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Exit poll: The post referendum thread. No electioneering.

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,888 ✭✭✭Atoms for Peace


    Seems too good to be true.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,798 ✭✭✭✭DrumSteve


    You can be guaranteed that many people were bullied into a Yes vote.

    no they werent dont be lying.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Windorah wrote: »
    I hate to be a Debbie Downer but didn't Hilary win the popular vote in 2016 by over 2 million votes??
    I'll be holding my breath until each and every vote is counted.

    But the exit polling was still accurate. Plus, 2M of 139M is only a 1.4% swing.

    Hate to be that guy, but this vote is in the net.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,831 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    It will be an interesting analysis as, the vote was beginning to narrow as the campaign went on. When did this process go into reverse? Was there a seminal moment? Did it just happen as people began to focus and crystalize their views?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,039 ✭✭✭✭retro:electro


    Good post and I take comfort from my No vote too.

    The only person who would have benefited from a No majority is Michael O Leary.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    eviltwin wrote: »
    How likely is this to be completely wrong?

    It would have to be the most wrong exit poll in history.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,358 ✭✭✭✭listermint


    Another misrepresentation of the vast majority of No voters who are in favour of limited abortion for unfortunate cases but are against unrestricted abortion up to 12 weeks.

    I'm glad you can talk for the vast majority of any voter block.

    But in intrigued to how you got this ability.

    To some it may sound like made up opinion but to me it looks like you have a skill


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭Flex


    I’m going to have to wait for the final tally, but if this exit poll is accurate then this is such a proud day for Ireland, especially at the size of the victory as the will of the people will be left in zero doubt, and I’m really proud to have been a part of it (and that my brothers and parents were too). Have goosebumps..

    Going to be a long day awaiting the confirmed results tomo, but will sleep easier tonight :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,802 ✭✭✭✭suicide_circus


    Windorah wrote: »
    I hate to be a Debbie Downer
    An unfortunate turn of phrase there


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,075 ✭✭✭IamtheWalrus


    Emotional here


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,745 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    You can be guaranteed that many people were bullied into a Yes vote.

    Laughable


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,687 ✭✭✭AllForIt


    I didn't vote.

    Actually I did intend to and make my mind up in the final hours but unfortunately some fecKer broke into my apartment complex last night and stole my bike which I needed to cycle 10 miles out to a polling station in a school in the country close to my parents home.

    I was conflicted, I did engage in the discussion forums here and on TV. I ended up being more conflicted because of this but I was veering towards a yes, a reluctant yes.

    Had I voted yes it wouldn't be for many of the arguments I heard from the yes side. In fact I was more of a yes before I engaged in the discussion. I won't elaborate on that now as the debating is done and dusted.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,547 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Luckily for the rest of us the majority of the country doesn't appear to agree with you. Irish and proud today!

    So what?! Britian voted for Brexit and America for trump. Democracy produces these results and all we can hope for now abortion is limited to 12 weeks and never goes beyond it.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,133 ✭✭✭Shurimgreat


    Try_harder wrote: »
    The No side knew the game was up earlier in the week when they started conceding over FFA and Hard Cases
    They will lobby hard re proposed legislation by if this is the result their influence will be significantly weakened

    Another misrepresentation of the majority of No voters, many largely silent up until lately, who were from day one opposed to unrestricted abortion but in favour of abortion for hard cases.


    Losing track of all the misrepresentations and lies as this stage.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,371 ✭✭✭Phoebas


    123balltv wrote: »
    Looks like a yes she'll have a lot more innocent angels to talk too next year.

    She'll have exactly the same number of angels to talk to.

    Zero.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,596 ✭✭✭Hitman3000


    You can be guaranteed that many people were bullied into a Yes vote.


    How do you bully someone into voting a certain way? The polling booth is private the ballot slip anonymous.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,171 ✭✭✭Rechuchote


    Water John wrote: »
    It will be an interesting analysis as, the vote was beginning to narrow as the campaign went on. When did this process go into reverse? Was there a seminal moment? Did it just happen as people began to focus and crystalize their views?

    Savita Halappanavar.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    You can be guaranteed that many people were bullied into a Yes vote.

    I can attest to this.
    There was a group of heavies standing around my ballot station in Greenmount:rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,113 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Think we need to give some credit to the older generation because if that IT result is accurate then a lot of them are the ones that made this a landslide regardless of the feeling that most people thought they would vote No (I know in my dealings with them in work and socially they were voting Yes, weren't gonna force another generation to go thru the crap they had to deal with)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 133 ✭✭booterboy


    Lot of Fianna Fail TDs going to be wiped out next election.
    Great day for democracy.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,078 ✭✭✭✭vienne86


    You can be guaranteed that many people were bullied into a Yes vote.

    That's rubbish. Secret vote. Not pressure.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,480 ✭✭✭wexie


    Water John wrote: »
    It will be an interesting analysis as, the vote was beginning to narrow as the campaign went on. When did this process go into reverse? Was there a seminal moment? Did it just happen as people began to focus and crystalize their views?

    What I would really like to see is a breakdown of yes and no votes : rural/urban, young/old

    we're not likely to get that though are we?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,671 ✭✭✭GarIT


    Windorah wrote: »
    I hate to be a Debbie Downer but didn't Hilary win the popular vote in 2016 by over 2 million votes??
    I'll be holding my breath until each and every vote is counted.


    That's completely irrelevant, there is only the popular vote in Ireland, no college vote.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,252 ✭✭✭FTA69


    So much for not celebrating the result.

    Of course I'm celebrating the result. Irish women now don't have to suffer lonely trips to England or order dodgy pills online to end unwanted pregnancies. For the first time ever they can exercise control over their own bodies in their own country. I'm delighted. B*llocks to the whingebags.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I can’t breathe. I can’t think. That is unreal. I know it’s only a prediction but bloody hell thats a massive margin!!!!

    Who’s watching the count tomorrow??


    Quite alot I suspect. If the poll accuracy is in anyway right, expect a concession from the No side very early on in the count.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,492 ✭✭✭pleas advice


    Abortions for all!

    pbt4auW.png?1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,226 ✭✭✭Liordi


    If this is any way close to reality then I'm honestly incredibly delighted with our population.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,133 ✭✭✭Shurimgreat


    The only person who would have benefited from a No majority is Michael O Leary.

    Are you just going to pretend the unborn don't exist? And they wouldn't have benefitted from a No vote?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,596 ✭✭✭Hitman3000


    After that the referendum was foisted on the people, many of whom had no clue what they were voting for.

    Your comment referenced in post 963 indicates you were one of that 'many' .


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,208 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Ireland's a mad country. At the same time this news breaks, there's a woman on the Late Late show talking about how she sees and talks to angels on a daily basis.

    Our licence fees at work.

    I'm partial to your abracadabra,

    I'm raptured by the joy of it all.



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