Charts ( Up to T120 ) Autumn 2021 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

JanuarySnowstor

Bitterly cold today and by tomorrow evening it will feel really arctic!

Snow risk looks to be high enough to me tomorrow evening across a swath of the country before the high nudges across on Saturday. We don't often get a gale force Northerly along with -8 uppers!

Donegal Ken

Depending on the situation tomorrow morning with the forecasting models Met Éireann may issue further warnings or updated warnings.

adocholiday

Windy.com model summary showing a fair variation in my part of Wicklow. ECM still showing a non-event, bit of a spread across the rest.

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Meteorite58

ECM even less windy again for Ireland on the 12Z and lighter also across the UK whereas the GFS, WRF, AROME, UKMO, and EURO4 are much stronger for there. Either ECM is King and the others are all well off the mark or the ECM is having a bad one. Interesting to see which ones read this the best .

I was wondering if the fact that the weather has been so benign for so long that the models actually struggle a bit with such a different set of data or perhaps that the weather is coming more from the North driven by the Jet in a cold airmass has them so different at this stage.

I see ARPEGE brings the center down as low as 970 hPa, GFS 972hPa, UKMO 975 hPa and ECMWF 977 hPa also the ECM just not showing the gradient as tight as the others. Also see the Met Office has introduced Orange warnings for the Eastern half of Scotland and parts of NE UK( not showing as strong on the ECM )

Will see.

Fri Met Office

Sat Met Office

Meteorite58

Considerable Windchill over the next two days , biting cold raw wind. Plenty of CAPE over the seas sending in big blustery showers of rain and hail, charts showing some accumulations of wet snow on high ground especially in the N, NW, W. During the frontal passage and during the large squally showers I would think driving conditions could prove difficult .Would think we could see some thunderstorms tomorrow more so around the coasts, could have a fair bit of activity down along the Irish sea.

Meteorite58

Strong mean winds especially on coasts for a considerable amount of time, already windy here on the Kerry coast. Think that ARPEGE 12Z is a bit less windy for Ireland then earlier as is the GFS and ICON more in line now with the ECMWF.

AROME Hi Res showing the tell tale signs of very gusty squally showers moving inland, showing Kerry with some high gusts at times also, in general most counties experiencing some strong winds /squally and at times wintry showers at times. Nothing like the pasting they are going to get over in the UK though. Strongest winds on NW, N and NE coasts. Will be interesting to see how windy it gets down along the E.

UK looks set to get a right battering. It might be a named storm but storm forced winds now look reserved mainly for the UK.

pauldry

Up on 87kph in Malin already

70kph here in Sligo

Wind sounds funny. Haven't heard it in ages. Some are in for a nasty shock tomorrow. ECM not on it. Think ICON and Met Eireann are

Meteorite58

Wild night here in Kerry near the coast. Plenty more wind to come in next few hours. Big squally showers set to continue for a time more so in the W of the country. The East of the country set to get windier overnight.

Meteorite58

Models showing the frontal passage early Sunday morning come up against the cold airmass and producing wintry precipitation, looks very sleety but some wet snow also possible for a time and because it falls during the night might see a bit on more elevated ground for a short time on Sunday.