Cold Spell - Snow & Ice Possible Thursday 8th / Friday 9th

ninebeanrows

I'd imagine there will be an updated MET outlook later this morning or early PM

Perhaps a warning later this afternoon or they might wait until early Monday

Kermit.de.frog

Larbre34 wrote: »

In line with their current web forecast. Are we able to explain the discrepancy with the numbers being mentioned here?

It's easier to sit on the fence. I'd be pretty confident if the report of their forecast is accurate that it does not tally with the models.

They could be right, unlikely in this case.

George Sunsnow

I’ve no idea

In other news we had a few heavy hail showers here near Arklow during the night
Currently 4 c cloudy and windy
Dew point 3.5c

MidMan25

Any snow hope at all for east cork this coming week? From my understanding no?

George Sunsnow

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

It's easier to sit on the fence. I'd be pretty confident if the report of their forecast is accurate that it does not tally with the models.

They could be right, unlikely in this case.

That is what was broadcast,it was a man with a country accent,I didnt catch his name
Rain and sleet with snow in the midlands and north
Small depositions was the wording used
Rain later in the week

No mention at all of snow in the east

Gaoth Laidir

Just remember that we don't really get the very cold airmass from the east over us. It barely makes it to east briefly. We're more relying on normal radiative cooling through Monday evening to form that cold surface layer in the midlands and east. It's finely balanced, slightly I'm favour of snow at the moment, but there is only a degree or so in it. Usual disclaimer applies. The value of your snow chances may fall as well as rise.

ninebeanrows

George Sunsnow wrote: »

I’ve no idea

In other news we had a few heavy hail showers here near Arklow during the night
Currently 4 c cloudy and windy
Dew point 3.5c

Some heavy showers this morning, fairly wet out there now.

Maybe with the cold air filtering in through the day we may get something wintry tonight. The good ole Irish Sea.

ninebeanrows

George Sunsnow wrote: »

That is what was broadcast,it was a man with a country accent,I didnt catch his name
Rain and sleet with snow in the midlands and north
Small depositions was the wording used
Rain later in the week

No mention at all of snow in the east

It was Vincent O'Shea - and I guarantee you the forecast will change to mention the east later

George Sunsnow

Weathercheck wrote: »

I'd imagine there will be an updated MET outlook later this morning or early PM

Perhaps a warning later this afternoon or they might wait until early Monday

If I was a farmer in roundwood somewhere lambing sheep and found myself in a white out overnight Monday I’d be very mad if I was relying on the 755am Sunday forecast if it was all I had time to listen to
They could of course be right

Kermit.de.frog

George Sunsnow wrote: »

That is what was broadcast,it was a man with a country accent,I didnt catch his name
Rain and sleet with snow in the midlands and north
Small depositions was the wording used
Rain later in the week

No mention at all of snow in the east

A deposition is testimony taken outside of court. Really?

Hirlam, their own model, disagrees.

George Sunsnow

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

A deposition is testimony taken outside of court. Really?

Hirlam, their own model, disagrees.

Times like these the exploding haha smiley on messenger would be handy

munsterlegend

MidMan25 wrote: »

Any snow hope at all for east cork this coming week? From my understanding no?

There is hope but from past experience a sleety mess more likely.

redsteveireland

How did I miss this thread?
Beautiful winter morning in Galway, sun shining with a lovely white frost covering everything. Bring on the week!

Rebelbrowser

munsterlegend wrote: »

There is hope but from past experience a sleety mess more likely.

Cork city is right on the edge on the models. most show it turning to snow right about at Ballincollig eastwards! Worrying that met e arent on board even for dublin yet. They must have their doubts despite the models.

put it this way, if cork city boardsies report snow at 10pm tomorrow night then everyone east and north of us in the country can have a party....

specific to midman, east cork has a better chance than cork city but better if you are not on the coast (eg Youghal not ideal but east of Fermoy sorted....)

JanuarySnowstor

Why should the east cork coast be a problem when the wind is not onshore? Answer it won't be!
Of course height is always better

pad199207

mirrorwall14 wrote: »

I can honestly say this is the first time I’m dreading snow. We’ve an inspection in school so I want to be in early Tuesday and it looks like the commute in north Kildare with be absolutely pants. Why can’t this front be 48hrs later so I could enjoy it? 😡

I’d say locally 5-7cm in Kildare and West Wicklow

Kermit.de.frog

ICON 6z, it's midlands onward...




The noose tightens just in time

pad199207

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

ICON 6z, it's midlands onward...




The noose tightens just in time

Thank god it’s just the ICON

George Sunsnow

Some splodgy bits in the light rain showers here near Arklow
Probably soft hail

https://twitter.com/arklowweather/status/960086785526304768

George Sunsnow

Today is evidence by the way that you can have moderate showers in off the Irish Sea in high pressure
Currently in the east it’s circa 1029 to 1030 Mb

pad199207

Decent hail shower here in Wexford now

Kermit.de.frog

Hirlam 6z, 27 hrs, 850 hpa temps

catrat12

whats the prediction for dublin mountains?

Thanx lads

ninebeanrows

Yea we could get some snizzle showers overnight near east coasts and tomorrow...

Meanwhile the latest HIRLAM showing snow more extensive across country tomorrow night....

mickger844posts

The Met Eireann forecast from this morning can just be binned with regards Monday night into Tuesday. All the models are showing a snow event for at least the Eastern half of the country. Met Eireann will issue warnings later today I feel. In Waterford City I see maybe 5cm it not more.

www.waterfordweather.com

ninebeanrows

Perks up nice before it clears...

2-3cm widely, locally upto 5cm and probably a little higher over Wicklow mtns

ninebeanrows

catrat12 wrote: »

whats the prediction for dublin mountains?

Thanx lads

4-7cm of lying snow by Tuesday morning.

typhoony

Now we've got rid of the westerly much we get a cold bright week to look forward to with some night time snow and a few showers in the West during day time. Great walking weather

typhoony

Instinct and past experience tells me that the front may fizzle a bit as it reaches dublin, the models are not showing it weakening, hope I'm wrong.

George Sunsnow

Heading for 3mm now from this mornings Irish Sea showers near Arklow in 1030 mb pressure
That’s 3 times more than the front the other night and the equivalent of maybe an inch and a half of snow if it had been cold enough