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new coronavirus outbreak China, Korea, USA - mod warnings in OP (updated 24/02/20)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    Theres not really any reason to believe that those numbers are real. Like is there any proof at all? I dont think China could get away with hiding 25k+ bodies from the CDC, WHO, expats, Chinese people with internet


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,376 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    wakka12 wrote: »
    Theres not really any reason to believe that those numbers are real. Like is there any proof at all? I dont think China could get away with hiding 25k+ bodies from the CDC, WHO, expats, Chinese people with internet

    You could if you told everyone to stay in your house and stay off the streets...oh wait...:eek:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,524 ✭✭✭Gynoid


    If those figures are actual figures - big IF - perhaps it is dead - cured instead of cured - dead on the reading order?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,740 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    wakka12 wrote: »
    Theres not really any reason to believe that those numbers are real. Like is there any proof at all? I dont think China could get away with hiding 25k+ bodies from the CDC, WHO, expats, Chinese people with internet

    There are people who relish in creating more fear and panic in situations like this. I'm surprised we haven't had the "fema death camp" thing come up again. Give it time and we'll have posts about how someone's cousins friends aunt works in a walmart that they've closed down to lock up sick people.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,376 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Gynoid wrote: »
    If those figures are actual figures - big IF - perhaps it is dead - cured instead of cured - dead on the reading order?

    The order is correct - cant see them doing deaths in green lol
    https://news.qq.com//zt2020/page/feiyan.htm?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf#rumor


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,524 ✭✭✭Gynoid


    fritzelly wrote: »

    The last 2 figures on that site are different from the previously linked image


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 484 ✭✭little bess


    Are the figures below the numbers Chinese numerals? If they’re Chinese numerals they look similar to the current figures.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,671 ✭✭✭Tin Foil Hat


    wakka12 wrote: »
    Theres not really any reason to believe that those numbers are real. Like is there any proof at all? I dont think China could get away with hiding 25k+ bodies from the CDC, WHO, expats, Chinese people with internet

    You'd imagine if it was that deadly, we would be seeing evidence of that from the 200 plus cases outside China at this stage.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,449 ✭✭✭Call Me Jimmy


    wakka12 wrote: »
    Theres not really any reason to believe that those numbers are real. Like is there any proof at all? I dont think China could get away with hiding 25k+ bodies from the CDC, WHO, expats, Chinese people with internet

    Not saying it's happening at all let alone at that scale, but

    How would the CDC, WHO, expats, chinese people with internet be able to expose it?
    Everybody is staying inside, can't use a car, are threatened and removed from social media if they dare upload videos of what they can see (which are reflexively called bull**** by everyone on the outside) and the government say there are to be no funerals, just immediately cremate the bodies. Seems pretty easy to hide quite a lot.
    Again not saying it's happening at all, but with the CCP I have a hunch that there is some shady **** going.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,376 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Gynoid wrote: »
    The last 2 figures on that site are different from the previously linked image

    That site is the live figures that the image is supposed to be from before they fixed the figures


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,189 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Gynoid wrote: »
    The last 2 figures on that site are different from the previously linked image


    So are the first two, looks like that originally linked image was faked


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,376 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Are the figures below the numbers Chinese numerals? If they’re Chinese numerals they look similar to the current figures.

    The figures above the bold figures are the increase from the previous day
    The stuff below the figures is the wording Confirmed, suspected, cured, dead


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,471 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog




    If that number of police turned up in my time of need id feel special and loved :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,166 ✭✭✭Fr_Dougal


    You'd imagine if it was that deadly, we would be seeing evidence of that from the 200 plus cases outside China at this stage.

    Exactly. Go by the increase in non-Chinese deaths as an indicator.

    But you’d have to look at the actions of various governments, are they being over cautious, or do they have additional information. The general public will be drip fed information on a need to know basis.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 207 ✭✭megatron989


    If 20k are infected, 1000 died and 1000 are cured (rounded off obviously) then am I to understand 18k are still sick?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,376 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly




    If that number of police turned up in my time of need id feel special and loved :)

    Had seen that a few days ago but no translation so dismissed it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,189 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Fr_Dougal wrote: »
    Exactly. Go by the increase in non-Chinese deaths as an indicator.

    But you’d have to look at the actions of various governments, are they being over cautious, or do they have additional information. The general public will be drip fed information on a need to know basis.


    No because the reports are its an incredibly intensive regime to try and treat so one of the likely reasons the international deaths are still so low is the hospitals are able to dedicate a large amount of staff to single patients where in China they are completely overwhelmed


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,286 ✭✭✭givyjoe


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Not really into posting unsubstantiated reports but (this is the QQ site which maintains the official figures)

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EP0fXhQUwAAjR-L?format=jpg&name=small


    Figures are in order Confirmed/Suspected/Cured/Dead
    The cured is the almost as alarming as the real death count/mortality rate. Fcuk me.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,923 ✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    If 20k are infected, 1000 died and 1000 are cured (rounded off obviously) then am I to understand 18k are still sick?

    i would presume 20k still sick, patients are categorised as either suspected / confirmed / cured / dead as appropriate


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,992 ✭✭✭✭gozunda




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,548 ✭✭✭Martina1991


    fritzelly wrote:
    This is the very worrying thing about this virus - don't know if it's the case for other viruses. People all over the world could be getting sent home thinking everything is fine

    Is it just the undetectable part of the virus in that it is very slow to incubate until a certain point where it then fully blooms
    Like all viruses, they take time to replicate, multiply and infect the host.

    The incubation period for the common cold or flu is 24-72 hours. This seems to be longer than that.

    So you can have negative test results until the virus has multiplied to a level that can be detected.

    Assays are constantly being improved and developed to be more sensitive and detect disease as early as possible but when you're dealing with a brand new strain, you cant rush the science.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,202 ✭✭✭✭hmmm


    ceadaoin. wrote: »
    There are people who relish in creating more fear and panic in situations like this. I'm surprised we haven't had the "fema death camp" thing come up again. Give it time and we'll have posts about how someone's cousins friends aunt works in a walmart that they've closed down to lock up sick people.
    The death rate for people who have been identified with the virus internationally is less than 1%. Far less in fact. People should believing ****e they read on websites which make money from generating hits.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,189 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    hmmm wrote: »
    The death rate for people who have been identified with the virus internationally is less than 1%. Far less in fact. People should believing ****e they read on websites which make money from generating hits.

    Again its so low partly due to the hospitals not being overwhwlmed by it like in china and then able to dedicate enough doctors and nurses to manage and treat the low volume of patients, if we see a spike in infections internationally we will likely see a spike in deaths that will raise the current mortality rate


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,166 ✭✭✭Fr_Dougal


    VinLieger wrote: »
    No because the reports are its an incredibly intensive regime to try and treat so one of the likely reasons the international deaths are still so low is the hospitals are able to dedicate a large amount of staff to single patients where in China they are completely overwhelmed

    That’s a fair point. But in the absence of China coming out with real figures it’s the best that can be done.

    On a separate note, has anyone tried searching YouTube for Coronavirus content? Give it a go, filter by upload date/time as in most recent.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,449 ✭✭✭Call Me Jimmy


    hmmm wrote: »
    The death rate for people who have been identified with the virus internationally is less than 1%. Far less in fact. People should believing ****e they read on websites which make money from generating hits.

    Where is that 1% calculated, got a link?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,923 ✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    Where is that 1% calculated, got a link?
    https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/

    177 cases outside china, one death


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,449 ✭✭✭Call Me Jimmy



    So the death rate went from 0% to 1% or is it incorrect to calculate the death rate when there's a lag time?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 494 ✭✭creditcarder


    wakka12 wrote: »
    Theres not really any reason to believe that those numbers are real. Like is there any proof at all? I dont think China could get away with hiding 25k+ bodies from the CDC, WHO, expats, Chinese people with internet


    Okay, so why was it leaked to a maybe reputable journal and who leaked it. It's a shame but I feel like we really are getting too much information.




    If that number of police turned up in my time of need id feel special and loved smile.png


    Just to let you know, epoch times is owned by Falun Gong which have been persecuted by China.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,563 ✭✭✭SeaBreezes


    VinLieger wrote: »
    Again its so low partly due to the hospitals not being overwhwlmed by it like in china and then able to dedicate enough doctors and nurses to manage and treat the low volume of patients, if we see a spike in infections internationally we will likely see a spike in deaths that will raise the current mortality rate
    True, what worries me is they have been through this before with SARS they pumped money into hospitals they are set up to isolate cases and they still can't stop it.

    I understand it mutates quickly, and the Spanish flu eventually mutated into a less deadly virus. I'd be hoping it mutates into something not quite so deadly before it gets here.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,166 ✭✭✭Fr_Dougal


    hmmm wrote: »
    The death rate for people who have been identified with the virus internationally is less than 1%. Far less in fact. People should believing ****e they read on websites which make money from generating hits.

    Using the exact same method to determine the survival rate, can you tell me what the survival rate is?


This discussion has been closed.
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