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UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,476 ✭✭✭tinpib


    Looking for small stakes value only 2 stand out for me for tonight/tomorrow.

    For a 6 footer Megan Anderson has been absolutely terrible from what I've seen, know nothing about her opponent but I see she lost a split to Sinead Kavanagh so probably no world beater herself.

    Megan is ridiculously short at best price 1.2, and her to win inside the distance at 1.66 is equally as bad a bet. I think that there is still a bit hype train about her that she will demolish this lassie but I think taking advantage of the standard "female fight going the distance" oddsbooster and Megan just shading it over the distance is a great price of 3.5

    I really like Whittaker but think that he might be a bit over rated, he has lost to some ordinary fighters earlier in his career and he also seems to have fitness/illness problems.

    Don't see as many question marks over Adesanya and again I think him winning on points at 4.0 is a good bet.

    Have also done the double at 14.0.


  • Registered Users Posts: 37,526 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    I did a multiple for tonight. I'm on Adesanya, Mullarkey and Iaquinta to win and Tuivola and Pitolo to win in the 1st round of their fights.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,826 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    can't split the two of them at all though did fancy a full fit whittaker when they were first due to meet

    I do think that when adesanya almost finished gastelum he could actually
    finish whittaker but there's no value in 9/4
    maybe rnd 4 and 5 small singles 22s+28s for me


    so far hooker pts at 7/4 expect this to stay standing and iaquinta has never
    been knocked


  • Registered Users Posts: 116 ✭✭d00mk1n


    Tai by KO/TKO
    Ragin Al by Points
    Big Rob on Points

    Small play @ 18.5/1


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    two bets that i put on due to better odds than I thought they should be....
    Hooker by Sub is 9.5. It's the only way Iaquinta has been finished and Hooker has said he wants to be aggressive
    Also, Callan Potter by Sub at 10.00. 10 Subs on his record, Pitolo finished 4 times, twice by Sub. On debut, 1st time travelling. Fingers crossed!

    Some bets that look more likely:
    Tafa in Rd 1 or 2 is 2.25
    Tuivasa in Rd 1 or 2 is 1.53


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,826 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    main bet for me is close to evens 0.98/1

    tai tuivasa fight not to go the distance
    al iaquinta fight to go the distance


    hooker pts 7/4

    cant decide on the main event so have gone for what I think
    is the value bet...whittaker pts 5/1 pp


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,884 ✭✭✭SlowBlowin


    Going for the clean sweep


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,884 ✭✭✭SlowBlowin


    Bit worried that RW is a bit tired and battered, will that hand stay together ?


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,826 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    just watched it now myself.

    When the fight was starting on bt with almost 20 left of schedule I knew
    it wasn't going the distance
    have to say about 2/3 mins in it didn't look great for robert and it hadn't a hope of going the distance although he did have some success


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,826 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    only a matter of time before someone posts this so...

    kron gracie to sub swanson 11/10

    Gift?

    swanson has a lot of sub losses albeit to better fighters but if kron gets
    a hold of him it's probably over

    Think waterson has a better chance than her odds suggest and this is her
    big chance, 11/4 looks big enough to me and I hope she beats jj
    maybe heart over head here but 11/2 pts if it does happen.

    lastly, vick who i've backed against sucessfully v hooker and gaethje is not facing a monster this time
    The odds of 6/4 are about right, niko price is good but hes no hooker or gaethje, vick is well capable of beating price imo
    I think vick might get a pts win but I'm not sure if I'm confident enough to back him


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,826 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    settled on gracie sub as my main bet 11/10
    I really have a feeling I'll regret not doing my max bet on this


    cub kron not to go the distance
    elliot figer to go the distance
    6/4
    pp


    vick pts 9/2
    figer pts 23/10
    singles/double

    tiny bet on waterson pts 11/2

    and the mad bet of

    vick pts
    figer pts
    waterson pts
    gracie by sub in round two 6/1
    trebles/accum
    all pp


  • Registered Users Posts: 37,526 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    I'm on Vick to win, Vettori by decision, Gracie by sub and Beast boy round 1 in a multiple.
    I'm on Michele by decision in a single bet.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,476 ✭✭✭tinpib


    Value/Hail Mary bets tonight are:

    Joanna inside the distance at 4.33,
    Alex Morono on pts 4.33,
    Marlon Vera pts at 6.5,
    Mackenzie Dern pts at 6.0


  • Registered Users Posts: 39,030 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Trying to decide between max bet on Kron by sub. Or splitting it on rounds 1 and 2 only


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,826 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Kinda regretting the Vick pts bet

    Price looks pumped, gonna come out swinging
    Probably won't go the distance


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    3pt double on Maia today and Diaz next week. Should Maia fail then I'm thinking going full 5pt on Diaz.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,884 ✭✭✭SlowBlowin


    Trying to resist putting it all on DM !

    Sitting there looking waiting to click the button.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,826 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    just a double of dariush and johnson at 6/5 plus a pts double at around 7/1
    unsure of mov, could be a sub and a ko just as easily

    think both are levels above their opponents


    head says to back maia at that price also, bit surprised he's the underdog.
    wondering if the 7/2 by sub is worth a look, it'll surely be that or askern pts
    which isn't value at 13/10 imo


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,884 ✭✭✭SlowBlowin


    I clicked the button, its all on Maia....


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    I just can't see how Ben wins. Then again, I'm always fkin wrong so what do I know...


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,826 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    just a double of dariush and johnson at 6/5

    never again johnson

    unbelievable


  • Registered Users Posts: 37,526 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    mailburner wrote:
    never again johnson
    How any judge can call that a loss for Johnson is beyond. Best result Ray can get is 28-28 if you give him a 10-8, which I wouldn't, in the last round.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,826 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    eagle eye wrote: »
    How any judge can call that a loss for Johnson is beyond. Best result Ray can get is 28-28 if you give him a 10-8, which I wouldn't, in the last round.

    when i heard 29/28 I was certain mj had it :(


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    dulux99 wrote: »
    3pt double on Maia today and Diaz next week. Should Maia fail then I'm thinking going full 5pt on Diaz.

    Giddyup Demian. Over to you Nate...pay for Christmas please! :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,884 ✭✭✭SlowBlowin


    Sooo nice, a thing sheer of beauty..... celebration trip to the pub coming up.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    SlowBlowin wrote: »
    Sooo nice, a thing sheer of beauty..... celebration trip to the pub coming up.

    I'll see you there.

    Raging I didn't go in on the Maia single, as I said earlier I couldn't see how Ben would win. Hindsight is 20/20 but 13/10 on Maia was a gift.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,413 ✭✭✭weemcd


    Anyone looking at Bellator later?


  • Registered Users Posts: 37,526 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    How is Mazvidal favourite against Nate?


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,413 ✭✭✭weemcd


    eagle eye wrote: »
    How is Mazvidal favourite against Nate?

    Masvidal is on a good run of form at the minute with a couple of finishes, after being on the wrong side of a few decision losses over the years. He's always been there or thereabouts, he carries the momentum and hype, which affects his price. Diaz has been out a long time, and although he looked great against Pettis, Masvidal will also be more settled at Welterweight now while Diaz has almost always only campaigned at Lightweight.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,348 ✭✭✭✭ricero


    Surely Gastelum to ko Till next weekend is the bet of the night.

    Gastelum is so underrated as a fighter and has amazing power for his size.


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