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Prelude to Cold Weather/Snow - Sun 25th Feb (Onwards)

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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    It should be added that none of this severity level will be near guaranteed til late in the week, it looks odds on for a notable cold outbreak now though. These charts are nice to look at and Ive never seen anything like it before but things can still change, details on who gets snow and how much won't be known til 24 hours out at minimum.


  • Registered Users Posts: 314 ✭✭Stephen Hawkins football boots


    Jesus lads go easy yous will break the thank you button😂

    This deserves a thanks


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,668 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    2013Lara wrote: »
    Tell me that schools will shut so I don't have to think about leaving the house if this happens!

    Wouldn't that be great, handy days off. :)

    Those Ophelia days off were great crack :D.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭Lucreto


    Working in Ballsbridge might be an interesting experience if this comes to pass.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,667 ✭✭✭thecretinhop


    To quote paulie walnuts of the sopranos if this comes off "im fcking dreaming here tony!!"


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,996 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Against that though,this air mass will be subject to very little modification en route
    The vast majority of its journey will be over land (even counting its angle of attack on the poor corkonians and waterfordites) so it won’t need to pool or stay still it will arrive almost as is on this model :eek:

    Also think of the lapse rates as it( the largely unmodified air) crosses the realtively warm seas= a conveyor belt of heavy snow showers for parts of Ireland.
    As some folks giving their recollections of living through the Winter of 1947 said:
    "Bliss it was in that dawn to be alive
    But to be young was very heaven.”

    We, who love snow, maybe saying the same next week!!!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Steopo wrote: »
    Getting really concerned about this now as I've to fly to the US on Monday. If I'm over there in balmy Feb weather (forecast 10c over there) & miss out on the first proper Easterly in 8 years I'll be so pissed off. Need this thing to roll in early Mon morning and force a flight cancellation !!

    I love your priorities, take a seat, you're going to fit in nicely here..


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,023 ✭✭✭Donegal Storm


    BLIZZARD7 wrote: »
    It should be added that none of this severity level will be near guaranteed til late in the week, it looks odds on for a notable cold outbreak now though. These charts are nice to look at and Ive never seen anything like it before but things can still change, details on who gets snow and how much won't be known til 24 hours out at minimum.

    Aye, when charts look close to unprecedented and too good to be true then they probably are. Forecast 6-7 days out are rarely accurate so expect plenty of changes in the days ahead.

    The good thing is that an easterly looks close to being locked in so at that stage at the very least we'll get some good dry frosty weather, anything else a bonus


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,996 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Pangea wrote: »
    Nt snow here. Pure dry powder bliss, those were the days Quite incredible really.

    Froze were the days Senor Pangea!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 579 ✭✭✭Soccarboy11


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Wouldn't that be great, handy days off. :)

    Those Ophelia days off were great crack :D.

    Spent the entire day weather watching with those school days off, was totally worth the watch here in cork city! Would love some more days off to watch this event ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    What about our evergreen vegetation,These temperatures will surely damage them.

    E.g those fake palm trees we have all round the country.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,668 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Spent the entire day weather watching with those school days off, was totally worth the watch here in cork city! Would love some more days off to watch this event ;)

    It was a bit difficult for me with Boards.ie constantly breaking and going into overload :P courtesy of the massive amount of frequent posts in the Ophelia threads.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 314 ✭✭NMB


    pad199207 wrote: »
    After this evenings runs i think the only thing that stands between us and probably the strongest easterly in decades is Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

    The setup cannot be faulted.

    Id say if the same setup is being modelled through tomorrow this thread will likely be 20 pages long by tomorrow evening.......

    Nearly 20 pages by midnight :eek:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 579 ✭✭✭Soccarboy11


    What about our evergreen vegetation,These temperatures will surely damage them.

    E.g those fake palm trees we have all round the country.

    https://imgur.com/a/WdbiH


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,668 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Aye, when charts look close to unprecedented and too good to be true then they probably are. Forecast 6-7 days out are rarely accurate so expect plenty of changes in the days ahead.

    The good thing is that an easterly looks close to being locked in so at that stage at the very least we'll get some good dry frosty weather, anything else a bonus

    I would laugh so hard if it all flopped, like not even be angry or frustrated. :pac:


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  • Registered Users Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Snowbiee21


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    I would laugh so hard if it all flopped, like not even be angry or frustrated. :pac:

    Right don’t jinx it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    Pentecost wrote: »
    An idiot writes.....we’re not actually looking at the potential for -15/-16 type temperatures are we?! The country will go mental next weekend if this keeps up.

    Don't know much about weather lol I think they are the sky temperatures which are colder than down her so you subtract eight or ten degrees i think


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,996 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Aye, when charts look close to unprecedented and too good to be true then they probably are. Forecast 6-7 days out are rarely accurate so expect plenty of changes in the days ahead.

    The one difference is the set of parameters this time are unique(Unlike other past failed easterlies); a recording breaking sww; followed by a second warming which has seen off the canadian vortex,and the mjo going to phase 8.
    It just might be one of those one in 50 years events that comes to pass. Even if there is a downgrade from what we have seen tonight,i think we will still get an easterly with some snow.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,937 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Wasn't expecting so many visitors!

    Before I hit the hay, based on what some have said, just want to say important posters and onlookers take no action on the back of what you read here now. It's far too early.

    And most certainly no need to worry. Everyone has circumstances - you may have elderly relatives or are weather dependent for your work etc.

    Just drop in here now and again and keep up to date officially. Every possibility, likelihood the prognosis could moderate.

    Just want to get that across. No one wants to be responsible for people worrying when they don't need to!

    That's the media's job.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,181 ✭✭✭PukkaStukka


    Sorry I'm late to this discussion. It is going to be a bit frosty...?? :D

    Did Kermit light a fuse...?? :P


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,081 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Just brought a fan into the thread to cool things down a bit :pac:


    18Qpcz3.gif


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,221 ✭✭✭pad199207


    THink my prediction of 20 pages on this thread by tomorrow evening needs to be trebled!


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    IMTs to compare

    February 1947; -1.1c
    January 1963; -1.6c
    December 2010; -0.7c

    Indeed, I should have clarified I meant next week could be like any week out of those months, not that it would last for anywhere near as long.


  • Registered Users Posts: 932 ✭✭✭snowstorm445


    In all seriousness this could be devastating for the huge numbers of homeless in Dublin and other cities IF something as severely cold as this comes off, and something that really can't be scoffed at. Certainly could end up being a massive wake up call for the government and the general public, nothing like this has hit Ireland in many years.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,713 ✭✭✭BabysCoffee


    I've just reserved a snow shovel for pick up from Argos


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    I’m going to try not look at any wether charts tomorrow , no no seriously I mean it


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,971 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    nice guide showing the build up to the possibility of 'Siberian air' for next week by the BBC

    https://www.bbc.com/weather/features/43122036


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,221 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Going to order some backup coal tomorrow just Incase. If it doesn’t happen just store it for those cold wet days in that thing that’s called summer.

    Just realised I started the 20th page ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,683 ✭✭✭Rougies


    Kermit right now :pac:

    sWKwve5.gif

    Somebody had to do it, so kudos for stepping up.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,668 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Going to order some backup coal tomorrow just Incase. If it doesn’t happen just store it for those cold wet days in that thing that’s called summer.

    You mean early Autumn?

    Oh yeah, that. :(


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    Im very good at limiting my excitement about snow due to so many disappointments but I just can't help but be excited about the mere possibility of a 1 in 50 year event


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,186 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Im hoping for a cold and frosty outcome

    Ban me now

    Id say Sligo will prob get just light snow and lows in Markree could be -6c or below


  • Registered Users Posts: 98 ✭✭snow_bunny


    Just brought a fan into the thread to cool things down a bit :pac:


    Point that the other way please!


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,591 ✭✭✭gabeeg


    7 days to buy snowshoes online, or you'll spend the following 7 days welding tennis rackets together so you can go buy eggs


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,319 ✭✭✭emo72


    wakka12 wrote: »
    I just can't help but be excited about the mere possibility of a 1 in 50 year event

    thats the thing. the one in fifty event seems to be getting more common.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,591 ✭✭✭gabeeg


    There's an outside chance that this could go on and on and on until we all hate snow.

    gens-0-0-348.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    This gif is mesmerising, one amazing run. But I'm not in until Thursday, before that it's just time for popcorn and watching.

    tempresult_nud8.gif


  • Registered Users Posts: 932 ✭✭✭snowstorm445


    Rougies wrote: »
    Kermit right now :pac:

    sWKwve5.gif

    Somebody had to do it, so kudos for stepping up.

    Entirely unrelated but that is a fantastic GIF. I'm stealing it. :pac:


  • Registered Users Posts: 175 ✭✭teddybones


    I found my yak tracks today while cleaning out a drawer. I bought them just after the snow in 2010 after Wicklow town was buried. Have not had an opportunity to use them since. Zero snow here in 8 years. Finding them today has to be a good omen! Other half thinks i am bonkers and told me to go asleep! Can't sleep...


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,186 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Ah here

    Is someone playing tricks?

    These charts couldnt be real.

    Funny how RTE weather were afraid to even mention snow.

    Its ok RTE. Just say white stuff


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 579 ✭✭✭Soccarboy11


    gabeeg wrote: »
    There's an outside chance that this could go on and on and on until we all hate snow.

    gens-0-0-348.png

    cut to two days time where models show us in the middle of the purple area (-20 part) and boards goes into meltdown mode

    EDIT: 500th post woo


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    The 18z is unrelenting, reload after reload.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,996 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Ok someone wake me up please. I've been dreaming long enough.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,435 ✭✭✭ixus


    Vibe I have is a boy who cried wolf reaction to this event. So many yellow and orange warnings. Risk of being ignored until too late to prepare.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    gabeeg wrote: »
    There's an outside chance that this could go on and on and on until we all hate snow.

    gens-0-0-348.png

    f73c87f184735cc41dbc4f8310f2c0033d5e6d1c1aee49dab8b00caec4d975ed.jpg


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,591 ✭✭✭gabeeg


    ixus wrote: »
    Vibe I have is a boy who cried wolf reaction to this event. So many yellow and orange warnings. Risk of being ignored until to late to prepare.

    Don't worry, man, I've already started screaming at people in blind panic


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    Ensemble mean. This is like a dream.

    gens-21-1-162.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,435 ✭✭✭ixus


    gabeeg wrote: »
    Don't worry, man, I've already started screaming at people in blind panic

    Yeah, the first texts went out to the inner circle already. The ones who "know" me.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 695 ✭✭✭beefburrito


    Can I join the party,was out beach fishing for the evening, north westerly wind blowing in my face...
    One kamikaze dogfish.....

    This is a nice homecoming.....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,174 ✭✭✭screamer


    Tis like a big freezing fist there coming over to kerpow us with cold......


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