FPL price changes 2017/18.

PVA · 18-08-2017 7:39pm

FHFC wrote: »

Based on my data from last 3 seasons we can expect between 20 and 30 price drops tonight. Even Zaha might not be safe.

https://twitter.com/trevg1977/status/898575707600805888

Total anomaly of only one rise last night though...

FHFC · 18-08-2017 7:54pm

PVA wrote: »

Total anomaly of only one rise last night though...

No drops was very odd yeah. GW1 starting on Friday may have changed the dynamic a bit. Transfers till now spread over an extra day.

Not sure though. Be interesting to see if the usual flurry of drops happens tonight.

PVA · 18-08-2017 7:57pm

Going by FPLS there will be 20+ changes, although the majority of these will be drops rather than rises.

Shedite27 · 18-08-2017 8:27pm

PVA wrote: »

Going by FPLS there will be 20+ changes, although the majority of these will be drops rather than rises.

Fantasy Fotball Fix reckons Ibrahimvic is dropping

Scorpion Sting · 19-08-2017 2:29am

Up:

Willian

Down:

Costa, Trippier, Pedro, Sané, Walcott, Robertson, Pied, S. Long, Shelvey, Snodgrass

cathalio11 · 19-08-2017 2:54am

Sure almost 400,000 people transferred Zaha out. That's almost 40% of people who owned him.

Ah no his price stays the same though .......................

iroced · 19-08-2017 2:59am

cathalio11 wrote: »

Sure almost 400,000 people transferred Zaha out. That's almost 40% of people who owned him.

Ah no his price stays the same though .......................

The red flag increased his target NTO (Net Transfers Out) for him to drop.

FHFC · 19-08-2017 5:25am

iroced wrote: »

The red flag increased his target NTO (Net Transfers Out) for him to drop.

He still should have dropped comfortably. Xhaka also should have gotten second rise.

Major decrease in number of rises and in particular falls based on recent years. Something has changed.

iroced · 19-08-2017 9:53am

FHFC wrote: »

He still should have dropped comfortably. Xhaka also should have gotten second rise.

Major decrease in number of rises and in particular falls based on recent years. Something has changed.

Are you sure? FISO reckoned that a red flag may multiply the threshold up to 2.5 times.
10% of his ownership was required for him to drop. Red flag pushes that to 25%. That's huge!
Do you know what was his ownership at the beginning of the week so that we could work out his threshold?

They made an update to their CTC explanation this year and reckon that this multiplier (present in the previous seasons) has gone for orange & yellow flags.

Now what I don't get is how they're so far off in their predictions if they actually are following the adjustments FPL are making to their algorithm.

About Xhaka second rise, maybe FPL put back the weighting factors. That'd be a great news (if also applied to price drops).

km79 · 19-08-2017 10:27am

I don't mind that zaha didn't drop
He will drop tonight and there was no way I was making my transfer for next week today so it has allowed me time
Trippier at 5.4 at home to Burnley ........

basillarkin · 19-08-2017 8:50pm

Lads what site do ye use for rises this season, I want to beat the davies rise

ScummyMan · 19-08-2017 8:59pm

basillarkin wrote: »

Lads what site do ye use for rises this season, I want to beat the davies rise

FPL Statistics, I'd say you'll have to do it tonight

FutureGuy · 19-08-2017 9:09pm

Fffix seems to be all over the shop tonight with rise/fall predictions. What site are people finding the best? FPLStats?

iroced · 20-08-2017 12:16am

FutureGuy wrote: »

Fffix seems to be all over the shop tonight with rise/fall predictions. What site are people finding the best? FPLStats?

FPLstats the only reliable source from last year onwards...

ScummyMan · 20-08-2017 2:33am

UP:

Davies
Pogba

DOWN:

Benteke
Pereira
Capoue
Herrera
Iheanacho
Yaya Toure
Solanke
Origi
Sandro
Holgate
Zaha
Schlupp
Barnes
Perez

MuddyDog · 20-08-2017 8:00am

Is Phil Jones anywhere close to rising?

Invincible · 20-08-2017 10:40am

MuddyDog wrote: »

Is Phil Jones anywhere close to rising?

70.1% atm.

PVA · 20-08-2017 10:41am

All the price change sites are way off when it comes to rises this season. Hopefully this will even out once they have sufficient data to update the prediction models.

shineon23 · 21-08-2017 3:17am

OneColdHand wrote: »

Every morning I wake up hoping Mick McCarthy has been incorporated into the price changes thread!

RossieMan wrote: »

I die a little without Mick telling me who's gone up or down.

jimmii wrote: »

Take the chance to get things back to how they were last season. We needs lot of Mick and some well chosen gifs that's what this thread is really about.

OneColdHand wrote: »

Micks or gtfo!

Up:
Hegazi

Down:
Alexis
Josh King
Malone
Lanzini
Success
Boufal
Mitrovic
Lindelof
Smalling
Bravo
Lallana
Heefele
Klassen
Lookman
Afobe

alchemist33 · 21-08-2017 7:38am

Hefele 4.4 now. Shouldnt he be first choice when fully fit?

km79 · 21-08-2017 9:02am

First double rise of the season
Walk Like an Egyptian

PARlance · 21-08-2017 9:09am

I think FFFix got those Rise/Falls pretty much right last night. I never took a screenshot but they had Hegazi as the sole risers and most, if not all, of those fallers.

There's a note on their site saying that they've increased their thresholds as they think FPL have done so thus far.

manual_man · 22-08-2017 2:28am

UP:

Chicharito
Doucouré
Mooy
Zanka
Mkhytaryan

DOWN:

Holding
Defoe
Batshuayi
Sigurdsson
Sobhi
Targett
Diamé
Carrick
Darmian
Townsend
Chambers
De Jong
A. Carroll
Rodriguez
Chadli
Hughes
Pereyra
Narsingh

keano_afc · 22-08-2017 9:01am

Got no notification from Fix that Holding was dropping.

F1ngers · 22-08-2017 9:22am

Will be keeping an eye on Siggy for when their fixtures clear up.
Keep selling.

fennor72 · 22-08-2017 3:27pm

Pardon my ignorance but why when a player's value drops ( Jay Rodriguez) from 6m to 5.9m do I only get the 5.9m when I go to change him. But if a player's value rises ( Salah) 9m to 9.1m I only get the original 9m.
I don't understand it where the benefit.

Necronomicon · 22-08-2017 3:31pm

fennor72 wrote: »

Pardon my ignorance but why when a player's value drops ( Jay Rodriguez) from 6m to 5.9m do I only get the 5.9m when I go to change him. But if a player's value rises ( Salah) 9m to 9.1m I only get the original 9m.
I don't understand it where the benefit.

You suffer the full losses but only get 50% of the gains, so it takes two rises to be able to earn 0.1 profit on a player.

wonski · 22-08-2017 3:33pm

fennor72 wrote: »

Pardon my ignorance but why when a player's value drops ( Jay Rodriguez) from 6m to 5.9m do I only get the 5.9m when I go to change him. But if a player's value rises ( Salah) 9m to 9.1m I only get the original 9m.
I don't understand it where the benefit.

If Salah rises again to 9.2 then you will get 9.1 if you bought him for 9.0.

You only get half of the rise (minimum 0.1)

There is no benefit, just another thing that makes the game more difficult

sheroman01 · 22-08-2017 4:56pm

alchemist33 wrote: »

Hefele 4.4 now. Shouldnt he be first choice when fully fit?

Just read on Wiki that he came on as a 46th sub last year...up front...and scored 2 goals.

patmac · 23-08-2017 1:11am

sheroman01 wrote: »

Just read on Wiki that he came on as a 46th sub last year...up front...and scored 2 goals.

Thought you were only allowed 3 subs per game?

FPL price changes 2017/18.

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