Ethiopian Airlines Crash/ B737MAX grounding

errlloyd · 02-04-2019 04:58PM

cnocbui wrote: »

VW sell lots of large trucks, buses and trains in the US, do they?

I guess through omission I am meant to extrapolate that you are suggesting the majority of NOX emissions come from busses and trucks.

I know very little about it, but I believe that most actually come from passenger cars. http://www.road-to-zero.com/roads/cars-emit-more-nox-than-trucks-and-buses-report/

Either way, NOX is Dangerous and VW didn't just lie, but continued to develop systems to hide their NOX emissions (as did almost every other major manufacturer)

cnocbui · 02-04-2019 05:13PM

There are very few diesel cars in the US, was my point, so any NOX deaths in the US are not because of VW fiddling the tests.

Since the advent of the automobile age in the U.S., gasoline has been king of the road; today upwards of 95 percent of passenger cars and light trucks on American roads are gas-powered.

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/why-european-diesel-cars/

billy few mates · 02-04-2019 06:50PM

errlloyd wrote: »

I guess through omission I am meant to extrapolate that you are suggesting the majority of NOX emissions come from busses and trucks.

I know very little about it, but I believe that most actually come from passenger cars. http://www.road-to-zero.com/roads/cars-emit-more-nox-than-trucks-and-buses-report/

Either way, NOX is Dangerous and VW didn't just lie, but continued to develop systems to hide their NOX emissions (as did almost every other major manufacturer)

Then how come we don't even measure them here...?
That "fix" was for the US market, our NCT doesn't even measure it...

odyssey06 · 02-04-2019 07:06PM

U.S. authorities have extracted $25 billion in fines, penalties and restitution from VW for the 580,000 tainted diesels it sold in the U.S. In Europe, where the company sold 8 million tainted diesels, VW has not paid a single Euro in government penalties.
http://fortune.com/2018/02/06/volkswagen-vw-emissions-scandal-penalties/#

It will be significant to see how Boeing fares in comparison.

cnocbui · 02-04-2019 07:38PM

US governments have a huge problem with adequately taxing their economy so they have partially made up for it by scamming European and overseas companies in the guise of 'fines'. BP have been fined the most in corporate history for the deep water horizons spillage - $62 billion - and yet a smallish Texas oil producer, Taylor Energy, has had a 14 year long well leak discharging more than than BP's Deepwater Horizon disaster and have only been threatened with $40 K a day fines if they don't get a move on cleaning it up.

EU financial institutions have been bled for many billions in fines in recent years. The US fined Airbus $125 M for missile sales to Taiwan! It will be interesting to see if Boeing have to pay fines for causing the deaths of several hundred people and how they compare to what foreign companies like Airbus get hit for doing something that caused no fatalities.

STB. · 02-04-2019 08:12PM

Captain_Crash wrote: »

They'll be grounded in Europe until EASA says otherwise. I'd imagine that once the FAA approve any new fix, EASA will scrutinize it with a fine tooth comb before giving the all clear so expect to see MAX's flying in the US before the EU.

The "software fix**" pushed back several weeks after an internal review by engineers not connected to the aircraft raised additional safety questions.

**Cannot believe I just used the term being used by Boeing to describe something that is to ensure that their planes stop coming down.

errlloyd · 02-04-2019 08:43PM

billy few mates wrote: »

Then how come we don't even measure them here...?
That "fix" was for the US market, our NCT doesn't even measure it...

This is fairly OT, but apparently, each member state trusts the tests done by other member states. VWs are tested somewhere for emissions I think.

odyssey06 · 02-04-2019 08:54PM

cnocbui wrote: »

US governments have a huge problem with adequately taxing their economy so they have partially made up for it by scamming European and overseas companies in the guise of 'fines'. BP have been fined the most in corporate history for the deep water horizons spillage - $62 billion - and yet a smallish Texas oil producer, Taylor Energy, has had a 14 year long well leak discharging more than than BP's Deepwater Horizon disaster and have only been threatened with $40 K a day fines if they don't get a move on cleaning it up.

EU financial institutions have been bled for many billions in fines in recent years. The US fined Airbus $125 M for missile sales to Taiwan! It will be interesting to see if Boeing have to pay fines for causing the deaths of several hundred people and how they compare to what foreign companies like Airbus get hit for doing something that caused no fatalities.

The EU fined Google and Microsoft billions for pre-installing apps \ software.
I can't imagine any of them having even the potential for fatalities that missiles do.
Nobody died in the first five instances yet all were fined more than Airbus.
https://www.businessinsider.com/the-7-biggest-fines-the-eu-has-ever-imposed-against-giant-corporations-2018-7?r=US&IR=T

For every example of US behaviour, an EU one could likely be found.

It seems like we should be aware of a certain disposition \ favouritism on both sides of the Atlantic versus 'domestic' concerns when it comes to regulation.

Bob24 · 02-04-2019 09:06PM

STB. wrote: »

The "software fix**" pushed back several weeks after an internal review by engineers not connected to the aircraft raised additional safety questions.

**Cannot believe I just used the term being used by Boeing to describe something that is to ensure that their planes stop coming down.

I was wondering how impacted airlines who own the aircraft are. The article partly covers this:

“Southwest Airlines, Boeing’s largest 737 MAX customer, canceled all of its flights dependent on its 34 737 MAX aircraft through April 20 so far—about 150 flights per day.”

Anyone knows if the airline can claim some type of financial compensation from Boeing as I assume the cost for the cancellations is fairly significant.

STB. · 02-04-2019 10:46PM

Bob24 wrote: »

I was wondering how impacted airlines who own the aircraft are. The article partly covers this:

“Southwest Airlines, Boeing’s largest 737 MAX customer, canceled all of its flights dependent on its 34 737 MAX aircraft through April 20 so far—about 150 flights per day.”

Anyone knows if the airline can claim some type of financial compensation from Boeing as I assume the cost for the cancellations is fairly significant.

9% of its available seat miles for this year is from the Max. They also have problems with the unions which resulted in more groundings from mechanics strikes. Lost $150m in the first quarter.

Coil Kilcrea · 03-04-2019 12:08AM

Bob24 wrote: »

I was wondering how impacted airlines who own the aircraft are. The article partly covers this:

“Southwest Airlines, Boeing’s largest 737 MAX customer, canceled all of its flights dependent on its 34 737 MAX aircraft through April 20 so far—about 150 flights per day.”

Anyone knows if the airline can claim some type of financial compensation from Boeing as I assume the cost for the cancellations is fairly significant.

I don’t know the answer but I picture many lawyers weaponising from all sides and suspect Boeing will have enormous costs. And that’s just the start of it.

Consider the conversations Boeing are having with Southwest and Ryanair, to name two mega loyal airlines, given the size of the fleets, the considerable orders in the pipeline and the disruptions.

And then the concern among Mr and Mrs Punter who might prefer anything other than a 737 Max for future travel.

Boeing make circa 50 737 Max’s a month. Enormous implications on the supply chain, cash flow, work streams and engine delivery. The list gets longer by the day.

It’s a nightmare but as nothing compared to what has happened to all those loved ones losing their lives and never coming home. That’s the savage human cost that cannot possibly be priced but for whom Boeing have to show what they really consider their role and liability in this disturbing disaster.

Cloudio9 · 03-04-2019 05:36AM

Report in the WSJ that prelim black box data shows that the ET crew did cut power to the stab trim....tried to manually trim.....but still couldn’t recover. They also reconnected power to the stab trim not clear why ......I guess in desperation.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/ethiopian-airlines-pilots-initially-followed-boeings-required-emergency-steps-to-disable-737-max-system-11554263276

Muahahaha · 03-04-2019 07:40AM

If every Max plane has to get a second AoA sensor installed will Boeing have to send engineers all around the globe to do the work on where the planes are stored or would the planes make their way to a Boeing facility in the US? Who will be certifying the work, Boeing or the FAA?

Captain_Crash · 03-04-2019 07:46AM

Muahahaha wrote: »

If every Max plane has to get a second AoA sensor installed will Boeing have to send engineers all around the globe to do the work on where the planes are stored or would the planes make their way to a Boeing facility in the US? Who will be certifying the work, Boeing or the FAA?

They all have two already. The issue is MCAS only uses one of them to receive information and has no fail safe. The software fix in part will ensure that MCAS uses both AOA sensors when in use which should resolve the pitch down issues if one fails.

troyzer · 03-04-2019 07:49AM

I don't think anyone should be surprised that countries (the EU is basically a country when it comes to these things) punish foreign companies more than their own. It's incredibly political at this level. Boeing is also a massive defense contractor remember, it's a core component of America's national security.

Raging_Ninja · 03-04-2019 09:31AM

Cloudio9 wrote: »

Report in the WSJ that prelim black box data shows that the ET crew did cut power to the stab trim....tried to manually trim.....but still couldn’t recover. They also reconnected power to the stab trim not clear why ......I guess in desperation.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/ethiopian-airlines-pilots-initially-followed-boeings-required-emergency-steps-to-disable-737-max-system-11554263276

This is pretty significant - the pilots were aware of MCAS, knew the potential issues, knew how to work around it by using Boeing's recommendations and yet they still ended up in the ground.

Either that or there is a very similar failure mode which has very similar symptoms.

Man Vs ManUre · 03-04-2019 09:52AM

Raging_Ninja wrote: »

This is pretty significant - the pilots were aware of MCAS, knew the potential issues, knew how to work around it by using Boeing's recommendations and yet they still ended up in the ground.

Either that or there is a very similar failure mode which has very similar symptoms.

By the sounds of it, this workaround was a very manual task of having to yank a lever and wind in very physical manner to get the nose back up.
It’s crazy that this would be acceptable as part of a means to getting round a known issue. And in couple of minutes of panic and desperation, making it even more difficult.

Wheeliebin30 · 03-04-2019 09:57AM

If this finishes Boeing off what does that mean for the future of flying?

03-04-2019 10:04AM

Wheeliebin30 wrote: »

If this finishes Boeing off what does that mean for the future of flying?

Very doubtful to "finish them" although they have an enormous problem on their hands.

As mentioned earlier it is a major military contractor in the us and a huge employer.

Also the airlines quite like to have Airbus and Boeing competing with each other, a monopoly supplier would be bad for business for them.

Muahahaha · 03-04-2019 10:10AM

Captain_Crash wrote: »

They all have two already. The issue is MCAS only uses one of them to receive information and has no fail safe. The software fix in part will ensure that MCAS uses both AOA sensors when in use which should resolve the pitch down issues if one fails.

So would Boeing have to send out engineers to the 400 odd Max parked up and spread throughout the world? And what happens then, some test flights on each plane with Boeing self certifying they are safe? Or is the FAA stamp of approval on the new software enough to get them all back in the air without test flights?

banie01 · 03-04-2019 10:11AM

Wheeliebin30 wrote: »

If this finishes Boeing off what does that mean for the future of flying?

Likely end up being split into Civil and Military with the military arm folded into Lockheed I'd guess.
Civil aviation and existing Boeing civil projects would be quite interesting to see where it ends up.
The US is very protectionist and given Boeing's political clout and importance to the US economy I would not be surprised to see some type of indemnification attempted to ensure its survival.

The US is averse to having single monopolistic military contractors given their usual "competition" procurement process.

Think back to what happened McDonnell Douglas in the DC-10 era, despite huge military sales they were still weakened to the point they were taken over.

A lot of premier US airframe constructors went to the great big corporate merger graveyard in the sky from failed Civil projects.

Tenzor07 · 03-04-2019 10:37AM

Related to more woes for Boeing with the engines on the 787;

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/singapore-airlines-grounds-two-boeing-787-10-dreamliner-jets-due-11403920

Casati · 03-04-2019 10:41AM

Topgear on Dave wrote: »

Very doubtful to "finish them" although they have an enormous problem on their hands.

As mentioned earlier it is a major military contractor in the us and a huge employer.

Also the airlines quite like to have Airbus and Boeing competing with each other, a monopoly supplier would be bad for business for them.

I would not be surprised to see corporate manslaughter charges brought against Boeing executives

GM228 · 03-04-2019 10:59AM

Wheeliebin30 wrote: »

If this finishes Boeing off what does that mean for the future of flying?

First and foremost it would be a big plus for Airbus, and other smaller manufacturers such as Embraer, Bombardier or even Tupolov may benefit for the smaller regional fleets.

Could the likes of Comac even benefit - are the Chinese manufacturers even at the stage to be able to potentially take a decent market share yet?

But somehow I doubt Boeing will fail, they are just too big and have too much political affiliations to do so unlike for example MD in the past after the DC-10 issues.

I do wonder however if the Boeing issues will have any impact on their deal with Embraer?

Captain_Crash · 03-04-2019 10:59AM

Muahahaha wrote: »

So would Boeing have to send out engineers to the 400 odd Max parked up and spread throughout the world? And what happens then, some test flights on each plane with Boeing self certifying they are safe? Or is the FAA stamp of approval on the new software enough to get them all back in the air without test flights?

Simply put, its just a case of installing the software patch, which can be done by an airlines own engineers. Software updates are fairly common and a bog standard part of an aircraft maintenance cycle.

What complicates this is the concerns related to regulatory oversight. As you can bet your a*s EASA, China, Canada ect wont go on the FAA's word anymore. So any software fix will require rigorous certification before authorities allow it be installed.

Test flights shouldn't be needed once the fix is approved. Such flights are rare these days, and normally only done, for example; after "x" number of components have been changed.

L1011 · 03-04-2019 11:05AM

GM228 wrote: »

First and foremost it would be a big plus for Airbus, and other smaller manufacturers such as Embraer, Bombardier or even Tupolov may benefit for the smaller regional fleets.

Could the likes of Comac even benefit - are the Chinese manufacturers even at the stage to be able to potentially take a decent market share yet?

But somehow I doubt Boeing will fail, they are just too big and have too much political affiliations to do so unlike for example MD in the past after the DC-10 issues.

I do wonder however if the Boeing issues will have any impact on their deal with Embraer?

Comac are unable to build to the required scale and their modified DC9 hasn't had a stellar introduction...

cnocbui · 03-04-2019 11:16AM

I would have thought that the optional warning light to announce a conflict between the two AOA sensors should just about be mandatory now. Not something that can be provided via software.

Bob24 · 03-04-2019 11:17AM

troyzer wrote: »

I don't think anyone should be surprised that countries (the EU is basically a country when it comes to these things) punish foreign companies more than their own. It's incredibly political at this level. Boeing is also a massive defense contractor remember, it's a core component of America's national security.

Clearly that’s not a surprise, but the US/FAA/Boeing are walking on an thin line.

Being more accommodating with national players and making things harder for foreign ones is completely understandable (while obviously full of hypocrisy when you pretend to support free trade and want free access to international markets, but if they see it as their national interest it’s their decision).

But this has to be done with some restraint: using regulation to stall foreign players and advantage the national one is one thing and achieves its purpose as long as the national ones is still meeting acceptable standards. But if it goes to the point of seriously hurting the credibility of both the regulatory authority and the national manufacturer to deliver reliable planes (or whatever else in other industries), then it starts becoming counter productive.

Cloudio9 · 03-04-2019 11:25AM

OSI wrote: »

Where's the lad that was calling them clowns?

Yeah. Reminds me of Derry girls last night: "Who put 50p in the eejit?"

dogmatix · 03-04-2019 02:51PM

Tenzor07 wrote: »

Related to more woes for Boeing with the engines on the 787;

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/singapore-airlines-grounds-two-boeing-787-10-dreamliner-jets-due-11403920

Surely an issue for Rolls-Royce rather then Boeing?

Ethiopian Airlines Crash/ B737MAX grounding

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