Winter 2017-18: Discussion

pistolpetes11

Im looking forward to it going from the FI thread , Im spending my day removing Off Topic posts in there :pac::pac::pac::pac::pac::eek:

Soccarboy11

oh just reading that old thread,, '10-15cm of snow expected nationwide' on the met eireann alert. If only that happened again. *Sigh*

kittyn

pistolpetes11 wrote: »

Im looking forward to it going from the FI thread , Im spending my day removing Off Topic posts in there :pac::pac::pac::pac::pac::eek:

I think I may have been guilty of one of those deleted post 🙈 sorry about that ........ I’m trying to hold my excitement 😂😂

pistolpetes11

kittyn wrote: »

I think I may have been guilty of one of those deleted post 🙈 sorry about that ........ I’m trying to hold my excitement 😂😂

No problem , its just trying to keep the thread tidy for most who just want the COLD hard facts in there and discussion of the model / charts

sryanbruen

Looks like the NAO isn't alone in taking a plunge, the AO is too.

Kermit.de.frog

pistolpetes11 wrote: »

Well at Sub 120 hours it goes from FI thread into here or :eek::eek::eek: its own thread :eek::eek::eek:

I'd be happy to do it this evening

JCX BXC

pistolpetes11 wrote: »

No problem , its just trying to keep the thread tidy for most who just want the COLD hard facts in there and discussion of the model / charts

Perhaps we should have a split thread for this event once confidence increases? One for discussion and one exclusively for charts?

BLIZZARD7

Personal favourite warning from Met Eireann from late November 2010- More of this next week please

sryanbruen

Stratosphere charts updated to the 18th February, small little spike ups (you can barely see it on the 30hPa chart but it's there) as I expected.

sryanbruen

BLIZZARD7 wrote: »

Personal favourite warning from Met Eireann from late November 2010- More of this next week please

I knew the 30th November was THE day to remember!

My memory did not fool me.

I would love a repeat of that, easily one of my favourite days of my life.

highdef

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

I'd be happy to do it this evening

Maybe we should at least see if this evening's ECM is an improvement before getting carried away with something the guts of a week away. I have a gut feeling that the ECM will be an improvement.

BLIZZARD7

sryanbruen wrote: »

I knew the 30th November was THE day to remember!

My memory did not fool me.

I would love a repeat of that, easily one of my favourite days of my life.

The night of the 1st of December is when the first spell peaked here, then the 22nd for the second blast. This is in terms of snowfall, the 25th of December 2010 remains the coldest day I've experienced in Dublin. Max temp -3.7C in Dublin 14.

George Sunsnow

Kermit contain yourself
Please no thread until wenesday

JCX BXC

Sky clearing here in West Clare, Max of 11.9c today. Very mild with about 20 minutes of sun this morning (in around 10am).

George Sunsnow

highdef wrote: »

Maybe we should at least see if this evening's ECM is an improvement before getting carried away with something the guts of a week away. I have a gut feeling that the ECM will be an improvement.

My coldest and still the record here just 2 miles from the sea near Arklow was -11c still at 1pm in the day on the 29th of November 2010 with a deep snow cover
Simply incredible
It will take some beating

little bess

Ah the old thread, when I found out what streamers and the iom shadow were! 😊

Nettle Soup

What time does ECM come out?

sryanbruen

Nettle Soup wrote: »

What time does ECM come out?

It's rolling right now.

squarecircles

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JCX BXC

A nice ECM run, my hopes are beginning to rise so hopefully it doesn't go awol.

JCX BXC

Kermit has started a thread on the possible cold spell ahead :https://touch.boards.ie/thread/2057843266/1/#post106195711

Gaoth Laidir

Looking good, but hoping we don't see the usual...

nacho libre

It might not be as glorious as currently shown, but i'm optimistic we will get something fairly decent now. You would usually be pointing out that the GFS is notorious for over doing the depth of cold, but it's the ECM,which you rate highly, showing it just as cold now.

Rock Lesnar

Jaysus lads the other thread has already had over 200 posts since 6.40 and theres still 7 days left til whatever happens or 5 til its downgraded , the only thing guaranteed at this moment is, the place will go into meltdown either way, lol

sryanbruen

Interesting, wonder about the impacts of this come the latter half of 2018 on the atmosphere or the climate (as I said before hand, I'm carrying out a research project on the Irish climate and volcanic eruptions). It's not up to the standards of Mount St. Helens, Mount Pinatubo etc but it's definitely one of the more notable eruptions in the 21st century so far along with the Icelandic volcano of 2010.

https://twitter.com/IceAgeFarmer/status/965670605084225536

gabeeg

Is it a threat to our snow prospects?

nacho libre

gabeeg wrote: »

Is it a threat to our snow prospects?

I think he is wondering if there is a link between cold outbreaks over us and volcanic eruptions- like the one back in Iceland in 2010

gabeeg

I know. I was trying to set up a joke.

Good day to you, sir

sryanbruen

nacho libre wrote: »

I think he is wondering if there is a link between cold outbreaks over us and volcanic eruptions- like the one back in Iceland in 2010

So far, much of my research on this project has been dedicated to calculating IMTs so I can compare months, periods, years etc to see if there's any cooling taking place following volcanic eruptions in the Irish climate. I do this not just because of looking at the severest Winters and them being preceded by significant volcanic eruptions around the world but because it's clear that there is a global cooling impact from them. This has been researched by scientists already. Two examples are the Year Without A Summer (1816) which was preceded by the eruption of Mount Tambora in 1815 and the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in 1991 which was followed by several years of well below average SSTs over multiple oceans on the globe.

There are other reasons why December 2010 came to being so (stratosphere is certainly not one of them as it was cold throughout the latter part of 2010 over the Arctic Circle with any warmth that was trying to form was way to the south of Europe or in Asia of the stratosphere) but I think the Iceland volcano was a precursor to it.

Will likely take another year of calculating IMTs and researching for this project to be completed - I cannot give any guarantees though.

sryanbruen

gabeeg wrote: »

Is it a treat to our snow prospects?

Fixed that for you