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COVID-19: Vaccine/antidote and testing procedures Megathread [Mod Warning - Post #1]

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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    One thing I would say the UK have been telling trusts and hospitals to "get ready" for months now. HSE don't appear to have done that yet. 50 UK hospitals have the freezers needed, they have rejigged some of the Nightingale locations. Not saying it's going to be perfectly smooth, but the groundwork is visible. If the HSE are doing stuff in the background, great, but it'd be nice to see the work a little.

    They are having meetings, what more do you want
    You would hardly expect them to have contracts with Croke Park ,The Aviva ,The IKC , The 3 arena and other big venues around the country in place would you .
    Did you expect them to be in touch with the army and Civil defence for logistics and manpower at this early stage
    They have only known about the possibility of vaccines for a few months at this stage ,give them time and paperwork
    Although to be fair they have an agreement with the IKC on the National show centre until July 2021


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,172 ✭✭✭wadacrack


    Vaccination beginning in Northern Ire next week.

    https://twitter.com/derryjournal/status/1334089038085693440


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    Gael23 wrote: »
    Your right but it’s the government that will get the bashing if it goes wrong so it’s up to them to intervene at the highest level to get it right

    Do you honestly think the HSE takes a blind bit of notice of the Government of the day
    They know there will be another Government in a couple of years
    I personally knew the head man in Beaumont hospital (knew him since age 11 ) ,some of the stories he told were incredulous about ineffiency and waste


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,147 ✭✭✭opinionated3


    Alok Sharma almost trying to paint this as a victory for Brexit and that Britain leads the way for exiting the pandemic. Deposit the fact that the vaccine is developed by a German company. Hancock saying it's because of Brexit that they were able to accelerate distribution. My god.


  • Registered Users Posts: 28,127 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    UK prioritisation list for rollout
    wb1V85wyRNCPtNDVlBz9_vaccine%20prioritisation.JPG

    Do we know what percentage of the population that will cover?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,281 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    Mark1916 wrote: »
    https://t.co/X6S4ED2XWN

    Covid-19 vaccine from Pfizer/BioNTech has been approved by Britain's Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) and is expected to be made available from next week

    What I'm a bit confused by is that the FDA are not the first or of the blocks here.

    You would expect that the largest, most well resourced regulators would be first. This definitely smells political.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    brisan wrote: »
    Do you honestly think the HSE takes a blind bit of notice of the Government of the day
    They know there will be another Government in a couple of years
    I personally knew the head man in Beaumont hospital (knew him since age 11 ) ,some of the stories he told were incredulous about ineffiency and waste

    The stories themselves were incredulous? How did the stories relay their incredulity?

    Also, the head man in Beaumont is kind of responsible for the waste, so maybe it should have been you who were incredulous at him basically telling stories decrying waste in the system, when he was the individual responsible


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,768 ✭✭✭timsey tiger


    People want a safe vaccine the manufacturer will stand over. Asking for a state guarantee against possible litigation doesn't inspire confidence.

    If we had a poll and asked will you pay €20 for a vaccine with a state guarantee or €200 for a vaccine with a manufacturer guarantee I'm not convinced the majority will choose the cheap shot.

    Manifacturer, wouldn't be standing over it anyway, some insurance company would. They are happy with the risk all they do is load on the premiums, which is then passed on to the public aka. the government.

    So instead of indemnifying the risk very likely to be free, we'd just end up fueling massive profits to the insurance sector at the cost to the state.

    So well done giving €180 to an insurance company for something that costs €20.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Do we know what percentage of the population that will cover?

    In total it's 28 million over 50 in the UK.

    The first 2 groups, care homes, health staff and everyone over 80 is 6 million, with expected uptake and supply no reason that can't be done by end January.

    It's about another 14m over 60 including high and moderate risk under 65. That uses up all their Pfizer doses.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,556 ✭✭✭Micky 32



    Light at the end of the tunnel either way.

    Aye, to think we had the experts on here with the “ There won’t be a vaccine” a few weeks back :D


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  • Registered Users Posts: 28,127 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey



    So instead of indemnifying the risk very likely to be free

    That's impossible to say as it's only been tested on 44,000 people it's not until it's rolled out in the millions were going to have concrete data to make that assumption.
    They were upfront about the deaths expected per year from the luas when it was being built, they have a figure on the estimates for compensation if it was to occur, I don't see why that can't be public knowledge seen as it's public money that's backing it up.


  • Registered Users Posts: 28,127 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    In total it's 28 million over 50 in the UK.

    The first 2 groups, care homes, health staff and everyone over 80 is 6 million, with expected uptake and supply no reason that can't be done by end January.

    It's about another 14m over 60 including high and moderate risk under 65. That uses up all their Pfizer doses.

    Less than 50% so we still need a big percentage of the healthy 16 to 50yr old group to take it regardless. Are we 12mts away from them getting access.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,768 ✭✭✭timsey tiger


    That's impossible to say as it's only been tested on 44,000 people it's not until it's rolled out in the millions were going to have concrete data to make that assumption.
    They were upfront about the deaths expected per year from the luas when it was being built, they have a figure on the estimates for compensation if it was to occur, I don't see why that can't be public knowledge seen as it's public money that's backing it up.

    I take it you don't understand Bayes' theorem.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Less than 50% so we still need a big percentage of the healthy 16 to 50yr old group to take it regardless. Are we 12mts away from them getting access.

    I think Oxford will be the one for healthy under 50s, there'll be enough of that ready within 3 months if it gets approval to cover that group (UK already have 4 million doses, enough for 3 million people in the half dose full dose regimen).


  • Registered Users Posts: 28,127 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    I take it you don't understand Bayes' theorem.

    Are we using it on PCR testing?


  • Registered Users Posts: 28,127 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    I think Oxford will be the one for healthy under 50s, there'll be enough of that ready within 3 months if it gets approval to cover that group (UK already have 4 million doses, enough for 3 million people in the half dose full dose regimen).

    Why the Oxford one, I know it's the cheapest but is there another reason?


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Why the Oxford one, I know it's the cheapest but is there another reason?

    Easier to produce, store and distribute. You'd be able to get it in Boots. It may not offer the same level of protection, but in truth for healthy people under 50 you probably don't need the 95% efficacy level as for most in that group severe disease is fairly rare.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    mean gene wrote: »
    Not confusing though is it.
    Half dose followed by a full dose is over 90 % what's confusing abt that

    That scenario was only tested in a group of under 3,000 with nobody over 55. I don't think that will be enough data for a regulator to be confident. We'll have to wait and see.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1 StewF


    Hi Guys,

    What number does your covid test result text come from ?

    Thanks


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,147 ✭✭✭opinionated3


    spook_cook wrote: »
    After all the moaning, jeering etc I read for weeks about how much of a mess-up it was that the UK didn't join with the EU for buying ventilators (did that even come to anything? I know they aren't used but still, something must have happened right?!) I think I can forgive the UK a bit of F-U to the nayseighers.

    ....... Except that one of the British experts, Dr Raine just said in the press conference that it was because of European co operation and European law's which are in place till 1st January, that this has happened for the Brits. Nothing to do with the lunacy of Brexit, no matter how much Union Jack waving the Tories want to do.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,281 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    spook_cook wrote: »
    After all the moaning, jeering etc I read for weeks about how much of a mess-up it was that the UK didn't join with the EU for buying ventilators (did that even come to anything? I know they aren't used but still, something must have happened right?!) I think I can forgive the UK a bit of F-U to the nayseighers.

    It looks to me that the UK government have gone ahead and approved the vaccine while the other big regulators are finalizing their approvals. This it would appear to me to have been done for political reasons, to steal a march of a few days on the US and EU in particular as is evident from the political responses to this news this morning.

    The one thing I'm always mindful when consuming UK politics is how the message is being spun.

    The correct way for the approvals to be announced would have been the EMA and FDA along with others to coordinate the announcement of their approvals. This was a global effort, so global credit sharing should have been the order of the day.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    The stories themselves were incredulous? How did the stories relay their incredulity?

    Also, the head man in Beaumont is kind of responsible for the waste, so maybe it should have been you who were incredulous at him basically telling stories decrying waste in the system, when he was the individual responsible

    Yes we did but the waste was endemic in the whole system and had been that way for decades and still is
    Its the same in the vast majority of the public service


  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    spook_cook wrote: »
    If that's all there is to it, why isn't the vaccine being rolled out in Dublin next week? Or in Amsterdam?

    It's almost like... there's something else at play and people will use whatever bs for their own agenda.

    "HAHA BRITS LOST OUT ON OPTION TO BUY VENTILATORS!!!"

    "HAHA BRITS ONLY GOT VACCINE BECAUSE... " if you're American, you rally and rage that the company is based in your country and obviously credit due. If you're pro-EU, it's cos of EU rules.
    It doesn't have EMA approval nor FDA approval. The EU plan was always to do it at the same time for all members, in early January.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,594 ✭✭✭eigrod




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    spook_cook wrote: »
    Interesting. Who did it for political reasons? What evidence do you have?

    Now I'm asking you the same question that I put to Trumpers after they rallied that the announcement of vaccines was held back til after the elections.

    I'm still waiting on them, wager I'll be waiting on you too.



    EU and America == the globe now.

    A lot of people view Brexit in a black or white way. Brexit Bad. EU good. Personal view is it's mostly bad but in this one scenario it has worked well for the UK and the concept of "taking back control" is what we are seeing. They have benefitted from a transition period where they have been able to play both sides, EMA system for the groundwork, MHRA decision for the actual approval.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    eigrod wrote: »

    They should line up Lizzy and Phil for any public vaccination. Get a black immigrant nurse to give Phil his one.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    eigrod wrote: »

    I am imaging John Hurt getting ‘vaccinated’ in an alternative scene from 1984


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,556 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    I see that one of the rags headlining “ Covid hope as nation set for Jan 12th vaccine roll-out” in Ireland.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,938 ✭✭✭circadian


    Clearly an easy "Brexit win" for the Tories as they'll spin it that way regardless of the truth. If it pays off and there's no serious issues then fair play but there's no chance the tories are rolling it out early for the good of the nation.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,021 ✭✭✭lbj666


    ....... Except that one of the British experts, Dr Raine just said in the press conference that it was because of European co operation and European law's which are in place till 1st January, that this has happened for the Brits. Nothing to do with the lunacy of Brexit, no matter how much Union Jack waving the Tories want to do.

    So because of Brexit they had to get this approved before end of year?


This discussion has been closed.
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