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Price Changes 2016/2017 - OP updated 15/12/16

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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 457 ✭✭Xaniaj


    Mint Sauce wrote: »
    Most be flipping mad to be contimplating a double transfer 1 game into the GW, just to beat a rise, and a drop!

    I don't think so, I think cash is going to be a lot tighter than last year when you have expensive options that may end up essential (obviously we're only a week in so that remains to be seen!)


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,271 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    dahat wrote: »
    Guess you will!

    Hazard & Martial sucked alot of my midfield cash but i want Tekkers so sacrifice will have to be made but it's a tough task.

    I'm happy with the balance of 2 player for 18m or so and 2 cheaper for 12 or 13m plus a 4.5.

    Cheap as chips at the back. Thats where I'll want to upgrade slightly.


  • Registered Users Posts: 756 ✭✭✭Who_8_Paul?


    Is Tadic falling tonight? One of the sites only has him at 50% - everyone's gone mad tearing up their teams for Zlatan


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,271 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    Btw lads. Its worth noting that FFFIX price preditions are based on rate of transfers per hour, so at peak times for transfers like this evening the predicted change time can be temporarily distorted.

    E.g. a player on 60 or 70% whonis getting a lot of transfers in or out that particular hour can be predicted to rise/fall tonight but when the dust settles and his rate/hr slackens it can revert to 2d.

    E.g. Townsend has already gone back from predicted to drop tomorrow to 2d+.

    If mulling over the WC have a look at it in an hour or so as the predictions might have calmed down a bit.


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,629 ✭✭✭✭dahat


    Benteke looked like getting back from a drop last night last time i looked but he went down.

    Anyone over 75% at this stage is under threat.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 11,271 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    dahat wrote: »
    Benteke looked like getting back from a drop last night last time i looked but he went down.

    Anyone over 75% at this stage is under threat.

    True. You also have to factor in the early season inaccuracy.

    Last season though I wildcarded GW3 as they were lit up like a Christmas tree with rises and drops and half of them didn't happen. Still turned out well in the end though.

    Earlier i counted over 100 predicted to drop tonight and now its around 88.


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,629 ✭✭✭✭dahat


    100 was always going to be ott really but for me with 4 likely threatening to drop in one night was just too risky.

    Vardy looks a cert with Tadic as well plus the also rans who will be plenty.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,271 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    dahat wrote: »
    100 was always going to be ott really but for me with 4 likely threatening to drop in one night was just too risky.

    Vardy looks a cert with Tadic as well plus the also rans who will be plenty.

    If I was you I'd 100% be wildcarding.

    There might be others more borderline.

    I was fully expecting to be but the price trends couldn't be much better for my team. It's not out of the question by the end of the week if someone I want looks like going up 0.2


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,083 ✭✭✭Chesty08


    FHFC wrote: »
    If I was you I'd 100% be wildcarding.

    There might be others more borderline.

    I was fully expecting to be but the price trends couldn't be much better for my team. It's not out of the question by the end of the week if someone I want looks like going up 0.2

    I just done Vardy to Ibra & Fuchs to McAuley ( 2 FT's)

    Have Gray & Tadic in my team... Would you still wildcard? Do you think both will drop?


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,672 ✭✭✭ElTel


    Can I get a prediction from the 2 of ye please regarding Gradle to drop or not?
    Some great stuff from you two there.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 11,271 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    Chesty08 wrote: »
    I just done Vardy to Ibra & Fuchs to McAuley ( 2 FT's)

    Have Gray & Tadic in my team... Would you still wildcard? Do you think both will drop?

    I think both will drop. If I was looking at a swing of 0.4 or 0.5 in value I'd be gone. These fluctuations don't happen at other times. Next 2 to 3 weeks will define your team value.

    I'm just trying to decide whether to let Vardy drop 0.1....hate transferring before players have played.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,271 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    ElTel wrote: »
    Can I get a prediction from the 2 of ye please regarding Gradle to drop or not?
    Some great stuff from you two there.

    Opinion only. Hes only 67% on Fpls and slowed to 1.2%/hr on Fix. Not a cert to drop but very possible. 60/40 for dropping.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,959 ✭✭✭Trimm Trabb


    Think I'm going to hold Gray for one more day - hope to god he holds - any opinions on my chances?

    I know I'm bringing in Benteke but will have to take a hit so need to wait to see who to get rid of and will there be any injuries/suspensions to factor in after tomorrow.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,672 ✭✭✭ElTel


    FHFC wrote: »
    Opinion only. Hes only 67% on Fpls and slowed to 1.2%/hr on Fix. Not a cert to drop but very possible. 60/40 for dropping.

    Cheers. Holding atm.
    What was max changes in a week last season? 40ish


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,271 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    ElTel wrote: »
    Cheers. Holding atm.
    What was max changes in a week last season? 40ish

    Max rises 26 or so. Average drops 58ish but average of 129 in these next weeks.

    http://fantasyfootballpundits.com/early-season-fpl-price-change-trends-and-implications-for-wildcard-strategy/


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,271 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    Think I'm going to hold Gray for one more day - hope to god he holds - any opinions on my chances?

    I know I'm bringing in Benteke but will have to take a hit so need to wait to see who to get rid of and will there be any injuries/suspensions to factor in after tomorrow.

    He's likely to drop imo but you've a chance. 70/30 maybe.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,959 ✭✭✭Trimm Trabb


    FHFC wrote: »
    He's likely to drop imo but you've a chance. 70/30 maybe.

    Cheers can absorb it as Benteke is 6.9. Be nice to make 0.1 at this stage of the season too.


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,629 ✭✭✭✭dahat


    Cheers can absorb it as Benteke is 6.9. Be nice to make 0.1 at this stage of the season too.

    Tekkers is 7.4


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,672 ✭✭✭ElTel


    dahat wrote: »
    Tekkers is 7.4

    So YOUR not giving predictions I see.:D


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,959 ✭✭✭Trimm Trabb


    dahat wrote: »
    Tekkers is 7.4

    Oh yeah sorry mixed up there - anyway as he's dropped I'll still be able get him.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,734 ✭✭✭zarquon


    Rises : Coutinho, Lallana, Ibrahimovic, Redmond, Lamela

    Falls : Wilshere, Iwobi, Asano, Cuadrado, Loftus-Cheek, Coleman, Okazaki, Markovic, Origi, Zabaleta, Mangala, Denayer, Nasri, Fernando, Nolito, P.Jones, Rojo, Borthwick-Jackson, Depay, Young, Schweinsteiger, Tadic, Clasie, J.Rodriguez, Lens, N.Taylor, Chadli, N'Jie, Lambert, Feghouli


  • Registered Users Posts: 42,079 ✭✭✭✭Scorpion Sting


    Gray escaped the drop, get in!


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,508 ✭✭✭✭dsmythy


    Nolito dropped? Yay.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,271 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    Fantasy Footie Fix were predicting 88 rises at around midnight. 30 actual drops just over an hour later.

    The were also predicting a raft of rises. Don't have the figure. Meanwhile FPL Statistics predicted only 9 rises. Their top 4 were correct...Ibra, Couts, Lamela and Lallana. Then they had Capoue and Collins wrong. Redmond was 7th in their list and rose. Hazard and Diomonde didn't.

    FPL Statistics more reliable for me. Unfortunately didn't screen shot their drop preditions but on sheer volume they were way closer to the mark.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,750 ✭✭✭redzerdrog


    The talk of potential risers/fallers last night made me pull the trigger on ibra/capou/wilson in and grey/silva/pieters out for a 4 point hit.

    Turned out only ibra rose and grey/silva held but think it was still time to get aboard the ibra bandwagon that i was set against at the start


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,571 ✭✭✭✭Dont be at yourself


    Delighted Vardy held. Nolito and Tadic both falling makes them more tempting.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,746 ✭✭✭P.Walnuts


    Any risk of Holding going up?


  • Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 10,246 Mod ✭✭✭✭F1ngers


    Closer to a drop than a rise.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,262 ✭✭✭iroced


    Gray escaped the drop, get in!

    ... And scored, assisted and 1-bonused! Get feckin' in!!!



    Lavillenie-kino-616.jpg

    Capoue, Agueroooooooooooooooooo, Diomandé.


    yohann-diniz-rio-2016-720x401.jpg

    Gabriel, Mané, Ulloa, Vardy, Robles, Wickham, Cabaye, McArthur, Rémy, Kennedy, Mousset, Xhaka, Fosu-Mensah, Sané, Aina, Grujic, Son, Lloris, Van der Hoorn, Long, Carrick, Schneiderlin, Mkhitaryan, Martina, Maguire, Mason, Niasse.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,400 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    FHFC wrote: »
    I have Aguero Kun Vardy.

    Going to somebody like Benteke in the third spot and I'll feel like a millionaire in midfield. :D

    Wait a minute, how'd you pick Sergio twice?


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