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August 2016 Boards forecast contest

  • 29-07-2016 7:43am
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 13,189 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    1. Predict the IMT (Irish mean temperature, an average for five stations, Casement, Claremorris, Mullingar, Oak Park and Shannon). The 1981-2010 "normal" value is 15.1 C.

    2. Predict the MAX, the highest daily maximum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

    3. Predict the MIN, the lowest daily minimum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

    4. Predict the PRC, the average rainfall expressed as percentage of normal at the eleven stations we normally use, which include the five mentioned for IMT and also Ballyhaise, Belmullet, Malin Head, Johnstown Castle, Cork and Valentia.

    5. Predict the SUN, the total sunshine expressed as a percentage of normal at the six stations used (Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork, Valentia).

    6. For a BONUS question, predict the heaviest calendar day rainfall (as reported in daily data and "yesterday's weather" on met.ie site) and the location. This should be in mm to one decimal place.


    Enter by the deadline of 0300h on Monday 1st of August, or take the slight penalties that are assigned on first, increasing on second.

    Good luck !!


«13

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 12,554 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    sryanbruen __________ 15.6 _ 26.0_ 4.9 _ 110_ 104_ 25.2mm Valentia Observatory on the 6th

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,847 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    pauldry__________ 15.2 _ 25.7_ 3.0 _ 127_ 101_ 48.2mm Roches Point 31st August

    Good on ya sryan now i have a template....on phone ya c


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,713 ✭✭✭ Bsal


    Bsal__________ 15.3 _ 25.0_ 3.7 _ 125_ 99_ 33.0mm Knock Airport 25th August


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,569 ✭✭✭ 200motels


    200motels
    _ 15.1 _ 26.7_ 3.0 _ 117_ 98_ 28.2mm Roches Point 7th August


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,406 Mod ✭✭✭✭ mickger844posts


    mickger844posts __________ 15.1_ 25.0_ 5.9 _ 110_ 104_ 20.2mm Valentia Observatory on the 26th


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  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,103 Mod ✭✭✭✭ DOCARCH


    DOCARCH __________ 15.3_ 27.7_ 4.2 _ 110_ 90_ 16.2mm Sherkin 10th


  • Registered Users Posts: 457 ✭✭ dasa29


    Dasa29 __________ 15.2 _ 25.0_ 3.9 _ 100_ 100_ 22.5mm Valentia Observatory on the 16th


  • Registered Users Posts: 359 ✭✭ mrskinner


    Skinner_____14.9_____24.6____3.8____100____111_____32mm, Valentia.


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,554 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    mrskinner wrote: »
    Skinner_____12.3_____28.4_____4.4_____100____100_____50mm, 27th

    12.3? Are you high mate?

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users Posts: 359 ✭✭ mrskinner


    I am not your mate.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,554 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    mrskinner wrote: »
    I am not your mate.

    That does not answer my question whatsoever and it's a figure of speech.

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,408 ✭✭✭ Jpmarn


    Jpmarn __________ 16.3_ 28.7_ 6.2 _ 110_ 120_ 28.2mm Belmullet 6th


  • Registered Users Posts: 164 ✭✭ sunflower3


    Sunflower3 __________ 15.4_ 26.5_ 4.0 _ 101_ 95_ 14.2mm Valentia 18th


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,189 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    MrSkinner, we need a location from you for the max rainfall (date not part of the scoring). Thanks.

    M.T. Cranium ________ 15.6 __ 28.0 __ 2.0 __ 098 __ 095 ___ 30.0 Gurteen


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,756 ✭✭✭ rameire


    Rameire ________ 14.7 __ 24.6 __ 3.4 __ 104 __ 098 ___ 25.2 Newport


  • Registered Users Posts: 622 ✭✭✭ Tae laidir


    Tae laidir __________ 15.8 _ 25.8 _ 3.4 _ 105 _ 105 _ 33.0 Knock


  • Registered Users Posts: 317 ✭✭ kindredspirit


    Kindred Spirit __________ 15.2 ___ 26.2 ___ 4.0 ___ 85 ___ 105 ___ 30mm at Valentia.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,745 ✭✭✭ Joe Public


    Joe Public ________ 15.3 __ 26.9 __ 1.9 __ 120 __ 090 ___ 22.9 Roches Point


  • Registered Users Posts: 350 ✭✭ waterways


    waterways __________ 15.4 ___ 27.3___ 2.3___ 91 ___ 116___ 28mm Knock


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,995 ✭✭✭ John mac


    john mac __________ 15.0 _ 26.0_ 5.9 _ 110_ 98_ 32.2mm Sherkin 10th


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  • Registered Users Posts: 19,556 ✭✭✭✭ Rikand


    Rikand ______ 15.5 _____ 27.0 _____ 3.5 ______ 110 ______ 100 ______ 25mm Mount Dillon 1st August


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,466 Lumi


    Lumi __________ 15.1_ 26.7_ 4.5 _ 113_ 90_ 36.0mm Sherkin Island 20th


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,847 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    Sherkin Island setting an early bar for rainfall..


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,579 ✭✭✭ jd


    JD________ 15.3 __ 27.9 __ 2.9 __ 115 __ 093___29.9 Sherkin


  • Registered Users Posts: 19,556 ✭✭✭✭ Rikand


    Bugger, had picked cork last night and changed my mind last second when i saw the values being predicted on yr.no


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,847 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    54mm in sherkin midnight to 6PM Unbeatable total on 1st August quite possible.


  • Registered Users Posts: 350 ✭✭ waterways


    sherkin should get the points and we zero. :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,847 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    Its now over 60mm

    I thought 48.2mm was a joke prediction and yet its bust


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,772 ✭✭✭ dacogawa


    Please excuse the lateness, couldn't be helped

    Dacogawa __________ 15.8 _ 27.1_ 3.9 _ 120_ 90_ 70mm sherkin 15th

    Was going to say 66.2mm sherkin on the 1st, but I'll skip that in the interests of fairness and go for something crazy instead


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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,847 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    dacogawa wrote: »
    Please excuse the lateness, couldn't be helped

    Dacogawa __________ 15.8 _ 27.1_ 3.9 _ 120_ 90_ 70mm sherkin 15th

    Was going to say 66.2mm sherkin on the 1st, but I'll skip that in the interests of fairness and go for something crazy instead

    Hmmmm controversial.

    Surely therel be 120mm at some place before 31st n it wont matter.

    Actually Sherkin has already matched or nearly matched its rainfall for augusts of previous few years.


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