The Official Off Topic Thread

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Not remotely horse racing at all, but anyone following the British election? I think Labour are toast. I had a small bet on Betfair that Labour would win only 100-149 seats at 18's, with a saver on 150-199 at 2.46 to cover my stake. I just cannot see them getting over 200 seats and think there is a greater than 6% chance that they are under 150.

Most of Labour's substantial gains have now been lost and prices reverted to last month for JC to be PM (6's), he was down to 4's at one stage. Only WillHill are holding a fairly short position on him. Not to be dismissed entirely (due to the Re-moaners getting strategic), but the recent dramatic events may have exposed his weaknesses.

Read somewhere he'll only manage 147 seats, so the band of 126-150 seats via 365 @22 could be a better value wild card option. SNP might only get 40 seats and LibDems will have a bad day with just a few marginal seat gains. There may be calls for a re-count/re-vote in N.Ire due to some confusion over results, perhaps some areas become too close to call outright.

Expecting to see one or two resignations tomorrow morning as mentioned on the other threads 1 & 2

krustydoyle wrote: »

Exit polls are predicting 266 seats for Labour

This is one complicated market, SNP and LD down yes, but massive gains for Labour? Maybe W'Hill got a call-updates from IPSOS exit pollsters.
To complicate matters one of my Oracles foretold last year, a 'major government resignation' on 9th June, yet the other one just recently forecast a easy Tory landslide.



My own personal opion is that this may well come down to the line, and maybe even the SDLP, if they take one or two seats from SF in the North they can join Lab/SNP/LD and have final influence in Westminster in regards to Brexit v2 scenario.

Don't mean to clog up the HR forum, links to UKGE17 are here: 1, 2, 3

Jezz is favourite currently to take the big seat. From 12% chance to 45% and BFE with price of 2.4, or the new wildcard (TM) at 2.5.

Hold the doors 20% is back in town for JC. Some profit to be made in Arbing this see-saw event.

BumperD wrote: »

Not sure what price McElroy was but his demeanor at he US open for the last hour or so suggests he has already jacked it in.

Just checked in on the end of R1 scores, plenty of big names at the bottom of the leaderboard at +6/7 with double bogeys. McIlroy (200/1, but still not to be written off), Day (500/1), Berger, Horschel etc.

Rory was complaining the rough was getting cut earlier, he probably wishes he was out with them now operating the 2-stroke Sthils, instead of 2-click Instagrams.



Could be a week for the underdogs, got R1 2nd pl Xander 150/1 7pl few hours ago (-6). Still with 3R to go anything is possible.

One chap possibly e/w overpriced is Niebrugge @500/1, was blue pre-event and is holding his own so far just +1.