Storm Jorge : February 29th

weisses

This storm could have an impact on the south/west, and west coast

One to watch

pauldry

weisses wrote: »

This storm could have an impact on the south/west, and west coast

One to watch

Why Jorge?

un5byh7sqpd2x0

It's a Spanish named storm

Dutchy

Sexy winds are Jorge.

GolfNut33

Affecting the east coast?

easypazz

Heidi Few Diagram wrote: »

It's a Spanish named storm

Seriously?:rolleyes:

Gonzo

GolfNut33 wrote: »

Affecting the east coast?

Met Eireann are getting in early with the warnings on this one. https://www.met.ie/warnings

Status Orange - Wind warning for Galway, Mayo, Clare and Kerry
Some severe winds expected during Saturday associated with Storm Jorge (Hor-hay). Southwest quickly veering west and later northwest will reach mean speeds of 65 to 80km/h with gusts of 110 to 130km/h, possibly higher in very exposed areas with an elevated risk of coastal flooding.

Valid: 06:00 Saturday 29/02/2020 to 03:00 Sunday 01/03/2020

Issued: 11:00 Thursday 27/02/2020

Status: Orange
Wind warning for Donegal, Leitrim and Sligo
Status Orange - Wind warning for Donegal, Leitrim and Sligo
Some severe winds expected during Saturday associated with Storm Jorge (Hor-hay).
Southwest quickly veering west and later northwest will reach mean speeds of 65 to 80km/h with gusts of 110 to 130km/h, possibly higher in very exposed areas with an elevated risk of coastal flooding.

Valid: 12:00 Saturday 29/02/2020 to 03:00 Sunday 01/03/2020

Issued: 11:00 Thursday 27/02/2020

Status: Yellow
Rainfall warning for Munster, Connacht and Donegal
Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Munster, Connacht and Donegal
Rainfall accumulations of 20 to 30mm expected during Friday and Saturday generally but 40 to 50 mm in parts of Kerry, with a continuing risk of flooding due to already saturated ground and elevated river levels.

Valid: 00:01 Friday 28/02/2020 to 23:59 Saturday 29/02/2020

Issued: 11:00 Thursday 27/02/2020

Status: Yellow
Wind warning for Leinster, Cavan, Monaghan, Roscommon, Cork, Kerry, Limerick, Tipperary and Waterford
Status Yellow - Wind warning for Leinster, Cavan, Monaghan, Roscommon, Cork, Kerry, Limerick, Tipperary and Waterford
A band of very strong winds, associated with storm Jorge (Hor-hay) will extend across the country during Saturday morning and persist through the rest of the day and into the night.
Southwest veering westerly winds of mean speeds 50 to 65km/h with gusts of 90 to 110km/h expected.

Valid: 09:00 Saturday 29/02/2020 to 03:00 Sunday 01/03/2020

Issued: 11:00 Thursday 27/02/2020

redsteveireland

Gonzo wrote: »

Met Eireann are getting in early with the warnings on this one. https://www.met.ie/warnings

Status Orange - Wind warning for Galway, Mayo, Clare and Kerry
Some severe winds expected during Saturday associated with Storm Jorge (Hor-hay). Southwest quickly veering west and later northwest will reach mean speeds of 65 to 80km/h with gusts of 110 to 130km/h, possibly higher in very exposed areas with an elevated risk of coastal flooding.

Valid: 06:00 Saturday 29/02/2020 to 03:00 Sunday 01/03/2020

Issued: 11:00 Thursday 27/02/2020

Status: Orange
Wind warning for Donegal, Leitrim and Sligo
Status Orange - Wind warning for Donegal, Leitrim and Sligo
Some severe winds expected during Saturday associated with Storm Jorge (Hor-hay).
Southwest quickly veering west and later northwest will reach mean speeds of 65 to 80km/h with gusts of 110 to 130km/h, possibly higher in very exposed areas with an elevated risk of coastal flooding.

Valid: 12:00 Saturday 29/02/2020 to 03:00 Sunday 01/03/2020

Issued: 11:00 Thursday 27/02/2020

Status: Yellow
Rainfall warning for Munster, Connacht and Donegal
Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Munster, Connacht and Donegal
Rainfall accumulations of 20 to 30mm expected during Friday and Saturday generally but 40 to 50 mm in parts of Kerry, with a continuing risk of flooding due to already saturated ground and elevated river levels.

Valid: 00:01 Friday 28/02/2020 to 23:59 Saturday 29/02/2020

Issued: 11:00 Thursday 27/02/2020

Status: Yellow
Wind warning for Leinster, Cavan, Monaghan, Roscommon, Cork, Kerry, Limerick, Tipperary and Waterford
Status Yellow - Wind warning for Leinster, Cavan, Monaghan, Roscommon, Cork, Kerry, Limerick, Tipperary and Waterford
A band of very strong winds, associated with storm Jorge (Hor-hay) will extend across the country during Saturday morning and persist through the rest of the day and into the night.
Southwest veering westerly winds of mean speeds 50 to 65km/h with gusts of 90 to 110km/h expected.

Valid: 09:00 Saturday 29/02/2020 to 03:00 Sunday 01/03/2020

Issued: 11:00 Thursday 27/02/2020

Odd to go straight to a warning instead of an advisory this far out?

Gonzo

redsteveireland wrote: »

Odd to go straight to a warning instead if an advisory this far out?

Met Eireann must be feeling very confident about this one. I wasn't expecting any sort of warning till tomorrow.

NIMAN

It would be nice to get a week without a storm, wouldn't it?

redsteveireland

redsteveireland wrote: »

Odd to go straight to a warning instead if an advisory this far out?

Pre-empting the whinge merchants who are never satisfied with enough notice. Including those who still leave their vehicles on the Salthill prom.

NuttyMcNutty

Hope the viruses don't go the same way as these storms, up to a point you wouldn't hear about these now we have a different one every week.:eek:

Donegal Ken

Gonzo wrote: »

Met Eireann must be feeling very confident about this one. I wasn't expecting any sort of warning till tomorrow.

They where quick with the warnings but not quick enough Naming it 😂

Henry Ford III

Getting fed up with all these storms

Oneiric 3

People of Ireland. Do not worry. The experts at the press have you covered:



Unbelievable. Met Eireann issuing these coloured warnings must be a boon for these people.. and their advertisers.

pauldry

NIMAN wrote: »

It would be nice to get a week without a storm, wouldn't it?

A weekEND you mean

Gaoth Laidir

It's only really the extreme northwest of Spain that will see anything of any severity on Saturday, and even at that, only up to 100-110 km/h in a small area. Seems a little ott to name it and give orange warnings for a cold front passing through.





More of interest will be in our neck of the woods.

leahyl

Is it possible that more counties could be added to the orange warning?

easypazz

It will be another non event. I am calling it now.

pauldry

easypazz wrote: »

It will be another non event. I am calling it now.

Should be storm Seoirse not flippin Jorge
Its our storm

M.T. Cranium

About the Spanish concern, maybe being a weekend in Lent there would be more than a few people planning to go on that famous walking trail ? Is it called Compostela? Perhaps someone in the know on that could enlighten us. By northwest Spain standards it is going to be quite cold with this strong wind, but as stated by GL they get a lot of that being in that exposed position.

I was really getting ready for the Ellen angle, now this. After Humberto I suppose the law of averages means this will be Big Wind 2.0.

(please tabloids I am sort of having a laff there, but there are a lot of isobars on the 06z GFS, enough for everyone to have their own personal one.)

Cantona's Collars

easypazz wrote: »

It will be another non event. I am calling it now.

Tell that to the people with flooded property who are looking forward to more rain.

Stevieluvsye

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

It's only really the extreme northwest of Spain that will see anything of any severity on Saturday, and even at that, only up to 100-110 km/h in a small area. Seems a little ott to name it and give orange warnings for a cold front passing through.

Ye they are going mad over it on boards.es

RobbingBandit

Skipping over letters there too we should be on F not J

R.F.

I have no doubt someone has already answered. But I was looking at storm names the other day. And J was meant to be Storm Jan.

And another thing! What the heck happened to Storm Ellen, Gerda, Francis and Hugh?

RobbingBandit

Ellen was last weekend

R.F.

RobbingBandit wrote: »

Ellen was last weekend

I think weather has been so awful recently they have all merged into one for me.

Gaoth Laidir

R.F. wrote: »

I have no doubt someone has already answered. But I was looking at storm names the other day. And J was meant to be Storm Jan.

And another thing! What the heck happened to Storm Ellen, Gerda, Francis and Hugh?

The Spanish and Portuguese use a different list than us, The UK, Netherlands and Denmark.

endainoz

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

It's only really the extreme northwest of Spain that will see anything of any severity on Saturday, and even at that, only up to 100-110 km/h in a small area. Seems a little ott to name it and give orange warnings for a cold front passing through.





More of interest will be in our neck of the woods.

I'm not so sure about this being overhyped, all models are agreeing on 110 + gusts for North Clare on Saturday from what I see. ICON has the usual overestimation but the rest of them are pretty consistent.

nthclare

endainoz wrote: »

I'm not so sure about this being overhyped, all models are agreeing on 110 + gusts for North Clare on Saturday from what I see. ICON has the usual overestimation but the rest of them are pretty consistent.

Magicseaweed is predicting 22ft waves in Lahinch on Saturday.
Probably 16 would be more realistic.

Although at high tide Black Head could be a spectacular show of a swell hitting hard.

Gaoth Laidir

endainoz wrote: »

I'm not so sure about this being overhyped, all models are agreeing on 110 + gusts for North Clare on Saturday from what I see. ICON has the usual overestimation but the rest of them are pretty consistent.

I didn't mean it was hyped for us, only Spain.

Graces7

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

About the Spanish concern, maybe being a weekend in Lent there would be more than a few people planning to go on that famous walking trail ? Is it called Compostela? Perhaps someone in the know on that could enlighten us. By northwest Spain standards it is going to be quite cold with this strong wind, but as stated by GL they get a lot of that being in that exposed position.

I was really getting ready for the Ellen angle, now this. After Humberto I suppose the law of averages means this will be Big Wind 2.0.

(please tabloids I am sort of having a laff there, but there are a lot of isobars on the 06z GFS, enough for everyone to have their own personal one.)

You mean the Camino de Santiago, 500 miles from St Jean Pied de Port ending in Santiago de Compostela. And yes, a very important pilgrimage at this season of Lent . Most take a full week over it. And the pilgrims will take the weather literally in their stride.

Gonzo

GFS going for 70 to 110km/h winds generally, maybe higher off western coasts.



Arpege generally similar but some much stronger gusts off the west coast with 140km/h possible.



Icon is as usual over the top and showing red warning levels of 140 or 150km/h. They have way over estimated the past few storms so I wouldn't take this chart seriously, just like I wouldn't take the euro chart seriously for snow.



will have to wait till tonight and see what the Hirlam brings. Probably will be something more sensible in line with the GFS.

flazio

R.F. wrote: »

I have no doubt someone has already answered. But I was looking at storm names the other day. And J was meant to be Storm Jan.

And another thing! What the heck happened to Storm Ellen, Gerda, Francis and Hugh?

The serious answer here is that the storm formed off the Iberian coast and therefore they got to name it. Storm Ellen has not hit yet. Last weekend didn’t get a name.

endainoz

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

I didn't mean it was hyped for us, only Spain.

Ah apologies, I read your post wrong!

Sundew

Absolutely glorious day on the West Coast ( lovely bright sunny Spring day) thanks to MTs early warning post this morning...I made sure to get a nice 2 hr coastal walk done before I heard the Met Eireann warning on the radio.

Looks like a trip to Lesureland in Salthill will have to postponed for a third time on Sat
God I'm sick to death of these storms. Its feels like the whole month of Feb has been one continuous rain and wind fest!

Cantona's Collars

It's as if the storms and crap weather are doing it on purpose.
"Oh so you want a nice weekend? Here's a storm for you.The rest of the week,be grand. Why don't you have another storm next weekend again".

ninebeanrows

At a glance appears like most direct and impactful storm of season.

No hype either, Saturday will be a day for indoors

Graces7

Sleety_Rain wrote: »

At a glance appears like most direct and impactful storm of season.

No hype either, Saturday will be a day for indoors

Maybe a grand finale?

ninebeanrows

Graces7 wrote: »

Maybe a grand finale?

A farewell.

Snow Garden

pauldry wrote: »

Why Jorge?

In honour of the pope.

Gaoth Laidir

flazio wrote: »

The serious answer here is that the storm formed off the Iberian coast and therefore they got to name it. Storm Ellen has not hit yet. Last weekend didn’t get a name.

It hasn't formed anywhere near Iberia. It's still way out east of New Foundland, at around 47N 37W (the unmarked low developing to the south of that 1002-hPa low).

redsteveireland

Sleety_Rain wrote: »

At a glance appears like most direct and impactful storm of season.

No hype either, Saturday will be a day for indoors

So I think what you are saying is that its probably not a good day to have a rugby match in Westport? :cool: 3rd cancellation in a row, tough spell of weather for field sports.

Shane O' Malley

Who's got our Storm Ellen?

https://news.stv.tv/opinion/whats-in-a-name-when-it-comes-to-storm-tracking?top

Graces7

Sleety_Rain wrote: »

A farewell.

AH yes; much better word! thank you..I am so tired I cannot even raise any reaction etc to this one. In between storms, high winds.

Harry Palmr

Looks like a total nothing for Spain, why are they getting in on the act?! :mad:

Naggdefy

Harry Palmr wrote: »

Looks like a total nothing for Spain, why are they getting in on the act?! :mad:

Our fish for years, now stealing our storm naming rights.. the bas*ards!

Meteorite58

IMO

ECM o6Z and GFS 12Z quite similar in bringing the center of the Storm closer to the W and across the NW / N

Showing 50 kt mean barbs and 70 Kt gust barbs along the coasts from Kerry up to Galway. Winds gusting up around 110 km/h overland.

Possible or fairly probable frontal snow event Saturday morning, very wintry at least for a time. Looks like accumulations inland but details will firm up more tomorrow re this.

Thinking this has increased wind speeds over the last few runs, ECM ,UKMO and GFS quite bunched in track and strength, ARPEGE and ICON have the system a bit further North so keeping the strongest winds to the W.

Thinking that it wouldn't take much more to make this a red warning for Kerry and Clare going by the current ECM and GFS. I think the GFS at close range is quite reliable and that is a fairly severe chart just out. More counties will probably go into the Orange wind warning category .

ChristyM

I see the National Emergency Coordination Group is to meet tomorrow in advance of Storm Jorge

https://www.rte.ie/news/2020/0227/1117923-weather-warning/

PS That's a nice photo of Fenit

pad199207

George Lee nailing it all “The Spanish noticed it first”

bazlers

Meteorite58 wrote: »

IMO

ECM o6Z and GFS 12Z quite similar in bringing the center of the Storm closer to the W and across the NW / N

Showing 50 kt mean barbs and 70 Kt gust barbs along the coasts from Kerry up to Galway. Winds gusting up around 110 km/h overland.

Possible or fairly probable frontal snow event Saturday morning, very wintry at least for a time. Looks like accumulations inland but details will firm up more tomorrow re this.

Thinking this has increased wind speeds over the last few runs, ECM ,UKMO and GFS quite bunched in track and strength, ARPEGE and ICON have the system a bit further North so keeping the strongest winds to the W.

Thinking that it wouldn't take much more to make this a red warning for Kerry and Clare going by the current ECM and GFS. I think the GFS at close range is quite reliable and that is a fairly severe chart just out. More counties will probably go into the Orange wind warning category .

How much precipitation are we likely to get between tomorrow morning and Sunday evening.
Is the Shannon going to get worse with flooding?