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Winter 2018/2019 - General Discussion

BLIZZARD7 · 2018-08-19 21:21:25

I think the time has come for this, after a pretty fantastic Summer (hopefully more left in the tank) I'm sure thoughts are starting to turn towards winter for some. Autumn still to come too of course. Post your thoughts/predictions/ideas on the coming Winter season here. As a side note, I will be abroad for the season- so…

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#1682 10-01-2019 12:28pm
Captain Snow

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All we need is these lows going south a little further with the jet.

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#1683 10-01-2019 12:28pm
Gonzo

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I think things will cool, but a cool zonal outlook seems to be the overall trend for next few weeks once the high pressure moves away in the next few days. I think we may have to wait till February for any chance of a decent cold spell but we shall wait and see.

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#1684 10-01-2019 12:35pm
Mortelaro

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Those lows wouldn't go south without a strong Atlantic ridge
They'd slam into us

There's a big disconnect in signals at the moment
The lobe of pv in Canada modelled,would fire up the Atlantic too in the absence of blocking
We've no option but to wait untill mid next week at the earliest before taking better guesses in my opinion

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#1685 10-01-2019 12:41pm
irishrover99

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YanSno wrote: »

It's too early to write off this winter. I remember the ssw we had in January 2009 it was a very long winter and we had cold weather on and off until late march. That's when i started to have interest in global weather cycles am not saying it will be like 2009 winter but signals are there for that type of climate, on and off westerly / North westerly with occasional Easterly depending if the LP tracks south

If we are going to have snow, lets have in January or February when its cold and you'd expect it to be cold.
Having a nice Spring is the best feeling of the year for me when it comes to the Weather. Their is nothing better than knowing Winter is over and the bright nights are returning.
Last years Winter went straight into Summer in May.
Nice Sunny spring days around St Patricks day are amazing.

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#1686 10-01-2019 12:58pm
Gonzo

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irishrover99 wrote: »

If we are going to have snow, lets have in January or February when its cold and you'd expect it to be cold.
Having a nice Spring is the best feeling of the year for me when it comes to the Weather. Their is nothing better than knowing Winter is over and the bright nights are returning.
Last years Winter went straight into Summer in May.
Nice Sunny spring days around St Patricks day are amazing.

I would love this too, deep cold spells over the next few weeks then a warming more Spring like climate from March. Unfortunately this rarely ever works out like this for us, our main problem is getting the Atlantic to shut down at the right times and often it does not.

Right now we are all hoping for what you want, but the models are clearly struggling and the Atlantic currently has a few factors that are keeping it going for next few weeks. We will get a cold spell at some point and blocking most likely will happen, but how soon will this happen is anybody's guess.

This could be another case of a very late winter, a bit like last year. I have a suspicious feeling that this March will be anything but spring like, but we shall see.

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#1687 10-01-2019 1:01pm
KingdomRushed

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The GFS para/FV3 is again suggestive of snow opportunities from January 21st onward. Very cold low pressure systems displaced from polar area over us. So likely to be a lot of precipitation

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#1688 10-01-2019 3:19pm
CirrusBusiness

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Fairly confident we'll see at least 1 or 2 disruptive cold spells soon enough. Hopefully charts will get a lot more juicy in another week or so. I've even gone and purchased snow socks. :-) The last year delivered many extremes and just have a feeling this cold spell is right around the corner. Wouldn't lose hope yet if you're a cold lover. The turning point was never going to be before around the 20th of Jan and even then it could be a few days after that..

My few cents worth.

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#1689 10-01-2019 3:24pm
Villain

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CirrusBusiness wrote: »

Fairly confident we'll see at least 1 or 2 disruptive cold spells soon enough. Hopefully charts will get a lot more juicy in another week or so. I've even gone and purchased snow socks. :-) The last year delivered many extremes and just have a feeling this cold spell is right around the corner. Wouldn't lose hope yet if you're a cold lover. The turning point was never going to be before around the 20th of Jan and even then it could be a few days after that..

My few cents worth.

I have a four wheel drive with snow tyres on since November, I was beginning to wonder did I jinx it

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#1690 10-01-2019 3:45pm
LuckyLloyd

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Kamili wrote: »

Theres nothing there really to say a large snow event though, just that its getting colder...

Sit tight and see what happens.

Getting colder and fresher would be an excellent place to start. I'm sick to the teeth of our current weather pattern.

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#1691 10-01-2019 4:31pm
gabeeg

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Icon looking really good.

That early northerly almost makes it again

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#1692 10-01-2019 4:32pm
NMB

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CirrusBusiness wrote: »

Fairly confident we'll see at least 1 or 2 disruptive cold spells soon enough. Hopefully charts will get a lot more juicy in another week or so. I've even gone and purchased snow socks. :-) The last year delivered many extremes and just have a feeling this cold spell is right around the corner. Wouldn't lose hope yet if you're a cold lover. The turning point was never going to be before around the 20th of Jan and even then it could be a few days after that.
My few cents worth.

Lol I couldn’t agree more and I too have bought thermal socks

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#1693 10-01-2019 4:34pm
MidMan25

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LuckyLloyd wrote: »

Getting colder and fresher would be an excellent place to start. I'm sick to the teeth of our current weather pattern.

This really, I love snow but cold weather is what I really want. Holidays in Canada next week, highs of -15, lows of -20 forecast not particularly bothered if it snows or how much.

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#1694 10-01-2019 4:49pm
Kamili

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Villain wrote: »

I have a four wheel drive with snow tyres on since November, I was beginning to wonder did I jinx it

I bought an AWD in December too and was wondering the very same.

I'm dying to give it a spin in the snow!

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#1695 10-01-2019 4:51pm
Pops_20

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I have RWD with zero driver aids and I also can't wait to give it a spin in the snow

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#1696 10-01-2019 4:52pm
Kamili

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Pops_20 wrote: »

I have RWD with zero driver aids and I also can't wait to give it a spin in the snow

I kinda want to be there..

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#1697 10-01-2019 5:18pm
Rebelbrowser

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Not sure if this got posted earlier? Only 6 days away! Will be gone on the 12z run no doubt!

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#1698 10-01-2019 5:19pm
dmcsweeney

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Pops_20 wrote: »

I have RWD with zero driver aids and I also can't wait to give it a spin in the snow

Me too, and it's got a V8 : ). I was given an old Ford Focus 1.8TD estate for a month while working in Austria. It snowed most days for my time there. The roads were especially bad at night when they stopped ploughing. The car was fitted with a set of standard winter tyres, no studs, and it was pretty much unstoppable. Late one night I had to reverse out of a mountain road as the depth of snow the front bumper was pushing finally got too much. On another occasion I had to dig hard packed snow out from under it. And there was the evening it passed me while I was walking across a pedestrian crossing (I'd parked it on a sheet of ice and it slowly slid away with the front and rear wheels locked! But I drove it hundreds of miles, usually on back roads, some very hilly, and never left me stranded.

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#1699 10-01-2019 5:23pm
Villain

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On the the topic of tyres and snow, have a look at the difference winter tyres can make in these videos.

Very often people think AWD or 4WD is the answer but you might be surprised!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mfuE00qdhLA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=elP_34ltdWI

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#1700 10-01-2019 5:27pm
Rebelbrowser

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Actually the 12z UKMO is also suggesting the first white stuff of the season might only be 6 days away.....

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#1701 10-01-2019 5:33pm
q85dw7osi4lebg

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Pops_20 wrote: »

I have RWD with zero driver aids and I also can't wait to give it a spin in the snow

Me too

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#1702 10-01-2019 5:38pm
Kamili

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Abdullah Millions Cord wrote: »

Me too

I had one of them, got stuck on one of the off ramps on the M50 in the snow one year cos of the stop start traffic! Had to wait till it cleared, rolled back down and gunned it up, fishtailed around the bend at the top and got her home.

I miss that car.

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#1703 10-01-2019 5:39pm
Andrew00

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Stock up on bread

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#1704 10-01-2019 5:42pm
Kamili

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How cold will it be?

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#1705 10-01-2019 6:00pm
Graces7

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It is so utterly lovely here now. A deep, calm stillness and silence. More than the absence of wind. The ocean is a mirror. Incredibly beautiful. West Mayo offshore

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#1706 10-01-2019 6:01pm
Graces7

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Andrew00 wrote: »

Stock up on bread

Funny!

Actually coincidentally I just did! My groceries come over from the mainland once in 2 weeks... And plenty of flour in stock.https://b-static.net/vbulletin/images/icons/icon2.png

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#1707 10-01-2019 6:14pm
Gonzo

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Met Eireann definitely hinting at a return to more unsettled conditions starting from tomorrow night with rain spreading southeastwards overnight.

They are going for spells of light rain and drizzle for much of the day over the northern half of the country on Saturday.

Breezy with showery rain on Sunday. We may escape on Monday with a dry day overall and then more rain next Tuesday.

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#1708 10-01-2019 6:20pm
KingJeremy

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Rebelbrowser wrote: »

Not sure if this got posted earlier? Only 6 days away! Will be gone on the 12z run no doubt!

Could it not come a little further north-west though?? 🙏🙏

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#1709 10-01-2019 6:55pm
Gonzo

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Kamili wrote: »

How cold will it be?

he's definitely hinting at the possibilities of a very cold February with second half of January more of a transition period from the current mild conditions to below average temperatures by February.

It seems we have a fairly mild week coming up then the cooling trend may begin as early as next Thursday or Friday.

Still so much to play for, it's just frustrating that the blocking hasn't really shown up in the models in the short to medium range, so the wait continues.

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#1710 10-01-2019 7:16pm
Mortelaro

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https://twitter.com/fergieweather/status/1083294016551165953?s=19

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#1711 10-01-2019 9:57pm
Little snowy old me

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How much further down the road can this SW event be pushed? It's coming to mid January and no sign of any major changes out to end of next week. Flogging a dead horse at this stage.

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