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All Weather Winter Warmer

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    #452
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    Variance is variance, in or around 30% ROI is a bit higher than can reasonably be expected over a long period


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    #453
    themandan6611
    Registered Users Posts: 1,627 ✭✭✭themandan6611


    Aurora1966 wrote: »
    Saying that I've been following you over a cliff of late.

    you should have started last Saturday week, approx 3pts @16/1, sure if you had that you could buy a pillow for the fall over the cliff


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    #454
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    -13pts today

    Totals
    Staked 553.50
    Returned 711.37
    P/L 157.87
    ROI 28.52%


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    #455
    STB.
    Registered Users Posts: 5,380 ✭✭✭STB.


    Keep at it Mostly Harmless.


    To my detriment I missed out on your Bellick suggestion the other night and I check ! Just didn't see it on the same line as another e/w pick in the same race.

    My NAP of Friday night was Ar Saoirse, whose neck defeat by Bellick I put down to Oisin Orr's inability to keep the horse in a straight line in the last half furlong despite being well clear. Of course it all became clear that something else was at play.... And the reverse f/c ? €133.

    I only have you to blame! :)


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    #456
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    STB. wrote: »
    Keep at it Mostly Harmless.


    To my detriment I missed out on your Bellick suggestion the other night and I check ! Just didn't see it on the same line as another e/w pick in the same race.

    My NAP of Friday night was Ar Saoirse, whose neck defeat by Bellick I put down to Oisin Orr's inability to keep the horse in a straight line in the last half furlong despite being well clear. Of course it all became clear that something else was at play.... And the reverse f/c ? €133.

    I only have you to blame! smile.png


    Think Oisin Orr going a bit too fast and not getting home was the main cause but will take any credit I can get!


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    #457
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    Three today:
    7.30 Kempton: Knight Crusader (5/1 BV, Boyles) 2pts EW
    8.00 Kempton: Schindlers Ark (14/1 BV, Paddy) 1.5pts EW
    8.30 Kempton: Mr Frankie (10/1 Paddy, BV, Hills) 2pts EW


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    #458
    Aurora1966
    Registered Users Posts: 108 ✭✭Aurora1966


    I love this thread to be fair, much better than can the book be beaten, here for a year by Del, he really is a terrible tipster. Random picks with no method it's laughable.


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    #459
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    Aurora1966 wrote: »
    I love this thread to be fair, much better than can the book be beaten, here for a year by Del, he really is a terrible tipster. Random picks with no method it's laughable.
    Just good variance here for the most part, few big priced winners along the way have helped push the figures up the way and could easily be a lot less profit without that.

    I am not making any claims to be some sort of super punter or have inside information. No guarantees of profit and if anyone does follow these then do so at your own risk, certainly would not encourage people to be going crazy on them. Don't see the need to compare this with any other threads on here either.


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    #460
    CH3OH
    Registered Users Posts: 7,287 ✭✭✭CH3OH


    7.30 Kempton: Knight Crusader (5/1 BV, Boyles) 2pts EW

    Nice Winner thanks
    keep it going!


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    #461
    IAMAMORON
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    Another winner. Great picks.


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    #462
    STB.
    Registered Users Posts: 5,380 ✭✭✭STB.


    On Fire tonight.

    2nd one beaten a length but e/w money.

    I noticed the first and last picks are 2 point each way, which means they were certainties :)..... With the first in at 11/2 and a potential SP of 14/1 on Mr Frankie in the second leg, well.......I'll stop!

    (incidentally the horse that has been backed heavily in the race, from 10's into 9/2 in the last race is Murhib and is trained by Lydia Richards who hasn't had a winner since 1/4/16)


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    #463
    themandan6611
    Registered Users Posts: 1,627 ✭✭✭themandan6611


    CH3OH wrote: »
    7.30 Kempton: Knight Crusader (5/1 BV, Boyles) 2pts EW

    Nice Winner thanks
    keep it going!

    Great ride from Kirby must be said


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    #464
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    +11.9pts today

    Totals
    Staked 564.50
    Returned 734.27
    P/L 169.77
    ROI 30.07%


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    #465
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    Look like having a lot of bets today, will update once I have got the bets on myself.


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    #466
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    Massive day of racing (at Southwell):
    1.45 Southwell: Big Amigo (20/1 Paddy, 365, Hills) 3pts EW
    2.25 Southwell: Black Noah (25/1 Paddy) 2pts EW
    3.05 Southwell: The Great Wall (4/1 Generally) 1.5pts Win
    4.25 Southwell: Bluella (28/1 365, BV) 1pt EW
    5.00 Southwell: Going Native (16/1 Ladbrokes, Coral paying 4 places 1/5) 1.5pts EW


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    #467
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    Wolverhampton bets some time this afternoon


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    #468
    tipptom
    Registered Users Posts: 4,219 ✭✭✭tipptom


    See Cromwell has two over to Southwell.

    The one in the last (apprentice race) amadeus is a big drifter 5/2-5/1.

    The last time it won was around this time last year over todays grade and distance at todays track for Richard Fahey by 9 lengths.

    It hasn't raced on the all weather since.


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    #469
    STB.
    Registered Users Posts: 5,380 ✭✭✭STB.


    Just remarkable picking 16/1 that Going Native.

    Sluiced up. Ta!


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    #470
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    Got out of a bit of a hole there, shame to have thrown away some decent stakes on sh1te but thats the nature of the game


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    #471
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    Wolverhampton bets:
    5.45 Wolverhampton: The Establishment (11/1 Ladbrokes, Coral, BV) 1pt Win
    6.45 Wolverhampton: Rock Up In Style (20/1 Paddy) 1pt EW
    7.15 Wolverhampton: Oxygenic (16/1 Generally) 1.5pts EW
    8.15 Wolverhampton: Rubensian (12/1 Boyles paying 4 places 1/5) 2pts EW


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    #472
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    Mostly Harmless wrote: »
    Wolverhampton bets:
    5.45 Wolverhampton: The Establishment (11/1 Ladbrokes, Coral, BV) 1pt Win
    6.45 Wolverhampton: Rock Up In Style (20/1 Paddy) 1pt EW
    7.15 Wolverhampton: Oxygenic (16/1 Generally) 1.5pts EW
    8.15 Wolverhampton: Rubensian (12/1 Boyles paying 4 places 1/5) 2pts EW
    The Establishment bet should be EW, sorry in a rush.

    5.45 Wolverhampton: The Establishment (11/1 Ladbrokes, Coral, BV) 1pt EW


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    #473
    2ndcoming
    Registered Users Posts: 3,570 ✭✭✭2ndcoming


    Boom. Sex machine


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    #474
    STB.
    Registered Users Posts: 5,380 ✭✭✭STB.


    MH You keep those 20/1 and 16/1 shots coming, Rock Up in Style goes in 645 :)


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    #475
    Cherry_Cola
    Registered Users Posts: 2,923 ✭✭✭Cherry_Cola


    Who needs Cheltenham eh?


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    #476
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    Done alright.

    +30.3pts today

    Totals
    Staked 592.00
    Returned 792.07
    P/L 200.07
    ROI 33.80%


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    #477
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    While everyone else is trying to make it pay betting into markets that have been knocked into line for the last 11 months at Cheltenham, I have two bets at Lingfield:

    2:35 Lingfield: Royal Mezyan (16/1 Generally) 2pts EW
    5:15 Lingfield: Tebay (66/1 Paddy) 1.5pts EW


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    #478
    PhuckHugh2
    Registered Users Posts: 214 ✭✭PhuckHugh2


    Mostly Harmless wrote: »
    While everyone else is trying to make it pay betting into markets that have been knocked into line for the last 11 months at Cheltenham

    Bit of an unnecessary dig there. I thought you were better than that tbh.
    There is quite a number of significant market moves on the day of races on markets that have been knocked into line for that long. Plenty of value to be had in the handicaps if you look in the right places.

    Best of luck with the bets.


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    #479
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    Some of the most efficient markets going and not really a subjective matter, yeah there's great value with extra places and specials and what not but I hate it so my opinion is far from unbiased, if it's your cup of tea then fair enough, it's not mine


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    #480
    idnkph
    Registered Users Posts: 669 ✭✭✭idnkph


    PhuckHugh2 wrote:
    Bit of an unnecessary dig there.

    It was hardly a dig. Jayzus! Don't be so sensitive and enjoy the buzz of the winners and losers. X


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    #481
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    Was not a dig but let's not get into it, not like this place needs another thread for Cheltenham talk!


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