Turning very warm/hot, heatwave conditions likely; Sunday 24th -->

squarecircles

and it all breaks down in a blaze of glory with a thundery low out of biscay.

squarecircles

ballooning azores back over us after the breakdown.

sryanbruen

Lots of comparisons will be made with this heatwave to 1976 and as a result, I have made this video to give you an insight into the Summer of 1976.

It was the year that ABBA was number one on the charts and Denis Howell was appointed Minister for Drought (but was followed by thunderstorms and a very wet Autumn).

Enjoy!

Cantona's Collars

JCX BXC wrote: »

No indication of when it'll end yet. Models are split

I'd take November,in reality the rest of June and July would do just nicely.

Malayalam

Great video, Sryanbruen, really enjoyed watching it.

squarecircles

just perusing the red tops about the heatwave and i always notice this tradition of people jumping into manky dirty urban rivers,whats that about? people on the continent tend to go to the beach when the weathers fine,iv just never seen it happen anywhere else.

who in their right mind would want to jump into the royal canal in Dublin,it looks filthy.

highdef

squarecircles wrote: »

just perusing the red tops about the heatwave and i always notice this tradition of people jumping into manky dirty urban rivers,whats that about? people on the continent tend to go to the beach when the weathers fine,iv just never seen it happen anywhere else.

who in their right mind would want to jump into the royal canal in Dublin,it looks filthy.

Looked crystal clear when I was walking alongside it yesterday near Bluebell

pad199207

highdef wrote: »

Looked crystal clear when I was walking alongside it yesterday near Bluebell

The Grand Canal

Jpmarn

Here is a new nickname for the period of fine warm weather forecasted over the weekend and into next week. Best From The West! I heard it on the radio this morning. It is apposed to The Beast From The East earlier this year.

squarecircles

staring at this might come in handy next week. What a year its been so far...

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JCX BXC

Jpmarn wrote: »

Here is a new nickname for the period of fine warm weather forecasted over the weekend and into next week. Best From The West! I heard it on the radio this morning. It is apposed to The Beast From The East earlier this year.

But this is also from the east! From the West you'd just get Atlantic muck

highdef

pad199207 wrote: »

The Grand Canal

Good point! So used to mentioning the Royal Canal as it's close by to my house.

Gonzo

Saturday looks like the start of the warmth with low 20's, then 25C definitely possible by Sunday across much of the country. Leinster and the east coast thankfully will fair much better this time around with high 20's possible for much of next week.

Bottle's of water should be advised for those M50 rush hour journeys.

sryanbruen

Stunning 12z runs from both the GFS and UKMO.





Looking back at this comment from March, Calibos you teaser! You must have joined forces with Joanna.

pad199207

Looking at these runs this evening, its Deja Vu July 2013!

Oneiric 3

Not liking the trend the GFS is showing for the worst of the heat to be in western and midland areas once again. By the end of next week, this model is showing dewpoint temps into the low 20s over the region:




Am hoping the ECM will prove to be the more correct model on this one, as it is showing the most intense warmth staying in the east of Ireland, not that it looks anyway cool on this side.

irishfeen

What kind of humidity should we be expecting with such a blast of heat?? 50%+?

sryanbruen

Arpege 12z maximum temperatures for this weekend since it's now in the range for this model.

Mobhi1

Is that a 46 I see over northern France?

BLIZZARD7

Mobhi1 wrote: »

Is that a 46 I see over northern France?

That's the number on the bottom of the scale, highest over northern france is actually about 26c from what I can see.

sdanseo

Mobhi1 wrote: »

Is that a 46 I see over northern France?

No, that's one of the scale numbers. If you look closely it's light blue.

Not that it'll be too chilly in France :pac:

sryanbruen

Navgem :pac:, hilarious model. Why does it even exist?

BLIZZARD7

GEM 12z is lovely too and just gets warmer and warmer, lots of 15c+ 850hpa air pushing up over the country again in the latter frames.

sdanseo

sryanbruen wrote: »

Navgem :pac:, hilarious model. Why does it even exist?

Is that black hole over Belgium meant to indicate off the scale - i.e. >/46 degrees? :eek:

TheRiverman

Did I read correctly somewhere that Met Eireann will issue yellow,orange and possibly red alerts if the temperatures go high to very high ?.I think that's potentially losing the plot.Its bad enough having Joanna,Jean etc giving them in Autumn/Winter and Spring,but please give us a break when at last we have a good Summer.

JCX BXC

sryanbruen wrote: »

Navgem :pac:, hilarious model. Why does it even exist?

Would no doubt be interesting to see how Londoners cope with 40c.

sdanseo

TheRiverman wrote: »

Did I read correctly somewhere that Met Eireann will issue yellow,orange and possibly red alerts if the temperatures go high to very high ?.I think that's potentially losing the plot.Its bad enough having Joanna,Jean etc giving them in Autumn/Winter and Spring,but please give us a break when at last we have a good Summer.

Yellow is any max above 27 degrees and looks almost certain.

Orange is max above 30 degrees and minima above 25 iirc

Red is as per Orange but for > 2 days

I know from experience living on the continent (specifically Belgium) that if temperatures exceed 37 all public buildings, schools etc are closed down. Don't think we'll get to that extreme but 27 here will feel like 37 there.

sdanseo

Met have gone there

OUTLOOK: Dry, calm and settled with high pressure building. Becoming warmer and sunnier this weekend with values reaching mid twenties, (warmest on Sunday). Values climbing further into next week with possible heat wave conditions setting in.

Harry Palmr

Not looking forward to this to be honest, hopefully the humidity will be okay at least but this is Ireland.

Agent_47

sdanseo wrote: »

Met have gone there

Bring it on, memories of a long winter this year with no spring, I for one will be enjoying it.

BBQ will get proper exercise this year

sryanbruen

ECM 12z turns the winds into a straight easterly by Wednesday next week.

Gonzo

sryanbruen wrote: »

ECM 12z turns the winds into a straight easterly by Wednesday next week.

temps possibly heading back to the low 20s in eastern areas if that happens?

Kermit.de.frog

Air is very warm on the ECM by Wednesday and is a southeasterly - southerly airflow over Ireland so southeastern and southern coasts a little cooler. A slight sea breeze in the east but nothing to moan about.

More devastating output for those that decided to go abroad on holiday in this period.

SleetAndSnow

ooh im so excited. Delighted the south will get warmth, and even happier that its the entire country at this point (sorry heat haters! )

Supercell

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

More devastating output for those that decided to go abroad on holiday in this period.

I dunno, I think Wales will be warm enough :pac:

sryanbruen

As they say, ECM 12z was a downgrade. Not majorly so, still very warm. Just a variation of a theme and relatively cooler upper air temperatures. More bearable in other words.

It shows the blip that the GFS 0z showed at +240 hrs but that is likely to change.



Here she comes, Mrs. Azores High.

Larbre34

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

More devastating output for those that decided to go abroad on holiday in this period.

Most of us left in Ireland will be in work so I hope employers in physical and outdoor jobs will exercise due care as regards exposure and fluids.

Im delighted for the state exam classes though, they deserve a bit of summer after the slog.

Larbre34

TheRiverman wrote: »

Did I read correctly somewhere that Met Eireann will issue yellow,orange and possibly red alerts if the temperatures go high to very high ?.I think that's potentially losing the plot.

They exist for a reason. Excess heat can be worse than extreme cold for those vulnerable (v young, v old, respiratory conditions). Certain folk will need to be extra careful.

Foggy Jew

Lord, but I love this thread!! Thanks to all contributors.

sdanseo

GFS max temps for tomorrow week, a little outside reliable timeframe. Usually undercooked a bit (think others have said add at least 3 or 4 degrees?)

km79

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Air is very warm on the ECM by Wednesday and is a southeasterly - southerly airflow over Ireland so southeastern and southern coasts a little cooler. A slight sea breeze in the east but nothing to moan about.

More devastating output for those that decided to go abroad on holiday in this period.

RobertKK

Weather app on my phone showing 29C for Kilkenny second half of next week.

Harry Palmr

Weather app? Which one? If it's AccuWeather it'll be snowing.

Ultimate Seduction

Sorry to be that guy, but are we GUARANTEED blue Skys and sun this Sunday? Just making plans with the kids so it's Saturday or Sunday we go swimming

Danno

Ah here now, get outta that garden. :eek:

RobertKK

Harry Palmr wrote: »

Weather app? Which one? If it's AccuWeather it'll be snowing.

It is the one that comes with iPhone. So that would be the weather channel, generally it is fairly accurate.

Foggy Jew

Danno wrote: »

Ah here now, get outta that garden. :eek:

Nah. Get INTO that garden.

Kermit.de.frog

Ultimate Seduction wrote: »

Sorry to be that guy, but are we GUARANTEED blue Skys and sun this Sunday?

Yes.

(well, 99.99%)

Temps generally low - mid twenties. Not hot but should be warm enough.

xii

Time to buy more bags of Ice than I will ever need, (before the lunacy starts:))

Gonzo

Foggy Jew wrote: »

Nah. Get INTO that garden.

those temperatures definitely overcooked in that chart.
36C over Leinster, 32C over the Irish sea.

I'd love if those temperatures came off but very unlikely.