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Major Hurricane Maria
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18-09-2017 9:12pm#1Maria is now a major Cat 3 Hurricane with speeds around 105 kts and soon forecast to become a Cat 4 Hurricane. The track takes it through the Leeward Islands, approach The Virgin Islands and cross Puerto Rica. NHC saying it is set to strengthen rapidly and reach conservative peak speeds of 130 kt in about 30 hrs.
NHC
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Maria will affect portions of the Leeward Islands and the British
and U.S. Virgin Islands as an extremely dangerous major hurricane
during the next couple of days, and hurricane warnings are in effect
for many of these islands.
2. Maria is likely to affect Puerto Rico as an extremely dangerous
major hurricane, and a hurricane watch is in effect for that island.
A hurricane warning will likely be issued later today.
3. The potential for a life-threatening storm surge, accompanied by
large and destructive waves, has increased for the Leeward Islands,
the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.
4. Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides from heavy rainfall
are expected across the Leeward Islands, including Puerto Rico and
the U.S. and British Virgin Islands.
Models showing the possibility that Maria will begin to veer Northwestwards Sat /Sun .
4
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NHC summary.
And on Maria marches. Cat 5 , sustained winds near 140 kts, central pressure 927 mb The centre of the hurricane is forecast to pass near or over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Weds.after that maria is forecast to weaken due to upper winds being less favourable and partially due to the large circulation of Jose off the U.S East coast.
Maria is forecast to be about 135 -140 kt when it makes landfall in Puerto Rico.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Maria will continue to affect portions of the Leeward Islands
today and the core of the hurricane is expected to move near or over
Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands tonight and Wednesday. Everyone
in these areas should follow advice from local officials to avoid
life-threatening flooding from storm surge and rainfall.
2. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
and on high-rise buildings could be much stronger than the near-
surface winds indicated in this advisory.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/1500Z 16.3N 63.1W 140 KT 160 MPH
12H 20/0000Z 17.0N 64.1W 140 KT 160 MPH
24H 20/1200Z 18.0N 65.7W 135 KT 155 MPH
36H 21/0000Z 18.8N 67.1W 125 KT 145 MPH
48H 21/1200Z 19.6N 68.4W 125 KT 145 MPH
72H 22/1200Z 21.5N 70.5W 120 KT 140 MPH
96H 23/1200Z 24.5N 72.0W 105 KT 120 MPH
120H 24/1200Z 27.5N 72.5W 95 KT 110 MPH
$$
Forecaster Beven
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