Why would anyone give away good tips.

mayoman1973

Lingfield
06.09.2017
13:50 Bizet @ 21.00

mayoman1973

Lingfield
06.09.2017
13:50 Light Gunner @ 51.00

mayoman1973

41.0 is still good for light gunner

mayoman1973

"Lingfield 13:50"
Tojosimbre
still good at 17.0

mayoman1973

Kempton
06.09.2017
19:55 The Yellow Bus @ 11.00

mayoman1973

Place in the 13:50 .... any one get on Zamoyski @ 19.0? Tweeted 2 hrs ago and the price stayed around a good while... Just won the 15:00 southwell

BorneTobyWilde

Good example. I was keeping track on here today, and then out of blue something was posted on twitter but not here and it wins. That is the frustration of trying to follow.
Why wasn't that tip posted here like rest.

mayoman1973

Chepstow
06.09.2017
17:10 Celtik Secret @ 34.00

mayoman1973

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

Good example. I was keeping track on here today, and then out of blue something was posted on twitter but not here and it wins. That is the frustration of trying to follow.
Why wasn't that tip posted here like rest.

I can't repeat this anymore ... Tips are tweeted on Twitter first and foremost. If I put it on the forum here then so be it, I have made it clear. Follow me on twitter because that is the easiest place and the fastest way of getting time critical info out.
Its not like I come along after the event and say " I meant to post it" If people don't want to be arsed installing twitter, following me on that and rely on what I post here as a secondary data feed then there is nothing I can do about that.

BorneTobyWilde

I need a smart phone in that case. What bank would one need.

eric hoone

mayoman1973 wrote: »

Place in the 13:50 .... any one get on Zamoyski @ 19.0? Tweeted 2 hrs ago and the price stayed around a good while... Just won the 15:00 southwell

2nd to you on number one London, fair play, I'll learn my lesson, although mine was the one that shortened, go figure

mayoman1973

Any time I have ever followed an unproven tipster I start with a £20 max bank !!!  That theory has prob saved me a lot of money over the years.  And I wouldnt expect my tipster reputation to be treated any differently.  Also suggest you don't go any higher  than 2% of bank per bet  .....  If you can't grow £20 into £40 then the system doesn't work or you don't have the patience.  Turning £500 into £50 is a mistake a lot of impatient people make.

mayoman1973

the 13:50 was a let down.  Something frightened the folks with the money and the markets went buck mad ... hence the 3 rapid fire tips for that on 20 min b4 the off.  I layed the fav as well as I figured it was something about him that spooked the markets

gerrybbadd

mayoman1973 wrote: »

Chepstow
06.09.2017
17:10 Celtik Secret @ 34.00

What does the @34.00 mean? I see this in all the Twitter posts (well, different numbers for each)

mayoman1973

Lingfield
06.09.2017
16:55 Insurgence Ladbrokes @ 34.00

mayoman1973

Odds of 34.0
In fractions that's 33/1
Brain thinks quicker in decimal. Mine does anyways. Bookies default to fractions you will have noticed. I'm sure their research shows them that is better for them. Though I always use fractions when logged into bookies as it makes you look more muggish but its a pain in the ass

ShamoBuc

gerrybbadd wrote: »

What does the @34.00 mean? I see this in all the Twitter posts (well, different numbers for each)

The odds in decimal or 33/1

thesandeman

gerrybbadd wrote: »

What does the @34.00 mean? I see this in all the Twitter posts (well, different numbers for each)

34 is 33/1, 9 is 8/1 etc.

BorneTobyWilde

True Companion won

mayoman1973

Today:  21 picks, 42 pts staked, returns 64pts,  +22pts
195 selections to date, 390pts staked, Bank = +180pts.

mayoman1973

If anyone has taken the trouble to collate results you might start to notice a trend.  The higher the odds then the more profit.  This trend has been consistent since the systems inception.  It was not something the maths would have predicted. What does this mean for any one following these tips?
The fact we are in profit ( though well short of 1000 picks yet ) is not open for debate.  If you find yourself missing quoted prices by being a few min late looking then apply this simple formula.  % profit is proportional to the odds, so this means you can take a bigger % drop in the odds as the odds increase and still cut a profit.
If as I expect will be the case with anyone who does not hit the bookie the instant a tip is tweeted then they are less likely to get the price, apply this formula. Take the quoted odds,  divide it by 2 and the answer is the percentage reduction in odds you can afford to take.  Example.
Odds quoted = 5.0 , 
Divide by 2 = 2.5
You can take 2.5% less than 5.0   ..... not lot of leeway there !!
Example 2
Quoted odds = 51.0
Divide by 2 = 25.
You can take a 25% reduction in the odds for a 51.0 tipped price.  25% of 51.0 = 10.0   So you can take 51.0 - 10 = 41.0
... So if 51.0 is quoted ideally you want to get on at 51.0 but you will still make money at 41.0
So if you afraid of bookie giving you the boot because you betting with them too much ( and you should be if you not spreading the action around amongst friends )  then my advice would be to just cherry pick the higher odds

Bandana boy

For all those complaining
yes its hard to follow as they come thick and fast

yes it is unorthodox , backing ew and several selections in the same race

But stop trying to get the man to stop posting
There has been some serious winners posted , if you don't like or trust then don't follow but don't run him out of boards with your negativity.
We should always welcome a guy trying to take on the bookies , we should always give new theories room to breathe and expand.

Mayo man long may you continue

mayoman1973

Chelmsford City
07.09.2017
17:40 Priscillas Dream @ 6.50

mayoman1973

Chelmsford City
07.09.2017
17:40 Gold Filigree @ 6.00

mayoman1973

Gold Filigree one is falling fast

mayoman1973

17:40"Priscillas Dream ok to take at 5.50

mayoman1973

Gold Filigree still ok to take at 5.0

mayoman1973

Clonmel
07.09.2017
19:25 All Good Things @ 2.88

mayoman1973

Haydock
07.09.2017
15:30 Wasm @ 34.00

mayoman1973

Chelmsford City
07.09.2017
17:40 Weeton @ 15.00