Advertisement
Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/.
https://www.boards.ie/group/1878-subscribers-forum
Private Group for paid up members of Boards.ie. Join the club.
Private Group for paid up members of Boards.ie. Join the club.
Hi all, please see this major site announcement: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058427594/boards-ie-2026
Cheltenham Antepost Tickets
Comments
-
-
-
-
-
-
Advertisement
-
-
Switching Samcro from the Ballymore to the Supreme is something we’re not even thinking about. It doesn’t interest us that his price for the Supreme has shortened.
"Unless the ground becomes brutally heavy - and I hope for everyone’s sake that won’t be the case - it isn’t something we’ll even consider.”
on Racing post now. so id say my 90/10 chance is about right
At a 90/10 chance and say he is a 3/1(being very generous, he'll probably be more like a 6/4 shot) shot if he rocks up.
This means it's about a 39/1 shot that he wins the supreme or 2.5%.
About 12.5/1 he turns up and gets beat. Or 7.5%.
So that's if it was an antepost book. You'd effectively be wanting 40/1 to make money at the above modest estimations.
However this is NR money back. So you are basically allowed to back a 3/1 shot at 14/1 and there is no deductions. Of course they rarely work out but he still has a 2.5% chance of winning the race at the above generous estimations.
If I told you that there was a room in a building that if you walked into every day there was a 2.5% chance you would find 470 quid on the floor. A 7.5 % chance you would get mugged and lose 31 quid. And on the other days there was nothing doing only a cup of tea and a crow laughing at you.
By God I'd be walking in there every day until they put me in a hole. 0 -
-
Soft to heavy is almost inevitable with the snow that has already fallen and the forecast has rain most days.
Tried to tell you
Just seen the following on Kim Bailey's blog ;
Plus 2 and dry when driving in. Foggy above..
Yes I drove in this morning with ease.. Snow gone off the roads and the colour green was back in the description of my surroundings.. Relief.
Relief too for Simon Claisse (Clerk of the course at Cheltenham) who was over for supper last night.
Simon and his team had just dug the last fence clear of snow. Every fence on the course, including the cross country fences, had their snow covering removed by shovel and barrow. That stops false ground around the fences from melting snow, and you might well ask why no tractor help.. tractor tryes marks on the grass.
Simon was happy that the course had taken the weather well and was even amazed to see some grass growth..
The ground is currently described as soft and good to soft in places and with not a huge amount of rain forecasted the likelihood is that the ground on the first day will be good to soft and after 4 days, good… So be warned don’t go mad backing heavy ground horses.0 -
Tried to tell you
Just seen the following on Kim Bailey's blog ;
Plus 2 and dry when driving in. Foggy above..
Yes I drove in this morning with ease.. Snow gone off the roads and the colour green was back in the description of my surroundings.. Relief.
Relief too for Simon Claisse (Clerk of the course at Cheltenham) who was over for supper last night.
Simon and his team had just dug the last fence clear of snow. Every fence on the course, including the cross country fences, had their snow covering removed by shovel and barrow. That stops false ground around the fences from melting snow, and you might well ask why no tractor help.. tractor tryes marks on the grass.
Simon was happy that the course had taken the weather well and was even amazed to see some grass growth..
The ground is currently described as soft and good to soft in places and with not a huge amount of rain forecasted the likelihood is that the ground on the first day will be good to soft and after 4 days, good… So be warned don’t go mad backing heavy ground horses.
Forecast for the weekend is ****e! Well it was yesterday.
Don't mind being wrong on this, good ground makes Slattsy happy.0 -
Advertisement
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Advertisement
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Advertisement
-
Advertisement