COVID-19: Vaccine/antidote and testing procedures Megathread [Mod Warning - Post #1]

Knex*

Some positive momentum starting to build in terms of vaccine news, it seems.

Fauci thinks a vaccine might be available next month (albeit with the caveat of rollout taking some months).

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/adr-fauci-covid-vaccine-us-trump-coronavirus-news-b1312560.html?utm_source=reddit.com

Oxford leading professor saying it will be ready by Christmas.

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/covid-19-coronavirus-oxford-vaccine-will-be-ready-by-christmas-says-professor-leading-the-project/N5VKSFNULMSXMFITODAWLQV3SU/

Hmmzis

average_runner wrote: »

From the NPR:

As we get closer to a COVID-19 vaccine, it's exciting to imagine a day when the virus is gone. But a vaccine will not be a magic bullet. In fact, it may be only about 50% effective.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, chief of the National Institute of Health and Infectious Disease, has tried to set realistic expectations when discussing the importance of a vaccine. "We don't know yet what the efficacy might be. We don't know if it will be 50% or 60%," Fauci said during a Brown University event in August.
"I'd like it to be 75% or more," Fauci said, but he acknowledged that may not be realistic.
The Food and Drug Administration has said that once a vaccine is shown to be safe and at least 50% effective, it could be approved for use in the U.S.

Thanks, that's from August and is really just an opinion and some expectations, not actual data.
Was just wondering if anything new had come out from one of the phase 3 trials.

marno21

Knex* wrote: »

Some positive momentum starting to build in terms of vaccine news, it seems.

Fauci thinks a vaccine might be available next month (albeit with the caveat of rollout taking some months).

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/adr-fauci-covid-vaccine-us-trump-coronavirus-news-b1312560.html?utm_source=reddit.com

Oxford leading professor saying it will be ready by Christmas.

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/covid-19-coronavirus-oxford-vaccine-will-be-ready-by-christmas-says-professor-leading-the-project/N5VKSFNULMSXMFITODAWLQV3SU/

Fauci has always been one of the more conservative voices regarding vaccine timelines. This is very positive news.

iguana

average_runner wrote: »

In fairness, considering the amount of people infected in Ireland is low, it will be hard to see re-infected cases. But Sweden and the US have reported some already.

In much of Europe and the US we missed the majority of cases in the spring/early summer. Most people in this country who had Covid 6 months ago couldn't get a test. If any of them gets reinfected now, we'd never know for sure that it's a reinfection.

Deeper Blue

average_runner wrote: »

From the NPR:

As we get closer to a COVID-19 vaccine, it's exciting to imagine a day when the virus is gone. But a vaccine will not be a magic bullet. In fact, it may be only about 50% effective.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, chief of the National Institute of Health and Infectious Disease, has tried to set realistic expectations when discussing the importance of a vaccine. "We don't know yet what the efficacy might be. We don't know if it will be 50% or 60%," Fauci said during a Brown University event in August.
"I'd like it to be 75% or more," Fauci said, but he acknowledged that may not be realistic.
The Food and Drug Administration has said that once a vaccine is shown to be safe and at least 50% effective, it could be approved for use in the U.S.

That's not a source, he literally says in the quote that he doesn't know.

Chris_5339762

Irish Stones wrote: »

A few reported cases in the world is not surprise, after all we have 41+ millions cases worldwide, I would be surprised of the opposite.

WHO estimated about 10% of the worlds population have had it, thats actually about 700 million cases, and still only a handful of confirmed reinfections. With those numbers (even if we only "know" about 40 million of them) I really would have thought we'd see far more reinfections so far.

Irish Stones

Chris_5339762 wrote: »

WHO estimated about 10% of the worlds population have had it, thats actually about 700 million cases, and still only a handful of confirmed reinfections. With those numbers (even if we only "know" about 40 million of them) I really would have thought we'd see far more reinfections so far.

So you are supporting my point of view? That with so many confirmed cases so far we only have seen a handful of "second cases" and so the theory of an immunity is valid?

Irish Stones

About the risks of a rushed vaccine, this is an article on today's newspaper. In Italian, but I think that a help from Google Translator might give you the full picture.

https://www.lastampa.it/salute/2020/10/27/news/corsa_al_vaccino_ma_quanto_rischiano_i_volontari_che_si_sottopongono_ai_test_-271579819/

Marhay70

Irish Stones wrote: »

About the risks of a rushed vaccine, this is an article on today's newspaper. In Italian, but I think that a help from Google Translator might give you the full picture.

https://www.lastampa.it/salute/2020/10/27/news/corsa_al_vaccino_ma_quanto_rischiano_i_volontari_che_si_sottopongono_ai_test_-271579819/

Luke O'Neill on radio this morning was saying that these vaccines have been subject to the most rigorous safety checks ever known in the history of medical science.
There comes a time when you have to put your faith in the men and women of science and as far as I'm concerned, this is one of them.

jackboy

Marhay70 wrote: »

Luke O'Neill on radio this morning was saying that these vaccines have been subject to the most rigorous safety checks ever known in the history of medical science.
There comes a time when you have to put your faith in the men and women of science and as far as I'm concerned, this is one of them.

He also said masks were ineffective and actually dangerous to use, so there is a chance he may not be correct.

Marhay70

jackboy wrote: »

He also said masks were ineffective and actually dangerous to use, so there is a chance he may not be correct.

But he wasn't making any claims for the efficacy of the vaccines, just commenting on the safety regime. It's the researchers and scientists who are developing the vaccines we need to put our faith in which is what we have been doing since the first headache pill rolled onto the scene back in old God's time.

marno21

jackboy wrote: »

He also said masks were ineffective and actually dangerous to use, so there is a chance he may not be correct.

That’s the essence of science. A belief based on limited data can be changed when more data comes available.

This was a novel virus when those claims were made about masks and there was limited data available on the transmission characteristics of the virus.

jackboy

marno21 wrote: »

That’s the essence of science. A belief based on limited data can be changed when more data comes available.

This was a novel virus when those claims were made about masks and there was limited data available on the transmission characteristics of the virus.

He should have said he didn’t know then rather than saying masks were dangerous with no evidence. Don’t trust a word he says, he is loving the attention too much and he doesn’t admit when he is wrong. Not good qualities in a scientist.

Irish Stones

jackboy wrote: »

He also said masks were ineffective and actually dangerous to use, so there is a chance he may not be correct.

Take comfort from the fact that he wasn't alone in this.
At the beginning of the pandemic, we had a bunch of experts here in Italy that kept saying that masks were "not advised" because they give a false perception of safety, so they kept saying to avoid them.

astrofool

Irish Stones wrote: »

Take comfort from the fact that he wasn't alone in this.
At the beginning of the pandemic, we had a bunch of experts here in Italy that kept saying that masks were "not advised" because they give a false perception of safety, so they kept saying to avoid them.

That was mostly to prevent a run or hoarding of masks being used by medical personnel, not because they weren't effective.

A lot of people are too stupid to realise this (unfortunately some state leaders also fall into this).

3xh

Irish Stones wrote: »

Take comfort from the fact that he wasn't alone in this.
At the beginning of the pandemic, we had a bunch of experts here in Italy that kept saying that masks were "not advised" because they give a false perception of safety, so they kept saying to avoid them.

And then when the worldwide political consensus on masks during this worldwide pandemic changed over the summer, they used the example that Asians wear masks to stop viral spread. So nothing new there.

Were Asians always just chancing their arms and guessing or did they have accurate research info on the efficacy of masks??

3xh

astrofool wrote: »

That was mostly to prevent a run or hoarding of masks being used by medical personnel, not because they weren't effective.

A lot of people are too stupid to realise this (unfortunately some state leaders also fall into this).

When Fauci and co were saying in April we don’t recommend masks, they backed it up with suggestions that frequent touching will increase transmissions. That masks should be handled by professionals, there’s a knack to their use, etc that lay people couldn’t get.

It was only further into the summer did they amend the reasons to include this idea of protecting the supply. Right or wrong, truth or spin, ‘they’ were happy to lie to the masses. But you can be sure everything else they’re spouting to us is truthful......

stephenjmcd

I see RTE are running a story saying 2022 before enough vaccine doses available for everyone
"There will not be sufficient doses of Covid-19 vaccines for the entire population before the end of 2021," a European Commission official told diplomats from EU states in a closed-door meeting"

..... you don't say, did they expect entire populations to get it in 2021. It'll be Q3/4 before young people would even be offered a vaccine.

Christ it doesn't take a genius to figure out that you wont get entire populations vaccinated in 2021 nor do you need to.

The level of journalism and research is in the gutter.

jackboy

astrofool wrote: »

That was mostly to prevent a run or hoarding of masks being used by medical personnel, not because they weren't effective.

A lot of people are too stupid to realise this (unfortunately some state leaders also fall into this).

Exactly. And this is why anything Luke O Neill says regarding vaccines should be ignored. He doesn’t respect the general public as demonstrated by his not trusting the public with the truth.

Gael23

stephenjmcd wrote: »

I see RTE are running a story saying 2022 before enough vaccine doses available for everyone
"There will not be sufficient doses of Covid-19 vaccines for the entire population before the end of 2021," a European Commission official told diplomats from EU states in a closed-door meeting"

..... you don't say, did they expect entire populations to get it in 2021. It'll be Q3/4 before young people would even be offered a vaccine.

Christ it doesn't take a genius to figure out that you wont get entire populations vaccinated in 2021 nor do you need to.

The level of journalism and research is in the gutter.

Was just coming on to post this. Nothing but doom from them

Morries Wigs

Rte click bait doomsday merchants thrash journalism

ShineOn7

Tony currently stating his in depth thoughts on the vaccine

Perhaps someone can transcribe the highlights of what he said, I'll keep an eye out for it on Reddit Ireland

I'm feeling he doesn't think the vaccine is a silver bullet many think it is

Dressoutlet

ShineOn7 wrote: »

Tony currently stating his in depth thoughts on the vaccine

Perhaps someone can transcribe the highlights of what he said, I'll keep an eye out for it on Reddit Ireland

I'm feeling he doesn't think the vaccine is a silver bullet many think it is

Most people know its not a silver bullet already

ShineOn7

Dressoutlet wrote: »

Most people know its not a silver bullet already

Most people on here, yes

The average Joe who reads the Daily Star: less so

stephenjmcd

stephenjmcd wrote: »

I see RTE are running a story saying 2022 before enough vaccine doses available for everyone
"There will not be sufficient doses of Covid-19 vaccines for the entire population before the end of 2021," a European Commission official told diplomats from EU states in a closed-door meeting"

..... you don't say, did they expect entire populations to get it in 2021. It'll be Q3/4 before young people would even be offered a vaccine.

Christ it doesn't take a genius to figure out that you wont get entire populations vaccinated in 2021 nor do you need to.

The level of journalism and research is in the gutter.

What is the betting though that the Government keep us in rolling lockdowns until 2022 at least. It won't matter that the vulnerable and healthcare staff can be vaccinated. I hope I'm wrong but it's a fear I have.

stephenjmcd

[Deleted User] wrote: »

What is the betting though that the Government keep us in rolling lockdowns until 2022 at least. It won't matter that the vulnerable and healthcare staff can be vaccinated. I hope I'm wrong but it's a fear I have.

Its all about keeping pressure off heslthcare systems. When you start vaccinating those working in those environments and those likely to be admitted to those environments then your taking pressure off and therefore can slowly start to unwind restrictions.

conor_mc

[Deleted User] wrote: »

What is the betting though that the Government keep us in rolling lockdowns until 2022 at least. It won't matter that the vulnerable and healthcare staff can be vaccinated. I hope I'm wrong but it's a fear I have.

Not sure where the fear/distrust about govt intentions come from.... sure one poster here a couple of weeks back thought they were “enjoying the power a bit too much”.

If they wanted us all in a permanent state of lockdown, they wouldn’t have opened up in the summer. If they do have to keep us in rolling lockdowns through next year, the political pressure on them will be immense.... like diamond-forming immense!

I actually couldn’t see this government lasting in that case, the Greens would probably split in two under the pressure.

Beasty

No need for lockdown discussion in this thread - there are threads dedicated to lockdowns, restrictions and indeed the general thread where such issues can be, and indeed are, discussed

Steve F

Question.
57 year old Male.
Physically active
Take Hypertension medication.
Would I be classed as "at risk" and be included in the first wave of vaccinations?
Genuine question this

CIARAN_BOYLE

Steve F wrote: »

Question.
57 year old Male.
Physically active
Take Hypertension medication.
Would I be classed as "at risk" and be included in the first wave of vaccinations?
Genuine question this

I thought hcw would be first wave while at risk would be second wave.

We will see. Who knows.