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Coronavirus Part IV - 19 cases in ROI, 7 in NI (as of 7 March) *Read warnings in OP*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 309 ✭✭Pseudonym121


    igCorcaigh wrote: »
    Yeah, I'm thinking around 1pc or under, but concerned about how it could rise when health systems are overcome.

    Any thoughts of the 17 to 20pc cases is serious/critical?

    Thoughts about them in what sense?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭Ohmeha


    "It's the economy stupid".
    They're doing everything in their power to reduce disruption for as long as possible and keep panic down.
    Preventing the spread of the virus is less important to them. Theyre not willing to take draconian actions like grounding flights, so are focusing on managing it rather than preventing it.
    Exactly putting aside the more important human cost, they are kicking the can down the road on the economic and fiscal costs which is what Irish governments have been exemplary at over the decades


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,591 ✭✭✭bennyl10


    And this is based on nothing but if it makes anybody reading it feel better so be it.

    It's a pandemic most of us are going to get it.

    It’s based on figures we currently have, where in No country has a majority of the population been infected.

    On current figures, world wide, every country, the majority will not be infected.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,086 ✭✭✭Nijmegen


    bennyl10 wrote: »
    Nurses are well isolated? Well isolated from a virus?
    Teachers that deal with children all day, are well isolated?

    Don’t turn this into a public v private thing because there is zero point or actual fact to back up anything.
    There is as many public sector people who have means to be well protected as there are private.

    And there aren’t as many private sector people in direct like of fire from this

    Yeah the vast majority of public servants aren’t nurses or other frontline workers. But here we have another example of govt immediately looking after them without having any specific measures in place for private sector workers, only vague promises. Fact is that today a person in public sector can isolate themselves without risk to their income, while a private sector worker will have to take the risk because they can’t afford 6 days waiting to get the scratch.

    It’s not so much private vs public as government being able to get themselves together quickly for everyone.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    As a doctor who obviously knew about the viral outbreak, he should know that viruses take time to develop and he felt sick and continued on going into work dealing with sick patients.

    We're ****ed if the HSE are continuing their bull**** and telling people they're grand unless they show symptoms.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,489 ✭✭✭omerin


    I cant understand why Harris is still in situ, actually i can and it is because our leader hasnt a backbone and the opposition couldnt organise a piss up at a brewery. If there wont be a government in place for possibly a few months, surely now is the time to replace him with soneone that is competent before he ****s up this aswell. We need someone with the cohonas to drive this and not someone who is never slow for a soundbite but lacks everywhere else


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,591 ✭✭✭gabeeg


    I think the US are in the worst shape of all western countries.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,280 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    odyssey06 wrote: »
    Italy just did deem most of those things unsafe.
    And we have to start somewhere.

    Why start with the parade if we're in such peril? The thing lasts for about two hours.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,514 ✭✭✭MoonUnit75


    I read this as 'Sinn Fein mayor'.:o

    Sinn Fein have ruled out Coronavirus for those on the housing waiting list, the unemployed and low earners.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,214 ✭✭✭giveitholly


    omerin wrote: »
    I cant understand why Harris is still in situ, actually i can and it is because our leader hasnt a backbone and the opposition couldnt organise a piss up at a brewery. If there wont be a government in place for possibly a few months, surely now is the time to replace him with soneone that is competent before he ****s up this aswell. We need someone with the cohonas to drive this and not someone who is never slow for a soundbite but lacks everywhere else

    Simon Harris is only the person put out in front of the cameras,he is not the person making the decisions


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,296 ✭✭✭AmberGold


    Just throwing this out there as maybe some unfortunate might be in the same position.

    One of the lads in work (UK based) went to northern Italy on a skiing holiday mid Feb, came back early last week. He, his wife and daughter all very sick with a flu like illness, very productive cough and high temperature.

    Went into self isolation and reported themselves to the NHS, had blood test earlier this week and results yesterday, all negative for COVID.

    An odd coincidence, we all had him down as having it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,266 ✭✭✭Juwwi


    It started out at 15% and has fallen hugely to about 1-2% due to a combination of

    A. Actually diagnosing more people with it now where those people were undiagnosed before this inflating the mortality rate.

    B. They have learned what works in treatment. You have to remember this was a brand new illness no-one has ever seen before a few months ago.

    But, bottom line the death rate isn’t the 15% some scaremongers are quoting and it won’t even be the 3.4% that WHO has recently stated - this is due to some statistical issues I won’t waste time going into here.

    Bottom line 1 - 2 % of all infected individuals so long as the ventilators have capacity. It’ll increase if and when they are fully occupied obviously.


    Do many end up in hospital on ventilators as opposed to fighting it at home yourself do you know ?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 309 ✭✭Pseudonym121


    gmisk wrote: »
    Low risk if under 65/70.
    I think a lot of the younger categories had a death rate at roughly 0.2%

    In China for the last figures I saw they had no deaths in children under 10 and only one death in individuals between 11 and 19.

    So, mortality just creeps up with every ten year stratum of age.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,937 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    gabeeg wrote: »
    I think the US are in the worst shape of all western countries.

    The orange one was out today telling people to work through it on his hunch the death stats arent really that bad....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,458 ✭✭✭Ninthlife


    Strazdas wrote: »
    Why start with the parade if we're in such peril? The thing lasts for about two hours.

    And involves couple of hundred thousand people all in one small enough area


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,181 ✭✭✭CinemaGuy45


    tuxy wrote: »
    WHO say it is not.......

    tenor.gif?itemid=5821111


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 288 ✭✭citysights


    Blueshoe wrote: »
    With all of the virus excitement going on I'm just wondering have we forgotten that we don't have a government ? Or does that matter anymore. Seems to have disappeared

    Was just thinking same today, hard to believe election was only a few weeks ago, seems like a life time since then.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,444 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    gabeeg wrote: »
    I think the US are in the worst shape of all western countries.

    Zero sick pay for the majority of workers and insane medical bills will mean many people there will just carry on even with symptoms.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,996 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    Nijmegen wrote: »
    She’s going out of her way to be really disrespectful to the Chinese ambassador.

    The Professor of experimental immunology. - explains the issues succinctly - St Patrick's Day should not go ahead. Coughing and sneezing is the main mode of transmission - handwashing alone is not a panacea. Flights should have been curtailed

    Makes you wonder are the HSE simply making it up as they go along...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,575 ✭✭✭RandomName2


    ussjtrunks wrote: »
    In general for a healthy adult how bad has it been?

    Are there any cases of it effecting people without underling illness badly?

    In general it seems to have a fatality rate of 2%. Apparently for younger/ not at risk people it is only 0.2%

    But if containment totally fails, and 20% of the world's population is infected and current figures are right, that would be 28 million dead in about a year, right? (That's about how many the Spanish flu killed, incidentally)


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    AmberGold wrote: »
    Just throwing this out there as maybe some unfortunate might be in the same position.

    One of the lads in work (UK based) went to northern Italy on a skiing holiday mid Feb, came back early last week. He, his wife and daughter all very sick with a flu like illness, very productive cough and high temperature.

    Went into self isolation and reported themselves to the NHS, had blood test earlier this week and results yesterday, all negative for COVID.

    An odd coincidence, we all had him down as having it.

    Sometimes at the beginning of the virus, a test won't show up positive. Test again in a few days and it will be positive.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,140 ✭✭✭✭Atlantic Dawn
    GDY151


    Is there any news on patient 1 the woman from NIRL, how is she now? A progress update might calm fears, then again if she's not the best it will only add to peoples worries.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,039 ✭✭✭✭retro:electro


    Italia 20


  • Posts: 8,647 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    gmisk wrote: »
    The public sector is open to all the great utopia that it is....lol
    I make significantly less in public sector than I would in private sector but hey I made my choice.

    I also earn less in the HSE than the if I was in private sector.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,606 ✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    tuxy wrote: »
    WHO say it is not [a pandemic].......

    it is though,
    what's WHO's criteria for declaring a pandemic, I'd love to know


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,280 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Ninthlife wrote: »
    And involves couple of hundred thousand people all in one small enough area

    Yes, but the logical conclusion is you then have to ban all large public gatherings before and after March 17th. How can Croke Park, the Aviva or the 3 Arena be safe if the parade is "unsafe".


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 14,983 ✭✭✭✭tuxy


    In general it seems to have a fatality rate of 2%. Apparently for younger/ not at risk people it is only 0.2%

    But if containment totally fails, and 20% of the world's population is infected and current figures are right, that would be 28 million dead in about a year, right? (That's about how many the Spanish flu killed, incidentally)

    Not comparable since the population of the world was under 2 billion at the time.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 779 ✭✭✭Arrival


    ussjtrunks wrote: »
    In general for a healthy adult how bad has it been?

    Are there any cases of it effecting people without underling illness badly?

    The stats from Italy today say that 54% of active cases required treatment in hospital. It's seriously worrying that so many people in this country can't comprehend the implications of these kinds of stats for ourselves, especially considering the flow of Irish and Italians to and from Italy


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,111 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    it is though,
    what's WHO's criteria for declaring a pandemic, I'd love to know

    They no longer have a criteria for it sic we can no longer declare a pandemic


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,112 ✭✭✭Louche Lad


    Swine flu hysteria? It killed half a million people you know. I am not joking.

    Given that it infected nearly 20% of the world's population, that's not an incredibly bad fatality rate.

    I had not realized that containment of swine flu simply failed. Attitudes like yours need to be curtailed or ignored. All pandemics start with a single individual. The longer it takes for people to take it seriously the more difficult it is to do anything about it.

    It looks likely that it is too late in relation to covid-19. Hopefully it doesn't do well in warm weather. Given the lack of southern hemisphere and african cases currently, that may be true.

    It's spreading in New South Wales where temperatures are in the 20s. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/05/coronavirus-darwin-tourist-becomes-first-in-nt-to-test-positive-as-australian-cases-rise-to-52


This discussion has been closed.
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