Thursday/Friday: Lightning Storms, Flash Flooding Event Thread

squarecircles

squarecircles wrote: »

my god ireland is tragic with thunderstorm potential.

to think people were talking about 1985 earlier in the week.

the sooner were back to brass tax the better,put people out of their misery.

A dedicated thread,jesus wept.

Good old primate city country. what a joke.

Seconds later...

Ninthlife wrote: »

Huge flash and loud thunder SW Kildare

You couldn't have asked for better timing.

Spencer Brown

Am I missing something? This yellow level warning for the entire country looks a bit silly. I doubt most counties will see any sort of action let alone anything warranting a warning.

Dank Janniels

Bordeaux is the new Isle of Man!

highdef

Spencer Brown wrote: »

Am I missing something? This yellow level warning for the entire country looks a bit silly. I doubt most counties will see any sort of action let alone anything warranting a warning.

It's an advisory highlighting the risk of storms. Take heed.

John.Icy

Not much making it past the Wicklow Mts so far where I'm concerned in Dublin - though nothing major seems to have sparked yet so there's still time and I'm not missing much yet. But a rapid intensification in 3 hours towards a 3AM peak I've seen around here?? Seems unlikely tbh but thunderstorms are my weakest area so I'll leave it to the experts. Getting more lively to our SE over Wales but a lot of that is heading straight up the Irish sea.

Treepole

squarecircles wrote: »

my god ireland is tragic with thunderstorm potential.

to think people were talking about 1985 earlier in the week.

the sooner were back to brass tax the better,put people out of their misery.

A dedicated thread,jesus wept.

Good old primate city country. what a joke.

It's "brass tacks" not tax

Spencer Brown

highdef wrote: »

It's an advisory highlighting the risk of storms. Take heed.

It's not an advisory, it's a weather warning.

Thunderlover

North Wicklow here. Can someone please advise me if it is worth staying up for another hour or two to see some storms or will I call it a night? I sleep with ear plugs so I won't hear the thunder if I nod off!

Danno

Interesting rainfall radar over west NI, kinda spiral shape to it.

Gaoth Laidir

I'm calling it a night. There might be the odd sporadic flash in places for another few hours but from the start I knew it was a long shot. Soundings never showed the CAPE required, we were never going to get the dewpoints or temperatures required for surface-based storms that some models were showing. All along it was looking like Wales would get the bulk of the action and even then they got relatively little. The IOM did best for a short while, but overall it's just another example of how rare it is to get proper Spanish plume storms here. I was surprised that ESTOFEX's Level 1 extended over Ireland but not that their discussion only focused on Spain and France.

A lesson to all is that relying on model output is a dangerous game. We had WRF CAPE and LI charts being worshipped yesterday but they were never ever going to materialise. Precip charts too. Even the ECMWF lightning density forecast charts were not worth a ****e, though the CAPE charts were more accurate. Case in point this evening. A couple of hundred J/kg is never going to produce much.

jimmynokia

Not a good start. Is it.

Oneiric 3

Night is still young but Christ, how hard can it be just to get a half decent storm triggered off in this country, even when all the ingredients are there waiting to be chopped up and put into a plate for us to partake?

If there is one lesson I have personally learned these last couple of days is that hi-res models are, by and large, basically ****e. There is just as much info in the global lower res output.. better in fact.

AlanMcC23

Flash in mountmellick Co.Laois and starting to rain. No thunder yet

Danno

#Interesting

The Oort Cloud

Balbriggan looks like it could get a nice few lightning bolts in the next hour.

KingdomRushed

It's all over for now anyway. The couple of radar returns producing sparks have dissipated. Unless you knew the context that storms were expected and you saw the weak sauce light to moderate rain in the east thats on the radar currently, would u expect anything to happen? Nah. met eireann correct to downgrade this mornin in the text even though they had already run with the national warnings. Very remote chance of anything now in my opinion.

highdef

Spencer Brown wrote: »

It's not an advisory, it's a weather warning.

Ok, to be a bit more detailed....

"Weather that does not pose a threat to the general population but is potentially dangerous on a localised scale.

Be aware about meteorological conditions and check if you are exposed to danger by nature of your activity or your specific location. Do not take any avoidable risks"

So basically a yellow warning is an advisory that nothing severe is expected but, depending on what you're doing you may want to be aware of the weather conditions as it has the potential to impact you, potentially in a harmful way.

Thunderlover

KingdomRushed wrote: »

It's all over for now anyway. The couple of radar returns producing sparks have dissipated. Unless you knew the context that storms were expected and you saw the weak sauce light to moderate rain in the east thats on the radar currently, would u expect anything to happen? Nah. met eireann correct to downgrade this mornin in the text even though they had already run with the national warnings. Very remote chance of anything now in my opinion.

Based on that I think I'll call it a night. Very disappointing.

Cooljaybeans

Just seen lightning off the South Coast kilmore direction

pad199207

Pity. I would have loved to have had a Purple Level Storm

squarecircles

"Could be a memorable event tomorrow evening and overnight for many and deserves it's own thread."

No, no it doesn't.

r93kaey5p2izun

I recall a period of significant lightning activity in Dublin over a few days in I think mid-late October 2003. It sticks out to me because of something tragic that was happening in my life at that time, but maybe the circumstances have amplified my memories of the weather conditions. Is there any record of thunderstorm activity around that time, or where could I look?

Nothing but a bit of drizzle to report here in Clondalkin so far anyway. Disappointing!

Gaoth Laidir

The only good thing about this bad thing is that that gob****e on Facebook with his purple warning areas will be left with a whole lot of egg on his face. I hope his posts did indeed get shared, as he was begging people to do...

Larbre34

This blows maaaaaan.

igCorcaigh

Class MayDresser wrote: »

Any chance it might come further south later on?

Who knows, but all my hope has gone

John.Icy

Thanks for the update GL. Your knowledge on these sort of things is incredible and too often it can get swallowed up with the excitement of others.

Rodney Bathgate

Another damp squib

SleetAndSnow

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

The only good thing about this bad thing is that that gob****e on Facebook with his purple warning areas will be left with a whole lot of egg on his face. I hope his posts did indeed get shared, as he was begging people to do...

Except Met Eireann will get the blame because of his stupidity

squarecircles

Rodney Bathgate wrote: »

Another damp squib

A damp squid indeed, the lighting never materialised, back to brass tax from tomorrow.
Gonzo must be sticking pins in his head.

It pure bdsm weather porn.

Thunderlover

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

The only good thing about this bad thing is that that gob****e on Facebook with his purple warning areas will be left with a whole lot of egg on his face. I hope his posts did indeed get shared, as he was begging people to do...

In fairness there were one or two in here hyping things up also. Indeed this separate thread was set up for this 'event'. That guy was OTT with the purple warning areas but we were being told in here that it was going to be a memorable event. Not having a go at individuals but many people got caught out by this non event.