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The Official Off Topic Thread

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I think it's about time we start a new thread for our ramblings.

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PM me nudes

Basically every poll has showed labour have closed the gap significantly, but still a range of 1 - 12 points behind poll dependent.

While Labour won't win, they'll still do well imo

Corbyn is a mong anyway

BumperD

Does anyone know an IP address app for iPad to hide the country? I'm traveling during royal ascot and fear I won't be able have a bet

Copper_pipe

Vyprvpn

Copper_pipe

http://m.independent.ie/sport/horse-racing/backers-of-ocallaghans-night-can-grab-glory-35801671.html

4068ac1elhodqr

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Not remotely horse racing at all, but anyone following the British election? I think Labour are toast. I had a small bet on Betfair that Labour would win only 100-149 seats at 18's, with a saver on 150-199 at 2.46 to cover my stake. I just cannot see them getting over 200 seats and think there is a greater than 6% chance that they are under 150.

Most of Labour's substantial gains have now been lost and prices reverted to last month for JC to be PM (6's), he was down to 4's at one stage. Only WillHill are holding a fairly short position on him. Not to be dismissed entirely (due to the Re-moaners getting strategic), but the recent dramatic events may have exposed his weaknesses.

Read somewhere he'll only manage 147 seats, so the band of 126-150 seats via 365 @22 could be a better value wild card option. SNP might only get 40 seats and LibDems will have a bad day with just a few marginal seat gains. There may be calls for a re-count/re-vote in N.Ire due to some confusion over results, perhaps some areas become too close to call outright.

Expecting to see one or two resignations tomorrow morning as mentioned on the other threads 1 & 2

Francie Barrett

I went through all the marginal seats, took a look at the results in the local/by-elections, and then considered the impact of the reduced Ukip vote. I think Labour will struggle to win any existing Tory seats, and will likely lose a lot of their marginal seats due to Ukip votes going to Tories.

krustydoyle

Francie Barrett wrote:

Not remotely horse racing at all, but anyone following the British election? I think Labour are toast. I had a small bet on Betfair that Labour would win only 100-149 seats at 18's, with a saver on 150-199 at 2.46 to cover my stake. I just cannot see them getting over 200 seats and think there is a greater than 6% chance that they are under 150.

Exit polls are predicting 266 seats for Labour

gazza1

Both Wicklow Brave and Clondaw Warrior running at Belmont race 10 22.46 friday.

4068ac1elhodqr

krustydoyle wrote: »

Exit polls are predicting 266 seats for Labour

This is one complicated market, SNP and LD down yes, but massive gains for Labour? Maybe W'Hill got a call-updates from IPSOS exit pollsters.
To complicate matters one of my Oracles foretold last year, a 'major government resignation' on 9th June, yet the other one just recently forecast a easy Tory landslide.

My own personal opion is that this may well come down to the line, and maybe even the SDLP, if they take one or two seats from SF in the North they can join Lab/SNP/LD and have final influence in Westminster in regards to Brexit v2 scenario.

Don't mean to clog up the HR forum, links to UKGE17 are here: 1, 2, 3

BumperD

Jaysus

4068ac1elhodqr

Jezz is favourite currently to take the big seat. From 12% chance to 45% and BFE with price of 2.4, or the new wildcard (TM) at 2.5.

Gamebred

Trump couldnt win, leaving brexit couldnt win and Corbyn couldnt win, amazing really experts and betting markets getting the treble wrong, 1.04 gubbing here money buyers cleaned.

4068ac1elhodqr

Hold the doors 20% is back in town for JC. Some profit to be made in Arbing this see-saw event.

BumperD

Copper_pipe wrote: »

Vyprvpn

Works perfectly, thank you

Gavin "shels"

Vyprvpn the only one I've found to work in Portugal, cheap enough too.

Fecking Portugese and their newish gambling laws!

BumperD

I didn't pay for my app?

Unless I did inadvertently but it said free

Gavin "shels"

You get 1GB free iirc, then it's paid.

BumperD

Ok thanks for the heads up. Didn't realize that.

NaiveMelodies

Often ignore Denis Hogan runners but Kalann ran to a mark of 92 this time last year and runs off 57 tomorrow evening in a weak looking race. Top three in the market ran against eachother LTO so if the form of that race is wrong the 25s about Kalann could look very big. Cheekpieces reapplied also.. can't ignore him.

BumperD

Not sure what price McElroy was but his demeanor at he US open for the last hour or so suggests he has already jacked it in.

4068ac1elhodqr

BumperD wrote: »

Not sure what price McElroy was but his demeanor at he US open for the last hour or so suggests he has already jacked it in.

Just checked in on the end of R1 scores, plenty of big names at the bottom of the leaderboard at +6/7 with double bogeys. McIlroy (200/1, but still not to be written off), Day (500/1), Berger, Horschel etc.

Rory was complaining the rough was getting cut earlier, he probably wishes he was out with them now operating the 2-stroke Sthils, instead of 2-click Instagrams.

Could be a week for the underdogs, got R1 2nd pl Xander 150/1 7pl few hours ago (-6). Still with 3R to go anything is possible.

One chap possibly e/w overpriced is Niebrugge @500/1, was blue pre-event and is holding his own so far just +1.

NaiveMelodies

NaiveMelodies wrote: »

Often ignore Denis Hogan runners but Kalann ran to a mark of 92 this time last year and runs off 57 tomorrow evening in a weak looking race. Top three in the market ran against eachother LTO so if the form of that race is wrong the 25s about Kalann could look very big. Cheekpieces reapplied also.. can't ignore him.

Despite finishing 10th, the run was a big step up on previous form. Extra distance will suit tomorrow and I'm ignoring my hesitance to back Hogan runners once again. 16s looks too big. Lots of these ran last week and I've no doubt with a change of, eh, tactics.. he would have beaten them.

NaiveMelodies

NaiveMelodies wrote: »

Despite finishing 10th, the run was a big step up on previous form. Extra distance will suit tomorrow and I'm ignoring my hesitance to back Hogan runners once again. 16s looks too big. Lots of these ran last week and I've no doubt with a change of, eh, tactics.. he would have beaten them.

Tis a live one, best price 13-2 now, big lunchtime gamble. Could have got 20s this morning though

akelly02

NaiveMelodies wrote: »

Tis a live one, best price 13-2 now, big lunchtime gamble. Could have got 20s this morning though

whats the horse?

NaiveMelodies

akelly02 wrote: »

whats the horse?

Sorry. It's Kalann in the 9.00 at Leopardstown, had quoted my original post from last week above.

naughto

Is it worth it now with the price gone?

The Mig

Thread needs to be renamed to Aidan

NaiveMelodies

naughto wrote: »

Is it worth it now with the price gone?

TBH I would have ignored him if price was 13/2 last night. As you say the price is gone..

BumperD

I see Rostropovich running tomorrow, I remember balldoyle having the exact same named horse before nearly 20 yrs ago. They are hardly running out of names

Whiplash85

BumperD wrote: »

I see Rostropovich running tomorrow, I remember balldoyle having the exact same named horse before nearly 20 yrs ago. They are hardly running out of names

How do they name horses in Coolmore? Utah, Idaho etc are a bit random. Must be some amish influence.