Hurricane Dorian

sdanseo

The last TAF from Freeport last night. Screenshot this one. I doubt it's ever happened before. (Decoded: https://en.allmetsat.com/metar-taf/bahamas.php?icao=MYGF )

MYGF 012300Z 0200/0224 33050G100KT 1600 +TSRA BKN012CB BKN090 OVC200 FM021300 VRB80G200KT 800 +TSRA BKN009CB OVC050

Mad that in Nassau, it's just a blustery day. 23 Gust 35.

Gaoth Laidir

It's now been downgraded to Cat 4

SUMMARY OF 100 PM EDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION

---

LOCATION...26.8N 78.4W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...922 MB...27.23 INCHES

Gaoth Laidir

The lone station of Settlement Point, on the extreme west of Grand Bahama, looks mightily exposed...



Currently 51 gusting 60 knots.

sdanseo

Things really heating up in the Atlantic now too.

Itssoeasy

just looking at the latest advisory on the nhc website and while Florida might have dodged a bullet, if I was living in eastern North Carolina I'd be moving inland because while it doesn't have it making landfall it's too close for comfort.

SleetAndSnow

https://twitter.com/ShawnReynolds_/status/1168600295477108738?s=20

That is terrifying! Hopefully they get some break soon

Meteorite58

Looks like running parallel to the Florida coast, question mark of making more inroads into the Carolina's. Commentators at pains to point out cant rule out that it wont wobble and veer into the Florida coastline. Storm surge of 4 to 7ft as it moves up along the coast. 6 to 10 inches rainfall along the coasts, a lot more if it tracks a bit closer.













https://twitter.com/StuOstro/status/1168600494459080704?s=20

JanuarySnowstor

Anyone else get the feeling the Americans have found a way of steering these hurricanes out of harms way of mainland US

PokeHerKing

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

Anyone else get the feeling the Americans have found a way of steering these hurricanes out of harms way of mainland US

The hurricanes don't want to get nuked.

igCorcaigh

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

Anyone else get the feeling the Americans have found a way of steering these hurricanes out of harms way of mainland US

Eh?!

AFAIK, hurricanes are steered by the surrounding areas of high and low pressures.

Even if such troughs and ridges could be artificially generated, they would stand out from the model predictions to be completely obvious.

In short, no.

JCX BXC

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

Anyone else get the feeling the Americans have found a way of steering these hurricanes out of harms way of mainland US

No.

silverharp

^^
https://twitter.com/TheBabylonBee/status/1168599473448280066

JCX BXC

That article suggests sending 'thoughts and prayers' does work.

Hilarious read.

MJohnston

JCX BXC wrote: »

That article suggests sending 'thoughts and prayers' does work.

Hilarious read.

It is a satirical site

JCX BXC

MJohnston wrote: »

It is a satirical site

Ah

Only glanced at it

igCorcaigh

Such a slow moving and devastating storm.
Has the eye moved over Freeport yet?

EDIT: it seems to be moving north of the island a bit, still crawling and not past the west end of the island. Freeport must be getting hammered by the outer eyewall.

refusetolose

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

Anyone else get the feeling the Americans have found a way of steering these hurricanes out of harms way of mainland US

the navy put ice in the water
then the airforce flew into the hurricane and flew in the opposite direction of the hurricane winds

screamer

Maybe it’s pure self interest but as these things have a habit of bouncing over towards us, what are the chances we get the tail of this?

JanuarySnowstor

Folk must be very naive if they think the Americans couldn't affect the weather. Cloud seeding has been around for years. I'm not saying they are but I am saying I believe it's possible

jackboy

screamer wrote: »

Maybe it’s pure self interest but as these things have a habit of bouncing over towards us, what are the chances we get the tail of this?

Looking at windy.com looks like it will fizzle out around Iceland.

igCorcaigh

screamer wrote: »

Maybe it’s pure self interest but as these things have a habit of bouncing over towards us, what are the chances we get the tail of this?

Possible, but predicting it's course right now is tricky enough.

igCorcaigh

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

Folk must be very naive if they think the Americans couldn't affect the weather. Cloud seeding has been around for years. I'm not saying they are but I am saying I believe it's possible

Cloud seeding is a low tech attempt at creating rainclouds. Not seeing the relevance here.

igCorcaigh

Seems good news for florida now, it's heading north, bypassing Freeport and moving up north.

Gaoth Laidir

A dropsonde in the eye has just found a central pressure of 941 hPa. The aircraft data say 942.0 hPa. Huge fill.

NIMAN

BBC news reporting it is actually now stationary.

Terrible for those in the Bahamas getting battered by it constantly. No reprieve.

igCorcaigh

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

A dropsonde in the eye has just found a central pressure of 941 hPa. The aircraft data say 942.0 hPa. Huge fill.

Wasn't it something like 910 yesterday?

Gaoth Laidir

Settlement Point's pressure has stopped falling now and the wind's not really getting much stronger.

Gaoth Laidir

igCorcaigh wrote: »

Wasn't it something like 910 yesterday?

I think it got to 908.

Stop moaning ffs

The airport at Freeport

https://twitter.com/kionnemcghee/status/1168540276949954560?s=21

JCX BXC

Seaport*

Safe to say it's not reporting a METAR.

In all seriousness that's shocking, some damage caused.