Cheltenham 2018 - Day 1

kencoo · 13-03-2018 8:43am

Melon/my tenth forcast. Melons and my tenths cheltenham form the only reason. 16/1 and 25/1.

Rock Lesnar · 13-03-2018 8:51am

Just 4 e/w bets for me

1.30 Summerville boy

2.50 Cogry

4.50 Mossback

5.30 Any second now, although i like the plotting shed to.

AdpRo · 13-03-2018 9:18am

MTOY out, Altior ok

Blud · 13-03-2018 9:23am

As always with Cheltenham, there's too many horses to make a case for to go big on any of them. I'm spreading the net out with my bets, along there main strands, small stakes for the interest:

Paul Nicholls horses - he runs 2 today, Vicente at 2.50 and Ibis du Rheu at 5.30. Small stakes ew on each, small double too.

Super Heinz - the horses I think should win, while admittedly each are very vulnerable (hence small stake super heinz)
1.30 Kalishnikov
2.10 Footpad
2.50 Shantou Flyer
3.30 Buveur
4.10 Apple's Jade
4.50 Rathvinden
5.30 Mr Whitaker

Lastly, I've tried to find some value at higher odds, seems to be loads there in most races which is trouble in itself!
1.30 Debuchet 5 places
2.10 nothing here outside short odds
2.50 each way on both Vintage Clouds and Knight of Noir
3.30 each way on Identity Thief
4.10 each way on Jers Girl
4.50 each way on Pylonthepressure
5.30 each way on Testify

Good luck everyone, here's to a good week ahead.

Nulty · 13-03-2018 9:29am

Elgin is rated 4lbs higher now than Buveur Dair was going into the CH last year. His profile isn't as sexy looking cause he's competed in very strong handicaps and has been improving all season. I'd give his jumping a 7 out of ten, jumps a bit right but well enough to compete. His two best RPR came on soft ground. He currently has 8lbs to find on official ratings with the favourite

This doesn't look reflected in the prices

Elgin | 20/1 | 4.8%
Buveur Dair | 4/6 | 60%

20/1 is enough for me

beertons · 13-03-2018 9:42am

Paloma Blue
Footpad
Faugheen
La bag au roi
Testify

15c ew L31

Getabird
Footpad
Gold present
Faugheen
Benie Des deux
Ms Parfois
Mr Whitaker

10c super heinz ew.

Good luck everyone.

Slattsy · 13-03-2018 9:59am

I'd be inclined to take BD on too. I'm not sure he's beaten much in in his career and that's why I said many months ago that if Faugheen comes back at 70% of his old abilities he'd beat him.

But I'm not sure he's back to that at all. But Faugheen is out to a very backable price..

I'm going for a Wicklow Brave win in the CH. He'd have been a lot closer last year but for the start. Not sure about the ground though, think he'd have wanted it better tbh but will go at the price.

Edit: Faugheen back into 11/2. Am I mad or did I see 7s somewhere?!

thelostboys23 · 13-03-2018 10:39am

Debuchet ew
Gold Present win
Footpad, beauver d'air, apples jade in a small treble.

Didactic Ninja · 13-03-2018 10:41am

Elgin flying under the radar

Justin10 · 13-03-2018 10:44am

Went with the following for today.

Sharjah AP
Saint Calvados AP
Midnight Tour w/on fav (Caught my eye, Aidan confirmed)
Faugheen
Coo Star Sivola
Rathvinden

Best of luck to everyone.

krustydoyle · 13-03-2018 10:54am

Few AP Bets done ages ago for today

€5 ew on

Supreme
Getabird 16s
Western Ryder 20s
Slate House 33s
Paloma Blue 20s

Mr321 · 13-03-2018 11:03am

Paloma Blue
Footpad
Beware the bear
Faugheen
Apples Jade (gers girl w/o fav)
Ms Parfaois
Livelaughlove

Best of luck lads

Slattsy · 13-03-2018 11:05am

Here are my bets today. Some are ap, hence the prices.
Dont have time for a write up, off to get my hair cut and have a big durrrty fry before a few pints

1.30 - Debuchet 28s e/w

2.10 - No bet e/w

(but if PM keeps drifting i might play if he goes 4/1 or 9/2)

2.50 - cannot for the life of me find an angle im happy with in this race. If the ground was better probably Minella Dady, so might have a small e/w on him for an interest.

3.30 - Wicklow Brave 14s win

4.10 - Kayf Grace 25s e/w. But i think La Bague Au Roi is a cracking e/w bet for anyone stuck on the fence.

4.50 - Rathvinden 12s. Got in this fella a few weeks after they said he could go the 4 mile route.

5.30 - Any Second Now 12s. One of my bets of the week and delighted to see the money come.

Stay safe and good luck if anyone follows (dont)

begbysback · 13-03-2018 11:08am

Slattsy wrote: »

Here are my bets today. Some are ap, hence the prices.
Dont have time for a write up, off to get my hair cut and have a big durrrty fry before a few pints

1.30 - Debuchet 28s e/w

2.10 - No bet e/w (but if PM keeps drifting i might play if he goes 4/1 or 9/2)

2.50 - cannot for the life of me find an angle im happy with in this race. If the ground was better probably Minella Dady, so might have a small e/w on him for an interest.

3.30 - Wicklow Brave 14s win

4.10 - Kayf Grace 25s e/w. But i think La Bague Au Roi is a cracking e/w bet for anyone stuck on the fence.

4.50 - Rathvinden 12s. Got in this fella a few weeks after they said he could go the 4 mile route.

5.30 - Any Second Now 12s. One of my bets of the week and delighted to see the money come.

Stay safe and good luck if anyone follows (dont)

Haven't been keeping up with horses lately and urs is the latest post so I'm on these - good luck us!!

HandsomeBob · 13-03-2018 11:09am

So many different angles covered but I'll try to summise.

Acc to cover the 4 of AJ, Footpad, Getabird and BD. Mug bet I suppose but my angle is that these 4 have already proven they can handle the conditions and are genuinely worthy favs. Theirs to lose as far as I can see.

Mengli Khan and Debuchet backed ew.

Wakanda backed ew.

Faugheen and PM covered in a Yankee with 2 of the 4 I backed in acc.

irish_major · 13-03-2018 11:10am

The aftertiming going on in this thread before a race has even been ran :rolleyes:

convert · 13-03-2018 11:17am

I know the tensions are clearly rising, but please don't insult other users in your posts.

FatRat · 13-03-2018 11:17am

My bets for reference later on win they all bolt up...

1.30 Slate house e/w and Mengli Khan win
2.10 Footpad and Footpad to win by 5 lengths or more at 5/2
2.50 Shantou Flyer e/w
3.30 On Faugheen already antepost at **** prices. Starting to believe again.
4.10 Apples Jade is the banker of the festival if you ask me. Also Jers girl e/w without apples.
4.50 Rahtviden e/w
5.30 Any Second Now

gooseygander · 13-03-2018 11:23am

Have to say I had a strong fancy that Mengli Khan if at horses best has a major role to play, drift in betting is starting to worry me a bit but surely 16 to 1 is a great each way shout.

collie0708 · 13-03-2018 11:37am

Best of luck everyone hopefully a great days racing ahead. Below are my selections

1:30-Summerville boy
2:10-Footpad
2:50-Coo star sivola
3:30/ 4:10-Buveur D’air/ apples jade (double)
4:50-Ms Parfois
5:30-Mister Whitaker

tinpib · 13-03-2018 11:39am

130pm Mengli Khan 11.0, [nice price]
210pm Petit Mouchoir 4.5, [nice price]
250pm Yala Enki 13.0, [loves the ground]
330pm Faugheen 6.5, [finally looks appealing at that price]
410pm Jer's Girl 13.0, [good price, hope for a place at least]
450pm Ms Parfois 7.5. [loves the ground]

e/w Heinz.

All enhanced place prices, taking the extra place where possible. That's my realistic way to untold riches.

supremenovice · 13-03-2018 11:41am

Ive done an outsiders Lucky 31 e/w

1330 - Western Ryder - 33/1
1450 - Vic de Touzaine - 40/1
1530 - Elgin - 16/1
1610 - Midnight Tour - 66/1
1650 - Shades of Midnight 16/1

Think Ill go in on Elgin and Saint Calvados to win too.

deiseman17 · 13-03-2018 11:45am

1:30 Mengli Khan EW - Great price
14.10 Footpad - Hard to look past.
14.50 Vintage Clouds - Stays well and loves testing ground.
17.30 Mr Whitaker - Loves soft ground and has won on this ground last month in Cheltenham. I think its the trainers only horse of the festival, could be wrong.

Fitz* · 13-03-2018 11:49am

Here is to a great day, and week of racing. Good luck everyone.

Have all of these in various bets across the week;

1:30 - Getabird
2:10 - Footpad
2:50 -
3:30 - Beuvair D'Air
3:30 - Wicklow Brave e/w
4:10 - Apples jade
4:50 - Rathvinden
5:30 -

Peintre Celebre · 13-03-2018 11:50am

Quite like Ballyhill today in the last. 22s e/w. Also conrad hastings is way overpriced at 150 in the same. About 20s to place

gazza1 · 13-03-2018 11:53am

My day selections

Let's hope they all return safely

Mengli Khan ew
Petit Mouchoir
Singlefarmpayment
Wicklow brave ew
La bague au roi w/o
Jury Duty
Mr Whitaker

BOL

3putt · 13-03-2018 11:53am

Bets for the day

Kalashnikov-5/1- 13:30

Melon-18/1- 15:30

TREB:
Footpad
Buveur Dair
Apples Jade

akelly02 · 13-03-2018 11:56am

done a Lucky 15 of :

Getabird
Footpad
Faugheen W/O BD @ 2/1
shantou flyer

Also a 20 accum

footpad
Apples jade
samcro
alttior pays €200

mdwexford · 13-03-2018 12:01pm

HarshOstrich wrote: »

He’s beat footpad every time he has raced against him over hurdles, and the last day he wasn’t at his fittest they always said he would come on for it as he had some setback since his debut chase win, he also hit the second fence very hard which would usually show in the latter part of the race yet he closed on footpad near finish without either horse getting whipped it has to be said.
He also usually front runs but the last day he let footpad do it and I would be surprised if he didn’t jump off in front of footpad today
Saint calvedos also want to front run so I would imagine footpad would sit in behind the other 2.

I think footpad had everything in his favour last time but could only beat petit mouchoir 5 lengths,surely he can’t be a banker with improvement always likely to come from PM who had already proved in his career to be better than footpad over hurdles.
If petit mouchoir gos off in front of footpad only a fall will stop him finishing ahead of him IMO

Means nothing.

sdoc13 · 13-03-2018 12:04pm

My Bets for Day 1
Summerhill Boy 8s 2.5ptwin/ Debachut 1pt ew 33s
Vintage Clouds 9s 2 ptwin/Beware the bear 1 pt win/ Yala Enki 1 pt ew
Faugheen. 3 pt ew 13/2. 3 pt Win Antepost at 11/4
Midnight Tour W/O fav 40s 1 pt ew
Rathvinden 7s 3 pt win
Any Second Now 13/2 2pt win, Typhoon Prince 1 pt

Best of Luck all.

Cheltenham 2018 - Day 1

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