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new coronavirus outbreak China, Korea, USA - mod warnings in OP (updated 24/02/20)

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,661 ✭✭✭Duke of Url


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Late again with Hubei numbers - making sure they are not too scary

    What like how many people decided to show up at the hospital today?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,179 ✭✭✭✭fr336


    Here in UK I was worried about no deal Brexit having an effect on medical supplies, food etc - that was a needless worry as clearly the politicians were never going to let it happen. Then this bloody thing comes along!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,079 ✭✭✭skimpydoo


    gozunda wrote: »
    Most of our toilet paper is imported from the UK ...
    You think Asian Jacks Paper is sold here?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,912 ✭✭✭✭bodhrandude


    givyjoe wrote: »
    Twitter is the gift that keeps giving this evening. This absolute bell end of a woman lied about about clear on their test to get off her cruise ship.

    https://twitter.com/livecrisisnews/status/1230975076322902022?s=19

    What a prize twerp.

    If you want to get into it, you got to get out of it. (Hawkwind 1982)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,079 ✭✭✭skimpydoo


    fr336 wrote: »
    Here in UK I was worried about no deal Brexit having an effect on medical supplies, food etc - that was a needless worry as clearly the politicians were never going to let it happen. Then this bloody thing comes along!
    Brexit will have an effect on medical supplies. The uranium used to create cancer treatment is imported from France and has a 6 day shelf life.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,179 ✭✭✭✭fr336


    Sorry for multiple posts but I've progressed from stage 1) Hopeful of avoiding it to stage 2) Hoping my older close relatives would be able to fight it :(


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,577 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    fr336 wrote: »
    Here in UK I was worried about no deal Brexit having an effect on medical supplies, food etc - that was a needless worry as clearly the politicians were never going to let it happen. Then this bloody thing comes along!
    Don't forget the (360bn) African locust plague, currently on it's way to China's Western border. Will likely turn and head for Yorkshire or somewhere, once it warms up a bit as the ice melts on the NorthPole and simultaneously Wormwood appears upon skies above.

    In other news, the NHS there is rolling out home testing kits, to save people showing up at A&E, getting lost, and wandering around various hospital wards with the Kung-flu dry cough (like what happened last week).
    https://www.england.nhs.uk/2020/02/nhs-statement-on-home-testing-for-coronavirus/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,179 ✭✭✭✭fr336


    skimpydoo wrote: »
    Brexit will have an effect on medical supplies. The uranium used to create cancer treatment is imported from France and has a 6 day shelf life.

    But it's now assumed we won't be going for a no deal Brexit. In any case it wouldn't happen till at least Dec 31st 2020, and if Coronavirus has had no major impact on us all by then I'd be feeling very grateful...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,179 ✭✭✭✭fr336


    Don't forget the (360bn) African locust plague, currently on it's way to China's Western border. Will likely turn and head for Yorkshire or somewhere, once it warms up a bit as the ice melts on the NorthPole and simultaneously Wormwood appears upon skies above.

    In other news, the NHS there is rolling out home testing kits, to save people showing up at A&E, getting lost, and wandering around various hospital wards with the Kung-flu dry cough (like what happened last week).
    https://www.england.nhs.uk/2020/02/nhs-statement-on-home-testing-for-coronavirus/

    Yorkshire or somewhere lol, thanks for the positivity!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,409 ✭✭✭old_aussie


    Coronavirus has spread to the Chinese penal system

    Thousands of prisoners affected, the death sentence for most.

    On local Wollongong radio, news of Chinese military bases affected and are now in lock down.

    If ya gonna do it Donny, now's the time to wage war on China. Just hold back on the ground troops for a while.

    North Korea will be decimated as no resources/medical skills available for mass infections.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,268 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Another case in Italy, in Cremona.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,577 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    The big chief at the WHO said today this is where were at:

    nyPL1LB.png

    Really it was at that stage last Monday fortnight, around 4pm.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,268 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    CCP tells big chief how it is


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,949 ✭✭✭ChikiChiki


    Feck it, reckon I will double/triple buy some stuff in tomorrow's Aldi shop. Would only take a few cases to break out here for it to be suddenly top of RTE news and panic to set in.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,214 ✭✭✭wylo


    ChikiChiki wrote: »
    Feck it, reckon I will double/triple buy some stuff in tomorrow's Aldi shop. Would only take a few cases to break out here for it to be suddenly top of RTE news and panic to set in.


    A few? more like 1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,193 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Checking Hubei gov site and no news - are they just releasing numbers for the whole of China now

    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1231015859168124928


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,268 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Checking Hubei gov site and no news - are they just releasing numbers for the whole of China now

    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1231015859168124928

    Guess what the fatality rate is....again


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,193 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    And another case in Italy but not to worry China's got it under control - next week the dead will be rising as their numbers mysteriously go into negative figures


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,134 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    Nothing to worry about, just a little update from the Imperial College London* centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis


    Summary Report 6
    Since the start of the COVID-19 epidemic in late 2019, there are now 29 affected regions and countries with over 1000 confirmed cases outside of mainland China. In previous reports, we estimated the likely epidemic size in Wuhan City based on air traffic volumes and the number of detected cases internationally. Here we analysed COVID-19 cases exported from mainland China to different regions and countries, comparing the country-specific rates of detected and confirmed cases per flight volume to estimate the relative sensitivity of surveillance in different countries. Although travel restrictions from Wuhan City and other cities across China may have reduced the absolute number of travellers to and from China, we estimated that about two thirds of COVID-19 cases exported from mainland China have remained undetected worldwide, potentially resulting in multiple chains of as yet undetected human-to-human transmission outside mainland China.

    https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news--wuhan-coronavirus/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,214 ✭✭✭wylo


    https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/

    The disproportionate death rate between inside and outside of the epicentre gives me hope.

    Outside it, at a glance it seems more like .3% rather than 2%.

    And the sample size has gotten big enough now to make a call on that.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,193 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    South Korea looks a bit fecked - 142 new cases


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    wylo wrote: »
    https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/

    The disproportionate death rate between inside and outside of the epicentre gives me hope.

    Outside it, at a glance it seems more like .3% rather than 2%.

    And the sample size has gotten big enough now to make a call on that.

    3.5% in Hubei, 0.75% mainland China outside Hubei, 1% globally/internationally

    I think it will turn out to be about 0.4-1% overall. Perhaps varying by country depending on the general health of citizens, age profile of the country, and standards of healthcare

    The outcome of the infected patients on board the Princess Diamon will effectively prove exactly what the total mortality rate is though in the 50+ age group. I think its pretty obvious by now that the mortality rate in those under 40 is not any more than seasonal influenza.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,577 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Once it starts to get beyond bingo type of numbers for any country e.g. 88 cases, they're donald ducked.

    Roll up the drawbridge there Róisín.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,214 ✭✭✭wylo


    wakka12 wrote: »
    3.5% in Hubei, 0.75% mainland China outside Hubei, 1% globally/internationally

    Is the 1% excluding Hubei or including it?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    wylo wrote: »
    Is the 1% excluding Hubei or including it?

    3.5% for Hubei only. 0.75% for all other Chinese provinces excluding Hubei.
    1% for all countries outside of China. 15 deaths outside China, 1500 cases, 1% exactly


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    Nearly 350 cases in South Korea now..10x the number of cases it had 48 hours ago

    That super spreader wan really did a number on them


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,268 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 14,980 ✭✭✭✭tuxy


    old_aussie wrote: »
    Coronavirus has spread to the Chinese penal system

    Thousands of prisoners affected, the death sentence for most.

    Since most people recover with no medical intervention how is this possible?
    Do China plan to execute all infected inmates?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    South Korea today reported at least 5 times more cases than mainland China (outside Hubei) despite China having 30x times higher population...seems a bit off!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 731 ✭✭✭Carol25


    wakka12 wrote: »
    3.5% in Hubei, 0.75% mainland China outside Hubei, 1% globally/internationally

    I think it will turn out to be about 0.4-1% overall. Perhaps varying by country depending on the general health of citizens, age profile of the country, and standards of healthcare

    The outcome of the infected patients on board the Princess Diamon will effectively prove exactly what the total mortality rate is though in the 50+ age group. I think its pretty obvious by now that the mortality rate in those under 40 is not any more than seasonal influenza.

    Is it though? Why are the critical conditions in Italy 40 year olds...


This discussion has been closed.
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