you get a phone call. He/she got pneumonia and passed away. They are not releasing the body and can't say if they ever will.

    Heartbreaking.

    It has happened already in the UK... The family said they were unable to arrange a funeral for him because they were self-isolating.
    "This whole nightmare is not something that we or our loved one asked for...

    "As we are in isolation currently, we cannot arrange for him to be put to rest, and with all the activity that is going around with regards to everyone's concerns, we cannot grieve him as we would wish to."

    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-51784498


  • Posts: 8,647 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Honestly, people like you are a disaster for misinformation in these kinds of situations. So sure of the truth and then when called on it just switch to another story.

    If that's what you believe. I am trying to be completely honest and rational in my responses on this thread. I genuinely am passionate for patient safety and would hate to see some of the panic on this thread lead to an entirely preventable death.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,449 ✭✭✭Call Me Jimmy


    spookwoman wrote: »

    What's this? Thought it was 60


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,843 ✭✭✭✭thebaz


    embraer170 wrote: »
    Because China took drastic measures?

    Not even the latest measures in Italy come anywhere close to what China did.

    But for the initial month - Christmas to January , the virus would have been rampant cause they would have been unaware of it -


This discussion has been closed.
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