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July 2022 Boards weather forecast contest

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  • 29-06-2022 3:07am
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 14,483 ✭✭✭✭


    1. Predict the IMT, mean temperature at five locations in Ireland (Claremorris, Casement, Mullingar, Oak Park, Shannon) for July, 2022. The 1981-2010 "normal" value is 15.5 deg C.

    2. Predict the MAX temperature at any regularly reporting Met-E station as reported in the Monthly Summary (and daily in the "yesterday's weather" section of their website), during July.

    3. Predict the MIN temperature during July (see 2 above for overview).

    4. Predict the PRC (rainfall at this time of year) as a percentage of normal values (1981-2010) at eleven locations, namely Ballyhaise, Cork, Malin Head, Belmullet, Cork, Johnstown Castle, and the five locations for the IMT (section 1 above), during July.

    5. Predict the SUN (sunshine) as a percentage of normal values (1981-2010) at six locations, Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork and Valentia, during July


    6. BONUS _ Predict the highest minimum temperature at any location (see part 2 for eligible locations). We won't ask for locations or dates on this, summer time and the scoring is easy.

    My forecasts, and Normal ...

    M.T. Cranium _______ 15.8 _ 27.4 _ 4.5 _ 090 _ 103 __ 18.2

    NormaL ___________ 15.5 _ 27.0 _ 4.0 _ 100 _ 100 __ 17.8

    Deadline (as usual) is 0300h Friday 1st of July, with late penalties of one point every 4h to 1500h 2nd, then one point per hour.

    Good luck!

    Post edited by M.T. Cranium on


«13

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,773 ✭✭✭Bsal


    Bsal ___________ 15.8 _ 29.0 _ 5.0 _ 80 _ 133 __ 17.0



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,602 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    sryanbruen _______ 16.7 _ 29.5 _ 4.9 _ 080 _ 100 __ 17.9



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,010 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    Artane2002 ___________ 16.3 _ 28.6 _ 4.5 _ 080 _ 105 __ 17.6



  • Registered Users Posts: 562 ✭✭✭dasa29


    Dasa29 ___________ 16.0 _ 28.0 _ 4.0 _ 090 _ 110 __ 18.0



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,883 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Gonzo _______ 17.3 _ 31.4 _ 4.9 _ 083 _ 108 __ 19.2



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  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,927 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    DOCARCH _______ 15.7 _ 28.1 _ 3.2 _ 080 _ 110 __ 16.2



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,118 ✭✭✭John mac


    john mac ___________ 15.8 _ 27.0 _ 3.7 _ 98 _ 105 __ 15.8



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,914 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Appledrop__16.3___27.5__4.6__90__95__18.0



  • Registered Users Posts: 375 ✭✭waterways


    waterways ___________ 16.3 _ 29.0 _ 3.8 _ 98 _ 97 __ 20.0



  • Registered Users Posts: 818 ✭✭✭adam240610


    adam240610_ 16.8 _ 28.8_ 4.0 _ 77 _ 135 __ 18.4



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,781 ✭✭✭mr.stonewall


    Mr stonewall____16.1___27.8___4.3____91___110____16.1



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Danno ___________ 16.2 _ 29.2 _ 5.4 _ 65 _ 125 __ 16.7



  • Registered Users Posts: 342 ✭✭kindredspirit


    Kindred Spirit ___ 16.2 ___ 28 ___ 4.9 ___ 93 ___ 108 ___ 17.5



  • Registered Users Posts: 391 ✭✭mrskinner


    Skinner____16.8____28.1____4.2____90____110____17.9



  • Registered Users Posts: 724 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Tae laidir ________ 16.5 _ 28.5 _ 4.4 _ 77 _ 115 __ 16.9



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,057 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Pauldry________ 16.1 _ 28.4 _ 4.7 _ 93 _ 110 __ 17.5



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,781 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    Joe Public _______ 16.4 _ 29.2 _ 5.1 _ 75 _ 130 __ 19.9



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,481 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    Jpmarn ___________ 16.5 _ 28.8 _ 4.5 _ 45 _ 130 __ 18.1



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    Dacogawa__16.6___27.9__4.2__88__120__18.4



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,603 ✭✭✭200motels


    200motels 16.8 _ 30.0 _ 4.8 _ 081 _ 99 __ 16.8



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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,483 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium



    Table of forecasts for July 2022


    FORECASTER _______ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ High Min


    Gonzo _____________ 17.3 _ 31.4 _ 4.9 _ 083 _ 108 __ 19.2

    200motels ___ (-4) __ 16.8 _ 30.0 _ 4.8 _ 081 _ 099 __ 16.8

    adam240610 _______ 16.8 _ 28.8 _ 4.0 _ 077 _ 135 __ 18.4

    MrSkinner __________16.8 _ 28.1 _ 4.2 _ 090 _ 110 __ 17.9

    sryanbruen _________16.7 _ 29.5 _ 4.9 _ 080 _ 100 __ 17.9

    Dacogawa __________16.6 _ 27.9 _ 4.2 _ 088 _ 120 __ 18.4

    Jpmarn ____________ 16.5 _ 28.8 _ 4.5 _ 045 _ 130 __ 18.1

    Tae laidir ___________16.5 _ 28.5 _ 4.4 _ 077 _ 115 __ 16.9

    Joe Public __________ 16.4 _ 29.2 _ 5.1 _ 075 _ 130 __ 19.9

    waterways _________ 16.3 _ 29.0 _ 3.8 _ 098 _ 097 __ 20.0

    Artane2002 ________ 16.3 _ 28.6 _ 4.5 _ 080 _ 105 __ 17.6


    ___ Con Sensus _____ 16.3 _ 28.5 _ 4.5 _ 083 _ 110 __ 17.9


    Appledrop __________16.3 _ 27.5 _ 4.6 _ 090 _ 095 __ 18.0

    Danno _____________16.2 _ 29.2 _ 5.4 _ 065 _ 125 __ 16.7

    Kindred Spirit _______ 16.2 _ 28.0 _ 4.9 _ 093 _ 108 __ 17.5

    Pauldry ____________ 16.1 _ 28.4 _ 4.7 _ 093 _ 110 __ 17.5

    Mr stonewall ________16.1 _ 27.8 _ 4.3 _ 091 _ 110 __ 16.1

    Dasa29 ____________16.0 _ 28.0 _ 4.0 _ 090 _ 110 __ 18.0

    Bsal ______________ 15.8 _ 29.0 _ 5.0 _ 080 _ 133 __ 17.0

    M.T. Cranium _______ 15.8 _ 27.4 _ 4.5 _ 090 _ 103 __ 18.2

    john mac __________ 15.8 _ 27.0 _ 3.7 _ 098 _ 105 __ 15.8

    DOCARCH _________ 15.7 _ 28.1 _ 3.2 _ 080 _ 110 __ 16.2

    ___ NormaL ________15.5 _ 27.0 _ 4.0 _ 100 _ 100 __ 17.8


    _________________________


    Our group consensus is warm, dry and sunny. Let's hope so.



  • Registered Users Posts: 698 ✭✭✭Tazio


    Tazio ___________ 17.7 _ 28.7 _ 5.5 _ 110 _ 110 __ 16.5



    (Sorry if late to the party)


    EDIT : I am .. mods please delete my post.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,483 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    I'll score it for you and let you know how it does, as you aren't eligible for the annual contest the late penalty aspect is beside the point.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,483 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    New high minimum was 13.8 at Shannon on 5th.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,483 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    High min now 14.5 (Phoenix Park)



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,927 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    25.1c at Mount Dillon yesterday.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,057 ✭✭✭pauldry


    So if Mt Dillon is 25c the next 2 days does that mean its a heatwave?



  • Registered Users Posts: 191 ✭✭sunflower3


    My entry didn't post.....I will have to sit this one out!

    I am on holidays in northern Italy for the last 2 weeks. It's been very hot here. Thunderstorms last night. Looking forward to some decent weather when we get home!



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,883 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo




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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,914 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Sunflower we have gone to Lake Garda for years, the thunderstorms are epic, love them!

    We went for Lanzorate instead this year which was a better choice with baby as cool breeze everyday + not too hot about 27 max.



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