Storm Jorge : February 29th

Oneiric 3

Just looking at the high res sat animation for the last couple of hours, and the low center itself appears to have moved very little, if at all in that time frame. At this point in time, it appears to be almost stationary. Not a typically fast moving 'bomb' system at all that would have developed much further west. It would seem that this particular low needs that extra surge of cold air from the NW Atlantic to kick it up the arse and nudge it in our direction. Odd one really.

Daz_

Sundew wrote: »

The red warning is only for roughly 3 hours or so! Then it goes back to orange. Nothing confusing there

Edit must learn to read every word and not just scan post

Rain started in Sth Galway. Roll on 6am
Thanks to the regulars again for brilliant updates and answers to silly questions.

7 different warnings on ME. I found myself zoning out after about the 4th .

LRNM

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

The mass extinction of ocean buoys is not a good thing for tracking, but at least K4 is still there and the low may be right over it by 12z. That Hirlam variant showing the Connacht landfall is either on a bender or about to win first place in show. I can't see it happening that way from all the evidence. Low might be anywhere from 10 to 100 miles north of Belmullet at some point. In this case, further south it gets, further south the red warning verification will drift.

Newport could be in high variability mode, Westport almost certain to get nailed, Clifden 90% likely.

Have the frequency and intesity of all the recent storms damaged a lot of our atlantic buoys?



Is it normal for this to happen to modern buoy's or have we just been unlucky?

Storm 10

Very heavy rain in Galway now is that a squall line moving in

sryanbruen

LRNM wrote: »

Have the frequency and intesity of all the recent storms damaged a lot of our atlantic buoys?



Is it normal for this to happen to modern buoy's or have we just been unlucky?

God love the buoys during the 80s/90s.

Gaoth Laidir

Met Éireann airport warnings. Casement pick of the bunch, gusting 60-70 knots by 4 pm tomorrow.

Timing is FROM/UNTIL (DDHHMM/DDHHMM), BECMG means Becoming.

CASEMENT EIME AD WRNG 02 VALID 291100/291800 WIND SFC SSW 25-30KT MAX 50-55 BECMG 2914/2916 SW 35-40KT MAX 60-70 FCST=

DUBLIN EIDW AD WRNG 03 VALID 291100/291800 WIND SFC SSW 20-25KT MAX 40-45 BECMG 2914/2916 SW 30-35KT MAX 55-60 FCST=

CORK EICK AD WRNG 01 VALID 290800/291500 WIND SFC SW 25-30KT MAX 40-45 BECMG 2910/2912 W 35-40KT MAX 55-60 FCST=

SHANNON EINN AD WRNG 01 VALID 290800/291600 WIND SFC SW 20-25KT MAX 40-45 BECMG 2910/2912 W 35-40KT MAX 55-60 FCST=

KNOCK EIKN AD WRNG 02 VALID 290800/291800 WIND SFC S 20-25KT MAX 40-45 BECMG 2911/2913 W 35-40KT MAX 55-60 FCST=

EIKN AD WRNG 01 VALID 290300/291200 SNOW FBL 1 to 3 CM FCST=

BorneTobyWilde

Storm Hot Hay , is that how it's pronounced

JohnnyFlash

I was due to play a round of golf in Galway Bay Golf Club in the morning. Presume it will be ok if I head out early? Have the wet gear of course.

pad199207

Curious feature developing

Kutebride

Eyre Square Shopping centre, Galway closing at midday tomorrow. 😲

Dry here. Meath. 11⁰

limericklad87

JohnnyFlash wrote: »

I was due to play a round of golf in Galway Bay Golf Club in the morning. Presume it will be ok if I head out early? Have the wet gear of course.

If you say so

Snow Garden

JohnnyFlash wrote: »

I was due to play a round of golf in Galway Bay Golf Club in the morning. Presume it will be ok if I head out early? Have the wet gear of course.

You will score well on holes 3, 4, 6, 9 and 15. Holes 7, 14 and 18 will be double bogey at least.

Gaoth Laidir

Jorge's satellite-derived surface windfield at 14:24 this afternoon. Just tipping 50 knots (brown).

Reckless Abandonment

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Met Éireann airport warnings. Casement pick of the bunch, gusting 60-70 knots by 4 pm tomorrow.

Timing is FROM/UNTIL (DDHHMM/DDHHMM), BECMG means Becoming.

That's going to be interesting. Dublin could get a fair rattle from this

Snow Garden

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

Storm Hot Hay , is that how it's pronounced

Whore-Hay.

Meteorite58

Keeping an eye on how this Swiss model performs.

BorneTobyWilde

Snow Garden wrote: »

Whore-Hay.

Guy on UK weather was Hot Hay , I thought it was different.

Gaoth Laidir

J-O-R-G-E
Jetstream Offers Real Gale Eventually

harr

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

Storm Hot Hay , is that how it's pronounced

Can’t be trying to pronounce those funny foreign names ...for me its George

Gaoth Laidir

harr wrote: »

Can’t be trying to pronounce those funny foreign names ...for me its George

Stoirm Seoirse.

Oneiric 3

Just thinking about these 'named' storms (which I am not a fan of) but why are we going with a storm name named by the Spanish? I thought the storm naming system in this part of Europe was a coordination between the Brits, the Dutch and us? For example, the Germans name depression and storms all the time, yet we don't go with their named names. The whole thing is just objectively confusing.

I think if we are to have named storms, we should have a unified European system, rather than all this random names issued by various national met services.

Andrew00

Between Shtorms and viruses we r all fed up

Naggdefy

sryanbruen wrote: »

God love the buoys during the 80s/90s.

Absolutely. 'Intensity' isn't a word you'd associate with this winter's storms.

Though tomorrow's is one which causes concern for me. It's the first real direct hit this winter.

Oneiric 3

harr wrote: »

Can’t be trying to pronounce those funny foreign names ...for me its George

God help us if we ever get lumbered with a 'Storm Greta'.

Gaoth Laidir

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

God help us if we ever get lumbered with a 'Storm Greta'.

That's so 2019

Naggdefy

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

God help us if we ever get lumbered with a 'Storm Greta'.

Will be of tropical origin...a lot of hot air.

Dank Janniels

Snow Garden wrote: »

Whore-Hay.

https://youtu.be/hOLV9jBdc74

M.T. Cranium

It's not just the Irish buoys going out of service, UK have lost several too (K3 and PAP recently).

It seems that the met services are strapped for resources so they are slow in replacing them maybe in part because they are not as vital to forecasting as they once were (a byproduct of more reliable short range modelling).

There have not been as many out of service for the US and Canadian roster, occasionally one goes drifting and continues to report then you need to know where it actually is to assess the reports which are still accurate for that location.

It probably has more to do with speed of replacement issues than something unusual about damage rates.

As to the stall, I think that was probably expected and now a slower eastward motion is likely to develop.

M.T. Cranium

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

God help us if we ever get lumbered with a 'Storm Greta'.

WARNING: Storm Greta is approaching. You only have twelve years to live.

pad199207

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

It's not just the Irish buoys going out of service, UK have lost several too (K3 and PAP recently).

It seems that the met services are strapped for resources so they are slow in replacing them maybe in part because they are not as vital to forecasting as they once were (a byproduct of more reliable short range modelling).

There have not been as many out of service for the US and Canadian roster, occasionally one goes drifting and continues to report then you need to know where it actually is to assess the reports which are still accurate for that location.

It probably has more to do with speed of replacement issues than something unusual about damage rates.

As to the stall, I think that was probably expected and now a slower eastward motion is likely to develop.

This is Ireland MT. It takes years to get things done.

M.T. Cranium

It's the end result that counts, I suppose.

Cantona's Collars

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

WARNING: Storm Greta is approaching. You only have twelve years to live.

She struck Bristol today.

watlantic

The latest Atlantic Surface Analysis chart issued around 9pm by the OPC:

diceyd

I work at Dublin Airport, so I'll keep you guys informed of any cancelled flights, delays if it helps anyone

Gonzo

tomorrow is not a day I would like to be in any plane, I'm a frightened flyer even at the best of times and shiver when the captain mentions a possible moment of normal every day turbulance.

Gaoth Laidir

ECM winds at 100 metres, showing that strongest core getting into Galway Bay around midday and then coming out over the Irish Sea mid-afternoon. Second gold is 33-34 m/s (64-66 knots). Add around 8% to get the likely gusts at the surface (~70-72 knots), but stronger is possible inbetween these two chart times.

screamer

Hor- hay up and feck off

bazlers

Looks like it might rival Darwin except a bit further up the coast.

pauldry

Storm Whore Kay

Gonzo

I really wish Met Eireann or the Met Office named this storm, everyone is having a go at the Spanish name, even all the official weather channels and met services.

Oscar Bravo

Mace head max gust tomorrow should be interesting.

nthclare

Luckily the peak of the swell is at lower tides.
If not there would be absolute carnage.

Some of the beaches will have a lot of gullies and dips etc after this from the sands shifting

Jim_Hodge

Maybe this is a stupid question but why is the UK Met office showing yellow for Northern Ireland while we have orange in our adjoining counties? Do they have different criteria for the colour coding?
Thanks.

nthclare

Jim_Hodge wrote: »

Maybe this is a stupid question but why is the UK Met office showing yellow for Northern Ireland while we have orange in our adjoining counties? Do they have different criteria for the colour coding?
Thanks.

They've to get through more red tape

Funsterdelux

Funsterdelux wrote: »

Ireland wearing lipstick

Or would clare and limerick be better?

I think this is where Met E's warnings as delineated by county boundaries just don't work. East Galway and East Clare are not going to get red warning weather conditions tomorrow IMO.

LRNM

Another weekend spent observing squall lines on boards.ie



time to hit the cans and easter eggs

LRNM

stands up. looks out window
walks back to desk
squall lines arrived lads.

Logan Roy

Mods can we get bans for anyone making terrible jokes about the storm being called Jorge?

sryanbruen

Jim_Hodge wrote: »

Maybe this is a stupid question but why is the UK Met office showing yellow for Northern Ireland while we have orange in our adjoining counties? Do they have different criteria for the colour coding?
Thanks.

Yes.. they have an impact based system. We use a numerical based system.

Monkeynut

Any reason why most of these storms end up being on a weekend. I know I'm being sort sighting because it probably evens out to any day or the course of how many storms there has been throughout the years. But recently many have being on the weekend.