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Exit poll: The post referendum thread. No electioneering.

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,004 ✭✭✭revelman


    Same fearful here loads unwilling to talk you can tell almost certainly went No. Ironically the kind of silence one would imagine people are forced into when having to leave their country to be looked after elsewhere.

    Also the same sort of silence that you would find in a totalitarian state where people are afraid to air their personal opinions.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    eviltwin wrote: »
    so this exit poll: how accurate will it be?
    This one? Not at all.

    The late late? Probably pretty good. 3,000 people from a variety of constituencies. Should be large enough to be accurate.


  • Hosted Moderators Posts: 23,298 ✭✭✭✭beertons



    Mná
    Grá


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,231 ✭✭✭Hercule Poirot


    I voted yes; whether you agree with abortion or not I do believe that the option should be there for people to decide for themselves


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,490 ✭✭✭✭Ush1


    eviltwin wrote: »
    so this exit poll: how accurate will it be?

    Based on the "wisdom of Walter Mitty", 100% accurate.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 10,375 ✭✭✭✭kunst nugget


    Same fearful here loads unwilling to talk you can tell almost certainly went No. Ironically the kind of silence one would imagine people are forced into when having to leave their country to be looked after elsewhere.

    Tbf, nobody in work is really willing to talk about it. What way my colleagues vote is irrelevant to me and nobody wants to fall out with anyone else when they might have diametrically opposite views on the issue.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,495 ✭✭✭✭eviltwin


    seamus wrote: »
    This one? Not at all.

    The late late? Probably pretty good. 3,000 people from a variety of constituencies. Should be large enough to be accurate.

    yeah I should have specified the official one tonight


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,292 ✭✭✭Adamocovic


    murpho999 wrote: »
    Even so, I fail to see how Ryan Tubridy can read out a poll result badly.

    You underestimate Tub's abilities.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,709 ✭✭✭c68zapdsm5i1ru


    Tbf, nobody in work is really willing to talk about it. What way my colleagues vote is irrelevant to me and nobody wants to fall out with anyone else when they might have diametrically opposite views on the issue.

    It hasn't really been discussed where I work. No one really knows each others views, pasts, personal baggage etc and no one wants to cause offence or fall out with colleagues they generally respect and get on with.

    We will all still have to work with each other after tomorrow's result.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,133 ✭✭✭Shurimgreat


    seamus wrote: »
    My sympathies go out to the women of Roscommon.

    But no sympathy for the unborn? Says it all really.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,682 ✭✭✭Working class heroes


    A properly conducted exit poll is normally accurate to +\- 2%.

    Racism is now hiding behind the cloak of Community activism.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,004 ✭✭✭revelman


    It hasn't really been discussed where I work. No one really knows each others views, pasts, personal baggage etc and no one wants to cause offence or fall out with colleagues they generally respect and get on with.

    We will all still have to work with each other after tomorrow's result.

    Sounds perfectly sensible and civilised. Can you imagine a workplace where people were interrogating each other as to what way they will vote!


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    murpho999 wrote: »
    It won't be out that early. Around 23.30 on Late Late Show.

    Other than trying to get people to keep watching the TV there is no reason for the result of an exit poll not to be released at 1 minute past the polls closing. It will have already been calculated, it's just an offence to publish the results when the polls are still open.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 10,375 ✭✭✭✭kunst nugget


    revelman wrote: »
    Also the same sort of silence that you would find in a totalitarian state where people are afraid to air their personal opinions.

    Oh, ffs... I work in a pretty conservative area of the country with a couple of very religious and conservative people. I tend not to talk about my opinions in work because it's not worth the hassle. That doesn't mean I'm oppressed or I can equate it to living in a totalitarian state. People need to get over themselves


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,106 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    revelman wrote: »
    Yes, a number of people I know have come out as No voters. This has a very Brexity/Trumpy feel about it though I still think it will be 55% Yes.
    As a Trump supporter and a hardline repeal voter this has been an interesting experience.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,292 ✭✭✭Adamocovic


    revelman wrote: »
    Sounds perfectly sensible and civilised. Can you imagine a workplace where people were interrogating each other as to what way they will vote!

    Agree with this. Politics are best left out of the workplace. Used to work in the same building as two Scottish people during the time of the independence vote. One (more senior) found out the way the other one voted and didn't take to it kindly. I didn't witness it myself but apparently things got a bit sour between them and comments would be made about it at each-other. I think it has been cleared up now but made things uncomfortable.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,709 ✭✭✭c68zapdsm5i1ru


    Oh, ffs... I work in a pretty conservative area of the country with a couple of very religious and conservative people. I tend not to talk about my opinions in work because it's not worth the hassle. That doesn't mean I'm oppressed or I can equate it to living in a totalitarian state. People need to get over themselves

    Many posters on here have said that they're worried that a lot of people who are voting NO just haven't come out and said it. That would indicate that they don't feel free to air their view without getting abuse or shunned or insulted.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,554 ✭✭✭Sundew


    Went in to polling station with the intention of voting no and swung at the final second.
    I think a lot of folks have not made up their mind, but I reckon there will be more swing votes to the yes camp today! Polling station empty and was chatting to the officers for nearly ten mins before another straggler came in.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,547 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    revelman wrote: »
    Yes, a number of people I know have come out as No voters. This has a very Brexity/Trumpy feel about it though I still think it will be 55% Yes.

    Come out as no voters? It's hardly surprising given our past voting on the issue. People who want change are usually far more vociferous so I believe there is a silent no vote but not enough to swing it ultimately that way.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,057 ✭✭✭.......


    This post has been deleted.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,709 ✭✭✭c68zapdsm5i1ru


    ....... wrote: »
    This post has been deleted.

    And I rest my case.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,106 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    Many posters on here have said that they're worried that a lot of people who are voting NO just haven't come out and said it. That would indicate that they don't feel free to air their view without getting abuse or shunned or insulted.
    IN fairness, there were about 27%-30% no voters in most of the polls.
    When you allow for the age and religious bias of some (not all of course) of that voter base, it explains the 80:20 split on boards.



    I don't see a massive groundswell towards a secret no vote.




    I'm calling it. YES 57% NO 41% Spoiled 2%
    There;s no way this is a no vote. No way.Not with the high turnout. 50% in some areas, and it's only 3pm.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,063 ✭✭✭uptherebels


    Many posters on here have said that they're worried that a lot of people who are voting NO just haven't come out and said it. That would indicate that they don't feel free to air their view without getting abuse or shunned or insulted.

    Or don't have the courage of their convictions?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,004 ✭✭✭revelman


    Oh, ffs... I work in a pretty conservative area of the country with a couple of very religious and conservative people. I tend not to talk about my opinions in work because it's not worth the hassle. That doesn't mean I'm oppressed or I can equate it to living in a totalitarian state. People need to get over themselves

    My reference to totalitarianism was probably a bit over-the-top but I know of workplaces where Yes voters are extremely vocal and have been heavily critical of anyone that they identify as a No voter, even if this person has not expressed an opinion.

    It probably depends on the workplace and most places are probably totally fine. But I would hazard a guess that more No voters are afraid to air their true opinion than Yes voters. You can disagree with me but that is my feeling.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    But no sympathy for the unborn? Says it all really.
    None of the unborn that currently exist will be affected by this. The women will.

    I'm not going to have sympathy for something that doesn't exist.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,106 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    revelman wrote: »
    My reference to totalitarianism was probably a bit over-the-top but I know of workplaces where Yes voters are extremely vocal and have been heavily critical of anyone that they identify as a No voter, even if this person has not expressed an opinion.

    It probably depends on the workplace and most places are probably totally fine. But I would hazard a guess that more No voters are afraid to air their true opinion than Yes voters. You can disagree with me but that is my feeling.


    I do some consulting work for a number of (mostly American) multinationals like google, facebook, ebay etc. They were all vocally supporting a YES vote in SSM referendum but they've all been silent for this.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,121 ✭✭✭✭Spanish Eyes




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Many posters on here have said that they're worried that a lot of people who are voting NO just haven't come out and said it. That would indicate that they don't feel free to air their view without getting abuse or shunned or insulted.
    They said this last time, and it turned out not to be true.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,709 ✭✭✭c68zapdsm5i1ru


    revelman wrote: »
    My reference to totalitarianism was probably a bit over-the-top but I know of workplaces where Yes voters are extremely vocal and have been heavily critical of anyone that they identify as a No voter, even if this person has not expressed an opinion.

    It probably depends on the workplace and most places are probably totally fine. But I would hazard a guess that more No voters are afraid to air their true opinion than Yes voters. You can disagree with me but that is my feeling.

    There's also an assumption, in many groups, that everyone is voting Yes and discussions are based on that assumption which can make it difficult for No voters to go against the grain as they just don't want to have to deal with the incredulous looks etc.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 689 ✭✭✭Ray Bloody Purchase


    Adamocovic wrote: »
    Agree with this. Politics are best left out of the workplace. Used to work in the same building as two Scottish people during the time of the independence vote. One (more senior) found out the way the other one voted and didn't take to it kindly. I didn't witness it myself but apparently things got a bit sour between them and comments would be made about it at each-other. I think it has been cleared up now but made things uncomfortable.

    Scots being sour???? Never!!


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