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Irish Medal Tally Prediction

  • 06-06-2016 09:46PM
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,376 ✭✭✭


    60 days to go for the Rio Olympics

    For a link to the Irish Qualifying for a place at Rio here a link to a bigger sister thread
    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056783559

    I'll leave the poll open for 62 days (2 days into the Olympics) to get as many predictions as possible

    How many medals for Ireland 94 votes

    0 Gold
    0%
    0 Silver
    5%
    Mr.Nice GuyBeastyEICVDPolo_MintSpurion 5 votes
    0 Bronze
    2%
    KevinKPolo_Mint 2 votes
    1 Gold
    1%
    Spurion 1 vote
    1 Silver
    14%
    DodgeZaphrobinphThe_Kew_TourOldiraKevinKPudsy33CrabRevolutionDan manAndaluciaomicronKankan14[Deleted User]mansize 14 votes
    1 Bronze
    13%
    ZaphL1m1tlessOldiraBeastyPudsy33Dan manAndaluciahurlingman97omicronChivito550SpurionAvatar MIAFelix Jones is God 13 votes
    2 Gold
    6%
    BeastyDan manKankan14Chivito550Avatar MIAFelix Jones is God 6 votes
    2 Silver
    11%
    CarawaystickOldiraPocaideMacGyver007Lionbackerstereomatichurlingman97Dick phelanelasticoAvatar MIAFelix Jones is God 11 votes
    2 Bronze
    11%
    DodgeMr.Nice GuyrobinphPocaideMacGyver007CrabRevolutionstereomaticpoppy37Kankan14EICVDmansize 11 votes
    3 Gold
    13%
    DodgeZaphMr.Nice GuyrobinphThe_Kew_Tourbrowner85KevinKPudsy33CrabRevolutionLionbackerAndaluciaomicronEICVD 13 votes
    3 Silver
    2%
    Pherekydesbrowner85 2 votes
    3 Bronzr
    2%
    The_Kew_Tourelastico 2 votes
    4 Gold
    7%
    L1m1tlessMacGyver007tojers1LionbackerelasticoPolo_Mintmansize 7 votes
    4 Silver
    0%
    4 Bronze
    1%
    Pherekydes 1 vote
    5 Gold
    2%
    Pocaidehurlingman97 2 votes
    5 Silver
    0%
    5 Bronze
    0%
    6 Gold
    1%
    Pherekydes 1 vote
    6 Silver
    0%
    6 Bronze
    0%
    7+ Gold
    0%
    7+ Silver
    2%
    Clonmel1000[Deleted User] 2 votes
    7+ Bronze
    1%
    Clonmel1000 1 vote


«13

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 35,764 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    3 Bronzr
    1 Gold 3 Silver 2 Bronze.

    Maybe tad optimistic, but reckon we will get least 5 medals

    EVENFLOW



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 359 ✭✭Oldira


    2 Silver
    I'd go for 1 Gold, I silver and 2 bronze. If you look at bookies odds they are all saying 3 medals or less. Also some of those we are saying are medal contenders are available at 100/1 plus to win gold. Eg Annalise Murphy, Seaton/McGovern


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,904 ✭✭✭✭LuckyLloyd


    Zero


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 359 ✭✭Oldira


    2 Silver
    LuckyLloyd wrote: »
    Zero


    Pessimistic?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,376 ✭✭✭stereomatic


    2 Bronze
    Might as well make my prediction

    For some reason I think Ireland could have its best medal haul

    2 Gold
    2 Silver
    8 Bronze

    I hope this is not optimism, but I'm not a clairvoyant


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,697 ✭✭✭Chivito550


    2 Gold
    Might as well make my prediction

    For some reason I think Ireland could have its best medal haul

    2 Gold
    2 Silver
    8 Bronze

    I hope this is not optimism, but I'm not a clairvoyant

    As Roy Keane would say, have you been drinking?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,376 ✭✭✭stereomatic


    2 Bronze
    Chivito550 wrote: »
    As Roy Keane would say, have you been drinking?

    I might be tonight :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,283 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    Of the 73 taking part only the boxers provide a realistic medal chance IMO.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,283 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    Oh, and Shane Lowry!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 11,059 ✭✭✭✭Pudsy33


    3 Gold
    Dan Martin a solid chance in the cycling. I'll predict 3 being medals, one of each colour, and a bronze in the cycling.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,283 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    Are there any medals going for the best fans at the games?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,697 ✭✭✭Chivito550


    2 Gold
    walshb wrote: »
    Of the 73 taking part only the boxers provide a realistic medal chance IMO.

    Good shout at a medal in Modern Pentathlon too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,283 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    Chivito550 wrote: »
    Good shout at a medal in Modern Pentathlon too.

    I was thinking the same thing. Natalya Coyle is class, and O'Keeffe is medal potential. One of the best disciplines at the Games.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,376 ✭✭✭stereomatic


    2 Bronze
    The walker Heffernan could get a medal

    The O'Donovan Brothers and Pušpure could also get a medal each


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 14,521 ✭✭✭✭mansize


    4 Gold
    1 Gold, if things fall right for Conlan


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 47,413 ✭✭✭✭Zaph


    3 Gold
    Sports Illustrated has a full list of medal predictions for every single event. Here's what they're predicting Ireland will win:

    BOXING
    Gold - Michael Conlan
    Gold - Katie Taylor
    Silver - Michael O'Reilly
    Silver - Joe Ward
    Bronze - Paddy Barnes

    GOLF
    Bronze - Padraig Harrington


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 60,283 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    Very demanding predictions. Possible? Yes!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭Dick phelan


    2 Silver
    Boxing
    Paddy Barnes Gold
    Michael Conlan hopefully Gold but i'd say Silver
    Katy Taylor Gold
    Joe Ward Silver
    Michael O'Reiley Bronze
    from other sports might pick up one in golf, modern pentathlon Sailing and cycling, 6 medals a realistic guess i think


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 359 ✭✭Oldira


    2 Silver
    Leaving boxing aside for the minute, we have chances in other sports but if one is to look at bookies odds they are few and far between. If we look at those in the top six of the bookies odds as realistic contenders for a medal we have:
    Cycling Road Race....Dan Martin 14/1
    Rowing Lightweight double sculls 22/1
    50KM Walk Rob Heffernan 14/1
    Modern Pentathlon.A Lanigan-O'Keefe 14/1

    All of our saliling crews are at least 100/1
    Greg Broderick Showjumping 175/1
    Padraig Harrington Golf 40/1
    Leona Maguire Golf 100/1

    Bookies are saying we will 3 medals in total which may be a tad pessimistic. But if we have a bad boxing tournament with bad draws, bad judging then its possible we could end up with just1-2. We all get too optimistic on oyur medal chances. Even Sports Illustrated has gone way ott on our chances. Three Golds? Possible but we would need tonnes of luck.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 16,307 ✭✭✭✭Pherekydes


    6 Gold
    Remember that the odds in a bookies reflect the market, not the actual odds or probabilities of events being won.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,697 ✭✭✭Chivito550


    2 Gold
    Pherekydes wrote: »
    Remember that the odds in a bookies reflect the market, not the actual odds or probabilities of events being won.

    +1. And most bookies know shag all about Olympic sports. They tend to go on seasons bests which for anybody who understands a sport like athletics knows that means little come a championship.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,748 ✭✭✭Avatar MIA


    2 Silver
    Oldira wrote: »
    Rowing Lightweight double sculls 22/1

    This is the one I'll be keeping a close eye on.

    Apart from boxing, I think we have a good shout in rowing, walking and golf.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,065 ✭✭✭DJIMI TRARORE


    Is annalise murphy included in that 100/1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,194 ✭✭✭✭Dodge


    3 Gold
    Realistic medal hopes:

    All the boxers. Obviously not all will win but they all have a shout

    Dan Martin and Nico Roche. Dan will be disappointed if he doesn't medal

    Heffernan

    The O'Donovan brothers

    Seaton/McGovern in sailing

    ALOK in modern pentathlon because it's so random when horses are involved

    Greg Broderick

    The 3 day eventing team

    Harrington

    None of those winning a medal would be seen as a complete shock. Anyone else probably would even if others can reach finals or finish top 6-10

    I'm going for 5 medals.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 14,521 ✭✭✭✭mansize


    4 Gold
    3 medals.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 359 ✭✭Oldira


    2 Silver
    Is annalise murphy included in that 100/1


    Yes. Sadly the course does not suit her as she is best with strong winds and her form has dipped this past 18 months. She may have missed her best chance in 2012.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,697 ✭✭✭Chivito550


    2 Gold
    What kind of expectations are realistic for our 3 rowing boats?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,194 ✭✭✭✭Dodge


    3 Gold
    Chivito550 wrote: »
    What kind of expectations are realistic for our 3 rowing boats?

    O'Donovans can medal.

    Semis for Sanita would be good. Don't think she'll get to final

    Similar for Lambe/Jennings


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 23,282 Mod ✭✭✭✭godtabh


    Zaph wrote: »
    Sports Illustrated has a full list of medal predictions for every single event. Here's what they're predicting Ireland will win:

    BOXING
    Gold - Michael Conlan
    Gold - Katie Taylor
    Silver - Michael O'Reilly
    Silver - Joe Ward
    Bronze - Paddy Barnes

    GOLF
    Bronze - Padraig Harrington

    No cycling? Dan Martin has a good chance of a medal.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,376 ✭✭✭stereomatic


    2 Bronze
    Zaph wrote: »
    Sports Illustrated has a full list of medal predictions for every single event. Here's what they're predicting Ireland will win:

    BOXING
    Gold - Michael Conlan
    Gold - Katie Taylor
    Silver - Michael O'Reilly
    Silver - Joe Ward
    Bronze - Paddy Barnes

    GOLF
    Bronze - Padraig Harrington

    Unfortunately one silver medal from this prediction will not happen now


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