ALL - WEATHER BETS

MaxBet

Klopp beaten a nk at 9/2 , serves me right for backing one with such a bad name , Daring Guest never a factor .
Frustrating last hour as Kodiline was my other possible bet today , I was a slight bit off getting the price I really wanted and was wary of 2 others in it so of course , he got up to win by a head at 8/1 .
Gold Hunter is well handicapped in the last bit I’ve doubts about the trip and also the surface , so a no bet but I’ll be interested in how he runs .

-2 today , back with Chelmsford’s bets late tonight or early tomorrow .

Cheers

MaxBet

No bets today .

MaxBet

Change of plan re today ....

Price was going / gone on this one when I looked earlier but it is out to a backable price again now . Perhaps not a good sign but worth a bet at the odds now . Goes well at the track , is on a fair mark and has been running on over 6f enough times to suggest 7f is manageable .



Jan 14

6.00 Chelmsford -
DESERT FOX 11/1 bet365

MaxBet

Jan 15

6.50 Sou -
MAERCHENGARTEN 1pt @ 40/1 bet365 , PP

MaxBet

Staked : 194.5pts
Returned : 148.5pts


Jan 16

4.30 Nwc -
AMOOD 1.5pts @ 10/1 bet365 , 9/1 generally

MaxBet

Jan 16

6.30 Nwc -
MESHARDAL 14/1 generally

MaxBet

Sorry for lack of write ups / follow ups with the bets posted here , been short of time lately so hopefully make more of an effort soon to explain the “wisdom” behind backing these . Like how wise it is to back a Ruth Carr runner at Newcastle these days ....
Anyway , I left him alone last night at 8/1 but I’d be sick if he won at this price so it had to be done . Does have one particular piece of course form that is interesting but that’s almost 2 years back .
Anyway , roll the dice . No more bets today , good luck

Niallers87

MaxBet wrote: »

Jan 13

5.20 Wolverhampton -
KLOPP 10/1 WHill
DARING GUEST 16/1 generally

Klopp wins today, pretty short odds though.

MaxBet

Niallers87 wrote: »

Klopp wins today, pretty short odds though.

Yeah , a win was coming . Don’t mind seeing them go in at that price unbacked though .
Well , not too much anyway ...

MaxBet

Jan 17

12.00 Lin -
BARRINGTON 14/1 bet365
PLUNGER 28/1 PP , BetVictor

12.30 Lin -
THE BRITISH LION 15/2 bet365

4.45 Nwc -
NEWMARKET WARRIOR 10/1 bet365 , WHill

MaxBet

I wasn’t going to but the price is just too big , even though he’s getting on a bit now




7.00 Dun -
HAVE A NICE DAY 50/1 PP , BetVictor

MaxBet

British Lion ran better than his position (5th) , didn’t break well (comes with the territory with Rab on board) but still only beaten a length in the end

Plunger was a plunger , 20s into 10s but then decided to throw a wobbler before the start and was withdrawn

This next one , Newmarket Warrior could go close , it’s tight enough between a few of them and hard to judge the pace angle . This lad can run in a variety of styles but if he’s held up and delivered late-ish I think that’s the way to go here

Watching the market on one , possibly 2 more but if I don’t get it then just have to rely on the 50/1 Dundalk poke going in ...

MaxBet

Jan 18

6.45 Chelmsford -
ROOF GARDEN 18/1 PP / BF Sportsbook

MaxBet

Jan 18

4.45 Chelmsford -
SUGAR PLUM FAIRY 7/1 generally

MaxBet

Muck .


Staked : 203pts
Returned : 148.5pts

MaxBet

Jan 19

1.25 Wolverhampton -
MANS NOT TROT 40/1 bet365
SEAFORTH 15/2 bet365

3.10 Wolverhampton -
YOURE COOL 33/1 bet365 , BetVictor

4.10 Wolverhampton -
CALIFORNIA LAD 30/1 PP , 28/1 BetVictor

HarshOstrich

MaxBet wrote: »

Jan 19

1.25 Wolverhampton -
MANS NOT TROT 40/1 bet365
SEAFORTH 15/2 bet365

3.10 Wolverhampton -
YOURE COOL 33/1 bet365 , BetVictor

4.10 Wolverhampton -
CALIFORNIA LAD 30/1 PP , 28/1 BetVictor

Your cool is always worth a bet on the all weather

MaxBet

Seemed a big price (even bigger now) for one that’s proven himself under these conditions before. The fav looks the likeliest tbh but there’s a few that are a fraction of You’re Cool’s price that have plenty to prove

Nevin Parsnipp

There has to be a reason for those high prices ....will watch the markets......but best of luck !

MaxBet

In the 4.10 , Henry Croft and Hooflepuff meet each other again but it’s a better race than the last time . Noble Fox and Star Ascending should have no excuses today but California Lad seemed worth chancing at big odds (huge now) . He had more left in the tank when a running on 3rd over CD in May off 3lb higher (6lb incl decent jockeys claim today) and actually had Star Ascending in behind . A few decent runs at Dundalk today , capable enough on a going day .

MaxBet

1.25 Wolves , I had Seaforth at a nice price when he won last in early December . I dont usually go back to the well again at lower odds , never mind lower odds and a higher mark but I think he should have won nto out 51 (runs off 52 today) when left with too much to do .
Back to the that 8.5f trip for the first time since (stayed on over 7f lto) he could be thereabouts again with a bit of luck .
Mans Not Trot is a big price based on a couple of CD runs earlier in the year .... 3rd off 56 beaten a length and winning off 53 , beating Thair in April .
Back from a lay-off so obvious concerns there but back off 53 today with another 7lb claimed over a CD he likes .... worthy of a speculative bet methinks .

MaxBet

Nevin Parsnipp wrote: »

There has to be a reason for those high prices ....will watch the markets......but best of luck !

Reason is that not many people think they’ll win !
Therein lies the appeal for me though ...

MaxBet

Not for the thread stats but having a small bet on Mucho Talento w/o the fav in the novice stakes at Wolves .
Intello’s has a decent SR here and on breeding this one could be more at home over 7 than the 2m bumper lto .
Could just be a case of No Talento either ...

13/2 bet365


Yep , No Talento it is ..

IAMAMORON

Yabba Dabba dooooooo

MaxBet

Jan 20

1.50 Kempton -
MITTYS SMILE 28/1 generally

2.20 Kempton -
WILEY POST 7/1 bet 365 , BetVictor
ALFIE SOLOMONS 12/1 bet 365 , BetVictor

5.55 Wolverhampton -
RAILPORT DOLLY 14/1 bet 365 , BetVictor

6.55 Wolverhampton -
FINAL ATTACK 28/1 PP , BetVictor

7.25 Wolverhampton -
STREET POET 33/1 PP , BetVictor

MaxBet

7.25 Wolverhampton -
ALLUX BOY 16/1 generally

MaxBet

Said to myself last night if I got 16s or bigger today I’d have to back Allux Boy . Has a high enough rating and an absence to overcome but he did win off a mark like this on turf in the past and his last AW run (over CD) was a decent performance , winning comfortably in this grade by 6L . There were 5 subsequent winners behind but to be fair , it was last July and a few behind were bound to pick up a race at some point .
That said he did it well enough to think there was more there . Very tasty CD record .... 1211 .

MaxBet

MaxBet wrote: »

Jan 15

6.50 Sou -
MAERCHENGARTEN 1pt @ 40/1 bet365 , PP

Thanks be to Jaysus that didn’t get up in the 1.20 today . 66/1 ....

MaxBet

Wiley Post (7/1) covers the days exertions with a slim profit on top . Looked a decent time , there’s one or two in behind I’ll keep an eye on .
4 left to run this evening .

MaxBet

Poor evening , +1 for the day .


Staked : 214pts
Returned : 165.5pts


It’s interesting (to me anyway) the effect that posting my selections on here has had on my betting .

I can’t remember many before Christmas but there have been 3 runners this month that I second guessed myself out of backing / posting due to the fact that they were partially “hunch” bets and with a write up or explanation I’d have struggled to give a plausible , confident reasoning behind the bet .

Naturally the ones that I don’t put up that go on to win are the ones that stick in my head and it goes without saying that there could easily have been 4 or 5 times as many “hunch” losers that I didn’t follow through on .

There have also been a few that have made the “hunch” cut and been posted too . (Maerchengarten and Have A Nice Day spring to mind)

Anyway , I suppose my point is that had I not been posting and felt the need to be a bit more selective then I might have backed those 3 this month . So as the thread is not exactly firing as I hoped , I’m going to take the handbrake off over the next while and go back to my old mantra that the losers i back hurt a lot less than the winners I don’t . Especially at the prices .

So expect slightly increased outlay and hopefully I’ll bag a few that have gotten away lately .

Or end up potless .

Warble over !