Price Changes 2016/2017 - OP updated 15/12/16

Xaniaj · 19-08-2016 9:51pm

The % difference between fffix and fplstatistics is pretty large, it'll be interesting to see which is more accurate.

Mr.Prodston · 19-08-2016 9:52pm

FHFC wrote: »

Mmm. Missed Townsend. He'd be my only other risk. Need him to do something tomorrow!!

Sure look when he gets a brace tomorrow he'll reverse things. Be grand..

Chesty08 · 19-08-2016 9:54pm

FHFC wrote: »

Fantasy Football Fix currently predicting somewhere around 100 drops tonight.

Including Vardy, Tadic, Coleman, Lukaku, Gray, Mane and Fuchs.[/quote

I've 4 of them!! That is not good

Dont be at yourself · 19-08-2016 9:56pm

Have pulled the trigger on Alli -> Lamela to free up funds for Benteke next week. Would have preferred to wait a while, but couldn't afford a .2 swing.

Jaggo · 19-08-2016 9:56pm

I think money will be more important this year than last. There seems to be a couple of premium players doing well.

I think i will take a hit to avoid a price drop - Vardy to ibra. You could see ibra getting 2 price rises and Vardy dropping twice too. .3 million is probably worth the hit.

Xaniaj · 19-08-2016 9:59pm

Is it too early for Benteke? A front line of Aguero, Zlatan and Benteke looks very tempting but expensive!

basillarkin · 19-08-2016 10:02pm

Xaniaj wrote: »

Is it too early for Benteke? A front line of Aguero, Zlatan and Benteke looks very tempting but expensive!

tekers defiantly on my radar, if he can get his villa form back he would be a must at 7.4. On the watchlist

FHFC · 19-08-2016 10:03pm

Xaniaj wrote: »

Is it too early for Benteke? A front line of Aguero, Zlatan and Benteke looks very tempting but expensive!

I'll be wildcardig GW4 for sure. Negredo may be worth a punt for Vardy. Potentially heading for a rise tomorrow and a decent GW3 fixture home to Palace. Or Costa with Burnley at home GW3.

skippy15 · 19-08-2016 10:16pm

Think going be taking a hit or two to stop the fallers and catch some risers-
First Glance for a -4/ -8,
Vardy- Ibra ( vardy due a drop and ibra get at least .2 rise so .3 swing)
Mahrez- Redmond (needed for funds but .1 drop to .1 rise so .2 swing minimum

Gray to Negredo would be other switch again, for .1 drop .1 rise but may hold of on this one.

Scorpion Sting · 19-08-2016 10:19pm

13,000 transfers in for Ibrahimovic already, bloody hell.

dahat · 19-08-2016 10:21pm

Scorpion Sting wrote: »

13,000 transfers in for Ibrahimovic already, bloody hell.

Its the damage done to the rest of the team is what I'm curious about, to me those going with Ibra & Kun need to go with 352.

El festino · 19-08-2016 10:25pm

Gonna have to get ibrahimovic in. Vardy out.
Need to get 1.5. Eriksen to Lamela.

Scorpion Sting · 19-08-2016 10:30pm

FHFC wrote: »

I'll be wildcardig GW4 for sure. Negredo may be worth a punt for Vardy. Potentially heading for a rise tomorrow and a decent GW3 fixture home to Palace. Or Costa with Burnley at home GW3.

Negredo has West Brom away in 3, Palace at home is in 4.

Mint Sauce · 19-08-2016 10:31pm

Cant afford Vardy to lbrahimovic. Cant afford another hit either.

Xaniaj · 19-08-2016 10:32pm

Frigg it, couldn't deal with the price swings so done Mahrez to Hazard and Gray to Negredo.

FHFC · 19-08-2016 10:38pm

Scorpion Sting wrote: »

Negredo has West Brom away in 3, Palace at home is in 4.

Ah. Costa it is so.

Mint Sauce · 19-08-2016 10:38pm

Most be flipping mad to be contimplating a double transfer 1 game into the GW, just to beat a rise, and a drop!

FHFC · 19-08-2016 10:39pm

dahat wrote: »

Its the damage done to the rest of the team is what I'm curious about, to me those going with Ibra & Kun need to go with 352.

I have Aguero Kun Vardy.

Going to somebody like Benteke in the third spot and I'll feel like a millionaire in midfield.

T-b0n3 · 19-08-2016 10:43pm

FHFC wrote: »

I have Aguero Kun Vardy.

Going to somebody like Benteke in the third spot and I'll feel like a millionaire in midfield.

I have Aguero Ibra and Kane so I'll nearly be a billionaire!

dahat · 19-08-2016 10:44pm

FHFC wrote: »

I have Aguero Kun Vardy.

Going to somebody like Benteke in the third spot and I'll feel like a millionaire in midfield.

Guess you will!

Hazard & Martial sucked alot of my midfield cash but i want Tekkers so sacrifice will have to be made but it's a tough task.

Xaniaj · 19-08-2016 10:45pm

Mint Sauce wrote: »

Most be flipping mad to be contimplating a double transfer 1 game into the GW, just to beat a rise, and a drop!

I don't think so, I think cash is going to be a lot tighter than last year when you have expensive options that may end up essential (obviously we're only a week in so that remains to be seen!)

FHFC · 19-08-2016 10:48pm

dahat wrote: »

Guess you will!

Hazard & Martial sucked alot of my midfield cash but i want Tekkers so sacrifice will have to be made but it's a tough task.

I'm happy with the balance of 2 player for 18m or so and 2 cheaper for 12 or 13m plus a 4.5.

Cheap as chips at the back. Thats where I'll want to upgrade slightly.

Who_8_Paul? · 19-08-2016 10:50pm

Is Tadic falling tonight? One of the sites only has him at 50% - everyone's gone mad tearing up their teams for Zlatan

FHFC · 19-08-2016 10:52pm

Btw lads. Its worth noting that FFFIX price preditions are based on rate of transfers per hour, so at peak times for transfers like this evening the predicted change time can be temporarily distorted.

E.g. a player on 60 or 70% whonis getting a lot of transfers in or out that particular hour can be predicted to rise/fall tonight but when the dust settles and his rate/hr slackens it can revert to 2d.

E.g. Townsend has already gone back from predicted to drop tomorrow to 2d+.

If mulling over the WC have a look at it in an hour or so as the predictions might have calmed down a bit.

dahat · 19-08-2016 10:55pm

Benteke looked like getting back from a drop last night last time i looked but he went down.

Anyone over 75% at this stage is under threat.

FHFC · 19-08-2016 10:57pm

dahat wrote: »

Benteke looked like getting back from a drop last night last time i looked but he went down.

Anyone over 75% at this stage is under threat.

True. You also have to factor in the early season inaccuracy.

Last season though I wildcarded GW3 as they were lit up like a Christmas tree with rises and drops and half of them didn't happen. Still turned out well in the end though.

Earlier i counted over 100 predicted to drop tonight and now its around 88.

dahat · 19-08-2016 11:15pm

100 was always going to be ott really but for me with 4 likely threatening to drop in one night was just too risky.

Vardy looks a cert with Tadic as well plus the also rans who will be plenty.

FHFC · 19-08-2016 11:19pm

dahat wrote: »

100 was always going to be ott really but for me with 4 likely threatening to drop in one night was just too risky.

Vardy looks a cert with Tadic as well plus the also rans who will be plenty.

If I was you I'd 100% be wildcarding.

There might be others more borderline.

I was fully expecting to be but the price trends couldn't be much better for my team. It's not out of the question by the end of the week if someone I want looks like going up 0.2

Chesty08 · 19-08-2016 11:35pm

FHFC wrote: »

If I was you I'd 100% be wildcarding.

There might be others more borderline.

I was fully expecting to be but the price trends couldn't be much better for my team. It's not out of the question by the end of the week if someone I want looks like going up 0.2

I just done Vardy to Ibra & Fuchs to McAuley ( 2 FT's)

Have Gray & Tadic in my team... Would you still wildcard? Do you think both will drop?

ElTel · 19-08-2016 11:39pm

Can I get a prediction from the 2 of ye please regarding Gradle to drop or not?
Some great stuff from you two there.

FHFC · 19-08-2016 11:42pm

Chesty08 wrote: »

I just done Vardy to Ibra & Fuchs to McAuley ( 2 FT's)

Have Gray & Tadic in my team... Would you still wildcard? Do you think both will drop?

I think both will drop. If I was looking at a swing of 0.4 or 0.5 in value I'd be gone. These fluctuations don't happen at other times. Next 2 to 3 weeks will define your team value.

I'm just trying to decide whether to let Vardy drop 0.1....hate transferring before players have played.

FHFC · 19-08-2016 11:45pm

ElTel wrote: »

Can I get a prediction from the 2 of ye please regarding Gradle to drop or not?
Some great stuff from you two there.

Opinion only. Hes only 67% on Fpls and slowed to 1.2%/hr on Fix. Not a cert to drop but very possible. 60/40 for dropping.

Trimm Trabb · 19-08-2016 11:54pm

Think I'm going to hold Gray for one more day - hope to god he holds - any opinions on my chances?

I know I'm bringing in Benteke but will have to take a hit so need to wait to see who to get rid of and will there be any injuries/suspensions to factor in after tomorrow.

ElTel · 19-08-2016 11:54pm

FHFC wrote: »

Opinion only. Hes only 67% on Fpls and slowed to 1.2%/hr on Fix. Not a cert to drop but very possible. 60/40 for dropping.

Cheers. Holding atm.
What was max changes in a week last season? 40ish

FHFC · 19-08-2016 11:57pm

ElTel wrote: »

Cheers. Holding atm.
What was max changes in a week last season? 40ish

Max rises 26 or so. Average drops 58ish but average of 129 in these next weeks.

http://fantasyfootballpundits.com/early-season-fpl-price-change-trends-and-implications-for-wildcard-strategy/

FHFC · 19-08-2016 11:58pm

Trimm Trabb wrote: »

Think I'm going to hold Gray for one more day - hope to god he holds - any opinions on my chances?

I know I'm bringing in Benteke but will have to take a hit so need to wait to see who to get rid of and will there be any injuries/suspensions to factor in after tomorrow.

He's likely to drop imo but you've a chance. 70/30 maybe.

Trimm Trabb · 20-08-2016 12:00am

FHFC wrote: »

He's likely to drop imo but you've a chance. 70/30 maybe.

Cheers can absorb it as Benteke is 6.9. Be nice to make 0.1 at this stage of the season too.

dahat · 20-08-2016 12:03am

Trimm Trabb wrote: »

Cheers can absorb it as Benteke is 6.9. Be nice to make 0.1 at this stage of the season too.

Tekkers is 7.4

ElTel · 20-08-2016 12:07am

dahat wrote: »

Tekkers is 7.4

So YOUR not giving predictions I see.:D

Trimm Trabb · 20-08-2016 12:08am

dahat wrote: »

Tekkers is 7.4

Oh yeah sorry mixed up there - anyway as he's dropped I'll still be able get him.

zarquon · 20-08-2016 2:22am

Rises : Coutinho, Lallana, Ibrahimovic, Redmond, Lamela

Falls : Wilshere, Iwobi, Asano, Cuadrado, Loftus-Cheek, Coleman, Okazaki, Markovic, Origi, Zabaleta, Mangala, Denayer, Nasri, Fernando, Nolito, P.Jones, Rojo, Borthwick-Jackson, Depay, Young, Schweinsteiger, Tadic, Clasie, J.Rodriguez, Lens, N.Taylor, Chadli, N'Jie, Lambert, Feghouli

Scorpion Sting · 20-08-2016 2:28am

Gray escaped the drop, get in!

dsmythy · 20-08-2016 8:06am

Nolito dropped? Yay.

FHFC · 20-08-2016 8:15am

Fantasy Footie Fix were predicting 88 rises at around midnight. 30 actual drops just over an hour later.

The were also predicting a raft of rises. Don't have the figure. Meanwhile FPL Statistics predicted only 9 rises. Their top 4 were correct...Ibra, Couts, Lamela and Lallana. Then they had Capoue and Collins wrong. Redmond was 7th in their list and rose. Hazard and Diomonde didn't.

FPL Statistics more reliable for me. Unfortunately didn't screen shot their drop preditions but on sheer volume they were way closer to the mark.

redzerdrog · 20-08-2016 8:24am

The talk of potential risers/fallers last night made me pull the trigger on ibra/capou/wilson in and grey/silva/pieters out for a 4 point hit.

Turned out only ibra rose and grey/silva held but think it was still time to get aboard the ibra bandwagon that i was set against at the start

Dont be at yourself · 20-08-2016 9:30am

Delighted Vardy held. Nolito and Tadic both falling makes them more tempting.

P.Walnuts · 20-08-2016 11:38pm

Any risk of Holding going up?

F1ngers · 20-08-2016 11:52pm

Closer to a drop than a rise.

iroced · 21-08-2016 4:50am

Scorpion Sting wrote: »

Gray escaped the drop, get in!

... And scored, assisted and 1-bonused! Get feckin' in!!!

Capoue, Agueroooooooooooooooooo, Diomandé.

Gabriel, Mané, Ulloa, Vardy, Robles, Wickham, Cabaye, McArthur, Rémy, Kennedy, Mousset, Xhaka, Fosu-Mensah, Sané, Aina, Grujic, Son, Lloris, Van der Hoorn, Long, Carrick, Schneiderlin, Mkhitaryan, Martina, Maguire, Mason, Niasse.

machiavellianme · 21-08-2016 9:57am

FHFC wrote: »

I have Aguero Kun Vardy.

Going to somebody like Benteke in the third spot and I'll feel like a millionaire in midfield.

Wait a minute, how'd you pick Sergio twice?

Price Changes 2016/2017 - OP updated 15/12/16

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